TSLA trade ideas
TESLA - Before the earning assessment - Where will it go?Hello Everyone,
29th of January TESLA will release earning reports for Q4 2024.
Expected EPS : 0,77 $
Expected Revenue : 27,14B
So here is the my scenario:
If reports come better than expected, approx 5% or 8% over estimations then my expectation is as Green :
Hit directly to 488 - 490 $ and make a correction a bit then continue to up till 540 - 560 $ area which is approx 35% gain.
If reports come worse than expected, then my expectation is as Red:
My target proce then 310 $ which is 25% down from current price and that price can be a good entrance point.
If reports come relatively as expected then, i think there will be fluctions between 370 to 440 $
Lets wait till release then i will decide what to do with my existing holdings.
This is not an investment suggestion, just my dreams :)
Technical Analysis (TA) for Tesla (TSLA)Market Overview:
Tesla (TSLA) is consolidating near a critical support zone with mixed momentum signals. Gamma Exposure (GEX) levels indicate significant resistance overhead, but also notable support below. With options expiring soon, TSLA's movement will likely be influenced by GEX-driven price action and key psychological levels.
1-Hour Chart Observations:
1. Price Action:
* TSLA is trading near $411.90, just above the key support at $410. The recent downtrend is contained within a channel, and the price is testing the lower boundary of the channel, indicating potential support for a rebound.
* Resistance levels are seen at $420 and $435, with stronger selling pressure expected near $440.
2. Support/Resistance:
* Support: $410 (critical short-term level), followed by $405 and $400 (psychological levels reinforced by GEX put walls).
* Resistance: $420 (3rd call wall), $425-$435 (significant GEX call resistance).
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Trending slightly bearish but flattening, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation near support.
* Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold territory, pointing to a potential bounce if buyers step in.
4. Volume:
* Decreasing volume during the recent pullback suggests a lack of aggressive selling, which could signal exhaustion of downward momentum.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis:
1. Call Walls:
* Significant resistance at $420 (90.43% GEX concentration) and $435-$440, where gamma exposure shows heavy call activity. A breakout above $420 could trigger momentum toward $435.
2. Put Walls:
* Strong support at $405 and $400, with heavy put activity providing a cushion against further downside.
3. Key GEX Level:
* A potential pin near $410 suggests price could hover near this level if no major buying/selling pressure occurs.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Trade:
1. Rationale:
* TSLA is holding above $410, a strong support level. Indicators point to a potential bounce, and GEX shows resistance overhead, meaning upward momentum could be contained near $420 or $435.
2. Entry:
* Buy near $411-$412 (on support confirmation).
3. Target:
* First target: $420 (near GEX 3rd call wall).
* Second target: $435 (strong resistance zone).
4. Stop Loss:
* Place a stop below $405 to limit downside risk.
Bearish Trade:
1. Rationale:
* If TSLA breaks below $410 and sustains, it could head toward $405 or $400, where stronger support exists.
2. Entry:
* Short below $409 (on confirmed breakdown).
3. Target:
* First target: $405.
* Second target: $400.
4. Stop Loss:
* Place a stop above $415 to protect against reversals.
Conclusion:
TSLA is at a pivotal level near $410. If the support holds, expect a rebound toward $420-$435. However, a breakdown could push the price to $405 or $400. For options, focus on short-term strategies due to Friday’s expiration or slightly extend the timeframe for trades beyond this week. Monitor volume and overnight futures for additional confirmation.
Important Note:
Market conditions can change rapidly when the market opens, potentially leading to a gap up or down. Overnight futures, economic data, and pre-market activity may significantly impact Tesla's price and invalidate this analysis. Monitor these factors closely before placing any trades.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading stocks, ETFs, and options involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Use proper risk management to protect your capital.
TSLA Trade Setup – Key Levels !📊
SL (Stop-Loss): $403.81 🔴
Entry: $411.89 🟡
T1 (Target 1): $423.08 🟢
T2 (Target 2): $433.02 🟢
👉 Monitor for breakout confirmation before entering! Manage risk carefully. 💹
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Tesla retracement to $340-$350 zone before a bounceMy idea is that the Tesla price will return to the $340-$350 Zone. This is a 50% fibonachi retracement it is also the same zone as an upward sloping trendline and the uptrend anchored VWAP.
Depending on the reaction to this level and as long as the VWAP acts as support you could take a 'long' position with a take profit 1 at around $400 before deciding to close or let it run towards another all time high.
Tracking Call and Put walls movements everydayIn this video I describe a new indicator to give another layer of information based on historical data from puts and walls for stocks (450 supported tickers).
This type of information is not readily available, I am collecting, storying and then processing and displaying them
TSLATesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a leading American electric vehicle (EV) and clean energy company founded by Elon Musk and others in 2003. Tesla is known for its innovative EVs, including the Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y, as well as its advancements in autonomous driving (Full Self-Driving - FSD), battery technology, and energy solutions like solar panels and Powerwall batteries. As a high-growth and highly volatile stock, TSLA is influenced by EV demand, production capacity, regulatory policies, competition, and broader market trends. Tesla remains a key player in the global shift toward sustainable energy and transportation.