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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD – 4H Short Setup | Head & Shoulders ReversalAUDUSD has formed a Head & Shoulders reversal after an impulsive upward move , and the neckline is already broken , confirming bearish structure. Price is now in a continuation phase rather than a reversal setup. There is clear bearish divergence between RSI and price on the 4H timeframe , showing momentum exhaustion. The Alligator mouth is open to the downside , supporting continuation selling and allowing for instant entry . 🔻 Entry: Sell at market ❌ Stop Loss: Above the last Higher Low (right shoulder structure) 📐 RR: Up to 1:3 📌 Confluence: • Head & Shoulders after uptrend • Neckline break confirmed • RSI bearish divergence (4H) • Alligator mouth open → bearish continuation • Structure-based SL placement ⚠️ Invalidation: 4H close above the last HL or back above the broken neckline invalidates the setup.
Short
by Intesarhaider
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffMomentum: Bullish The price is falling towards the buy entry, which is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and also trading above the Ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 0.6612 Pullback suport Slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 0.6573 Pullback support Take profit: 0.6686 Multi swing high resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Long
by Tradu
AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | D18 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D18 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY - Q4 | W51 | D19 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D19 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD – Mid-Term Structural Analysis (Bias: Bullish)On the daily timeframe, AUDUSD has shown strong signs of shifting into a mid-term bullish cycle after months of consolidation within an accumulation structure. Price has successfully broken above the key resistance zone 0.6620 –which has acted as a major structural ceiling throughout recent months. This breakout suggests the potential beginning of a new upward phase. 🔹 Reasons for a Bullish Higher-Timeframe Bias Confirmed Daily Breakout Daily closes above the 0.6660 region validate the breakout and open the path for further upward continuation. Higher Lows Formation The market is producing higher swing lows from the 0.6380 support zone, indicating growing demand and a strengthening bullish structure. Price Trading in the Upper Half of the Long-Term Range This positioning increases the probability of a continuation toward the major resistance at 0.6820. 🔵 Primary Scenario (Bullish – Active) As long as price holds above 0.6620, the main expectation is continued bullish momentum toward the 0.6820 resistance. A potential retest of the broken zone may offer new buying opportunities. 📌 Bullish Targets: 0.6725 – short-term resistance 0.6820 – major long-term resistance A break above 0.6820 may shift the market into a much stronger bullish phase. 🔺 Alternative Scenario (Bearish – If Support Fails) If price loses the 0.6620 support and closes below it, a deeper pullback toward the 0.6380 support zone becomes possible. A breakdown below 0.6380 would weaken the bullish structure and reopen a broader corrective phase. 📌 Key Supports: 0.6620 – near-term support 0.6380 – major structural support 🟢 Conclusion The market maintains a bullish mid-term outlook, and buying the retest of broken resistances remains a favorable strategy with proper risk management. As long as price sustains above 0.6620, the probability of continuation toward 0.6820 remains high. From a fundamental perspective, Australia’s economic news and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate outlook remain stable, with the possibility of a future rate hike still on the table. This supports a positive bias for bullish momentum on this chart. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in the forex market carries significant risk, and you are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
Long
by forexcitypro_leemeenal
AUDUSD Sell Limit | Multi-TF Rejection at Quarterly/Yearly HighsAUD/USD Short | Sell Strength at Macro Resistance: AUD/USD is trading into a high-probability macro supply zone aligned with the Previous Quarter High / Current Year High, creating asymmetric downside risk. Fundamentals favor AUD weakness as Australian November employment contracted sharply (full-time losses), business conditions softened, and RBA policy remains ambiguous, while USD retains defensive support amid U.S. macro repricing risk and softer China growth weighing on commodity FX. Technically, H1 shows failed continuation above resistance with rejection and compression below supply, offering favorable timing to sell strength. Sell limit 0.66609, SL 0.66718, TP1 0.66346, TP2 0.66091, ~4.99R, 1% risk, no discretionary management post-entry. Fundamental vs Technical Scorecard (Journal-Ready) Pair: AUD/USD Date: 15 Dec 2025 Bias: Bearish Fundamentals (Bearish: 4 / 5) ✔ Weak Australian employment (full-time losses) ✔ Softening business conditions ✔ Ambiguous RBA policy support ✔ USD supported on macro / risk-off dynamics ✖ Inflation persistence limits aggressive AUD downside Technical Location (Strong: 5 / 5) ✔ Previous Quarter High / Current Year High ✔ HTF supply zone ✔ Extended from value Timing (Strong: 4.5 / 5) ✔ Failed continuation above resistance ✔ Rejection + compression on H1 ✔ Sell-strength environment Execution Quality (High: 5 / 5) ✔ Defined entry, stop, targets ✔ ~5R asymmetry ✔ Clear invalidation Risk Management ✔ 1% portfolio risk ✔ No discretionary interference Overall Trade Quality: High-Conviction Asymmetric Short
Short
by alenrayen
