Futures market
Silver Extends Higher as Wave ((iii)) Remains in ProgressSilver (XAGUSD) maintains a bullish Elliott Wave structure with pullbacks offering buying opportunities
It continues to trade firmly higher and maintains a bullish structure. Price action respects the broader Elliott Wave sequence and keeps favoring the upside while key support levels hold. The rally from the prior swing low remains impulsive and shows no signs of exhaustion yet. From the earlier low, Silver completed a corrective phase and then turned higher in a clear impulsive advance. This move confirms that wave ((ii)) has already ended. Price has since resumed higher within wave ((iii)). Momentum remains strong, which is typical during a third-wave sequence.
Within wave ((iii)), Silver is unfolding higher in wave (i). Wave (ii) has already completed as a corrective pullback. Price has now pushed higher into wave (iii), showing strong upside acceleration. Inside this advance, red sub-wave iii appears advanced. Because of this, a brief pause or pullback may develop in the near term. Any short-term pullback should form as red wave iv and stay corrective in nature. This correction should unfold in a 3, 7, or 11 swing structure. Once complete, it should offer a buying opportunity near the extremes of the pullback. As long as Silver holds above the invalidation level at 60.753, the bullish outlook remains unchanged.
The broader structure continues to favor higher prices, and selling is not recommended at this stage. Pullbacks should be viewed as pauses within the trend rather than signs of a larger reversal.
GOLD Trading range bullish Target 4432 to 4462....Gold is currently consolidating within a bullish range after rebounding sharply toward the upper boundary of its recent price structure. The metal has demonstrated strong upside momentum, recently breaking above the 4400 level and printing a fresh all-time high near 4421, capping an exceptionally strong rally.
Technically gold is now up approximately 70% in 2025, quietly outperforming most major asset classes. Momentum remains firmly positive, supported by improving liquidity conditions and expectations of more accommodative monetary policy.
Investor sentiment continues to favour non-yielding assets, with growing optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts pushing capital flows toward gold and silver. Lower real yields and a softer policy outlook remain key tailwinds for precious metals.
Technically As long as price holds within the current bullish consolidation range, the upside bias remains intact a sustained hold above recent support could open the door for another impulsive move higher immediate resistance is seen in the 4433–4462 zone, which could be tested if bullish momentum resumes.
you may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
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XAU/USD – Strong Bullish Expansion, Focus on Pullback BuysMarket Context
Gold has delivered a strong bullish expansion after breaking out of the previous consolidation range. The impulsive move confirms aggressive buy-side participation, suggesting that the market is now in a trend-continuation phase rather than distribution.
From a macro perspective, expectations around a dovish Fed outlook and future rate cuts continue to weaken the USD, providing a supportive environment for gold. This keeps the broader bias tilted to the upside, with pullbacks viewed as opportunities to reload long positions.
Technical Structure (H1 – Short-Term)
Clear Bullish BOS confirmed after range breakout
Price is holding above prior resistance → flipped to support
Current price action shows rebalancing after impulse
No bearish structure break so far
Key Price Zones
Primary BUY Zone:
4,420 – 4,410
(previous resistance + demand + structure base)
Intermediate Support:
4,433 – 4,432
Upside Liquidity / Resistance:
4,466
4,500
4,540 – 4,550 (sell-side reaction zone)
Trading Plan – MMF Framework
Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback
If price pulls back into 4,420 – 4,410, look for acceptance and bullish reaction
This zone is ideal for trend-following BUY setups
Expect continuation toward higher liquidity levels
Upside objectives:
TP1: 4,466
TP2: 4,500
TP3: 4,540 – 4,550 (possible reaction / partial profit area)
Alternative Scenario
If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,432, wait for a break & hold above 4,466, then look for continuation buys on shallow pullbacks
Avoid chasing price directly into the 4,540+ area
Invalidation
A confirmed H1 close below 4,405 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and suggest a deeper corrective phase.
