Critical Recovery Phase with Solid MomentumBitcoin Technical Analysis: Critical Recovery Phase with Solid Momentum
Bitcoin is in a pivotal technical recovery stage: On the daily timeframe, BTC has rallied over 15% from its $80,500 low, establishing a clear short-term uptrend and successfully holding above the key $90,000 psychological level—breaking free from the weak trading range.
Indicator Confirmation of Upward Momentum
RSI: Rebounded strongly from the oversold zone to around 55, moving well away from downside pressure while remaining below the overbought threshold (70), leaving ample room for further upside.
MACD: A bullish golden cross has materialized, with the green histogram fully contracting. This signals continuous accumulation of upward momentum, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Clear Support & Resistance Structure
Support Zones:
Immediate support: $90,000 (recent high-volume trading cluster), serving as the primary defense level.
Strong support: $84,000 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement level), forming a robust secondary risk buffer.
Resistance Levels:
Near-term resistance: $95,000 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level), a key technical hurdle.
Major resistance: $100,000 (psychological milestone + 50% Fibonacci retracement level), a high-impact level for market sentiment.
Healthy Volume-Price Validation
Trading volume during the rebound has surged 62% above the 5-day average, reflecting strong buying interest. The positive volume-price synchronization confirms the validity of the uptrend, indicating that the recovery is supported by solid market participation rather than speculative momentum alone.
Market insights
Update on the Bitcoin analysisAs long as the price is below 96–97K, we haven’t received any signal indicating a trend reversal, and we are still sellers.
For now, I don’t have any new analysis because there hasn’t been any significant movement since yesterday.
We’ll analyze it in more detail next week in the watchlist.
BTCUSD POSSIBLE MOVEMENT ( MUST READ CAPTION )Hello traders here is my BTCUSD idea
What you guys think about about BTCUSD today ? let me know about you idea in comment section
Key Points
Current price 90500
Resistance zone 93600
Target area 86000/84700
Kindly share our idea with your friends and family
Keep stay with us for more idea on BTCUSD
#BTCUSD #BITCOIN #TRADING #FOREXTRADING #CRYPTOTRADING
BTCUSD Next Selling Move Analysis
The chart points to a Target Level (purple zone).
Below that sits a Strong Support Level (blue zone).
Short Idea (Based on the chart’s logic)
This is an interpretation — not a recommendation:
1. Weak High = Liquidity Zone
A weak high often suggests price may reverse after grabbing liquidity — which seems to be what the chart implies.
2. Market Structure Shift
The drawn line shows a lower high forming, suggesting bearish structure.
3. Short Bias Trigger
A short bias may be considered after confirmation, such as:
Break of minor support beneath the weak high
Retest of that broken level
Bearish rejection (wick rejections, bearish candle close)
4. Possible Target Areas
First target: Purple “Target Level” zone — likely a demand area or imbalance.
Final target: Blue Strong Support Level — major liquidity zone.
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A running flat ABCBitcoin Weekly Chart Analysis
After completing Wave ③ of the larger impulse, a running flat ABC correction is unfolding.
A trigger divergence and RSI resistance led to a corrective move.
Wave A found support and completed around the 60-week EMA, followed by a rebound.
After an irregular Wave B, another trigger divergence emerged, initiating Wave C.
Currently, price is holding above the 90-week EMA, but the RSI still has unfilled downside space, suggesting potential for a deeper move before a reversal.
Watch the Fibonacci retracement zones for potential support levels during this correction.
Calm Before the Storm: Bitcoin’s Next Big MoveOverall Structure
Bitcoin is trading inside a large ascending channel, and price is currently sitting near the lower boundary of this channel — a highly critical decision zone for the next major move.
Bullish Scenario (Green Path)
If Bitcoin holds the lower channel support around 88,000–92,000 and buyers step in:
• A rebound toward the midline of the channel around 110,000–115,000 becomes likely.
• A further continuation could target the top of the channel, located in the 130,000–140,000 region.
This scenario remains valid as long as BTC stays above channel support.
