Micron Technology - This bullrun is still not over!💵Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) can rally a final +25%:
🔎Analysis summary:
Micron Technology retested major support in mid 2025. After we then witnessed textbook bullish confirmation, it was clear that this stock will rally. With the recent move of +300%, Micron Technology is almost back at major resistance, but it can rally another +25% first.
📝Levels to watch:
$300
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Micron Technology, Inc. Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.2 Sh
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Market insights
MU Micron Technology Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MU before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MU Micron Technology prior to the earnings report next week,
I would consider purchasing the 247.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-12-19,
for a premium of approximately $8.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking for more from MU - long at 241.14I realize this is my second MU trade idea in a month, but after coming back to it then, everything I see, hear or read about MU compels me to keep trading it, even into earnings, which I don't normally like to do.
Memory prices have tripled since 2023, and prices and demand they are now seeing are so high that MU is abandoning its consumer memory business completely in order to be able to fulfill demand for data center memory. Margins in that business are about 40% higher than consumer margins, so moving to that business full time, at least as long the AI boom lasts (which I happen to think is nowhere near ending) promises to increase both revenues AND convert more of their revenue to profit given that margins on data center related products are in the 50-60% range vs. the 30-40% range of their consumer products.
In addition to those fundamentals, I believe MU is currently the only memory supplier that produces in the US, giving them a huge pricing/margin advantage vs. overseas producers for US customers. This convinced me that not only will their quarter be an excellent one, but forward guidance will likely be excellent. If I were a holder of stocks rather than a trader, this one would be near the top of my list right now.
But alas, my game is hit and run, smash and grab, and MU has been stellar for this game as well this year. Given that the stock has risen 150% or so this year, that's not really worth bragging about, but I will definitely not apologize for chasing low hanging fruit. The point of what I do is about putting the odds in my favor, and MU checks pretty much all the boxes there, including currently trading above its 20, 50 and 200d MAs.
I won't rehash the results I've summarized in the text box on the chart here - they speak for themselves. Those are compelling numbers, even for what I do, and that's why I will keep coming back for another squeeze here. That's not to say there isn't risk. In my recent AAPL idea, I warned that I didn't like the market right now, and the last couple of days have proven me to be correct in that regard. MU could go down more. It could go down a LOT more if the wheels fall off of the market in general. They could post amazing earnings and be penalized rather than rewarded. But in the end, fundamentals win. Besides, I think there's a good chance I could be out of this trade before earnings (my ideal scenario). Statistically, that's more likely than not, given this year's trade results.
Should things go sideways here, I am more than happy to play the tactical buy and sell game while waiting for my initial lot to turn green. More so for this stock than most, in fact. So in I went at the close today at 241.14.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
$MU still short, earnings today after close. NASDAQ:MU , still short, earnings today after close.
Micron's chart still very bearish with good risk/reward only to the downside.
Semiconductor/infrastructure sector showing cracks ( NYSE:ORCL NASDAQ:AVGO ).
Could weakness bleed into NASDAQ:MU ahead of earnings tonight? Market may price contagion before the print.
Staying short, deciding by close whether to hold through.
Micron’s AI Pivot: A 2025 Strategic & Geopolitical AnalysisThe “AI Supercycle” has finally matured from a buzzword into a tangible balance sheet reality. As of mid-December 2025, Micron Technology (MU) stands at a critical inflection point. With the Federal Reserve lowering rates to 3.75% and the semiconductor industry grappling with an unprecedented divergence between enterprise boom and consumer stagnation, Micron has aggressively repositioned itself. The upcoming fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report on December 17 represents more than a financial update; it is a referendum on CEO Sanjay Mehrotra’s high-stakes gamble on High Bandwidth Memory (HBM).
Business Model Transformation: The Enterprise Pivot
Micron is executing one of the most radical structural pivots in its history. The decision to deprioritize, and in some regions effectively sunset, its consumer-facing Crucial brand by early 2026 signals a ruthless allocation of capital. Management has correctly identified that the consumer PC market is a low-margin drag. Instead, production capacity is being violently swung toward enterprise-grade DRAM and AI-centric storage. This moves Micron from a commodity volume player to a specialized, high-margin infrastructure partner for hyperscalers like Microsoft and AWS.