Summary
Gold is in a strong bullish trend after a clean breakout.
Current moves are rebalancing, not reversal.
Bias remains BUY on pullbacks, targeting higher liquidity while respecting reaction zones above.
Selena | XAUUSD - Highest Possiblities of Bullish ContinuationFOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
After rejecting from the upper channel resistance, XAUUSD pulled back into a confluence zone consisting of institutional demand and trend support. This corrective move appears corrective rather than distributive, indicating preparation for further upside continuation rather than reversal.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
As long as price holds above the institutional demand zone, bullish continuation remains favored.
🎯 Target 1:4550
🎯 Target 2:4600 Psychological resistance / Fib extension
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A clean breakdown and sustained close below trend support would invalidate the bullish bias and signal deeper correction.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: Psychological zone near highs
Support 🟢: Institutional demand + channel support
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Interesting start to the week and if you were trading the Asia session you would have done well on the red box targets as they all completed. For those of us who didn't get an opportunity to get in on the move, it was simply scalping on the indicators that gave us a little bonus for the day.
We're now in another order region which is where we may see price accumulate again and draw the mean upside which would flip us into support level 4385 which is the level to watch out for in the sessions ahead. Resistance here stands at the 4445-50 region which is the level that will need to break to go higher. For us, we're too high to attempt longs, especially while we're so stretched on the intra-day levels. We'll wait for the algo to give us the heads up and then apply the tools we have to get in tomorrow, if there is a clean set up.
RED BOXES:
Break above 4340 for 4355✅, 4365✅, 4370✅ and 4376✅ in extension of the move
Break below 4320 for 4310, 4304, 4295, 4283 and 4265 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD – Order Block Rejection Buy SetupPrice experienced a strong bearish impulse, breaking market structure to the downside and sweeping liquidity before tapping into a bullish order block formed after a previous BOS. Upon mitigation of this order block, price printed a clear rejection candle, indicating strong buying pressure and smart money defense of the zone.
Market structure shows prior CHoCH → BOS, suggesting this move is a corrective pullback within a higher-timeframe bullish context rather than a full reversal. The reaction from the order block confirms demand.
Entry: After rejection confirmation at the order block
Invalidation: Clean break and close below the order block
Targets: Internal highs first, then external liquidity toward the weak high
This setup aligns with SMC concepts: liquidity sweep, order block mitigation, and rejection for continuation toward premium targets.
Not financial advice. Manage risk accordingly.
XAUUSD How to become successful in forex and stock trading: 1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis. 2,Build and follow a solid trading plan. 3.Apply strict risk management (1–2% rule). 4.Stay disciplined—control fear and greed. 5.Record and analyze every trade. 6.Focus on high-quality setups only. 7.Diversify across assets and markets. 8.Keep evolving—study, adapt, and grow daily.
Lingrid | GOLD Compression Then Acceleration in Bull MoveOANDA:XAUUSD remains firmly inside a rising channel after breaking above the previous all-time high, with the former resistance now acting as dynamic support. Price recently paused near 4520, but the structure still shows higher highs and higher lows, suggesting continuation rather than distribution. The pullback looks corrective so far, occurring above the ascending trendline and prior breakout zone.
If buyers continue to defend the 4,410 area, gold may attempt another expansion toward the 4,600 resistance, where the upper channel boundary aligns with projected extension targets. Momentum conditions still favor upside as long as price holds above the reclaimed trendline.
➡️ Primary scenario: support holds at 4,410 → continuation toward 4,600.
⚠️ Risk scenario: loss of 4,410 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 4,300 before buyers re-engage.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAUUSD ATH Sell Analysis 4530 - 4130This sell from 4,530 down toward ~4,130 is a straightforward “extension then correction” setup. Price pushed into a fresh high at 4,530 right at the upper boundary of the rising channel, but instead of building acceptance above that level it looks like an exhaustion print. In my framework, this is also exactly where my 5-wave model count completes. The impulse ends at 4,530 so I’m not treating the next move as a trend failure, but as the expected corrective phase that typically follows a completed count. The logical magnet for that correction is the heavy volume cluster / prior consolidation near 4130 where price previously spent time and transacted heavily. That zone is where I expect the market to rebalance, fill the thin area left by the late stage expansion, and potentially stabilize before the next directional decision.
