AUDUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 0.657.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.654 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD: Bullish Continuation After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is going to rise more following a bullish breakout
of a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
Next goal - 0.66
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AUDUSD – Bearish Breakdown Below EMA Support🚀👆 Boost it if you like it...👆🚀
Price has broken decisively below the EMA cluster after consolidating in a tight range. The strong bearish candle suggests momentum toward lower support levels.
Trade Plan:
✅ Entry:
Current price ~0.65545
✅ Stop Loss:
Above 0.657722 (last minor swing high)
✅ Target:
0.65340 – 0.6500 area (previous demand and round number support)
Context:
• EMA confluence failure
• Clear bearish momentum candle
• Clean risk-to-reward setup
Risk Management:
Risk per trade: 1%
Hashtags:
#AUDUSD #ForexSignals #PriceAction #Breakdown #MJTrading #TradingIdea #Forex
AUDUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6571 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 0.6603
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6511
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Quietly Building: A Major Options Position in August AUDEye-catching activity in August AUD options with a strike at 0.67 .
The break-even point for this portfolio sits slightly higher, at 0.674 — and judging by open interest, this is the largest position in play.
Quick reminder:
A break-even level like this could act as a synthetic put building zone by adding short futures to their positions. That means profit from downside moves — with limited risk .
But here’s the catch:
This setup alone doesn’t scream “buy” or suggest strong bullish conviction toward 0.674.
However, it’s definitely worth watching — especially if price starts moving in that direction.
Also keep an eye on option unwinds or roll-overs — they often tell us more about how big players see the future path of the asset.
📈 Bottom line:
Not a clear signal yet — but definitely a pattern forming. Stay tuned.
Follow for more edge-driven breakdowns!
AUDUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.658.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.663 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025AUDUSD 4hour Neutral idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
AU has been in this subtle bullish channel since late April 2025, just above major monthly support at 0.63250 area.
We also have some conflicting trends and we need to see some conviction before we can comfortably follow price action. We do have some alignment with a bearish USD but at the moment we have two options:
Bullish Continuation - This is the most likely scenario based on what we’re seeing and where price action is. Ideally, we see some rejection from our 4hour 0.65000 support area followed by bullish conviction. If this happens look for price action to touch or break the top of this channel and continue bullish for the week ahead.
Reversal back into channel - If we fail to see bullish presence we could see price action fall back into the channel. The key indication of this would be a break below our 0.65000 support area followed by a retest and bearish conviction.
AUD/USD ShortStandard / Aggressive Entry
Sell Limit: 0.6500
Stop Loss: 0.6565
TP1: 0.6200
TP2: 0.6000
Why: Likely to trigger sooner, even on light retracement or spread spike.
🛡️ Conservative Entry
Sell Limit: 0.6520
Stop Loss: 0.6580
TP1: 0.6200
TP2: 0.6000
Why: Waits for a deeper, cleaner pullback toward top of resistance zone. Safer but may not trigger.
AUD/USD Approaches Key Resistance with Bullish Momentum IntactAUD/USD has extended its steady climb and is now challenging the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6558) from the July–October 2023 decline. The pair is trading within a rising channel structure and has cleared both the 50-day (0.6457) and 200-day (0.6422) SMAs, confirming a medium-term bullish shift.
Price action remains constructive, with higher lows and rising support from the channel base suggesting consistent demand. A sustained break above the 0.6558 level could open the door toward the 78.6% Fib retracement at 0.6730, a level that also aligns with prior resistance from September 2023.
Momentum indicators support the advance. The RSI is at 61.77 and rising, but still comfortably below overbought levels, implying room for further upside. The MACD is marginally positive and could accelerate higher if price confirms a breakout above the 61.8% Fib barrier.
Traders will be watching whether the pair can hold above the confluence of the SMAs and the lower trendline of the channel. A failure here could expose downside toward 0.6420–0.6450. Otherwise, the bullish structure remains intact, with scope for a continuation higher into July.
-MW
AUDUSD Bull Flag developing Trend Overview:
The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6465 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6445 and 0.6400
Resistance: 0.6570 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6625
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6465 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6570, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6625.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6465 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6445 and 0.6400 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6465 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 0.6570 area. A breakdown below 0.6465, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDUSD Bullish Ready for long position**Description (AUD/USD Long Setup):**
This is a 1-hour chart of **AUD/USD**, showing a textbook **bullish continuation setup**. The price has recently pulled back in a **bullish flag** (descending channel) and is now showing signs of a breakout above the flag's upper boundary.
Price is reacting from a **Weekly Area of Interest (AOI)** — a zone of previous support — while remaining above the **200 EMA (red)** and reclaiming the **50 EMA (blue)**.
All major timeframes (W, D, 12H, 6H, 4H) are **100% bullish**, adding confluence and confidence to this buy idea.
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**Why I want to enter Buy:**
* ✅ **Bullish flag breakout** — strong bullish pattern indicating trend continuation.
* ✅ **Price bounced from Weekly AOI** — key support zone respected.
* ✅ **Reclaiming EMAs** — bullish strength returning.
* ✅ **Confluence of timeframes** — momentum aligned from 4H to Weekly.
* ✅ **Great Risk-to-Reward (R\:R)** — defined invalidation below support (Daily AOI), and upside toward **Daily AOI @ 0.66500**.
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🎯 **Target:** 0.66500
🛡️ **Stop loss:** Just below 0.64500
📈 **Entry idea:** Either aggressive on breakout or conservative on retest of flag breakout / AOI
This setup reflects smart money reaccumulation at a key zone with multi-timeframe alignment — high probability for bullish continuation.
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers,
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- According to the U.S. Department of Labor’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), job openings in May increased by 374,000 from the previous month to 7.769 million, significantly exceeding market expectations of 7.3 million.
- U.S. President Trump has indicated that he has no intention of further extending the reciprocal tariff exemption set to expire on the 9th, warning that tariffs of 30% to 35% could be imposed on Japan.
- Trump's tax cut proposal has dramatically passed the Senate and is now awaiting passage in the House. President Trump aims to sign the bill into law before July 4th.
- Australia's May CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year, falling short of market expectations. Some analysts now expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut interest rates in July.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ July 2: U.S. June ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
+ July 3: U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. June Unemployment Rate
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has been steadily rising and recently reached the 0.66000 level. In the longer term, a rise toward the 0.69000 level seems likely. However, expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia have introduced new uncertainty. There is also minor resistance near the 0.67000 level, which could lead to a potential reversal if market conditions align. While maintaining a bullish outlook, we will closely monitor the price action around the 0.67000 level.
AUDUSD Breakout ascending channel and consolidation breakout 1D 📊 AUD/USD Technical Breakdown – 1D Time Frame
The Aussie has officially broken out of both the ascending channel and the consolidation phase, signaling strong momentum ahead. 🚀
📍 Entry Level: 0.65800
🔁 Possible Retest Zone (Support): 0.64000
🎯 Technical Targets:
✅ 1st Target: 0.66900 (Key Supply Zone)
✅ 2nd Target: 0.69000 (Major Resistance Level)
Market structure and price action suggest bullish continuation if the breakout holds. Always manage risk accordingly. 📈
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I love a fresh daily structure break, here's why.......All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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AUDUSD AUD/USD Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550
Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025)
Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session.
Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate
Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years)
Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets.
Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025.
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate
Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50%
Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting.
Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling.
Key Implications
Rate Differential:
RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD.
Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal.
AUD/USD Drivers:
RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further.
Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength.
Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside.
In summary:
AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support.
AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X