US30 – Fake Breakout Reversal Toward 48,500 $From my market view the US30 made a fake breakout above my resistance zone
This liquidity grab trapped sellers before price quickly bounced back upward showing that buyers still control the trend
At this point I expect the market to continue pushing higher toward the 48500 $ which represents
As long as price remains above the fake-breakout zone, the bullish scenario remains valid
Market indices
NIFTY 50 Index — Intraday Technical Analysis for 18-Dec-2025NIFTY 50 Index — Chart Pathik Intraday Levels for 18-Dec-2025
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Nifty 50 is trading near 25,823, attempting a mild bounce but still compressing right at the zero line of 25,823 after a sustained down-move, making this band the key intraday battleground between a relief rally and trend continuation. Price has repeatedly stalled below the 25,850–25,868 supply zone, so reactions there will be crucial.
Bullish Structure
Longs activate above the Long Entry level at 25,868 once price sustains above the zero line and holds dips into the Add Long Pos. zone around 25,850.
Targets: 25,917 (Long Target 1 / primary booking zone) and 25,977 (Long Target 2 / extended move if buyers gain control).
Control: Stops or trailing risk can be managed near 25,819–25,816 (Long Exit band) to avoid being trapped if the bounce fails and selling resumes.
Bearish Structure
Shorts remain favoured while price stays below 25,850–25,868 and especially on rejection from the Short Exit at 25,884.
Fresh shorts open below the Short Entry at 25,831 or on failed pushes above the zero line that quickly reverse back under 25,823.
Targets: 25,720 (Short Target 1 / first profit zone) and 25,660 (Short Target 2 / extended downside if trend continues).
Neutral Zone
25,823 is today’s inflection—expect noisy, stop-hunting trade while Nifty fluctuates between roughly 25,819 and 25,831 without decisive 15‑minute closes beyond either side.
Every setup is designed for structure, plan, and logic—let the chart work for you, not your emotions.
Boost or comment if these levels help your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering quality analysis to more intraday traders!
Market Ignored My Plan… So I Ignored My Ego | Options Buying |In today’s video, I did something most traders struggle with — I let go of my own analysis when the market clearly showed me a different story.
I started the day visualising multiple scenarios and expecting a certain move…
But price action had its own plan.
Instead of forcing my bias, I adapted.
I took an options buying trade based on what the market was actually doing not what I wanted it to do.
And when the trade turned against me, I exited immediately.
No heroism.
No averaging.
This video shows exactly why exit discipline matters the most in options buying.
Later, the scenario I had imagined finally played out — and I took a second trade, which I’m carrying into tomorrow with full trade management explained.
This one video has:
• How to think in real-time
• How to drop ego and listen only to candles
• How to manage risk in options buying
• How to exit without regret
• How to re-enter when the market aligns
• Full psychology breakdown
If you watch it fully, you’ll understand what most paid courses try to teach in 10 hours.
NIFTY Analysis for 17th Dec '25: IntraSwing Spot levelsNIFTY Analysis for 17th Dec '25: IntraSwing Spot levels
Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NIFTY Future levels
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
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Bullish on S&P500Looking for a buying opportunity on US500
Reasons; $ sweep yesterday on the daily, has shown signs of Bullish momentum with the impulsive. Yeilds are looking bearish and there's a negative correlation with Stock indicies
Entry model; sweep and tap into OB +FVG
TP 1: 3
Targeting the previous all time high as max TP
US30 at a Critical Decision Zone | Fake Breakout or Trend ContinHello and welcome, dear TradingView followers 🌱
I hope you’re all doing great and trading safely.
Today, we’re going to analyze the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) together — one of the most important market indices that often leads overall market sentiment and risk appetite.
🔍 Chart Overview (4H Timeframe):
As clearly shown on the chart, price has experienced a strong bullish move and then reacted to a major resistance zone, where we can see a fake breakout above the previous high (H). Currently, price is consolidating near the ascending dynamic support (yellow trendline), making this area a key decision zone.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below the ascending trendline and we get a confirmed 4H candle close under this dynamic support, a deeper correction becomes likely.
