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Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen

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"Long Term Short" (1W) AUD/JPY"Long Term Short" (1W) AUD/JPY We have a sideways movement on the weekly chart. Since the weekly chart (1W) AUD/JPY shows a bearish liquidity sweep on ATX, my macro bias is bearish (Long Term Short). I expect the current pullback to the "internal bsl" to be an Inducement, seeking resistance in the 1W supply/FVG zone (around ~100.00-101.00). If this resistance zone holds the price, it will confirm the completion of the correction. This is not investment advice!!! Keep your risks low!!! Happy trading!
Short
by IhorMerkulenko
AUDJPY Eyes a Rally Above 100.00 as Japan Likely Holds RatesHey Realistic Traders! Falling Wedge Breakout & Looser Fiscal Policies, Could OANDA:AUDJPY exceed 100.000 level? Current Market Sentiment The yen slipped to a one-week low on Tuesday after hardline conservative Sanae Takaichi was elected as Japan’s new prime minister. Her expected push for looser fiscal policies and the potential for greater uncertainty over interest rates have added pressure on the currency. Therefore, we anticipate further yen weakness ahead. Now, Let’s dive into the technical analysis to see what the chart is really telling us. Technical Analysis AUDJPY has moved above the EMA200 again and the bullish candlestick remains above the EMA200 level, indicating bullish trend. While the MACD golden cross added confirmation to the bullish bias. Together, these factors strengthen the case for continuation of the prevailing trend. In this scenario, the first upside target lies at 100.774 , a level that coincides with historical resistance and where a short-term correction could take place. Should bullish momentum persist, AUDJPY has the potential to extend higher toward 102.098. This bullish outlook will remain valid as long as price stays above 96.254. A move below that level would invalidate the setup and return the outlook to neutral. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on AUDJPY.
Long
by financialfreedomgoals101
2
AUDJPY breakout support at 99.80The AUDJPY currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a breakout consolidation, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 99.80 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 99.80 followed by a bullish rejection, would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 101.75 – Near-term resistance 102.40 – Minor swing high 102.90 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 99.80 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 99.40 – Initial support 98.85 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 99.80 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favouring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
AUDJPY Overextended: Watching for a Corrective Pullback 📈 Taking a closer look at AUD/JPY, we can see that price is in a strong bullish trend, but currently overextended and trading into a major external range high — an area rich in liquidity 🏦. The market appears to be absorbing buy-side liquidity, signaling that a corrective phase may be approaching. From a structural standpoint, I’m monitoring two overlapping concepts — a potential Three-Drive pattern 🌀 and a Five-Wave structure that may lead into an ABC correction. Both suggest that price could be preparing for a deeper retracement before the next bullish leg resumes. At this stage, I’m not interested in buying at a premium 💸. Instead, I’ll wait for price to pull back, ideally into a discount zone, and then look for bullish structure confirmation to rejoin the trend. Patience here is key — let the market come to you. 🧘‍♂️ 💬 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk effectively.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
AUDJPYAUDJPY TRADE STRATEGY. Australia 10-Year Bond Yield (AU10Y) The yield on Australia’s 10-year government bond is around 4.18% as This yield has edged slightly down recently amid expectations of an RBA rate cut, with inflationary pressures persisting but growth concerns rising. Market sentiment reflects cautious optimism with risks from global trade and commodity prices.​ Japan 10-Year Bond Yield (JP10Y) The Japan 10-year government bond yield remains very low, around 1.632%% due to the Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy. The BOJ continues to maintain ultra-loose monetary policy to stimulate economic growth and combat deflationary pressures Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate The current cash rate set by the RBA is 3.60% as of October 2025. The RBA is widely expected to cut rates in the near term, with markets pricing in a roughly 40% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the November 4 meeting. The RBA Governor is Michele Bullock. Bank of Japan Interest Rate Applied to the Complementary Deposit Facility 0.5% since January 27, 2025 Basic Loan Rate 0.75% since January 27, 2025 Current Account Balances at the Bank of Japan 497,800billion yen October 27, 2025 Next Monetary Policy Meeting Date October 29 and 30, 2025an (BOJ) Rate The BOJ continues with yield curve control measures to keep 10-year yields near zero and support economic stimulus. The BOJ Governor is Kazuo Ueda. This reflects divergent monetary policy stances: RBA gradually easing after past hikes to balance inflation and growth, BOJ maintaining aggressive stimulus amid persistent low inflation and slow growth.​ KEY RESISTANCE WILL BE 100.346 BREAK AND CLOSE GO LONG INTO 102-102.5 #boj #rba #audjpy
