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Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Institutional Analysis — August 6, 2025As of August 6, 2025 (12:23 UTC), Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around 3,367.60, according to Kitco’s live spot price feed. After a sustained bullish recovery from the 3,320–3,330 demand zone, gold finds itself at a structural inflection point. Institutional footprints across the board — from order blocks to liquidity maps — are signaling one dominant message: the bulls are setting the stage. In today’s breakdown, we deliver a high-conviction execution plan using a fusion of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT methodology, and 4H structural dynamics — isolating only the strongest Primary Buy and Sell zones, along with their fallback counterparts. At the center of this framework is our Golden Zone, the most institutionally-aligned, high-probability area of the day. 🔍 Market Structure & Directional Bias The 4-hour chart has shown a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) to the upside after a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above the 3,355 level. This signals a phase shift from consolidation into accumulation and potential expansion, likely aiming toward the 3,400 psychological magnet and beyond. The presence of volume imbalances, fair value gaps, and unmitigated order blocks across multiple structural layers further supports a bullish directional bias. Liquidity has been swept below previous equal lows (EQL), creating an environment ripe for institutional accumulation. Directional Bias: Transitional → Bullish 🎯 Primary Execution Zones ✅ Primary Buy Zone (Golden Zone) — 3,355 to 3,360 This zone represents the highest-quality long opportunity on the chart today. Sitting in the discount array (below 50% of recent swing), the zone is built on a fresh Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) demand structure formed after a decisive CHoCH. The 3,355–3,360 range aligns with a valid unmitigated Order Block, an embedded Fair Value Gap, and an OTE retracement between 0.705–0.79 Fib levels. Beneath this zone lies a sweepable liquidity pocket just under 3,350, further increasing the magnetism of the area. Entry: 3,355–3,360 Stop Loss: Below 3,350 (liquidity invalidation) Take Profits: TP1: 3,395–3,400 (1.272 extension) TP2: 3,420 (1.618 extension) Confluences: RBR Demand, OB, FVG, OTE, Volume Imbalance, EQL Sweep, Discount Array, Structural Support Kill Zone Timing: London-NY Overlap ✅ Golden Zone of the Day ✅ Primary Sell Zone — 3,395 to 3,400 While the broader bias is bullish, gold remains capped by a strong Drop-Base-Drop (DBD) supply zone around 3,400 — also the 1.272 fib extension from prior bullish legs. A pocket of equal highs (EQH) just above 3,405 serves as a liquidity magnet and stop-loss hunting zone — making this supply level extremely attractive for short-term reversion plays. Entry: 3,395–3,400 Stop Loss: Above 3,405 Take Profits: TP1: 3,360 TP2: 3,350 Confluences: DBD Supply, OB, FVG, OTE Retrace, EQH Sweep, Premium Array, Structural Resistance ⚠️ Secondary Execution Zones (If Primary Fails) 🟢 Fallback Buy Zone — 3,325 to 3,330 If the market manipulates lower and invalidates the primary buy zone with a deep liquidity sweep, this deeper zone offers a second chance. It contains a secondary demand block, a valid FVG, and lies cleanly within a deep discount retracement. SL: Below 3,320 TPs: 3,360 and 3,380 🔴 Fallback Sell Zone — 3,445 to 3,450 If gold breaks cleanly above 3,405, likely invalidating the primary sell idea, the next institutional level of interest is 3,445–3,450 — sitting on a higher timeframe premium OB and major liquidity shelf. SL: Above 3,455 TPs: 3,395 and 3,370 🌐 Institutional Consensus: Bullish Convergence Institutional analysts across major platforms confirm a bullish bias, with targets hovering around the 3,400–3,420 area: Reuters reports that gold is near a one-week high, supported by weaker U.S. data and increased rate-cut bets. MarketPulse highlights the “return of the bulls” amid sustained momentum and light CPI expectations. Citi has raised its medium-term gold target to $3,500, citing negative U.S. macro headwinds. TradersUnion confirms support at 3,320 and resistance at 3,400 — mirroring our execution levels. There is no significant divergence in sentiment or structure, validating today's trade zones with confidence. 📌 Final Thoughts In a liquidity-driven market, price is engineered — not discovered. Today, that engineering points to one thing: 3,355–3,360 is the Golden Zone — the strongest execution area, supported by eight institutional confluences, favorable structure, and widespread sentiment confirmation. Gold has re-entered its institutional kill-box. The next move? Likely engineered to deliver smart money profits while trapping the uninformed. Don’t chase price. Let it come to your zone. Execute with discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