In this case:
The first target would be the highlighted support zone
If that zone fails, price could continue toward lower demand levels
This scenario is illustrated with the bearish arrows on the chart 👇
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
If price respects the dynamic support and shows bullish confirmation (such as strong bullish candles or a break of short-term highs):
We can expect a step-by-step bullish continuation
The main target would be the previous high / resistance zone (H)
A clean breakout above this level could open the door for further upside
This path is marked with bullish arrows on the chart 📈
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal market perspective based on technical analysis and price action.
I am not responsible for any trading decisions you make.
Always use proper risk management and stop loss.
📊 Poll:
What do you think will happen next with Dow Jones?
🔼 Bounce from dynamic support and continue higher
🔽 Break the trendline and move into a deeper correction
Share your thoughts in the comments 👇
Looking forward to your opinions 🤝
🔖 Tags:
#US30 #DowJones #PriceAction
#TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
#SmartMoney #SupportResistance
#Indices #MarketStructure
#Forex #IndexTrading #4H
The US Dollar Index (DXY) Rebounds from a Two-Month LowThe US Dollar Index (DXY) Rebounds from a Two-Month Low
A week ago, we:
→ updated a system of two trend channels;
→ identified signs of selling pressure dominance;
→ outlined a scenario in which price could slide towards the lower boundary of the blue channel, potentially acting as key support.
As the arrow on the chart shows, this scenario largely played out:
→ The US dollar index fell to a two-month low yesterday. The decline was driven by economic news, including weak US housing data. Both housing starts and building permits came in below expectations, reinforcing the view that the US economy is losing momentum.
→ Today, the DXY is rebounding sharply amid sterling weakness, after UK consumer price index (CPI) data revealed a sharp slowdown in inflation to 3.2%, versus a 3.5% forecast.
From a technical perspective, the price action points to a fairly aggressive bullish reversal from the lower boundary of the ascending channel. In particular:
→ the brief dip below the key October low appears to be a bear trap, showing characteristics of a Liquidity Grab in Smart Money Concept terminology;
→ several indicators (including the RSI) are likely to display signs of bullish divergence between lows A and B.
Taking all of the above into account, there are grounds to suggest that the US dollar may regain attractiveness towards year-end. It cannot be ruled out that the DXY will recover towards the median of the red channel and potentially move on to test its upper boundary.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nifty levels - Dec 18, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
BankNifty levels - Dec 18, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
SP500 Price Update – Clean Clear ExplanationSP500 Price has broken down from the rising channel, signalling a shift in short-term market structure. After multiple rejections near the upper channel resistance, sellers stepped in aggressively, pushing price below key support.
🔹 Current Structure
Breakdown below mid-range support (~6770)
Failed bullish continuation inside the channel
Momentum turning bearish
🔹 Key Zones
Resistance: 6830 – 6885
Immediate Support: 6720 – 6700
Major Target: 6600 – 6580 (Strong demand zone)
🔹 Expectation
A minor pullback / retest toward the breakdown zone is possible, followed by continuation lower toward 6600 if sellers maintain control.
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$NSE:NIFTY Make or Break Area ! Optimism Level For Me.NSE:NIFTY
Your focus on 25,788 on the weekly candle is a "Make or Break" zone for several reasons:
The 50-Day EMA Connection: The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently positioned near 25,763. A weekly close below your level (25,788) would mean the index has decisively broken this crucial medium-term support.
Bullish Case (Stay Above 25,788): If the weekly candle closes above this mark, it confirms a "buy on dips" structure. It suggests that despite global headwinds, domestic liquidity is strong enough to keep the uptrend intact. The next targets would be a retest of 26,200 and potentially 26,500.
Bearish Case (Close Below 25,788): A weekly closing below this level would likely trigger a shift in market psychology. Technical analysts would view this as a Lower High, Lower Low pattern on the daily/weekly charts, potentially opening the doors for a correction toward 25,500 or even the psychological 25,000 mark.
🏗️ What’s Driving the Index?
Sectoral Support: PSU Banks and Metal stocks are currently providing a buffer, while IT and Private Banks are seeing some profit booking.