Bearish Scenario (Red Path)
If the price breaks below the channel support, especially with a daily close under 88,000:
• Momentum may turn strongly negative.
• First support zone sits near 80,000–82,000
• A deeper extension could bring BTC toward 70,000 or lower, depending on market sentiment.
A breakdown from the channel would officially end this medium-term uptrend.
Suggested Stop-Loss
• Aggressive: below 88,000
• Conservative: below 85,000
BTCUSD: Bullish Pressure Targets the $94,000 Resistance AreaHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Bitcoin remains in a broader recovery phase after breaking out of the descending wedge structure that previously guided price lower. The initial breakout from the wedge led to a strong bearish continuation, but once BTC reached the major $90,200 Support Zone, selling pressure weakened and buyers stepped in aggressively. This support area has now been defended multiple times, confirming it as a key demand zone. From this base, price formed a clear Upward Channel, signaling a short-term bullish structure with higher lows respected along the channel support.
Currently, BTC attempted to break above the $93,700 Resistance Zone, but this move resulted in a fake breakout, showing that sellers are still active at this level. After the rejection, price pulled back toward the channel support and the $92,000–$90,200 support cluster, where buyers once again defended the market. Currently, BTC is trading back inside the ascending channel and attempting to resume the upward swing toward the upper boundary. The overall structure suggests a recovery trend as long as the price holds above the main support zone.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bullish, as long as BTC holds above the $90,200 Support Zone and continues to respect the ascending channel structure. I expect price to continue climbing toward the $93,700 Resistance Zone, which remains the key short-term target for buyers. A clean and confirmed breakout above this resistance would open the way for a continuation toward higher levels near the top of the channel.
Therefore, if price reaches the resistance again and produces another strong rejection, we may see a temporary pullback back toward the mid-channel area or even a retest of support. The bullish structure remains valid as long as BTC stays above $90,200. For now, the market supports a long bias with focus on a renewed attempt toward the $93,700 resistance zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin breaks USD 90,000 support and triggers market alert
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is going through a key historical moment. After weeks of rallies to all-time highs at USD 126,245.01 in October 2025, we have experienced a series of declines that reached a low on November 21, returning to price zones from November 2024, coinciding with the last halving on 04/20/2024. After a couple of weeks of stability above USD 94,000, the cryptocurrency broke a key support and fell below USD 90,000, generating widespread concern in the market. The break has marked both a technical and fundamental breach that could define price evolution in the coming days. The current floor has expanded to USD 80,612.40, a price zone very close to the pre-impulse range.
The USD 94,000 level had acted as a “natural floor” for Bitcoin. According to recent JPMorgan estimates, this amount coincides with the average production cost of the cryptocurrency, indicating that mining below this price is no longer profitable for many operators. In addition, companies such as Strategy, with more than 650,000 BTC in their treasury, play a decisive role. Their USD 1.44 billion cash reserve allows them to cover financial obligations without needing to sell their assets, providing a degree of market stability. A break of this support has reflected not only technical pressure but also an uncertain macroeconomic environment for Bitcoin, amid increasing risk and institutional investors seeking less volatile investment options.
If the price reaches the previous range support above USD 73,779.87, we could see a period of gap closure. On the other hand, if the price holds, we might see a period of lateral consolidation. In the medium term, the outlook remains positive if institutional demand and stable macro conditions continue: Bitcoin could return to levels near this year’s highs in the next 6 to 12 months. However, any negative event could prolong the period of weakness.
Technical analysis
From a technical point of view, the break of USD 90,000 confirms a breach of the lateral range that had contained BTC in recent weeks:
Supports and resistance: The USD 90,000–94,000 zone acted as a key reference. Its break opens space for a possible decline toward the 80,612.40–42,900.20 range, where historical retracements and demand levels coincide.
Recovery levels: A rebound would face immediate resistance at USD 94,000 and then at USD 97,000–98,000. Surpassing these levels could temporarily stabilize the market.
Volatility and consolidation: The increase in volume indicates nervousness and position adjustments. Traders should watch intraday movements and key candle formations to detect potential rebound signals. RSI is currently in a neutral search zone at 45.21%, and MACD is in negative territory, confirming this recovery theory.