Long
by Shavyfxhub
AUD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 98.106 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUD/JPY Forecast: Strong run halts ahead of Aussie CPI printAUD/JPY is currently favourably positioned for the aussie thanks to policy divergence, decent Australian data, and risk on sentiment, while the yen remains under pressure. The near term backdrop favours a continued push higher or at least a maintained elevated level. However, the longer term outlook is less clear and has meaningful downside risk if either the macro backdrop changes (global growth, commodity cycle, BOJ policy) or the technical trend starts to falter. Technically, the constructive view of AUD/JPY remains in place as the cross is well supported above the key 100 day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart. The upward momentum is supported by the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands above the midline near 57.50. This suggests bullish momentum in the near term. On the bright side, the key resistance level for the cross emerges at the 100.00 psychological level. Any follow through buying above this level could aim for the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band of 100.90. On the downside, the initial support level for AUD/JPY is located at 98.54, the low of October 23. More bearish candlesticks below the mentioned level could pull the cross back toward 97.25, the low of October 16. The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
Long
by Blueberry
Bullish bounce off the support zone?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 98.99 Why we like it: There is. pullback support that that os slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 98.39 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 100.17 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
Forex: Weekly Review. Fundamental analysis The week starting Monday 20 October was a good week for overall market positivity. Political stability in Japan, optimism for US / CHINA trade de-escalation and below expectations inflation data from the UK and US, all contributed to the positive mood as the S&P once again hit all time highs. It was very pleasing to see the JPY in particular acting in accordance to its (inverse) risk environment correlation. I felt the JPY was a potential short option all week, plus 'hopefully into next week', at least until the FOMC meeting. On the catalyst front, below expectations UK inflation considerably weakened the GBP, a BOE rate cut may be on the cards sooner than the market previously predicted. It is pleasing that despite the US government shutdown, there are still opportunities, it's just a little slow going sometimes. I have read that November's US CPI data isn't due to be reported, which doesn't bode well for an end to the shutdown anytime soon. We can only hope that won't be the case. The fact US CPI was (eventually) reported below expectations, is good news and bodes well for a continuation of 'risk on trades'. But I expect we'll continue to get US / CHINA back and forth, plus Mr Trump is taking aim at Canada again. earnings season kicks into gear this coming week and we have the FOMC, a rate cut is heavily predicted. It'll be the narrative regarding the timing of further cuts that the market will be focused on. All in all, I continue to hold my 'tentative risk on bias' likely preferring JPY short but not ruling out USD or possibly even CHF if one or the other is considerably the weakest at the time. Finally, I still consider 'AUD NZD long' to be a viable 'interest rate differential trade. On a personal note, it was another AUD JPY week. Two 'risk on' trades (see chart above). One on Monday, attempting to take advantage of JPY weakness following election news combining with dovish commentary from UEDA. I unfortunately missed the GBP short inflation catalyst opportunity. And had to wait until Thursday for my second AUD JPY long trade. Although, post trade I realised I had neglected to note upcoming JPY inflation data, I therefore closed the trade early, to avoid holding risk during the release. If US CPI data has been reported on any other day than Friday, I suspect I would have been very tempted to place another 'risk on' trade but I was ultimately put off by the possibility of 'strange Friday price action'. Let's see what the new week brings.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog