Elise | BTCUSD | 15M – Liquidity Sweep & Expansion SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After the sell-side sweep, BTC built acceptance inside a tight range, indicating absorption rather than continuation lower. The strong bullish displacement from the range confirms buyers stepping in with intent. Current price is holding above 89,400, which now acts as a flipped intraday demand zone. As long as this level holds, upside continuation toward higher resistance remains favored.
This is expansion after accumulation, not a random pump.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Condition: Hold above 89,400
🎯 Target 1: 90,400
🎯 Target 2: 91,600
🎯 Target 3: 92,650 (range high / liquidity target)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Condition: 15M close below 89,400
🎯 Downside Target 1: 88,600
🎯 Downside Target 2: 86,200
🎯 Downside Target 3: 85,150 (sell-side liquidity)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 90,400 – 91,600 – 92,650
Support 🟢: 89,400 – 88,600 – 86,200
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Market insights
BTC Is Not Bottoming Yet — This Is a Controlled Sell-Side On the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin continues to trade within a clear downtrend structure. Each rebound has produced a lower high, followed by renewed selling that prints lower lows. The sideways boxes on the chart are not accumulation phases; they function as distribution / position-unwinding zones within a broader bearish trend, where price pauses to build liquidity before continuing lower. At this stage, BTC is still inside a weak corrective bounce and has not reclaimed any key structure that would justify a trend reversal narrative.
Key technical levels to respect:
- Near-term resistance / supply: 87.7k–88.0k (marked resistance zone). Failure to accept above this area keeps rallies corrective.
- Range support / demand: 85.1k–85.3k (range low). A clean break below this zone would confirm downside continuation.
- Structural liquidity target: 74.8k, the next major downside magnet if the range resolves lower.
Expected price behavior:
BTC is likely to continue short-term ranging, producing several push-and-fail attempts below resistance before rotating back toward the range low. A decisive breakdown of the range floor would open the path toward the 74.8k liquidity zone. Only a sustained reclaim and acceptance above 87.7k–88.0k would invalidate the current bearish structure.
Macro & U.S. Policy: Why Conditions Remain Unfavorable for Crypto
1) Monetary policy remains restrictive.
Despite expectations for gradual easing in 2025, U.S. monetary policy is still firmly in restrictive territory. This environment limits risk appetite and historically weighs on high-beta assets like crypto when liquidity expansion is absent.
2) Policy uncertainty suppresses risk-on behavior.
Ongoing ambiguity around the Fed’s policy path and broader U.S. macro direction keeps markets cautious. In such conditions, Bitcoin tends to move sideways or trend lower rather than sustain impulsive upside moves.
3) Regulatory and headline risk persists.
While long-term regulatory clarity may ultimately benefit the crypto space, near-term developments around regulation and oversight continue to act as headline risk, reinforcing defensive positioning especially during periods of thinner liquidity.
Conclusion:
Technically, BTC remains under sell-side control on H4, and macro conditions in the U.S. do not yet support a clean risk-on reversal. Until Bitcoin reclaims key resistance and breaks the sequence of lower highs, the higher-probability scenario remains range → breakdown → continuation toward lower demand.
BTCUSD | Next Target 75K Before a Bullish RallyHello traders,
If you really read the 6H BTC chart, We can see a clean BTC structure without chaos.
We’re moving inside a clean bearish channel, and structurally BTC is completing a 5-wave decline. Not chaos. Not randomness. Just market mechanics.
Wave 3 did the most damage already
Wave 4 hopium
Wave 5 where the pretty picture completes
I’m watching the $70–75K range as the area where this bearish cycle can mature. That’s not a prediction. That’s where structure and momentum align.
From there, we should expect what markets always do after pain
Relief
A corrective bullish rally into the Fib golden zone around $103–108K would make sense as in ABC. That zone is not bullish or bearish. This is where market makers decides:
Do we continue to new ATH…
or do we roll over to $50K?
We don’t force bias here.
We let price speak and we only listen.
Trade structure.
Respect the waves.
Market rewards patience. Always.
Good luck
BTCUSD - Down, DownBitcoin completed a corrective wave A and has resumed its downward move.
The decline is most likely heading toward the 80k area.
The move lower is expected to be choppy, so targets remain approximate.