Invalidation for the correction idea would be sustained price acceptance as we are in discovery and continuation above 4530
For now I expect price rejections and potential ABC top formations
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 56.52 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Oil Rises 1.7% Since the Start of the Week On Geopolitical FactoOil Rises 1.7% Since the Start of the Week On Geopolitical Factors
As the XBR/USD chart shows, Brent crude trading opened this week near the $61.40 level, and by Tuesday morning the price was hovering around $61.50 (approximately +1.7%).
Oil prices are being pushed higher by geopolitical developments, including:
→ Pressure on Venezuela. President Trump stated that the United States could seize or sell oil from Venezuelan tankers that have been blocked.
→ Ukrainian attacks on ports and tankers linked to the transportation of Russian oil.
As a result, oil has gained around 5% from its seven-month low recorded on 16 December (point B), reflecting the risk premium that traders are building into the price of a barrel.
Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart
Since mid-October, prices have remained in a downtrend, driven by a global increase in oil supply (analysts expect the supply surplus to persist into 2026).
At the same time:
→ price fluctuations have formed a descending channel, which was extended lower during the bearish impulse on 15–16 December;
→ at the low (B), the price failed to reach the lower boundary of the channel (a bullish signal), and then formed two bullish gaps (marked by arrows);
→ during the second gap, price moved aggressively into the upper half of the channel.
From a bullish perspective, price action suggests that buyers are currently in control, meaning traders should be prepared for a scenario in which rising geopolitical tensions push XBR/USD towards the upper boundary of the channel.
From a bearish standpoint, it is reasonable to assume that the area between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels (where oil is trading today) could act as resistance following the A→B decline.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold 1H – Liquidity Compression Sets Traps Around 4500–4420🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean impulsive expansion, currently hovering in a premium zone near recent highs. With price extended from the mean, the market is vulnerable to liquidity engineering rather than immediate continuation.
CPI uncertainty and mixed USD flows continue to reduce directional conviction, favoring stop hunts at key psychological levels instead of clean breakouts. This environment often rewards patience and confirmation-based execution rather than anticipation.
Smart Money is likely to manipulate both sides of the range — sweeping late buyers above 4500 or shaking out weak longs into the 4420 discount before the next meaningful expansion.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Bullish structure with signs of short-term distribution
Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4500–4502 (premium) or 4420–4418 (discount) before displacement
Structural Notes:
• Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact
• Price is trading deep in premium, extended from equilibrium
• Clear impulsive leg created unmitigated FVGs below current price
• Momentum is slowing near highs → distribution risk
• Liquidity is resting clearly above 4500 and below 4420
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation:
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510
Rules:
✔ Sweep above psychological 4500 buy-side liquidity
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
1. 4470
2. 4450
3. 4420 – extension if USD firms or risk-off accelerates
🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into discount and bullish structure support
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4450
2. 4475
3. 4500 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Extended bullish moves increase fake breakout probability
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session
• Reduce risk around CPI-related or Fed-driven headlines
📍 Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish, but trading at premium levels where conviction is fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before the next expansion:
• A sweep above 4500 may fade toward 4450–4420, or
• A liquidity grab near 4420 could reload bullish flow toward 4475–4500+
Let price reveal intent — Smart Money waits, retail rushes. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
XAUUSD - Bullish Continuation From Order BlockXAUUSD remains bullish after a clear break of structure, with price pushing into higher highs. The marked order block below is a key demand zone to watch for a pullback and potential continuation. As long as price holds above this zone, buyers remain in control, with upside targets aligned toward TP1, TP2, and TP3 near the weak highs. Patience for retracement is key before the next move higher
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Wed (Dec 24th)Market Overview: Insights from Today's Trading
U.S. equities closed higher once again, reaching fresh highs primarily driven by large-cap technology and AI stocks, although broader market participation appeared mixed. The momentum was fueled by stronger-than-expected Q3 GDP data, which, combined with a dip in consumer confidence, suggests that economic growth may remain robust even as interest rates trend lower in the future. As we approach the holiday season, thinner liquidity in the markets is becoming increasingly relevant, often resulting in subdued trading activity punctuated by abrupt moves in response to key economic releases.
