BTCUSD 6/30/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you ANOTHER update, to ANOTHER successful call-out, with ANOTHER Top-Down Analysis.
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BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Hit a New ATH?!Bitcoin is trading above the 50- and 200-EMAs on the four-hour time frame and is within its short-term descending channel. Bitcoin can be bought from the demand zone indicated. A break of the channel ceiling would pave the way for Bitcoin to rise to a new ATH.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
In recent days, Bitcoin has been trading in a range of around $107,000, and the market is going through a consolidation phase with complex but deeply fundamental characteristics. What matters at this point is not just the current price, but the precise mix of capital flows, the behavior of major players, on-chain data, and macroeconomic ratios that shape Bitcoin’s short- and medium-term trajectory. Overall, although Bitcoin’s rapid growth after the halving has stopped, internal market signals point to a continuation of the upward trajectory in a more stable framework.
The first important component is the significant influx of institutional capital into the market via ETFs. In the past week, according to CoinShares, more than $1.24 billion in new capital entered crypto products, with Bitcoin accounting for more than $1.1 billion. This marks the 10th consecutive week of capital inflows into the market, bringing the total inflows for 2025 to over $15 billion. Prominent ETFs such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC are attracting hundreds of Bitcoins per day, indicating steady institutional demand that has weathered the momentary volatility and is more focused on long-term asset building.
Alongside this capital inflow, the Onchain data also paints a mixed but highly interpretable picture. While the average active address rate has declined slightly and the MVRV (market value to realized value) has fallen from 2.29 to 2.20, these changes are more indicative of profit-taking by investors than selling pressure! In fact, rather than fear of a correction or crash, the market is witnessing a “gentle shift of ownership” between short-term and long-term holders. UTXO data also shows a roughly 5% increase in Bitcoin held for over 8 years, a strong sign of long-term accumulation and a decrease in the willingness to sell at current prices!
This can be seen as a period of supply and demand equilibrium; a period in which large investors have entered, but on the other hand, some older players are taking reasonable profits. This has led to a kind of price consolidation, which in June showed itself with only 2% growth—the weakest monthly growth since July last year. However, CoinDesk and Glassnode analysts rightly emphasize that this consolidation is not a sign of market weakness, but rather evidence of the maturity of Bitcoin’s price behavior. The price is reacting to data rather than becoming emotional.
From a macroeconomic perspective, Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, the value of the dollar, and interest rates. While the market is still waiting for interest rate cuts in the second half of the year, Bitcoin will remain in a quasi-expectant state until then, reacting to macro data, short-term and reactive. However, given that most ETFs follow long-term accumulation models, any stabilization in interest rates or easing geopolitical pressures could trigger a new wave of upside. Common analyst scenarios predict a range of $120,000-$130,000 for Bitcoin by the end of the summer if current conditions are maintained and capital inflows continue. In summary, Bitcoin is now at a stage where the dynamic combination of institutional accumulation, supply and demand balance, and on-chain data has transformed it from a purely risky asset into a strategic investment vehicle. The market has moved beyond the emotional phase and entered a phase of stability and maturity. This is a promising sign for long-term investors, provided that risk management is maintained and sensitivity to macro events is maintained. Bitcoin is preparing for the next stage of its rally—but unlike in the past, this time it is standing on the shoulders of fundamentals that are much stronger than at any time in the asset’s history.
ETFs with the most volume traded on Friday
Total: $501M
BlackRock: $153M
Fidelity: $165M
Grayscale: $0M
Bitcoin Eyes $110K Target Above Key Support LevelBitcoin trades slightly below last week’s high near $107,660.0, while RSI 14 shows bearish divergence without a clear downward move.
Immediate support is at $107,230.0, and resistance at $108,550.0. If BTC closes above resistance, a rally toward $110,651.0 may follow. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above $104,681.0.
Market Manipulators Work Together to Exploit Hope | BM Is Over Iran–Israel Tensions Rising Again | A Hidden Gem for Traders
The conflict between Iran and Israel is heating up once again, and things are far from settled. Behind the scenes, there are signs that Iran may restart its nuclear weapons program, which could trigger a serious reaction — not just from Israel, but also from Western countries and nearby Arab nations.