Primary target: 80,500
Intermediate target: 86,100
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Bank of Japan Policy Decision: Global Market Impact AnalysisBank of Japan Interest Rate Decision (December 19)
Introduction : Why Japan’s Interest Rate Policy Matters
Japan’s monetary policy plays a critical role in the global financial system. For decades, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained ultra-loose conditions, turning the Japanese yen into the world’s primary funding currency. Global investors borrow cheaply in JPY and deploy capital into higher-yielding assets such as equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.
Because of this structure, even a small shift in BoJ policy can trigger large cross-market reactions. The BoJ’s interest rate decision on December 19 is therefore a high-impact macro event with potential consequences for forex, global equities, bonds, gold, and crypto markets.
Scenario 1: If the Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rates
A rate hike would represent a historic policy shift and signal the early stages of monetary normalization.
Impact on Forex (USD/JPY & JPY Pairs)
* The Japanese yen (JPY) is likely to strengthen due to improved yield appeal
* USD/JPY may face strong bearish pressure
* Carry trades funded in JPY could unwind rapidly, increasing volatility
JPY crosses such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, and AUD/JPY may also decline as risk exposure is reduced.
Impact on Global Equity Markets
* Japanese equities: Mixed to bearish bias due to a stronger yen hurting exporters
* Asian markets: Short-term weakness as financial conditions tighten
* US & European equities: Increased volatility and pressure on growth stocks
Overall, a rate hike may trigger a short-term global risk-off reaction driven by liquidity repricing rather than economic deterioration.
Impact on Crypto Markets (Bitcoin & Altcoins)
* Bitcoin: Short-term bearish pressure and higher volatility
* Altcoins: Likely underperformance due to higher risk sensitivity
* Macro-driven selling could create longer-term accumulation zones once volatility settles
Impact on Bonds, Gold & Risk Sentiment
* Bonds: Japanese and global yields may rise
* Gold: Short-term pressure from higher yields, medium-term support if risk aversion increases
* Risk sentiment: Shift toward defensive positioning and reduced leverage
Scenario 2: If the Bank of Japan Does NOT Raise Interest Rates
If rates remain unchanged, markets may view the decision as continued policy caution.
Expected Market Reactions
* JPY: Continued weakness
* USD/JPY: Bullish continuation
* Global equities & crypto: Supported by ongoing liquidity
* Risk sentiment: Risk-on behaviour likely to persist
Short-Term vs Medium-Term Outlook
Short-Term
* Rate hike: Sharp volatility, risk-off moves
* No hike: Relief rally in risk assets
Medium-Term
* Gradual tightening allows controlled market adjustment
* Continued loose policy supports assets but increases structural risks over time
Markets typically shift from news reaction to trend confirmation within weeks.
Educational Entry–Exit Examples (Not Financial Advice)
USD/JPY (Rate Hike):
* Bias: Bearish
* Concept: Breakdown → pullback → continuation
* Invalidation: Above recent swing high
Bitcoin (No Hike):
* Bias: Bullish
* Concept: Pullback after impulse
* Risk Note: Reduced size during news volatility
US Indices:
* Rate hike: Sell rallies near resistance
* No hike: Buy dips in confirmed trend
Conclusion: Key Takeaways for Traders
The Bank of Japan’s December 19 interest rate decision is a major global liquidity event. A rate hike would favour the yen while pressuring risk assets, whereas a no-change policy would support equities, cryptocurrencies, and carry trades. Traders should prioritise volatility management, confirmation from price action, and cross-market correlations over predictions and forecasts.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Breaking: Bitcoin Might Dip to $70k Support Point The price of Bitcoin is poised to dip to the $70k support to shake off weak hands before picking liquidity up albeit the market is generally bearish.
The $70k support is feasible or nearest support zone for bitcoin to consolidate before going back up. In similar context, as per data from crypto quant the open interest of Bitcoin on all exchanges is down 0.45% losing roughly $29 billion.
This data further solidifies our bearish thesis on $BTC.
Local Bear Flag on BTC ( 78000$-80000$ )After a strong impulsive drop, price has formed a local bear flag — an ascending corrective channel within a broader bearish move. Price action inside the channel looks corrective, with no clear signs of strong demand.
I expect a breakdown from the flag to the downside and continuation of the bearish move in the short term.
Downside target:
$78,000 – $80,000
As long as price remains below the upper boundary of the flag and fails to break out to the upside, the bear flag scenario remains valid.
