AUDCAD Forming Bullish ContinuationAUDCAD is showing strong signs of a potential bullish continuation as price consolidates just below a key resistance zone around the 0.9200 region. The market has maintained higher lows, reflecting steady buyer interest and a gradual shift in sentiment toward the upside. If the pair manages to break above this resistance with strong momentum, it could confirm a breakout structure, opening the door for a rally toward the 0.9350–0.9400 levels in the coming sessions. The technical picture supports the idea of accumulation, with the market forming a bullish flag-type pattern before continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, the Australian dollar remains relatively supported as the Reserve Bank of Australia maintains a firm tone on inflation and continues to assess the impact of its prior tightening measures. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar has been weighed down by weaker oil prices and softening domestic demand, which have limited the Bank of Canada’s ability to maintain a hawkish stance. The diverging central bank outlooks and commodity performance are creating a favorable backdrop for further AUD strength against the CAD.
As long as AUDCAD holds above the 0.9100 support region, buyers are likely to maintain control, with the next key level of interest being the 0.9250 zone. A confirmed breakout above resistance would strengthen bullish conviction and align with the broader upward trend that has been building since mid-year. This setup remains technically and fundamentally aligned for potential continuation, making it a pair to keep on the radar for bullish opportunities in the near term.
Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar
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Trade ideas
Bullish bounce off overlap support?AUD/CAD is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.91593
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.91265
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support level.
Take profit: 0.92093
Why we like it:
There is a swing resistance level.
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AUDCAD – Market OverviewPrice has broken out of the previous descending structure and is now respecting the new ascending trendline. The recent pullback held around the 0.382–0.50 Fibonacci zone, showing demand. Price is now reacting around the 0.618 equilibrium level, which is the key decision point.
Holding above the trendline and 0.618 favors continuation.
A break back below 0.50 signals deeper correction.
Key Levels:
• Support: 0.382–0.50
• Decision Zone: 0.618
• Upper Target: 0.786
Bias: Neutral until reaction confirms direction.
Tags: #AUDCAD #Forex #PriceAction #Fibonacci #4H
AUDCAD November 2025 fundamental analysisAustralian Dollar (AUD): Inflation Surprise Supports Hold
Reserve Bank of Australia Stance
The Australian Dollar received a powerful boost from the September quarter inflation data released on October 29, which delivered a significant upside surprise. Headline CPI accelerated to 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 3.2% year-on-year, well above the RBA's 2-3% target midpoint. More importantly, the RBA's preferred trimmed mean measure climbed 1.0% quarterly (beating 0.8% expectations and the RBA's August forecast of 0.6%), pushing the annual rate to 3.0%—the first uptick since December 2022.
RBA Governor Michele Bullock had explicitly stated earlier in the week that a 0.9% quarterly rise in trimmed mean inflation would be viewed as a "material miss". At 1.0%, the threshold was decisively crossed. Bullock also described the labor market as "a little tight" despite unemployment rising to 4.5%, and emphasized the RBA's unwillingness to "leap at a single number".
Rate Cut Expectations Pushed Back
The inflation surprise has dramatically reshaped rate cut expectations. The November 4 meeting confirmed the decision to hold rates steady for the moment, and the first 25 basis point cut has been delayed from February 2026 to May 2026. This represents a stark shift from earlier expectations for near-term easing. The RBA cash rate remains at 3.60%, providing a substantial yield advantage over other major central banks.
November Outlook: Very Bullish
The Australian Dollar is the clear standout for November strength. AUD/USD surged to a three-week high of 0.6607 following the inflation data, and technical analysis suggests further upside potential toward 0.6706. The currency benefits from multiple tailwinds: delayed rate cuts relative to other central banks, particularly the Fed; buoyant risk sentiment following the preliminary US-China trade framework; and strong commodity prices, including copper near three-month highs. Against the weaker commodity currencies like CAD and NZD, the Australian Dollar is exceptionally well-positioned.
Canadian Dollar (CAD): Economic Headwinds and Continued Easing
Bank of Canada Policy
The Bank of Canada delivered another 25 basis point rate cut at its October 29 meeting, bringing the policy rate to 2.25%. This continues an aggressive easing cycle that has seen rates reduced by 225 basis points since June 2024, from a peak of 4.50% to the current 2.75%. Markets are pricing in current easing for the October meeting despite recent data showing 60,000 employment gains and headline inflation rising to 2.4%.
Economic Challenges
The BoC's dovish stance is driven by persistent concerns about the Canadian economic outlook. The third-quarter Business Outlook Survey showed that uncertainty around trade policy continues to weigh heavily on investment and hiring plans. The "future sales" indicator dropped back into negative territory for the first time in 2025, and 63% of firms expect either unchanged or reduced workforce levels—levels historically associated with unemployment rates of 7.3% or higher.
Canada's terms of trade have deteriorated significantly, with crude oil prices falling to multi-month lows. WTI crude is trading around $59-60 per barrel, down from earlier highs, removing a key pillar of support for the loonie.
November Outlook: Bearish
The Canadian Dollar faces a challenging November. USD/CAD has moved higher to the 1.40 handle, and while some analysts expect a return to 1.38 by year-end driven primarily by USD weakness, the path may be slow with potential spikes to 1.41. The loonie is expected to underperform against most G10 currencies, given the BoC's continued easing path and Canada's vulnerability to weak energy prices.
Verdict
Given these grave fundamental divergences between AUD and CAD the current assessment for AUD/CAD is a clear BUY .
AUDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOI
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.92000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
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AudCad Trade IdeaWith Audcad being in a higher time frame range and crashing back underneath a mid level I decided to take shorts on the pair. I'm currently in draw down with price almost stopping me out but I will be holding the trade. Time frames are currently supporting shorts at the moment. There's a level I have marked out (purple line) where price has respected before before crashing back below. I'm personally looking for the same thing to happen here. We'll see how it all goes.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 3 - 7 NovemberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoE Interest Rate Decision, Canada Jobs Data & Earnings Reports
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Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
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AUD/CAD Approaching Support: Strong Bounce IncomingAUD/CAD has finished a strong 5-wave move to the upside, completing Wave (1)/(A). Since then, price has been moving in a corrective channel and is now forming an A-B-C decline toward the lower support zone. The current structure suggests one more push down to complete Wave C of (2)/(B), where buyers are likely to step back in. Once that final dip finishes, the chart expects a powerful Wave (3)/(C) rally to the upside, targeting new highs. In simple terms: small drop left → correction ends → strong bullish continuation ahead.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
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AUD-CAD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUDCAD is reacting from a horizontal demand area, showing signs of accumulation before a potential bullish move. Liquidity below recent lows has been swept, favoring buyers.
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Stop Loss: 0.9145
Take Profit: 0.9195
Entry Level: 0.9169
Time Frame: 5H
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Buy!
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AUDCAD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅AUDCAD reacted from a clean demand level with strong bullish intent. Liquidity beneath previous lows has been swept, suggesting a possible continuation toward the next imbalance zone.
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Entry: 0.9162
Stop Loss: 0.9145
Take Profit: 0.9182
Time Frame: 3H
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LONG🚀
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