Technology & Innovation: The HBM Wars
Technological supremacy is now defined by the roadmap to HBM4. While SK Hynix initially led the HBM race, Micron’s aggressive rollout of HBM3E has closed the gap. The company’s 1-beta and upcoming 1-gamma nodes utilize extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography to deliver power efficiency metrics that rival Asian competitors. Patent analysis reveals a surge in filings related to 3D-stacking architecture and advanced packaging, confirming that Micron is building a defensive IP moat around its high-performance compute capabilities.
Geostrategy & Geopolitics: Navigating the Fracture
Micron operates on the fault line of the US-China chip war. The lingering effects of Beijing’s 2023 ban on Micron products have accelerated the company’s "China-Plus-One" strategy. In response, Micron has doubled down on domestic manufacturing, leveraging the US CHIPS Act to fund mega-fabs in New York and Idaho. This is not just expansion; it is geopolitical insurance. By embedding itself into the US national security apparatus, Micron mitigates the risk of losing Chinese market share while securing subsidized capital that lowers its long-term cost of production.
Macroeconomics: The Rate Cut Tailwind
The Federal Reserve’s cut to 3.75% this November provides a specific, quantifiable benefit to Micron. Semiconductor manufacturing is arguably the most capital-intensive industry on earth. Lower borrowing costs directly improve the Net Present Value (NPV) of Micron’s multi-billion dollar fab projects. Furthermore, a softer dollar environment boosts the competitiveness of US exports, providing a tailwind for Micron’s international revenue recognition in fiscal 2026.
Cybersecurity & Supply Chain Integrity
In an era of state-sponsored cyber espionage, hardware security is a premium feature. Micron has elevated its cybersecurity posture by securing ISO/SAE 21434 certification for automotive memory, a critical requirement for modern SDVs (Software-Defined Vehicles). This focus extends to the supply chain; rigorous "Zero Trust" protocols now govern raw material sourcing, addressing the vulnerabilities exposed by recent global logistics disruptions. This security-first branding allows Micron to charge a premium to defense and automotive clients who cannot afford compromised hardware.
Management & Leadership
Sanjay Mehrotra’s tenure has been defined by discipline. Unlike previous cycles where memory makers flooded the market, causing price crashes, current leadership has shown remarkable restraint in CapEx spending. The 2025 strategy focuses on "bit growth discipline"—matching supply strictly to demand. This oligopolistic behavior, shared tacitly by competitors, has successfully engineered a favorable pricing environment, driving gross margins back toward the 40%+ range.
Conclusion: The Verdict
Micron Technology in late 2025 is no longer just a cyclical memory stock; it is a derivative play on the AI infrastructure build-out. The risks—ranging from HBM yield issues to renewed geopolitical friction—are real. However, the company’s strategic withdrawal from low-margin consumer markets and successful capture of CHIPS Act incentives position it favorably. As investors look to December 17, the question is not if AI demand exists, but if Micron can manufacture fast enough to satisfy it.
MU – Trend Still Intact, EMA50 Bounce SetupMU - CURRENT PRICE : 220.00 - 222.00
Technical Reasons (Bullish Bias)
1️⃣ Price retesting strong dynamic support
Price is holding above the 50-day EMA, which has acted as support throughout the uptrend. Pullback into EMA50 often forms a bullish continuation point.
2️⃣ Price still above the Ichimoku Cloud
Price is trading above the cloud, meaning long-term trend remains bullish. The cloud is thick — showing strong trend support. Latest pullback is testing the top of the cloud, usually a high-probability bounce area.
3️⃣ RSI turning up from mid-zone (not overbought)
RSI is around 50, which is a healthy reset in an uptrend. No overbought conditions → room for upside continuation.
4️⃣ Trend structure remains bullish
Higher highs & higher lows remain intact. Current candle shows buying interest at key support.
5️⃣ Market respects previous breakout area
Price pulled back to retest September–October breakout zone → classic break-and-retest setup.
ENTRY PRICE : 218.00 - 222.00
FIRST TARGET : 236.00
SECOND TARGET 260.00
SUPPORT : 201.00
Short $MU. This rally is running out of oxygen and gravity is kiShort $MU. This rally is running out of oxygen and gravity is kicking in. Micron's chart just printed double top, with a failed breakout, after an extended trend, is usually not a bullish sign at all.
