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US100 - Bullish trajectory to fill the inbalance zones!Over the past week, the US Tech 100 (US100) experienced a sharp decline, dropping into a significant support zone. During this bearish move, several fair value gaps (FVGs) formed on both the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, which remain unfilled. Currently, price action is retracing upward, aiming to fill these imbalances. The structure of the market suggests that both bullish and bearish scenarios are in play, depending on how price reacts to key levels marked by these FVGs and Fibonacci retracement zones. Bearish Resistance The first major area of resistance is located around the $23,160 level, which has just been tapped. This zone presents a strong potential turning point due to the confluence of a 1-hour and a 4-hour fair value gap, which perfectly align with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden pocket. This cluster of technical signals increases the probability that this level will act as a strong supply zone, potentially initiating a rejection back toward the lower support area. Bullish Support On the downside, a key level to watch is around $22,900. This zone marks a 4-hour FVG that was formed during the recent upward move. Importantly, this area also coincides with the golden pocket from that very same leg up, offering a compelling confluence for bullish support. If price revisits this level, it may act as a strong demand zone, providing a springboard for the next leg higher, particularly if buyers step in aggressively to defend it. Bullish Trajectory If support at $22,900 holds, the bullish trajectory suggests a possible continuation toward the $23,400 region. This upper target contains a large overlapping 1-hour and 4-hour FVG that remains unfilled. Historically, price tends to revisit and fill such imbalances before choosing a definitive direction. A bounce from the lower support zone and a successful break of the $23,160 resistance could pave the way for a clean move toward this higher target, completing the FVG fill sequence. Final Thoughts The US100 is currently navigating a key technical crossroads. With multiple unfilled fair value gaps and well-aligned Fibonacci levels on both the upside and downside, the next few sessions will be critical in determining short-term direction. If the $23,160 resistance continues to hold, a pullback to $22,900 could offer a high-probability long setup, while a clean break above this resistance opens the door to filling the higher FVGs. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by Youriverse
43
VIX looking good....While some are celebrating small wins the bigger picture is that the economy is NOT doing well and there will likely be a liquidity crisis at some point. The smartest investors are pilling up cash while retailers are the exit liquidity. From a TA perspective, historically the VIX is below its mean average and we're seeing it crossing 50SMA then most likely 200SMA lines. The VIX ALWAYS spikes and it will cross 20 very soon! Just look at the last week that's 2-3 good years in the S&P in a few hours. DM me for details on how to use ETFs.
TVC:VIXLong
by antonini2002
US500: Rebound Setup After Sharp Pullback – Key Support HoldingUS500 has experienced a strong corrective move after an extended bullish run but is now showing signs of stabilizing near a key support area. This zone aligns with both technical retracement levels and the market's reaction to fundamental shifts—particularly the dovish repricing of the Fed following weak US jobs data. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Pattern: After a strong uptrend, price faced a steep correction, forming a potential short-term reversal setup. Current Level: 6,235, holding above the 6,217 support zone. Key Support Levels: 6,217 (immediate support; key defense zone for bulls). 6,171 (38.2% retracement, secondary support if deeper pullback occurs). Resistance Levels: 6,272 (23.6% retracement and initial resistance). 6,360 (upper resistance zone and retest of recent breakdown). 6,429/6,436 (recent high and target if bullish momentum resumes). Projection: A rebound from current levels could push US500 back toward 6,360–6,430 if support holds. Fundamental Analysis Bias: Neutral-to-bullish as macro drivers favor a recovery from pullback. Key Fundamentals: Fed Policy: Weak US jobs (+73K) and downward revisions have solidified rate cut expectations (~75% probability in September), boosting equity sentiment. Inflation: Market awaits US CPI; softer data would further support equities. Tariffs: While Trump’s tariffs create a medium-term risk for earnings, immediate Fed easing bets outweigh these concerns. Risk Sentiment: Global risk remains supported by lower yields and optimism about Fed easing. Risks: Hot US CPI could reverse cut expectations, pressuring equities. Geopolitical risks or tariff escalation could trigger renewed selling. Key Events: US CPI and PPI. Fed speeches and rate expectations. Earnings reports from key US companies. Leader/Lagger Dynamics US500 is a leader, driving global risk sentiment and influencing risk-sensitive assets like AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and JPY crosses. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints US500 is neutral-to-bullish, stabilizing at key support (6,217) after a sharp correction. Fed cut expectations and risk-on sentiment support the upside scenario, targeting 6,360–6,430 if US CPI aligns with softer inflation. However, a hot CPI print could invalidate this rebound and trigger another leg lower.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by ultreosforex