If we look at the ActivTrades – Crypto Fear & Greed indicator, the movement is currently neutral and has not favored Altcoins. During the declines, a high Risk-Off was detected, but at this moment balance is perceived.
The Whales
Bitcoin’s drop below USD 90,000 combines fundamental and technical factors: miner pressure, influence of large holders, and macroeconomic uncertainty. In this period of high volatility, only prudence can be maintained by closely monitoring institutional supply and mining activity. This phase may represent a temporary pullback, but it also represents a strategic accumulation opportunity in the medium term for “Crypto Holders.” It can also be a potential entry zone for institutional investors looking for discounted prices to enter ETFs managed by large asset managers.
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD) – AGGRESSIVE BULLISH BUY SIGNAL BITCOIN (BTCUSD) – AGGRESSIVE BULLISH BUY SIGNAL
Timeframe: 4H Current Price: ~$96,800 Entry Zone (Your FVG): 87,800 – 89,200
(Main 4H Fair Value Gap + high-volume demand area from the previous rally leg)Stop Loss: 86,500 – 87,000 (below the FVG and recent major low)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 92,000 – 93,000
TP2: 96,000 – 97,500 (current value area)
TP3: 100,000 – 102,000+ (if momentum explodes) Reason: Strong 4H FVG at 88k zone acting as deep discount area. Expecting aggressive buying and potential sweep-the-lows before continuation of the macro uptrend. High reward setup for patient buyers.Risk-Reward: 1:4 to 1:7+ possible #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BTCUSD #FVG #SmartMoney #CryptoTrading #TradingSignal Not financial advice – this is my personal technical analysis only. Trade at your own risk, use proper money management, and always DYOR.
BTCUSD – Watching Trendline Interaction and Potential Break ScenBitcoin on the 15-minute chart is consolidating beneath a key horizontal level while riding an ascending trendline.
The projection illustrates a possible move where price retests the upper boundary before rotating lower.
This chart is shared only for market observation and educational study.
✅ Analysis (Based on Your Markup)
Price has been respecting an ascending trendline, showing steady short-term support.
The horizontal level near 94,022 is the main area where buyers previously struggled to continue higher.
Your markup shows a potential small bounce from the trendline, followed by another retest of the horizontal zone.
If the market fails to hold after that retest, the blue path illustrates how price could rotate away from structure and expand downward.
The large downward projection shows one possible continuation idea if the trendline and horizontal zone fail to hold.
Overall, the chart reflects a trendline retest + potential break model, depending entirely on how price reacts to the upper boundary.
BTC reality check! Flat wave C & Oct 26 bottomWe’re back on BTC to drill into my alternate Elliott Wave count and the cyclical roadmap. Cycle work pointed to an October top, which we’ve seen. I remain long-term bullish, but near term I still see a flat correction in play, with wave C unfolding.
Drivers
Elliott Wave structure
The larger uptrend remains intact, but the current phase looks corrective as a flat: wave A as a flat, wave B irregular, and wave C unfolding in five subwaves.
Near term, price action looks like we’re in or finishing wave 4 of C. By alternation, with wave 2 having been deep (around the 61.8% area), wave 4 often resolves shallower (around the 38.2% area). If it stretches closer to 50% and compresses, a triangle into a final wave 5 is plausible before completion of C.
If C remains overlapping and wedge-like, an ending diagonal scenario keeps downside limited. If instead the decline is impulsive, this drop could be only wave 1 of a larger 5-wave move lower.
Momentum-wise, higher-timeframe RSI shows divergence, consistent with a late-stage correction.
Cyclical framework
Bitcoin’s recurring rhythm has often mirrored halving cycles: a bear phase roughly around a year, followed by multi-year bull advances.
Symmetry between bottom→halving and halving→top continues to be informative. With the next halving due in 2028, the cycle window I’m monitoring points to a potential bottom window around Q4 2026 (often cited around October).
This video focuses less on a single trade and more on the timing roadmap: when the corrective structure might complete and when to consider re-engaging for the longer term.