The bullish outlook remains unchanged, go long with the trend!Yesterday, the gold bulls refreshed the high point, and the daily line closed in the form of a medium-sized Yang line with a long lower shadow. The idea of continuing to be bullish in the short term remains unchanged, and what needs to be paid attention to is the strength of the retracement, which is similar to yesterday. The current support below is maintained at the 3355-3350 line of yesterday's rise. This position is also today's key support level, and the key suppression point above is maintained at the integer level of 3390-3400. This position may not be the end point. It was also mentioned yesterday that under the range of the previous large range of fluctuations, if either side does not break through, it will likely continue to fall into fluctuations. The current bullish trend is still relatively obvious, so we still maintain the idea of low-long operations. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help your investment avoid detours. Welcome to communicate! From the 4-hour analysis, the important support below is the 3355-3350 line. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, the bullish rhythm of falling back to lows and buying on the trend will remain unchanged. Before the daily level falls below the 3350 mark, you need to be cautious about shorting against the trend. I will provide you with the specific operation strategies at the bottom, please pay attention to them in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it retraces to around 3360-3350, target 3375-3385 area, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Plan – M15 Timeframe📅 For: Wednesday 6th August – Thursday 7th August 2025 ⏱ Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15) 📈 Strategy Type: Intraday Trend-Following with Scaling Out 📊 Bias: Bullish 🎯 Approach: Buy-the-Dip with Laddered Targets 🧠 Market Structure Overview Gold continues to build a solid bullish structure on the lower timeframes, respecting trend channels and maintaining higher highs and higher lows. After Monday and Tuesday’s impulsive moves, price action is now consolidating within a rising range, offering a clean opportunity to trade retracements toward support and ride continuation waves. M15 structure shows Gold is setting up for a healthy pullback toward key dynamic support, creating a prime dip-buying setup. This plan focuses on precision entries after retracement and riding momentum toward well-defined short-term resistance zones. 🔍 Execution Plan Details ✅ Phase 1: Buy After Retracement to 3369 (Key Intraday Support) Buy Level: 3369 Why This Level? Confluence of dynamic support (50 EMA on M15) 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement of previous M15 impulse leg Intraday support formed from previous structure breakout Entry Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or rejection wick on M15 RSI (14) bouncing above 40 Price holds above 3367 for at least two candles Stop Loss: Below 3362 (structure invalidation zone) 🎯 Target 1: 3377 Reasoning: First resistance level from earlier London/NY sessions Key psychological intraday level Expected reaction zone from sellers Action at 3377: Take 30–40% profit Move SL to breakeven or just below 3371 Prepare for potential re-entry on pullback ✅ Phase 2: Wait for Pullback (Post-3377 Push) Retracement Zone: 3372–3373 Why? Higher low formation expected Intraday support from previous resistance-turned-support Good re-entry zone to catch second leg Confirmation to Re-enter: Small bullish flag breakout or strong bullish candle MACD crossover on M5/M15 for added momentum confidence 🎯 Target 2: 3383 Why This Target? Prior M15 swing high Aligned with 1.272 Fibonacci extension