Meanwhile NASDAQ:AVGO ’s board wouldn’t even offer 2026 earnings guidance – that’s a very worrying sign for the whole chip sector and a serious warning sign for $MU.
Micron Technologies ¦ Accumulation → Re-Accumulation Power Setup📈 Asset: MU — Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ)
🎮 Strategy Style: Stock Market Profit Playbook (Swing Trade)
💼 Structure Bias: Bullish continuation confirmed through accumulation → re-accumulation phase, showing sustained demand and smart-money support.
🧤 THIEF PLAYBOOK PLAN
The bullish structure is validated as MU continues to build strength within an accumulation base, followed by a clean re-accumulation zone, signaling institutional demand stepping back in. Buyers are quietly stacking positions — a classic power shift before the potential continuation leg. ⚡📊
🎯 ENTRY PLAN — Thief Layer Strategy
This trading style uses multiple layered limit orders to accumulate a position across different prices.
This method is known as a layering strategy / scaling-in entry method.
My thief-style sample layers (modify as you prefer):
🧤 Buy Limit Layer 1: 225.00
🧤 Buy Limit Layer 2: 230.00
🧤 Buy Limit Layer 3: 235.00
🧤 Buy Limit Layer 4: 240.00
(📌 You can adjust or increase layers based on your own plan.)
🛡️ STOP-LOSS (Thief SL Version)
This is my personal plan only — Thief SL @ 270.00
📌 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending using my stop-loss.
Trade your own risk management and personal preference.
🎯 TARGET — Overbought Zone + Resistance Trap
Price faces a major police-force resistance zone where overbought conditions + liquidity traps are likely.
So the safe exit for me:
💰 Target (TP): 210.00
📌 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), take-profit is fully your choice — take money when you see money.
🌍 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Key Notes)
Tracking related tickers helps confirm momentum and sector strength.
🔥 Semiconductor / Tech Correlation Watchlist
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA):
Strong sector leader — if NVDA holds uptrend, MU often mirrors relative strength.
NASDAQ:AMD (Advanced Micro Devices):
Shares similar demand cycles; strong AMD = rising semiconductor sentiment.
NASDAQ:SMH (Semiconductor ETF):
Great macro confirmation tool — ETF flows show sector-wide accumulation.
NASDAQ:SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF):
Helps validate whether the entire chip sector is trending or pulling back.
NASDAQ:INTC (Intel):
Not perfectly correlated but useful for observing competitive pressures & rotation.
📌 Key Insight:
If sector ETFs ( NASDAQ:SMH / NASDAQ:SOXX ) continue printing higher lows, MU’s re-accumulation thesis gains more strength.
If NVDA + AMD break down together, MU may enter deeper discount zones — helpful for thief layered entries.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This is a thief-style trading strategy just for fun — trade at your own risk and manage your own decisions responsibly.
#MU #Micron #SwingTrade #StockMarket #NASDAQ #LayeringStrategy #Accumulation #ReAccumulation #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ThiefStrategy #Semiconductors #NVDA #AMD #SMH #SOXX #PriceAction #EditorPickReady 🚀
MU earning option playThe projected revenue growth comparing to the previous quarter is roughly 14%, EPS growth around 30%. However, the stock price has already gained more than 35% since previous earning release. Therefore, doubt that the stock price will go above 280. On the other hand, there is support between 220 and 240, thinking of adding some "sell put" positions around $195 if IV can grow higher prior to the earning release.
current position:
sell call @ 280, expiring Dec 19
MU: false breakout at the upper boundary of the rangeThis analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello traders and investors!
Micron Technology (MU) shares are currently trading in a sideways range. At this stage, the active initiative belongs to the seller.
At the upper boundary of the range, a false breakout was formed — a breakout above the range high on increased volume.
After that, the seller engulfed the buyer’s candle, which strengthens the seller’s position within the range.
It is also worth noting that the key candle of the seller’s initiative — the candle with the highest volume (marked as IC on the chart) — also belongs to the seller, confirming supply-side control.
Potential seller targets:
first target — 223.33
second target — 214.75
The blue band on the chart represents the minimum price range of the candle in which at least 50% of the volume was traded, helping to more accurately identify the zone of market participant activity.
