SPX500 | Bullish Above 6813 as Cooling Inflation Supports UpsideSPX500 | Technical Overview
The last full trading week of 2025 has been volatile, but it appears ready to end on a positive note—much like the broader year—while central bankers, deal makers, and unexpectedly soft U.S. inflation data keep investors engaged.
Technically:
SPX500 is showing weak volume, which leaves room for a pullback toward 6771 if the market breaks below 6798.
However, as long as the price holds above the 6813 pivot line, the structure favors a bullish continuation toward 6837 and 6863.
With inflation data coming in cooler than expected, the fundamental outlook supports bullish momentum for SPX500.
Pivot Zone: 6813 – 6798
Support: 6771, 6737, 6713
Resistance: 6837, 6863, 6888
Bias: Bullish above 6813; bearish below 6798.
Market indices
US100 - Short SetupI would love to see this continue it's bearish theme, obviously the stock market open volume is what really drives this instrument. If we can stay in this position and follow a theme as indicated with the path arrows on the chart, this may well be one of the best entries this year!
We have banked a bit of profit now and running this risk free. We may be able to get multiple entries from this original signal, or in the case this resistance zone breaks and we get the remaining position tapped at entry, we have 25,250 sell zone to fall back on.
US30 (Dow Jones) – 1-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, greetings,
I have prepared a US30 analysis for you.
My friends, if the US30-Dow Jones index manages to close a candle above the levels of 48392.3-48151.0, I will open a buy position and target the 48,900 level.
At the moment, the most important levels are 48392.3-48151.0. Expecting an upward move without breaking above these levels does not seem logical right now.
My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏✨
Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
US100 - Short Position US100 H1
We have a top forming on a previous area of supply, a higher risk trade, but with high risk comes high reward. We have a 10R measured here on this position.
Failing this, we may take a loss and trade towards 25,250 price, major resistance, from here, we will look to recoup any potential loss from this trade and then some, risk management is key as always.
DAX Rebound Signals Potential Upside After Key Support HoldGerman DAX was very non-directional, basically since June of 2025 and what I see is some very nasty moves on both sides of the market, but what got our attention recently is that the price has stopped at key support levels around 23k to 23300 area, from where we can see a very interesting and strong rebound. What is most important is that this rebound is coming after only three waves down from all-time highs, so it can be part of a WXY complex correction here in a fourth wave on a daily chart. Of course there can be some other labelings as well, but with any approach you will probably come out with the same idea that this whole price action in this five to six month range is corrective, and whenever we see a correction we know that sooner or later it should be fully retraced, meaning the price could already be headed back toward the highs from current levels.
Bounce looks impulsive, and it may have formed a bullish setup formation with waves 1 and 2, so we think that more gains are coming within wave 3, especially if breaks back above 24500 bullish confirmation level.
DXY: long-term view🛠 Technical Analysis: On the weekly timeframe (W1), the U.S. Dollar Index is displaying a significant structural shift. Despite a brief breach of the psychological 100 level, the price failed to generate a strong downward impulse, suggesting that bearish momentum is exhausted.
As noted on the chart, "sellers are being bought out," paving the way for a recovery back above the 100 level. The primary objective of this move is a test of the long-term descending resistance line, which currently aligns with the 107.384 target.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
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➡️ Entry Point: Confirmation of price holding above the pivot level (approx. 100.524).
🎯 Take Profit: 107.384 (Long-term Descending Resistance).
🔴 Stop Loss: Below the recent accumulation lows (approx. 97.787).
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
SPX Pullback Completed, Ready for the Next Leg Higher?SPX completes wave ((ii)) correction at Fibonacci support and begins the next bullish sequence
S&P 500 Index ticker symbol: SPX has completed its corrective pullback and is now turning higher. The broader bullish structure remains intact. Price respected key support and confirmed the correction as complete. After finishing wave ((i)) at the last high, SPX moved lower in wave ((ii)). This decline unfolded as a clear A-B-C correction. Wave (a) initiated the pullback, followed by Wave (b) which created a temporary bounce. Wave (c) then drove prices lower into the Fibonacci extension zone, ultimately ending near the 1.618 projection around 6693. This area also aligns with the blue box support on the chart.