Elite | BTCUSD | 1D – Macro Accumulation & Trend Holding PhaseBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
The previous impulsive leg confirms strong institutional participation. The current decline is corrective, not impulsive, with price respecting the daily trendline and holding above major demand. Prolonged consolidation at this level suggests energy building for a larger expansion move, as volatility compression typically precedes directional continuation in macro trends.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If BTC holds above the daily holding area and reclaims the correction zone:
🎯 Target 1: 95,000
🎯 Target 2: 105,000
🎯 Target 3: 118,000 – 120,000 (ATH liquidity zone)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
If price decisively breaks and closes below daily trend support:
🎯 Downside Target 1: 78,000
🎯 Downside Target 2: 72,000 (major HTF demand)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 95,000 – 100,000
Support 🟢: 82,000 – 78,000
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Bullish bounce off?BTC/USD has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 85,215.19
1st Support: 83,544.88
1st Resistance: 89,917.16
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Bitcoin Is Still 27% Undervalued — Eyes on the Levels 📌 Bitcoin Is Still 27% Undervalued — Eyes on the Levels 📈
Current price: $86,895
Fair price: $118,443 (Power Law Model)
Bottom price: $49,746 — historically never violated.
We remain in the upward sloping power law channel. As it stands, Bitcoin is 27% undervalued , holding above the dynamic EMA and within range of key decision levels.
Main support sits at $78,796 , but expect a quick wick below it — those are the buys I wait for.
Main resistance sits at $91,067 — if I see a breakout above, I buy that too.
Fair value will be lowered by 29% soon to reflect time spent under the mean — but the formula itself stays unchanged. Bitcoin is still the only asset that fits this curve.
🔒 I never go short on Bitcoin.
Why? Because if BTC drops 2%, some alts will drop 20%.
I hedge with those instead — not with BTC. Know your tools, protect your capital. DYOR
Trading Wisdom 📜
You don’t need to catch the bottom or the top.
Just understand the levels and be ready when price comes to them.
When you're prepared, you don't chase — you execute.
Disclaimer: I'm not a financial advisor — I'm just a trader sharing my chart and opinion. This is how I see the market. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
🧠 Know the Fundamentals
Before you trade the levels, understand the asset. Bitcoin isn’t just price action — it’s a response to broken monetary systems, a hedge against inflation, and a protocol for digital scarcity. The more you grasp what problems it solves, the clearer your conviction becomes when volatility hits. And that is the compass to follow..just remember to have patience, persistance and a risk management in place.
Bitcoin Pauses, Bears Take the LeadIn a week packed with major economic data releases, Bitcoin is clearly shifting into a defensive mode . A cautious tone dominates the market as investors limit new positions, waiting for clearer signals from inflation data, U.S. labor reports, and central bank policy guidance . BTC slipping below the 90,000 USD mark reflects this hesitation rather than a panic-driven sell-off.
From a technical perspective, the price structure is leaning toward a short-term bearish bias . BTC has been repeatedly rejected at the descending trendline and has failed to sustain higher highs. Price is currently trading below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling that bullish momentum has weakened significantly; recent rebounds are largely technical in nature and quickly sold into, typical behavior of a market that is waiting for confirmation.
The 90,700 USD area now acts as a near-term resistance. As long as price remains capped below this level, the more probable scenario is a continuation lower toward the 86,500 USD zone—an area of key technical support where a short-term reaction may occur. In this environment, the preferred approach is to prioritize selling on pullbacks and avoid chasing long positions while the market lacks a strong catalyst.
Thank you for taking the time to consider my perspective, and I wish you successful and disciplined trading ahead.
NFP IMPACT ON BTCUSD EXPLAINED BTCUSD is currently consolidating between its intraday resistance and support zones, indicating a period of balance as the market awaits fresh catalysts. With upcoming macro data in focus, including NFP, a weaker-than-expected print alongside a soft U.S. dollar could increase risk-on sentiment and support bullish continuation.
For now, I’m observing how price behaves around these key intraday levels to assess whether structure confirms continuation or remains range-bound.
BTCUSD 1H updateBitcoin showing clear rejection from the overhead resistance zone around 92,500-93,000. After a brief consolidation, price has broken down sharply and is now pulling back toward the key support area near 86,000-85,500 (marked on chart). If this level holds, we could see a bounce; otherwise, further downside possible. Watching closely for confirmation! #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis #MarketUpdateThis is not financial advice—always do your own research and trade at your own risk!