Wishing you profitable trades!
MU Weekly Signal: Bearish Momentum Deepens Despite Katy’s BullisMU Weekly Breakdown — Clean, Actionable Trading Insight
MU is showing classic bearish pressure despite temporary bullish signals.
The downside setup is still stronger than the upside.
🔥 Why MU Still Favors PUTS
Here’s the real story behind the signal:
1️⃣ Strong Downside Momentum
MU is down sharply this week
Trading near the weekly low
Bearish pressure outweighs short-term bounces
This supports continued weakness, especially into next week.
2️⃣ Options Flow Screaming BEARISH
Put-Call Ratio nearly 3.0 → heavy institutional put loading
Big put flow = big money positioning for downside
Flow confirms continuation lower
Institutions are betting against MU.
3️⃣ Sector-Wide Chip Weakness
AVGO guidance dragged chip names
China’s $70B chip program adds competitive pressure
Entire sector facing sentiment headwinds
When the whole sector is red, MU rarely moves up alone.
4️⃣ Technicals Still Favor Bears
RSI oversold, but in a downtrend oversold usually continues
VWAP significantly above price → strong overhead resistance
Key support below current price → room to fall
This supports continuation to the downside.
🎯 Clean Trade Levels (No clutter)
PUT Direction Remains Valid
Good Downside Levels:
First target: middle $230s
Extended target: low $230s – high $220s (if momentum accelerates)
Stop Zone:
Any breakout above mid $250s invalidates the bearish structure
That’s where MU flips bullish
🧠 The Bottom Line
This week’s MU setup =
Bearish momentum + bearish flow + bearish sector + weak technicals
→ Downside probabilities stronger than upside.
The PUT direction makes sense even if Katy predicts a short-term bounce, because:
🔺 Flow > Prediction
🔺 Sector > Model
🔺 Momentum > RSI
You’re trading the bigger picture, not the noise.
MU - Continuing CorrectionWe are evaluating the chart from a technical perspective.
The correction is still in progress, and the structure suggests that wave C should begin forming.
Targets:
• First target: 225.5
• Second target: 192.5
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Micron (MU) is booming in the AI era! 💥 🚀🔥#Micron (#MU) is booming in the AI era! With record demand for memory and storage, constant innovation, and strong results, MU is redefining the digital future. Savvy investors see huge opportunities in a global leader ready to transform technology and portfolios. 🚀
#Micron #MU #AI #TechStocks #Investing #Innovation #DigitalFuture #StockMarket #GrowthStocks #Finance NASDAQ:MU
MU long-term TAMicron is one of the strongest among semis, there's no need to wonder why it's holding up so good, it has plenty of heavy bullish volumes on weekly time frame which have started to correct recently yes, to be more precise since last week the mid-term has initiated the distribution, so now MU needs some time to balance everything. Watch the blue lines for the support to hold.
Micron just keeps moving - long at 235.48MU is a stock I forget about easily and am always mad when I rediscover it and wish I had been trading it. Memory prices are up 160% in the last MONTH and in a market gasping for good earnings, it's a safe bet they will deliver in the near term, at least.
It caught my eye because it is one of only a handful of mega cap stocks that is trading above its 20, 50 and 200d MAs. I think that despite its "overvaluation", mega cap is mega for a reason. They have the earnings to justify their mega status.
MU is in a really strong uptrend right now that began in early September, but is short term under a lot of pressure over the last couple of days. This has created a situation that has produced a winning trade in 2 days or less 13 of the last 15 times it has occurred, and the 2 times it didn't produced wins of 2.1% and 2.5% that just took longer (17 and 5 trading days, respectively) but on a per day held basis, even those handily beat the market.
I am looking for a quick rebound trade here, hopefully one of the one or two day variety. If longer, I will add if necessary and sell tactically until the original lot is sold profitably.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Micron Technology - The end will come soon!✂️Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) will create a top soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back in mid 2025, Micron Technology retested a major confluence of support. This retest was followed by an expected rally of about +250%. But soon, Micron Technology will create a short term top formation, followed by a healthy correction towards the downside.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Micron Technology . Buyer exhaustion, $110 next? - November 2025When euphoria hits RSI over 80, the hangover's never far behind.
