XAUUSD 4H SMART MONEY CONCEPT ANALYSIS Market Structure Overview:
Price recently swept sell-side liquidity below the 3280s area and reacted from a 4H demand zone. We are now seeing a bullish retracement into a higher time frame premium zone (red supply area).
🔍 Key SMC Concepts Applied:
✅ Liquidity Sweep – Price grabbed liquidity below the 3280 support (equal lows), then aggressively pushed up.
✅ Breaker Structure (BOS) – Minor bullish BOS formed as price broke short-term highs after the liquidity sweep.
✅ Market Inefficiency – There’s a fair value gap and imbalance between 3,380 and 3,420.
✅ Supply Zone in Premium – Red zone (3,400–3,430) marks a previously unmitigated 4H supply area. Ideal zone for smart money to re-enter shorts.
📌 Current Expectation:
We expect price to tap into the red premium zone, where:
Liquidity above recent highs will be engineered and swept.
Institutional orders are likely resting for short entries.
Price may reverse sharply from that level, targeting the unmitigated green demand zone at 3,200–3,220.
💡 Entry Plan (Sell Setup):
🔼 Wait for price to trade into 3,400–3,430 supply.
🔁 Look for change of character (CHOCH) on lower timeframes (15M or 1H).
🔻 Enter short on confirmation.
🛑 SL: Above 3,435 (just beyond the liquidity).
🎯 TP1: 3,280 (structure level).
🎯 TP2: 3,200 (discount demand zone).
🕒 Timeframe Reference:
4H for overall structure, confirmation on 15M/1H after supply tap.
🧲 Liquidity Map:
Buy-side liquidity above 3,390s (target for bulls before reversal).
Sell-side liquidity resting below 3,250 and deeper around 3,200.
🔑 Summary:
"Smart money is driving price back into premium for efficient distribution. Bears are likely to step in after liquidity is swept above recent highs. Patience is key—let price reach your area of interest before executing."
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