Macro Factors: The Indian Rupee recently crossed the 91 per Dollar mark, which is putting pressure on FII (Foreign Institutional Investor) sentiment, leading to the current "tug-of-war" at the 25,800 level.
Nas 100Overall Market Context
The Nasdaq 100 (US 100 Cash CFD) is in a strong uptrend on the 4H chart, trading around 25,161 with recent gains. Price has broken above previous resistance and is extending higher after a consolidation phase in Nov–early Dec. The chart shows bullish momentum, with higher highs and higher lows since October.
Indicator Key Insights
Higher Timeframe Bias
Bullish (green background shading from daily EMA 20/50 crossover)
This favors longs on pullbacks. Shorts would be counter-trend unless bias flips.
Anchored VWAP & SD Bands
Current AVWAP: 24,932.66 (+0.92% from price) — price is above VWAP, confirming bullish control.
SD Bands:
±1σ: ~24,328–25,536
±2σ: ~23,724–26,140
±3σ: ~23,120–26,744
Price is near the upper ±2σ band (~26,140 area in recent swing), suggesting mild overextension. Pullbacks to VWAP or lower bands are common mean-reversion opportunities in uptrends.
Volume Profile (Fixed Range from Recent Swing)
POC (Point of Control): 25,114.63 — highest volume node, acting as magnet/support. Price is just above it, reinforcing strength.
Value Area: Wide yellow shading on left — high-volume zone from ~24,800–25,600.
HVN (High Volume Nodes): Yellow highlighted clusters show institutional interest around current levels.
Low-volume nodes below suggest quick drops on breakdowns, but bulls defending POC.
Fibonacci Levels
From recent swing low to high (anchored automatically).
Price near 0.618–0.65 Golden Pocket extension? (orange shading visible). This zone often acts as resistance in extensions or support on pullbacks.
Key retracement levels (dashed lines) for potential pullbacks: 0.382 and 0.5 likely around 25,000–24,800.
Signals & Confluence
Recent signals: Multiple green triangles (buys) with scores of 3 (solid medium confluence).
Last signal: 3 (buy) — triggered on AVWAP cross + proximity to POC/Fib.
No recent red/sell signals visible — all pointing bullish.
Confluence scoring: These "3" signals include AVWAP cross + POC/Fib proximity + HTF alignment, but missing one factor for A+ (score 4–5).
Current Setup & Trade Ideas
Bullish Bias (Primary Scenario)
Long on pullback: Wait for dip to POC (25,114) or AVWAP (24,932) with new buy signal (score ≥3).
Entry: On green triangle near support.
Targets: Upper ±2σ (~26,140) or ±3σ stretch (~26,744).
Stop: Below lower ±1σ or recent swing low.
RR: 2–3:1 easy in trend.
Why strong: Bullish HTF bias + price above VWAP/POC + volume supporting higher.
Bearish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability)
Only if red signal appears at upper ±3σ overextension.
Potential short if price rejects ~26,744 and scores ≥4 sell.
Target: Back to POC or VWAP.
Risky — against HTF bias.
Risks & Notes
Overextension: Price near upper bands — watch for rejection or consolidation.
News catalysts: Nasdaq sensitive to tech earnings, rates, AI hype.
Best trades: Wait for score 4+ with HTF alignment for highest edge.
Timeframe synergy: Check Daily for confirmation — bias remains bullish.
The indicator shows clear bullish control with room for extension, but a healthy pullback to POC/VWAP would offer excellent long entries. Focus on quality over quantity — these confluence setups have delivered consistent edges.
Trade safe!
Falling towards pullback support?DAX40 (DE40) is pulling back toward the pivot, which is acting as a key support. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and price could potentially bounce toward the first resistance.