Analyzing the structure, the E-Mini S&P 500 (ES) is positioned in the upper range of recent trading and is approaching a notable overhead supply zone, characterized by the recent swing highs. The recent upward movement was significant, demonstrating a rapid recovery from the low 6900s to the mid-to-high 6900s; however, the price is currently stalling beneath a well-defined resistance level. This scenario typically leads to one of two potential developments:
1. A prolonged period of consolidation beneath the resistance, followed by a sharp breakout, often triggered by key economic data released at 8:30 AM.
2. A failure to maintain support at mid-range levels, which could result in a downward rotation toward previous demand zones, commonly aligning with metrics such as VWAP, Y-VAL, or PDL.
Market Update: Key Economic Indicators and Early Closures
This Wednesday, investors should pay close attention to the following economic releases:
- 8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims report, adjusted for the holiday schedule.
- 8:30 AM ET: Advance Durable Goods Orders and the Philly Fed Non-Manufacturing Survey will also be released.
- 11:30 AM ET: Weekly Economic Index will provide additional insights into economic trends.
Please note that equity markets will close early at 1:00 PM ET, while bond markets are set for an even earlier close at 2:00 PM ET.
In noteworthy news from the energy sector, the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report will not follow its regular schedule this week. The next anticipated release is slated for December 29, 2025.
Overnight Forecast into the NY Session
Base Case Scenario:
Expect a period of consolidation overnight, with prices likely fluctuating within the range of 6948 to 6964. The key moment will come during the 8:30 AM ET data announcement, which should provide a clearer directional bias. If the support level at 6948-6938 holds through this data window, we anticipate another attempt to test the resistance levels at 6963.75 and 6968.75. However, a failure to surpass 6968.75 typically leads to a retraction back towards the 6947-6943 region, with a potential dip to 6938.
Upside Potential:
A decisive push above 6968.75, particularly if it sustains on a pullback rather than merely wicking through, could pave the way for movement toward the 6985-7000 range. Given that tomorrow marks a shortened trading session, these higher targets may be more suitable for “runner” strategies unless we see significantly robust momentum.
Downside Risk:
Conversely, if the 6938.50 level gives way and fails to rebound swiftly, the market is likely to rotate towards the 6919-6913 zone. This area represents the initial support level where buyers may have a viable opportunity to regain control.
A++ Setup 1 - Short rejection from the top
Entry: 6962.50-6966.00 (only after a test into 6963.50-6968.75 fails and price closes back below 6963.75)
Stop: 6974.25
TP1: 6943.50
TP2: 6938.50
TP3: 6919.25-6918.75
A++ Setup 2 - Long breakout and hold
Entry: 6970.50-6972.25 (only after a 15m close above 6968.75, then a pullback that holds above 6963.75)
Stop: 6961.75
TP1: 6998.75-7000.00
TP2: 7012.50
TP3: 7036.75-7040.00
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ES UpdateLooks like it wants to fill the gap above first, but man is it moving slow, lol.
Not much happening aside from silver and gold. Made some money on the HOOD bounce, snagged some EWZ (Brazil ETF) calls.
Don't expect much to happen tomorrow, probably just gonna hold the EWZ calls since they're Jan 2 calls. Expecting the Supreme Court to make a tariff decision early Jan, so might set up for that next week if it fills the gap below.






