You've got to hand it to Micron, it's been on an absolute tear. Three months of green candles, 300% return in six months, RSI through the roof, price action outside the Bollinger Band.. if this isn't "buyer exhaustion", it's the closest thing to it since crypto traders discovered leverage.
The technicals
Let's start with the what's actually on the chart:
Three week hanging man candle, the kind that makes experienced traders reach for the Asprin. (Remember that 3 week candle on Bitcoin no one wanted to believe at $117k, yeah well..)
Bearish divergence, price making higher highs and RSI saying "Nah, I'm done."
The Fibonacci 1.618 extension and price action rendezvous at a popular meeting place where emotions say "This time is different", not different, just an expensive reality check.
Bull flag forecast now met and then some, textbook.
Price action outside the Bollinger Band. Translation: Buyers have officially left the chat.
RSI at historical overbought levels. Last time we saw this, the party ended with a 50% drawdown and a lot of denial.
When every indicator starts shouting the same thing, it's not a conspiracy... it's confirmation.
Narrative versus reality
Of course, the narrative machine is in full swing:
"Micron's at the forefront of AI memory expansion!"
"Semiconductors are the new oil!"
"Buy the dip, buy the rip, buy everything!"
Sure. But look left. Every time Micron's RSI toughed these levels, 2018, 2021, 2024, the same thing happened. Price ripped, buyers got greedy, and then the chart did what charts always do, reverted to the mean, which is currently $110
Structure check
Notice where price is now? Extended beyond both the flag channel and the upper Bollinger Band. The bull flag's measured move has been met and exceeded, and what comes next isn't rocket science: Momentum fades, structure breaks, price retraces to support.
Nearest major support? Around $145-150, followed by the broader $120 region, which also aligns nicely with prior structure and the 0.382 Fibonacci level. That's your sanity zone where value buyers return, and over leveraged bulls pretend they always planned to "scale in lower".
Context matters
Micron isn't a bad company. It's a good company doing too well, too fast, in a market that's gone a bit mad for anything with "AI" in the press release. But markets don't trend on virtue, they trend on emotion. And this emotion looks a lot like euphoria. Euphoria is fun. Until it isn't.
Conclusions
Micron’s had its sprint. The bull flag target’s hit. Momentum’s wheezing. RSI’s screaming. And the candle pattern’s spelling it out: buyer exhaustion.
Could it push higher short-term? Sure. That’s what blow-off tops do, they taunt you. But probability now favours consolidation or a correction. If you’re holding long, tighten stops. If you’re flat, wait for the retrace. If you’re still buying here, well, good luck. You’re basically buying confetti at a wedding after the cake’s been eaten.
Ww
Disclaimer
==========================================================
This isn’t financial advice. Obviously. If you’re basing your trades on the sarcastic ramblings of a bloke who names chart patterns after furniture, that’s your problem. If it goes up, you’ll take credit. If it goes down, you’ll blame the Fed. Either way, I’ll still be here sipping tea, because that's what we British do, watching the RSI fall back to 50 and muttering “told you so.”
Without Worries (Ww)
Short-Term Technical Signals (Mixed/Cautious)Potential Trading Range: $190.50 to $221.50
The primary drivers for Micron Technology's stock have been significant demand growth and supply tightness in the memory chip market, which is fueling price increases.
Positive Analyst Sentiment: The stock currently has a strong consensus rating of "Strong Buy" or "Buy" from a significant majority of analysts, with several firms recently raising their price targets (e.g., UBS to $275, Rosenblatt to $300, Morgan Stanley to $325). The average price target suggests an upside from the current level.
AI-Driven Demand: The growth of generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) has dramatically increased demand for high-capacity memory solutions like DRAM and High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), of which Micron is a key supplier. This is seen as a strong tailwind for the business.
Supply Tightness and Price Increases: Analysts report ongoing supply tightness for memory chips, particularly for advanced types like DDR5, which is leading to substantial quarter-over-quarter price increases for contract and spot pricing. This direct revenue and margin driver could lead to strong short-term earnings surprises.
Recent Momentum: While the stock has seen some recent volatility after reaching an all-time high, it has delivered an impressive year-to-date return, indicating strong underlying momentum.






















