USAIND trade ideas
Sell Dow Jones (US30) – Elliott Wave & Chart Pattern OutlookThe chart applies Elliott Wave and pattern analysis on the Dow Jones (US30). Price has completed a large rounded bottom formation (Wave 4 to Wave 3 structure) and is currently consolidating within a contracting triangle pattern.
The market is testing resistance near 45,000.
A corrective wave count (A–B–C–D–E) suggests a possible short-term pullback toward ~43,000 before resuming the next impulsive rally.
If the triangle completes, the next major bullish wave could push US30 significantly higher, with a target above 48,000.
Key Levels:
Support: 43,000 → 41,865
Resistance: 45,000 → Breakout toward 48,000
This indicates a short-term corrective dip is possible, but the long-term bias remains bullish.
DowJones range trading below ATHKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45400
Resistance Level 2: 45660
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44380
Support Level 2: 44080
Support Level 3: 43675
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uptrend Waiting for the arrival of the guild, a triangle with the completion of its upside and with the direction of a final upward wave, when the start of an upward spiral is possible.
It is fixed and fixed with a limited resistance, which is supported by a continuous upward spiral, which is close to each other.
US30 H4 | Bullish momentum to extendUS30 is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 44,458.02, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 43,968.79, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 45,275.09, which is a pullback resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
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Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Dow Jones Index Analysis (US30 / Dow Jones):The index is currently trading in a general uptrend, while showing a consolidation phase on the hourly timeframe, testing a support zone near 44,780.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
If bullish momentum builds and price breaks above 45,000 with confirmation, the index may head toward 45,200, and with continued buying pressure, new highs could be seen.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely):
If the price breaks below 44,750 and holds beneath it, the index could move down to test 44,600, and with further selling pressure, a drop toward 44,500 is possible.
US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/21/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/21/2025
US30 still hovering around 44,860, stuck in a tight range between 44,761–44,899. Price is consolidating under the major 45,076 resistance, forming a potential coiling pattern for the next move.
Bulls defended 44,761 multiple times — but without a break above 45,076, momentum stays capped. Sellers will look to exploit a breakdown toward 43,982.
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Sideways chop in a narrowing range
🔹 EMAs flatlining → market in balance
🔹 Repeated rejections at 45k
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 44,899 → 45,076 → 45,200
Support: 44,761 → 44,814 → 43,982
🧠 Bias:
Neutral → awaiting breakout confirmation.
US30 H4 | Falling towards overlap supportDow Jones (US30) is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the swing high.
Buy entry is at 44,267.74, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 43,469.37, which is a swing low support.
Take profit is at 45,275.09, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DJ30/US30 LONG Reason for trade:
1. Expanding flat in play
2. Equal highs (LIQUIDITY)
3. Currently at the order block area (Ready)
Entry: 43647
Stop Loss: 43386
Take Profit: 45246
Strategy: Wait for a 30 minute engulfing candle closure.
Once in profit of 1:1 R, place the trade at BE
Blessings, in CHRIST.
Dow: Fourth Attempt at the CeilingThree times since late 2024, the Dow has run head-first into the same resistance zone around 45,092 — each time pulling back, but each time finding higher lows and quicker recoveries.
Now we’re at attempt #4. The prior pullbacks have been smaller, and breadth is improving — only 5 out of 30 Dow components are negative since December 24, 2024.
Yes, there are plenty of unknowns — macro headwinds, earnings gaps, global geopolitical and tariff risks — but the chart says one thing loud and clear: the bulls are still in control.
A clean breakout here could open the door to new highs. Until proven otherwise, momentum belongs to the buyers.
Will The Prospect of Fed Rate Cuts Continue to Support US30?Fundamental approach:
- US30 has been pushing toward a fresh high this week, aided by softer CPI and growing confidence in a Sep Fed cut. On Wed, it was within about 1% of a record and posted substantial gains earlier in the week.
- The US Jul PPI rose 0.9% MoM and 3.3% YoY, well above forecasts, reviving tariff-driven inflation worries and pressuring cyclicals. Earlier CPI relief had supported a midweek bounce and fresh risk-on tone in parts of the market. Headlines flagged mixed mega-cap moves, and Dow heavies like Apple (AAPL) and Caterpillar (CAT) fluctuated with growth and trade sensitivity as traders reassessed the rate path.
- US30 could remain supportive as markets weigh amid Fed policy expectations that could shift based on next week's flash PMIs and further data signals on pricing and activity. Traders may also react to guidance updates and sector rotations if inflation surprises persist, potentially delaying aggressive easing prospects.
Technical approach:
- US30 created a new swing high, closing above the resistance at 45000. The index is above both EMAs, indicating upward momentum.
- If US30 remains above 45000, it may approach the 100% Fibonacci Extension at around 46670.
- On the contrary, staying below 45000 may prompt a retest of the EMA21 and the ascending channels' lower bound.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
KOG - US30Moving on from the previous chart we shared on DOW you can see our red box worked well and gave us the move we wanted upside, however, we stopped just short of the ideal target level.
For that reason, and after looking at the liquidity indicator we will monitor the boxes here for a possible retracement.
As always, trade safe.
KOG