from initial move Could act as a mid-term resistance or NY high Action at 3383: Secure another 30–35% profit Move trailing SL up to 3377 or dynamic support (50 EMA) Watch volume and price reaction at this zone ✅ Phase 3: Final Re-Entry or Hold Toward 3390 Retracement Zone: 3378–3380 Conditions: Strong bullish price action continuation Rejection from support after healthy consolidation 🎯 Target 3: 3390 Why This Target? Next significant resistance and round number magnet Frequently tested during NY session extensions May attract liquidity from late buyers and algorithmic activity Final Action at 3390: Close all remaining positions Wait for reversal or potential breakout setup for the next day ⚠️ Risk & Trade Management Risk per trade: 1.0–1.5% of account capital SL Management: BE after TP1 Trailing SL based on price structure and moving average Entry Conditions: No entry without confirmation Avoid entries during major high-impact news events 🔁 Summary Table Phase Buy Level Target Stop Loss Action Phase 1 3369 3377 3362 Take 30–40%, move SL to BE Phase 2 3372–3373 3383 3369 Take 30–35%, trail SL Phase 3 3378–3380 3390 3372 Close all positions 🧭 Session Timing Considerations Asian Session: Watch for retracement and entry toward 3369 London Open (3pm SGT): Momentum likely builds to hit 3377–3383 New York Open (8:30pm SGT): Final push possible to 3390 if volume supports If price opens above 3377, wait for a pullback to re-enter — no FOMO chasing. 📊 Technical Tools Used Fibonacci Retracement & Extensions EMA 50 & 200 (M15) for dynamic support/resistance RSI (14) for momentum divergence and confirmation MACD (5,13,1) for timing micro-entries
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Khairambo
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Plan – Weds 6th to Thurs 7th August 2025Timeframe: M30 (30-Minute) Strategy: Buy-the-Dip with Step Ladder Profit-Taking Bias: Bullish Style: Intraday to Short-Term Swing Session Focus: London & NY sessions (volatility windows) 🧠 Technical Context Overview Gold remains in a bullish momentum structure on the M30 timeframe with a well-formed uptrend channel. Recent price action suggests healthy consolidation after last week’s impulsive rally. This offers a great setup to enter on dips into support zones, riding the continuation of the uptrend in phases. The focus will be on buying after a clean retracement to 3375, supported by historical support levels and Fib confluence. Three TP levels have been identified based on previous resistance zones and Fibonacci extension targets. 🔍 Detailed Trading Plan Breakdown ✅ Phase 1: Entry at 3375 (Primary Support Zone) Entry Level: Buy at 3375 Why: Pullback to previous demand zone and structural support Confluence with 50% Fibonacci retracement from prior swing Dynamic support: price likely to reject near 50 EMA on M30 Confirmation Required: M30 bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong momentum candle RSI holding above 40–45 and curling upward MACD crossover or histogram reversal Stop Loss: Below 3365 (10-pip buffer below structure) 🎯 Target 1: 3385 Why: Near-term resistance from previous reaction zone First psychological level and Fib extension target (0.618 of entry swing) Action: Take 30–40% profits Move SL to breakeven or trail to 3379 Wait for retracement to re-enter ✅ Phase 2: Re-Entry After Pullback (Post-3385) Retracement Zone: 3378–3380 Why: Likely higher low after initial breakout Area where market usually retests prior breakout Confirmation: Tight consolidation or flag pattern breakout Bullish confirmation candle on M15/M30 🎯 Target 2: 3396 Why: Intermediate resistance zone Alignment with a Fib extension (1.272 level) Previous swing high from early August Action: Take another 30–40% of position Trail SL to 3385 or EMA support Watch for price slowdown or reversal signals ✅ Phase 3: Final Push After Minor Dip Retracement Zone: 3390–3392 Why: Final dip before potential extended rally Zone may act as consolidation base for momentum continuation Entry Confirmation: Strong volume breakout Continuation pattern (bullish pennant, triangle) 🎯 Target 3: 3408 Why: Key psychological resistance near 3410 Also matches with 1.618 Fibonacci extension Potential intraday top or reversal zone Action: Close remaining 20–30% Monitor for breakout or fade after NY session ⚠️ Risk Management Guidelines Risk per trade: 