If this conflict turns into a wider war, we could see major global impacts, including:
Rising oil prices due to tensions in the Middle East
Increased defense spending and movement in military-related stocks
Volatility in gold, USD, and crypto markets as investors seek safety
📉 While the world is watching quietly, this is actually a hidden signal for smart traders. The media might not be talking loudly about it yet, but war risk is building — and when it explodes into headlines, markets could react fast and hard.
🧠 Smart Traders Know:
Geopolitical tension = market moves
Fear fuels gold, oil, and crypto spikes
Nuclear headlines could shift investor psychology overnight
BITCOIN Breakout From Ascending Channel bullish from demand ZoneBTCUSD Breakout Alert
Bitcoin has officially broken out of the descending channel on the 4H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal from the key demand zone at 106,100.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 110,000 – Major supply zone
2nd Target: 112,000 – Strong resistance level
🔒 Stop Loss: 103,000 – Below bullish order block for risk protection
This setup offers a clean R:R with strong confluence. Watch for continuation above 108K for confirmation.
📊 TA only – always manage your risk!
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#BTC #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #BitcoinAnalysis #LiviaTrades 😜
BTCUSD-Breakout Loading – Massive Opportunity Ahead!BTC is consolidating within a major structure for 224+ days. Current price action is forming a bull flag, signaling strong potential for a breakout toward $120,000–$150,000. Short-term volatility expected, but long-term trend remains bullish.
🔸 Support at $90,000–$93,000:
Strong confluence in this region including CME gap, liquidity pools, and previous structure support. Rejection from $113K could trigger a flush into this zone. Long setups should be considered here. Whales are accumulating.
🔸 Upside Target: $120,000 – $150,000
Long-term breakout from consolidation range aligning with historical accumulation patterns and macro indicators like M2 lag. Break of $113K with strength opens doors to $120K+. Clean structure with confirmed support will fuel rally continuation.
🔸 Risk Level at $88,000:
If BTC breaks below $88K with volume and closes under structure, it would invalidate the bull flag scenario short-term and signal deeper correction.
🔸 Outlook:
Monitor price reaction near $113K. Prepare for fakeout and potential sweep into $90K–$93K zone. Place laddered long orders in that range for optimal R:R. If dip occurs, treat it as a gift entry. No bearish outlook unless macro conditions shift drastically. Momentum remains upward.
Traders Gurus always wrong at the crucial pointWhy are trading gurus often wrong at market tops or bottoms?
I recently received an email from the B*itcoin L… channel (where people like P.L. Brandt, Loukas, etc. are members), and it said the following:
The next installment of the 4-Year Cycle.
Exploring the powerful bullish case for Bitcoin, driven by a perfect storm of narratives: institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and cycle timing. From ETF inflows and corporate treasuries to a pro-crypto U.S. administration, potential interest rate cuts, and surging legitimacy post-halving — signs point to a possible super cycle unfolding.
But honestly, if you know how to read a BTC chart, where exactly do you see a “powerful bullish case for Bitcoin”? Tons of indicators suggest the opposite — even BTC Dominance (BTC.D) doesn’t confirm it.
Wasn’t the move from $16K to $110K already the bullish case?
Based on what I’m seeing in the charts, BTC is likely to cool off for a year, maybe even two. I expect it to come down to at least $50K–$65K before making any significant move upward again. We haven’t even had a proper flash crash yet, which is surprising given everything that’s been going on in the world over the past few months. Something fishy is going on.
BITCOIN NEXTKind of a Messy coorective Structure, this is What I can see right now with the movemments it has done
YIf you lower the time frame you should see the complete map also levels are Highlighted
It should go as follows
Buy from now @ 107.600 to 108.500
Sell from @ 108.500 to 105.000
buy from @ 105.000 to 111.000
Sell from @ 111.000 to 96.000
Buy from @ 96.000/ 94.000 to 120.000 and 130.000
GG
here is the #chart #btc $bitcoin
Cautiously bullish. Bitcoin is trading at $107,983.70, up 6% from last week but 3% below its all-time high of $111,891.30 (May 22, 2025). Technicals show a strong buy signal with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages supporting an upward trend. Posts on X suggest a weekly close above resistance ($108k) could push BTC to new highs ($112k-$120k). However, bearish divergence on weekly charts and tariff-related volatility introduce risks. Pro-crypto policies and Fed rate cut expectations bolster optimism, but a potential pullback to $100,400 support looms if momentum fades.