Pivot: 23,877.01
1st Support: 23,646.41
1st Resistance: 24,219.38
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Monetary Liquidity: the Russell 2000 on the Front LineThe Russell 2000 is a U.S. stock market index that includes approximately 2,000 small-cap companies listed in the United States. Unlike the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq, which are largely dominated by large multinational corporations with significant international exposure, the Russell 2000 primarily reflects the domestic U.S. economic dynamics of small and mid-sized companies. The firms that make up the index are generally younger, more leveraged, and more dependent on financing conditions than large-cap companies. They derive most of their revenues from the domestic market and are therefore particularly sensitive to changes in U.S. growth, consumer demand, and the cost of credit. For this reason, the Russell 2000 is often regarded as a leading barometer of the U.S. economic cycle and of risk appetite in financial markets.
This index is also one of the most sensitive to monetary liquidity conditions, both current and anticipated. Periods of declining policy rates and accommodative monetary policies—particularly quantitative easing (QE) programs—have historically been favorable for it. When the Federal Reserve eases policy, the cost of capital declines, refinancing conditions improve, and access to credit becomes more fluid for small and mid-sized businesses. In this context, the Fed’s recent decision to lower the federal funds rate to 3.75%, combined with the announcement of a so-called “technical” QE, represents a strong signal for assets that are most dependent on liquidity. By its very structure, the Russell 2000 acts as an amplifier of these monetary regime shifts: when liquidity returns or when markets begin to anticipate it, the index tends to outperform large-cap benchmarks.
From a technical perspective, a bullish continuation signal has just been triggered on the weekly time frame. The index has broken above its former all-time high, set at the end of 2021, a level that had acted as a major resistance for more than four years. This breakout fits within a clearly identifiable long-term uptrend structure, characterized by a succession of higher lows and higher highs. Clearing this key zone confirms an upside exit from a broad consolidation phase and turns the former high into a potential new support level. From a chartist standpoint, such a breakout above a historical high is a classic trend-continuation signal, made even more relevant by a monetary environment that has become more accommodative again. As long as the index holds above this threshold, the underlying trend remains bullish, with further upside potential supported by both technical factors and global liquidity. Caution is still warranted, however, as corrective phases can always occur in the short term.
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NIFTY Technical Analysis (Educational Purpose Only)📌Not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst – For educational/chart discussion only
Nifty Rounding Top chart pattern in hourly timeframe
NIFTY is facing strong resistance near ~26,200, where price has struggled to stay above. Recent price action shows a rounding top-like pattern forming at this key resistance zone.
Support Levels:
• Immediate support is at 25,750 – 25,700 where price has bounced multiple times.
• This zone is important: a clean break below it signals increased downside pressure.
Momentum (RSI & Candles):
• RSI shows weak momentum near highs and is not making strong new highs even as price hits resistance – indicating loss of upside strength.
• Near resistance, bearish/weak candles with upper wicks suggest supply outweighs demand.
Pattern Interpretation:
• A rounding top suggests a slow shift from buyers to sellers near the 26,200 zone.
• If price breaks below 25,750–25,700, this pattern becomes more valid and may lead to further downside.
• Using the pattern measurement rule, the target on breakdown could be around 25,000 area. (Educational projection)
Key Levels:
📍 **Resistance: ~26,200
📍 Support: 25,750–25,700
📍 Pattern Target (if support breaks): ~25,000
What to Watch Next:
✔ Break & close below 25,750–25,700 — increases probability of lower continuation.
✔ Strong hold above 25,700 — keeps the structure undecided and may lead to range or reversal if momentum improves.
📌 Summary (Simple):
NIFTY is forming a rounding top around **26,200 resistance**. Support at **25,750–25,700** is crucial. Due to weak momentum and supply near resistance, breaking below this support may push price toward **~25,000**. This is an **educational technical analysis**, not a buy/sell recommendation.
How To Judge First Candle Of Nifty 50This video explains how to judge the first candle of the Nifty 50 index by observing price behavior at the market open. The discussion focuses on how the opening candle reflects early participation, directional intent, and momentum, and how its bullish or bearish nature can be interpreted using basic price action logic.
The objective of this video is to help build understanding around opening-session behavior and candle structure from an educational perspective, without offering any trading or investment recommendations.
Dollar I Weekly CLS I Model 1 - Pullback to 98.500Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER.
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
Never stop learning
David Perk
NIFTY S/R for 17/12/25santhosh
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.






