Price stabilized near the lows and began to turn higher. This reaction signals that wave ((ii)) has already finished. From that low, SPX is now starting a new bullish sequence in black wave ((iii)). Within this, the first advance represents wave (i) followed by a shallow pullback as wave (ii). As long as price stays above the 6519.34 invalidation level, the index should continue higher in wave (iii) targeting 100%-161.8% fib. extension area of wave (i) which would be a price range of 6854-6914. At this stage, we do not recommend selling. The risk-to-reward favors the upside. Any dips are expected to remain corrective and find support.
Overall, the Elliott Wave structure supports further upside. SPX appears ready to resume its broader bullish trend.
BankNifty levels - Dec 22, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - Dec 22, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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US100 London session US100 M15
Price is trading in a range (chop) between PDH and intraday support.
VWAP sits in the middle → no clear directional bias.
Longs: only on acceptance above PDH.
Shorts: on PDH rejection or VWAP breakdown.
Middle of the range = no trade.
Level breaks should be confirmed on a lower timeframe (3–5 min).
Look for retests of key levels after the break.
Once acceptance is confirmed, active position management is key.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish Reversal SetupMomentum: Bearish
The price could fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support.
Buy entry: 24,898.06
Pullback support
Stop loss: 24,644.89
Swing low support
Take profit: 25,451.19
Pllback resistance
Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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JPN225 H4 | Bearish Reversal Off 50% Fib ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
The price has rejected off the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance and also aligns with the 50% Fib retracement, which adds significant strength to this level.
Sell entry: 49,929.37
Overlap resistance
50% Fib retracement
Stop loss: 50,417.72
Pullback resistance
Slightly above the 61.8% Fib retracement
Take profit: 48,639.37
Multi swing low suport
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
KSE 100 INDEX📊 MARKET UPDATE – KSE 100 INDEX
As discussed in the last Zoom session, the market is positive and moving toward the 175,000 target.
After our last session, the index retested the previous high, exactly as expected. You may remember I strongly highlighted the risk of FOMO and mentioned that those who missed the initial rally should not worry the market would give another buying opportunity.
Following that retest, the market faced resistance at 172,600 (red horizontal line).
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 172,600
If the market fails to break 172,600, the next nearest support lies at 170,600 (yellow horizontal line).
In that case, please manage risky positions accordingly.
If the market breaks and sustains above 172,600, we could see a strong upside move.
My View:
I believe the market may take a short-term dip, especially as next week is a rollover/conversion week, so volatility is expected.
Once again, for those who missed buying earlier do not FOMO buy. Opportunities will come, and stocks can be picked up at better discounted levels.
The dotted red and green lines on the chart represent the possible market paths from here.
NIFTY at AVWAP support and SHARK PRZ
TF: 15 Minutes
CMP: 25750
It appears that the price has reached the PRZ of Harmonic Shark formation.
Price is also at the developing AVWAP from Sept 2025 lows (25730).
Finally, this is the demand zone where buyers stepped in previously.
As per Harmonic pattern, we should expect 50% retracement of the CD leg.
My take:
Whether or not I take a long trade, I will definitely short at this zone.. Existing shorts to be trailed strictly around here
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
USDX forms a potential head and shoulders bottom pattern.On the 4-hour chart, USDX has formed a potential head and shoulders bottom pattern. Currently, watch for support around 98.4; a pullback and stabilization there could lead to further upward movement, with resistance levels to watch in the 99.0-99.3 area.
Why We Think Retail Trader Exit Their Position | Smart MoneyThis video explains why retail traders often exit their positions early, especially on the first candle. The discussion focuses on how early volatility, emotional reactions, lack of structure clarity, and liquidity-driven price behavior can force premature exits. By observing first-candle behavior and market structure, the video highlights common mistakes that lead traders to exit before the market reveals its true intent.
The purpose of this video is to build awareness around early-session price behavior and help understand why retail traders struggle to hold positions—purely from an educational and price-action perspective.
US30 : Bullish Continuation ScenarioUS30 Holding Rising Channel Support – Bullish Continuation Scenario
US30 remains in a well-defined ascending pattern, respecting higher highs and higher lows on the intraday structure. After rejecting the upper boundary, price pulled back in a corrective move and is now finding support near the lower channel trendline.
This reaction suggests that the recent decline is corrective rather than impulsive. As long as price holds above the channel support, the bullish structure remains intact and buyers may step back in.
A continuation higher could open the way toward the highlighted resistance and target zones at 48,331, 48,640, and potentially 48,826, where sellers may reappear.
The support zone of the pattern should push the price up further
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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