Elise | BTCUSD - 30M | Corrective Channel After Liquidity SweepBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After rejecting from the prior supply zone, BTC swept sell-side liquidity and rebounded strongly. The current price action shows compression inside an ascending channel, suggesting buyers are active but momentum is still corrective. Upside continuation requires acceptance above the channel high and prior intraday resistance.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Sustained 30M close above 89,000 – 89,200 opens upside toward 90,200 and 91,200.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Breakdown below channel support and a close under 87,400 exposes 86,200 – 85,500 demand.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 89,200 – 90,200
Support 🟢: 87,400 – 86,200
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
BTCUSD: Patience RequiredNo significant move has occurred on Bitcoin, except for a large wick caused by a news event, which likely swept many stop-losses.
In my view, a move toward the 82–80K zone seems largely inevitable.
For now, it’s best to wait and see how the market decides. There is no clear entry trigger at the moment, unless a short-term setup forms on the 15-minute timeframe, allowing for a move toward the 81K area.
Otherwise, forcing a trade here carries unnecessary risk.
BTCUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 90211
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 91445
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin : $77k Still On The TableBitcoin still holding its ground, but is not out of the woods yet because still have one more week of Bearish TIME where will do one of two things or stays in its current stablished range $94500 - $84000 or breaks below that range. Once it finish its Bearish TIME left then probabilities shift to the upside but as of now probabilities still to the DOWNside.
Place your long limit orders (SPOT) below $80k ladies and gentlemen to be ready for a quick liquidation wick of that area.
Remember your buy area is their liquidation area.
Once the Daily Bearish Cycle ends and most important where price is at that point in TIME will dictate how high next bounce will b , Is it in the upper side of the current trading range? (good scenario) or Is below the current trading range (bad scenario) or worst of all broke below current trading range and printed a lower low, well we will find out next week for sure.
Have a good trading weekend ladies and gentlemen.
Buckle up ladies and gentlemen volatility is coming back.
Boost.......Follow.......Comment.
$BITCION BULL RUN (READ CAPTION)Hello Traders! Today is 17 December 2k25 and here is my $BITCION Analysis chart please read it and send me your ideas in comment section for more $bitcion analysis
This Bitcoin chart reflects a classic corrective phase after a bearish impulse, followed by signs of potential bullish recovery from a strong demand area. Price is currently at a critical decision zone, where the next directional move will be defined.
Initially, BTC was trading inside a triangle / consolidation structure, showing. This structure often acts as a liquidity trap, where both sides get positioned before a strong move occurs.
Bullish Scenario:
Pivot point: ($88100)
Target 1: ($90500)
Supply: ($91500)
Resistance: ($93000/$93500)
Please don't forget like and comment for more IG:BITCOIN latest updates.
This analysis for information purposes only. Trade is your own risk
BTCUSD-Bitcoin Remains BearishAfter breaking the key 89,600 support, Bitcoin continued its bearish move and dropped toward 85,382, where we saw an initial buyer reaction and the formation of a temporary support.
Following this bounce, price managed to hold above the 87,000 resistance, but the overall market structure remains bearish, and this move looks more like a pullback within a downtrend rather than a trend reversal.
If price attempts another move below the newly formed support, the probability of breaking the 85,250 support zone increases significantly.
Given the possibility of a fast or “whale-driven” breakdown, placing a Sell Stop below the 87,000 area makes sense to avoid missing the move, with a downside target around 83,700.
For now, long scenarios are completely off the table unless we see clear signs of a trend reversal, such as a break in bearish structure or the formation of higher highs and higher lows.
BTC SELL SETUP READ CAPTIONBitcoin (BTCUSD) Trade Idea – Bearish Setup Timeframe: 4H Market Bias: Bearish (Pullback → Continuation) Technical Overview Bitcoin is trading below a descending trendline, showing overall bearish structure. Price recently made a strong impulsive move down and is now pulling back toward a major resistance zone aligned with the trendline. This area is acting as a sell zone, increasing the probability of downside continuation. Trade Plan Entry (Sell): 85,800 – 86,200 (pullback into resistance & trendline) Stop Loss: Above 87,500 (above resistance zone) Take Profit 1: 84,500 Final Target: 83,700 – 83,500 Risk–Reward Approximate Risk : Reward = 1 : 2.5 / 1 : 3 Confirmation (Recommended) Bearish rejection candle (wick or engulfing) at resistance Failure to break and close above the trendline on 4H Weak bullish momentum during pullback Invalidation A strong 4H close above 87,500 will invalidate this bearish setup and may signal






