1
Potential GER40 (DAX) Short SetupHey everyone, Just wanted to share my personal analysis and the trade plan I've put together for the GER40 on the 1-hour chart. I'm still learning, so a big part of my process is documenting my ideas to see how they play out. I would be grateful for any thoughts or feedback you might have. What I'm Seeing on the Chart: A Potential Double Top: I've spotted what appears to be a double top pattern forming up near the €24,000 - €24,060 area. To me, it looks like the recent rally might be showing signs of exhaustion here. Bearish Divergence: What makes this setup more interesting to me is the bearish divergence on the RSI. Even though the price pushed to a slightly higher high, the RSI indicator made a lower high. My understanding is that this can suggest fading buying momentum. Fibonacci Level: I also noticed that this rejection seems to be happening right around the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the last major down-move. When a few different signs seem to line up like this, I tend to pay closer attention. My Personal Trade Plan: My game plan is to be patient and only consider an entry if the price breaks below the recent lows, which would help confirm the bearish idea for me. Entry (Sell Stop): $23,780 Stop Loss: $24,060 (I'll place this above the recent high, as a move above here would suggest my bearish idea is likely wrong). Take Profit 1: $23,500 Take Profit 2: $23,385 Important: Please remember, I'm a humble trader from Pakistan still on my learning journey. This is simply me sharing my trade journal and thoughts, and it is not financial advice. Please always do your own analysis. Stay safe out there! #GER40 #DAX #TechnicalAnalysis #Short #TradingJournal #LearningToTrade #Tradingidea #Sarmaaya
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by shahtajalik
Technical Analysis of US100 on TradingView A trader is analyzing the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) using a 4-hour chart on TradingView. The chart displays a clear upward channel, with price action bouncing off the lower boundary and heading toward the upper trendline. A blue arrow indicates a bullish prediction, anticipating further upward movement. Support and resistance zones are highlighted, and the setup suggests a continuation of the bullish trend. 📊 Chart Overview: Timeframe: 4-hour (H4) Instrument: US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) Platform: TradingView via Capital.com Date/Time in Chart: 25th August, 10:00 (likely UTC) --- 📈 Trend Analysis: The price is moving within an upward parallel channel, indicating a strong bullish trend. The chart shows multiple touches of both the upper and lower bounds of the channel, confirming its validity. --- 🟩 Support and Resistance: Support Zone: Around 22,850–23,050 (highlighted by the green rectangular box). Price bounced sharply from this area, showing buyers are defending it. Resistance Area (Projected): Upper bound of the channel, which aligns with the 24,000 level. --- 🕊️ Current Market Behavior: The price recently bounced off the lower channel boundary and the key support zone. A strong bullish candle broke through a mini pullback area, suggesting momentum is favoring buyers. The blue arrow indicates an expected continuation upward toward the upper resistance line. --- 📌 Technical Implications: Bullish Bias: As long as price remains inside the channel and above the support zone, the bullish trend is intact. A retest of the upper channel line (~24,000) is a realistic target if momentum continues. Invalidation Level: A clean break below the support zone (~22,850) and out of the channel could shift sentiment to bearish. --- ✅ Possible Trade Idea (for Educational Purposes): Entry: Around 23,400–23,500 (already in motion) Target: 23,900–24,000 (upper channel line) Stop-loss: Below 22,850 (beneath the support zone)
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TRADE_WITH_VISION
DowJones oversold bounce back supported at 44020Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 44708 Resistance Level 2: 44925 Resistance Level 3: 44128 Support Level 1: 44020 Support Level 2: 44760 Support Level 3: 43477 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation