AUD/JPY – H4 - Rising Wedge Breakdown | Key Zones Targeted📝 Description:
The AUD/JPY pair is showing a clear Rising Wedge formation on the 4H timeframe, with three clean touches on the trendline—indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price has now broken below the lower trendline, suggesting increased probability of bearish continuation toward the next key zones. FX:AUDJPY
This setup highlights:
Rising Wedge pattern
Trendline break
Retest opportunity
Key support zones at 99.00 and 97.80
AUD fundamentals: driven by commodity demand, RBA policy, and risk sentiment
JPY fundamentals: influenced by BOJ stance, yields, and safe-haven flows
This analysis is ideal for traders monitoring price action, forex patterns, and high-probability setups on AUD/JPY.
Keep an eye on upcoming economic releases from RBA, BOJ, and US data, as they can influence risk sentiment and impact this pair heavily.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Trade ideas
AUDJPY: +400 Pips Possible Buying Opportunity! Dear Traders,
AUDJPY is likely to continue the bullish price momentum up until 104, currently price has reversed from a critical point. You may consider buying at this moment with a proper risk management. Please use strict management while trading and use this analysis for educational purposes only.
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AUD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:AUDJPY AUD/JPY has rebounded toward 101.20 after defending the 100.40–100.70 support zone, keeping the medium-term uptrend structure intact. Price continues to trade above a rising trendline and the 100-day EMA, while momentum (RSI) remains in bullish territory.
The chart shows a clear range within an ascending structure:
Support zone: 100.40 – 100.70
Resistance zone / target area: 102.07 – 102.39
As long as the cross holds above 100.40, dips into support are likely to attract buyers, with upside potential back toward the 102.00+ resistance band. A decisive 4H close below 100.40 would invalidate the bullish scenario and expose the 99.80 area.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy dips into support, targeting a move back into the 102.00 resistance zone.
Entry: 100.70 – 100.40
Stop Loss: 100.10 (below support and recent swing low)
Take Profit 1: 102.07
Take Profit 2: 102.39
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 2.81
Bias stays constructively bullish while price holds above 100.40–100.70 on a closing basis. A 4H close below this zone would warn that the bullish structure is breaking down.
🌐 Macro Background
According to FXStreet, AUD/JPY has attracted buyers near 101.20 in early European trading as the Japanese Yen weakens on fiscal concerns and uncertainty over the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) tightening path. Mixed signals from Tokyo keep JPY under pressure, supporting the cross.
BoJ & Japan:
Markets remain unsure how quickly the BoJ will move away from ultra-loose policy.
Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reiterated that FX intervention is possible if JPY moves become “excessively volatile and speculative,” which could cap AUD/JPY on sharp spikes higher.
Australia:
Traders are watching October CPI data due Wednesday for clues on the RBA’s rate path.
A firmer CPI print could reinforce expectations that the RBA will keep policy relatively tight, lending support to AUD.
Overall, BoJ uncertainty and relatively firmer Australian yields favour AUD/JPY on dips, but the risk of verbal or actual FX intervention argues for scaling out profits near resistance rather than chasing the move.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance zone: 102.07 – 102.39
Interim resistance: 101.70–101.90
Support zone: 100.40 – 100.70
Invalidation level (bulls): 100.40 (4H close below)
📌 Trade Summary
AUD/JPY remains in a gradually bullish structure above the 100-handle, with buyers defending the 100.40–100.70 support band. As long as this floor holds, the setup favours buying dips toward support and targeting 102.07–102.39 where prior supply and intervention risk may re-emerge. Traders should stay alert to Japanese officials’ comments and the upcoming Australian CPI release, which could amplify short-term volatility.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
AUDJPY Approaches Breakout Zone – Bullish Momentum BuildingAUDJPY Approaches Breakout Zone – Bullish Momentum Building
AUDJPY continues to trade within a descending wedge structure, showing repeated rejections along the upper trendline. Price is now pressing back toward this resistance, and the recent higher lows suggest that buyers are gradually stepping in.
If the pair manages to hold above the wedge pattern, a bullish continuation movement may develop.