1.0–1.5% of capital No chasing entries — wait for confirmation candles SL management: Break-even after TP1, trail below higher lows Avoid entries during high-impact news (e.g., US job reports, Fed speeches) 🔁 Trade Summary Table Phase Buy Level Target SL Action Phase 1 3375 3385 3365 Take 30–40%, move SL to BE Phase 2 3378–3380 3396 3372 Take 30–40%, trail SL Phase 3 3390–3392 3408 3385 Take remaining 20–30%, full close 🧭 Time-Based Session Triggers Asian Session (6am–2pm SGT): Watch for retracement to 3375 London Session (3pm–8pm SGT): Likely breakout to 3385/3396 New York Session (8:30pm onward): Possible rally toward 3408 If price gaps up and skips 3375, wait for price to consolidate before jumping in — no FOMO. 📊 Key Technical Tools 50 & 200 EMA (M30): Dynamic trend tracking RSI (14): Momentum confirmation and pullback validation MACD: Confirmation for entries after retracement Volume Profile: To validate breakout strength
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Khairambo
XAUUSD | 1H Reversal Setup | Bullish CHoCH Play – Aug 6, 2025* --- ### 🔹 Market Bias: * **4H**: Transitional – Potential shift from bearish to bullish * **1H**: Bullish CHoCH confirmed * **Context**: Strong low formed after liquidity sweep of 4/5 internal lows --- ### 🧠 Narrative (SMC): Following the BOS to the downside, price swept **multiple internal liquidity points** (noted as LQCs) and created a **strong reaction from demand**, forming a **valid strong low**. We’ve now seen an **internal CHoCH**, and price has returned to the **refined OB zone**, where a **Buy Limit** is set. We’re looking for price to continue pushing up as early signs of reversal structure form. --- ### 📌 Entry Setup: * **Buy Limit**: \$3,370.13 * **Stop Loss**: Below structure / OB zone (e.g. \$3,359.63) * **TP1**: \$3,390.44 (1H inefficiency fill) * **TP2**: \$3,390.44+ (extended targets: next supply) * **RR**: Approx 2.3–2.6R ### ✅ Confluences: * ✅ 1H Bullish CHoCH confirmed * ✅ OB + imbalance + EQ zone entry * ✅ 4/5 LQ sweeps with strong bullish reaction = strong low * ✅ Trendline liquidity above * ✅ 4H forming bullish rejection candle --- ### ⚠️ Invalidation: * Break and close below \$3,359.63 + return without bullish rejection * Signs of strong bearish engulfing on lower timeframes
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by sam_trades_smc
Crude Oil: Equilibrium, Key Levels & Trade ScenariosNYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! Market Recap In our prior crude oil commentary, we identified a bullish flag formation with key support anchored at the Q3 micro composite Value Area Low. Following a measured pullback, prices decisively reclaimed the Q3 micro composite Value Area High, subsequently advancing toward the $70 level. However, this upward momentum proved unsustainable, with prices unable to maintain higher ground. We have since retraced to the yearly open, where the market is now consolidating. Current Market Structure Crude oil is presently exhibiting a balanced profile. Notably, the composite Volume Points of Control (VPOC) for both the yearly and quarterly profiles are overlapping — a technical signal indicative of equilibrium in positioning. Market Performance Assessment Price action in recent sessions has been heavily influenced by shifts in the global demand outlook, which in turn remain sensitive to macroeconomic expectations, geopolitical events, and OPEC+ V8 members’ gradual unwinding of voluntary production cuts. Despite the prevailing headwinds — including tariff disputes, Russian sanctions, and broader trade tensions — crude oil has demonstrated resilience, consistently trading above the $65 threshold. Forward Outlook Attention will turn to today’s EIA release at 9:30 a.m. CT, which may serve as the primary catalyst for near-term directional bias. Key Technical Levels • Q3 mCVAH: 67.28 • Neutral Zone: 66.45 – 66.30 • Yearly Open: 66.34 • Intermediate Support: 65.80 • CVPOC / mCVPOC: 65.54 • Q3 mCVAL: 64.95 • Support Zone: 65.00 – 64.80 Trading Scenarios • Scenario 1 — Yearly Open Rejection Monitor the Yearly Open (66.34) as an initial resistance level. A rejection here could prompt a tactical pullback toward the Line in the Sand (LIS), offering long entry opportunities with a target above the yearly open. • Scenario 2 — DOE-Driven Flush & Recovery Should the DOE data trigger a downside push, watch for a swing failure at recent lows. A close back above prior levels would present a potential long setup, with conviction increasing on sustained price action above 65.80.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