POTENTIAL SHORT ON AUDUSDHello traders! Here’s a clean technical and fundamental breakdown for AUD/USD based on structure, trend, and momentum. (This is analysis, not financial advice. Always manage risk.) 📉 AUD/USD Technical & Fundamental Breakdown — Sell Idea Below Key Zone We have a weekly close below 0.66500 – 0.66600, the critical structure zone and underside of the rising channel. Why This Zone Matters • It’s the mid-channel support price previously respected. • It aligns with a classic break → retest → rejection pattern. • Price was already rejected off the upper channel boundary. • A close below this range confirms bullish momentum failure and a shift in sentiment. Entry Strategy • Wait for a 4H retest back into 0.6650–0.6660 and sell the rejection. Stop-Loss Placement Place the stop above the recent swing high: 👉 0.66950 – 0.67050 This sits safely above: • The upper wick rejections • The failed breakout attempt • Channel resistance 🎯 Take-Profit Targets We identified layered demand zones—perfect for clean R-to-R targets. • INTRADAY TARGET: 0.66100 First reaction zone and minor structure • SWING TARGET: 0.65600 – 0.65500 Major liquidity pocket + significant demand • Extended Move: 0.65000 Channel bottom + multi-week demand cluster 🧠 Why This Setup Makes Sense This weekly close below the zone would confirm: • Rejection from the upper channel • Bulls losing control • A complete structure break, shifting momentum bearish • A clear imbalance toward 0.65500 This is a high-probability continuation play because we would be selling confirmation, not tops. 📉 FUNDAMENTAL/ECONOMIC BACKDROP (Supports the Sell Bias) 1️⃣ Weak Australian Jobs Data • November saw the largest job drop in 9 months, signaling softer domestic demand. • Mixed data (job losses + stable unemployment) is already weighing on AUD sentiment. Weak labor conditions reduce RBA tightening expectations → weakens AUD further, especially if technical support fails. 2️⃣ AUD Rally Stalling After Data • Recent price action shows AUD’s rally stalling at key highs. • This aligns perfectly with this technical condition: ➝ If price fails above last week’s high and closes back below structure, momentum clearly shifts bearish. 3️⃣ Divergent Monetary Expectations • RBA remains cautious with uncertain future tightening. • Meanwhile, the USD still holds the advantage if U.S. data surprises to the upside. Any strong U.S. numbers or uptick in inflation could easily flip AUD/USD lower. Together, these factors strengthen the case for a continuation drop into 0.6610 → 0.6550 →
Short
by PipTips
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/USD has rejected off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6631 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6676 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level Take profit: 0.6541 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by Vantage
AUDUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationMomentum: Bearish Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud. Sell entry: 0.66132 - Pullback resistance Stop Loss: 0.66290 - Swing high resistance Take Profit: 0.65935 - Overlap support - 161.8% Fib extension - 78.6% Fib projection High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Short
by Tradu
A strategy that allows entering "hundreds of lots"The institutional flow capital zone sits at the 0.786 Fibonacci level + monthly sell resistance + a liquidity gap. → This is where institutions typically place very large positions because 0.786 represents the final retracement point of the trend — the deep pullback designed to sweep the last batch of buy-side stop losses. Meaning: selling here has extremely high probability. A setup like this fully allows placing 50–100 lots with very limited risk because: The main entry is positioned exactly at the liquidity zone where institutions are offloading their positions.
Short
by Rithy
AUDUSD: potential medium-term reversal🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, AUDUSD is forming a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. While a "Global bullish signal" remains on the chart, the price action has stalled, creating a defined "Neckline" support at 0.66200. The current accumulation at this support level suggests seller pressure is building. The trade setup relies strictly on a breakout confirmation: a candle close below 0.66200 would validate the pattern and trigger a sell-off towards the next major support zone at 0.64500. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Sell only on a confirmed breakdown of support (approx. 0.66033 / below 0.66200) 🎯 Take Profit: 0.64523 (Support) 🔴 Stop Loss: Above the Right Shoulder (approx. 0.66786) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current chart patterns; do not enter before the support level is broken, as the trend could still hold.
Short
by Trade8Eight
AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | D12 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D12 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 💰FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 ~ FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
Aussie Resumes Its RecoveryAussie came nicely to the downside in the last few months with clearly three waves down from the highs, so apparently this was a correction, a completed one, after a very nice rebound from the 0.6420 area, from where we can now see impulsive move that broke the trendline and even coming back above the previous triangle swing resistance. This certainly looks like a turning point, and ideally it will take us even higher after some new retracement, so watch out for more upside while the market trades above the November lows. Even on the daily chart you can clearly see some very choppy and messy price action for the last few months, so sooner or later we think that bulls are ready to hit new highs,, and maybe we are now at the beginning of this thrid wave up; C or 3.
Long
by ew-forecast