Key zones to watch
If an ending diagonal plays out, a termination near the high-60Ks (around 69k area) would be consistent with “limited downside.”
A more dramatic impulse path could open a wider “magnetic zone” of support roughly spanning the low-70Ks down toward the 50Ks, with deeper stretch risks if the impulse extends.
Confirmation will depend on how wave 4 resolves and whether the next leg proves corrective (ED) or impulsive.
Trade idea
My base lens is structure-first, timing-second. If wave C finishes as an ending diagonal, downside should be limited in the high-60Ks and setting up a bullish continuation in 2026. If instead the drop proves impulsive (5 down), treat bounces (0.5–0.618 retraces) as opportunities to reassess shorts, with a support “magnet” spanning roughly low-70Ks to low-50Ks, and deeper risk if momentum accelerates. Validation hinges on how wave 4 resolves and whether the final leg is overlapping (ED) or cleanly impulsive.
If you want my annotated charts and live invalidation levels, drop a comment. Like and subscribe to catch the mid‑week follow‑up when wave 4/5 signals firm up.
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BITCOIN Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 86,080.52.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 92,932.85.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITCOIN -VOLUME TREND ANALYSISHere is what the volume is telling us on this BTCUSD 2-day chart:
1. Low, stable participation (June–mid-October)
Volumes are relatively flat and modest.
This is typical of a “normal” trending environment: no aggressive accumulation or distribution, just routine trading flow.
2. Expansion in bearish volume during the sell-off (late October–November)
As price breaks down from the top and respects the descending trendline, you see a clear step-up in red (selling) bars.
That combination—falling price + rising volume—signals strong distribution, i.e., sellers in control, not just a shallow pullback.
3. Climactic / stopping volume at the recent low (around 80,537)
Near the blue “Low 80,537” level, there is a cluster of very high bars, with both big red and a very large green bar.
This often represents a selling climax: late sellers capitulate into strong demand.
The immediate bounce from that level supports the idea that smart money is willing to transact size there, either taking profits on shorts or initiating longer-term buys.
4. Rally on decent but slightly cooling volume (current move toward 92k)
On the move up from the low, green volume is still elevated vs. the earlier months, but not as extreme as the climax bar.
That suggests this leg is reactive (short covering + fresh buying), but the market has not yet proved a full trend reversal.
5. Key read-throughs from the volume trend
The trend of volume is up compared with mid-year: more participation, especially on the downside and at the low.
The big spike at the low looks like stopping volume, not the start of a new aggressive down-leg.
For a cleaner bullish story, you would want to see:
A break of the descending trendline and the black supply box on strong green volume, or
Any retest of the 80.5k support happening on much lower volume (showing sellers are exhausted and buyers are absorbing quietly).
In summary: volume confirms that the prior drop was driven by strong selling, but the extreme activity at the low plus the subsequent bounce suggest a potential transition phase (from aggressive distribution to possible accumulation), not yet a fully confirmed new uptrend.
BTCUSD SELL 104400On the daily chart, ETHUSD has stabilized and rebounded, with bulls holding the upper hand in the short term. Currently, attention should be paid to the resistance around 104400, a potential shorting entry point for a bearish bat pattern, which also falls within the previous supply zone.
BTC : Broadening Wedge Trade with Possible 107k/115k Targets A Descending Broadening Wedge is visible on the BTC 12 hour chart.
This can offer a quick trade opportunity as these patterns typically break upwards more often than not.
The wedge shows expanding price action with lower highs and lower lows.
Points A and B mark where price touched the wedge boundaries.
Right now price is testing the lower trendline support.
Trade Plan:
Stop Loss: Must be set at 81k (bottom of the wedge). If it breaks below this, the pattern is invalidated.
Target 1: 107k
Target 2: 115k (top of the wedge/measured move)
Things to Watch:
Wait for a breakout above the upper trendline for confirmation
Volume should pick up on a real breakout
81k is critical support - a clean break below kills the setup






