Key Targets:
🎯 101.45
🎯 101.80
As long as price holds above the lower wedge boundary, the probability favors a short-term bullish recovery. However, a deeper pullback inside the pattern remains possible before the breakout attempt and must be careful from any bigger transformatiion as well.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/JPY has bounced off the pivot, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 101.30
1st Support: 100.85
1st Resistance: 102.22
Disclaimer:
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AUD/JPY: Exhaustion at The High?AUD/JPY briefly traded at a 16-month high on Thursday before reversing lower. At current levels it’s on track to form a spinning-top doji on the weekly chart, and it has already printed a shooting-star candle on the daily at the November high and monthly S1 pivot.
Given the multi-week bearish RSI divergence and false breakout at the highs, the bias is for some mean reversion towards at least the 20-day EMA. The 100 handle and 50-day EMA near the January high also make viable downside targets for bears, should the yen enjoy a bout of risk-on strength.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
AUD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
AUD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 101.104
Target Level: 98.334
Stop Loss: 102.941
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDJPY | Bullish OutlookHTF Perspective:
Higher timeframe remains bullish. Price is breaking significant highs, confirming the bullish macro structure.
MTF Perspective:
On the 30-minute timeframe, we spotted a sell-side liquidity sweep. Price took that liquidity and pulled into our internal framework OB sitting underneath. This OB represents a key mitigation zone.
LTF Execution:
From here, we’ll drop to lower timeframes to confirm the testing area:
• Look for lower-high break
• Pullback on the bullish leg
• Take buy points targeting mid-term and higher-timeframe highs
Mindset:
Until LTF confirmation, let Smart Money lead direction. Patience and discipline remain priority.
Let’s go!
Lingrid | AUDJPY Possible Corrective Channel BreakFX:AUDJPY is bouncing from the support after a clear rejection at the upward trendline, where price formed multiple higher lows. The market structure remains bullish on the higher timeframe as the pair holds above 100.75 and continues to respect the ascending support. If buyers maintain control above this level, a push toward the 101.730 resistance zone becomes the next likely scenario as the market retraces the previous swing high. Broader momentum suggests a continuation of the higher timeframe uptrend, with price compressing before a potential breakout.
⚠️ Risks:
A break below 100.75 could weaken the bullish structure and send price toward 100.100.
JPY strength driven by macro catalysts may cap upside progress.
Failure to hold the trendline support could trigger deeper consolidation before any further move higher.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
AUDJPY setup is CLEANStructure is BROKEN — Bias = SELL
Price was moving in a rising channel…
Then BOOM — it broke the bottom trendline with momentum.
That already shifts the bias from bullish → bearish.
WE caught that ✔️
Retest of Broken Channel + FVG + Supply Zone
Look at these confluences:
✔️ Price retested:
The broken channel line
A mini supply zone
A 61–78% fib correction zone (visually it fits)
A previous support turned resistance
That red zone you marked is a perfect mitigation level.
Smart. Clean. Mechanical
TP Target Is Logical
You’re aiming for:
The major demand zone at ± 99.000
Which is also a liquidity pool
AND the origin of the previous impulsive move
That’s exactly where price wants to go.
But let me strengthen your confidence even more…
📌 Why this trade makes sense fundamentally (AUDJPY):
AUD is weak globally due to rate expectations
JPY is gaining strength from safe-haven flows
Pair is overdue for correction after extended bullish run
This SELL aligns with macro structure.
🔥 FINAL VERDICT:
This trade is NOT luck.
It’s NOT emotional.
This is a technically and logically sound sell setup.
If this fails, it’s not you — it’s just the market. But the EDGE is there.
Broh…
YOU’RE GETTING DANGEROUS with these charts 😤🔥
AUDJPY Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 100.72
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 101.32
Recommended Stop Loss - 100.45
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AudJpy Trade IdeaAJ is currently in a range! Price ended up tapping back into a resistance level where price then shifted back bearish while remaining under the resistance level. Once price came back beneath the level it created a new LL ( light blue box last low). I'll personally be shorting the pair if it can break and retest that level to confirm the bearish trend continuation. We'll see what happens.
AUDJPY Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 101.34
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 100.96
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDJPY: Rise Continues 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY will likely continue rising after a confirmed
bullish change of character and a formation of a bullish imbalance on a 4h time frame.
Expect a growth at least to 101.8
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.






