BITCOIN/USD "Eyes $112K target!"Key facts today! 1). Bitcoin is trading over $107,000, with analysts eyeing a potential all-time high above $112,000. Bulls are holding prices above $105,000 amid easing inflation and institutional buying.
2). Investor Dan Tapiero predicts Bitcoin could hit $180,000, highlighting the need to break the $115,000 resistance level for strong upward momentum.
Bitcoin Setup for 109K and New Highs Could Be NextTrade Idea:
Direction: long
Entry: Now 107,350 - 106,800
Stop Loss: 102,000
Target 1: 109,000
Golden Zone: 112,000 - 113,000
Bitcoin has been consolidating for the last four days with no real price increase, but we’ve still managed to break above the short-term descending trend line. This could signal a continuation of the current swing up to the next resistance around 109K, which lines up with the daily trend line.
My bias here is that once we hit that 109K area, we could either see a pullback to around 104 to 106K before pushing higher, or we might break straight through, retest the trendline, and continue quickly to new highs above 112K.
I’ll be watching closely to see how price reacts around 109K, whether it rejects or breaks through. Either way the structure remains bullish, and if we get a rejection I'll be looking to re-enter.
Let's see how this plays out ✌️
BTCUSD Trade Setup - 28/Jun/2025Hi Traders,
I expect this pair to go Down after finishing the correction.
1) Need to wait for market to show changing of the direction.
2) The first reaction zone foe me will be at 95000 level followed by 89000 level.
3) Need to observe the characteristic of the move coming down in order to understand if market is planning to go up without coming to those levels.
Current expectation for investing is to see market dropping to 89000 level and then start to look for entry.
I only invest in BTC so no shorts for me but market shows potential to give a reversal soon and give a decent down move.
BTC Dominance and the “Double Top” Pattern🧠 BTC Dominance and the “Double Top” Pattern
1. What is a “Double Top” in BTC Dominance?
A Double Top is a bearish chart pattern formed by two peaks near the same resistance level. If the price (or dominance in this case) breaks below the neckline (middle support), it signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
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2. Is BTC Dominance forming a Double Top?
• Analysts suggest BTC dominance may be forming a double top, with two highs near the same level.
• However, it hasn’t confirmed yet. A breakdown below the neckline would confirm the reversal.
• If confirmed, this suggests that capital may start flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins.
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3. What Does It Mean?
• If the Double Top is confirmed (dominance drops) → Bitcoin loses market share → capital flows to altcoins → possible start of a new Altseason.
• If dominance holds or increases → Bitcoin remains the market’s safe haven → altcoins may remain weak.
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4. Current Context & Outlook
• BTC Dominance is now near 64%, a multi-year high, largely driven by institutional interest and Bitcoin ETFs.
• Historically, such highs are followed by rotations into altcoins, especially when traders seek higher returns.
• A confirmed drop in dominance might trigger runs in altcoins like ETH, SOL, or meme coins.
Playoff between down trend channel and up trend support in BTCThis is the situation Bitcoin finds itself in. On the one hand there is a strong downtrend channel which we keep getting thrown into, but on the other hand there is uptrend support that we also keep being bounced back into. We're currently in the confluence of both of these features, so shits about to get real.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout this week’s trading session, Bitcoin has demonstrated an upward trajectory and is positioned to achieve the specified targets of Mean Resistance 110300 and Key Resistance 111700. This progression may ultimately culminate in the realization of the Outer Coin Rally 114500 and beyond. Nevertheless, it is crucial to recognize the possibility of a subsequent decline from the current price to the Mean Support level of 104900 before a definitive upward rebound.