2
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(06-08-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (06-08-2025) Current price- 3370 "if Price stays below 3380, then next target is 3360, 3345 and 3330 and above that 3400 and 3440 ". -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnupZiddi
8
Gold - Intraday Long Setup (5M TF) | Smart Money + Elliott Struc# 🟢 Gold - Intraday Long Setup (5M TF) | Smart Money + Elliott Structure **Pair:** Gold Spot / USD **Timeframe:** 5M **Session:** London / NY Overlap **Type:** Intraday Long Idea **Concepts:** Smart Money, Supply & Demand, Wave Analysis, SSL Confirmation --- ## 🔍 Market Context The market is currently reacting inside a **key Demand Zone** on the 5-minute timeframe, following a strong bearish move during the London session. The structure suggests a corrective **ABC wave formation**, where the **(c) point** appears to be forming a potential higher low at demand. - Point **(a)**: Marked the first impulse down - Point **(b)**: Rejection at minor **Supply Zone** - Point **(c)**: Retest of **POI at Demand**, showing signs of exhaustion in selling pressure --- ## 📈 Technical Confluences - 🟦 **Demand Zone** active and respected - 📏 Potential BOS (Break of Structure) upon break of the recent high - 📊 **Vol %ile** = 83% → Above average participation - ⚠️ Risk Level: High (tight structure, requires confirmation) - 🧭 Entry Distance: Near --- ## 🔧 Indicators Status (SSL Hybrid) | Indicator | Status | |--------------------------|----------| | SSL Channel | ✅ Bullish cross (supporting reversal) | RSI (50) | ✅ Holding above midpoint | MACD | ✅ Bullish crossover (early signal) | BB Oscillator / HT / RQK | ❌ Still bearish (lagging) --- ## 🎯 Trade Idea **Bias:** Long **Trigger:** Break above **minor Supply** and formation of BOS **Target Zones:** 1. **TP1:** 3,370 2. **TP2:** 3,378 (supply edge) 3. **TP3:** 3,385 (upper supply zone) **SL:** Below point (c) @ **~3,357** --- ## 🧠 Notes This setup is valid as long as price holds above the Demand Zone and confirms a bullish shift via BOS. Wait for clear confirmation before entering. _This is an educational idea based on Smart Money + Elliott Wave principles – not financial advice._ --- #gold #smartmoney #supplydemand #elliottwave #sslhybrid #intraday #5mtf #tradingview
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
2
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 6, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 6, 2025: Spot gold edged lower in Asian trading yesterday (August 5), currently trading around $3,380/ounce. On Tuesday, the US ISM Services PMI came in at 50.1, below the forecast of 1.4 and below the previous month's reading of 0.7; the news sent gold prices soaring in the US session. Fundamentals: Gold prices surged after weak jobs data increased the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Data released last Friday showed that the number of new jobs in the US non-farm sector was much lower than expected, indicating a sharp deterioration in the labor market. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September increased to 87%, up from 63% last week. Technical analysis: Gold price is still in the uptrend channel in the H1 frame, the 3365 - 3370 area is supporting the gold price to continue following the price channel. If the gold price continues to fluctuate according to the price channel, the next prospective area could be 3400 - 3405 or even 3420 - 3425. However, the RSI and MA lines have shown signs that the buyers are weakening, so the gold price is very likely to have a strong correction from today until the end of the week. Important price zones today: 3365 - 3370, 3400 - 3405 and 3420 - 3425. Today's trading trend: SELL. Recommended order: Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3403 - 3405 SL 3408 TP 3400 - 3390 - 3380 - 3350 - OPEN. Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3423 - 3425 SL 3428 TP 3420 - 3420 - 3400 - 3380 - OPEN. Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3365 - 3367 SL 3362 TP 3370 - 3380 - 3390 - 3400. Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by andgay