BOJ in FOCUS. BTC COULD RETURN TO 96-97KMorning folks,
So, our gut feeling has not failed us last time as we decided to stay aside from any new longs. This week is a poor job to guess what will happen on BoJ meeting, but it definitely will be important for all crypto currencies. Theoretically, narrowing of carry trade rates difference will make a bad service to BTC, as a most volatile asset...
Still, now we have a bullish grabbers on the daily chart. They look tempting. Especially because they do not demand far standing stops... I'm not confident with them at 100%, taking in consideration overall weak performance, but it is possible to risk and try them. If they will work BTC will return back to 96.4 - 97K area and finally complete our AB-CD target.
As an option, you could wait for 1-2 more sessions, as we have time until BoJ still. And we can wait for more confirmation on intraday charts. So, no need to hurry up by far...
Market insights
BTCUSD Weekly Thoughts: Macro Factors in FocusBTCUSD Weekly Market Outlook
BTCUSD ended last week with a bearish close, reflecting short-term hesitation in price action. However, the 89,611 zone continues to act as an important point of control, suggesting ongoing market participation around this level.
From a broader perspective, recent geopolitical developments related to Ukraine have increased demand for alternative and safe-haven assets. At the same time, a weakening U.S. dollar has provided underlying support to BTCUSD, helping to stabilize price despite last week’s bearish close.
Looking ahead, several U.S. economic reports are scheduled for release this week. These data points may further influence USD strength and overall market sentiment. If dollar weakness persists, it could continue to shape a more constructive environment for BTCUSD.
In Bullish Scenario BTC may reach ATH in next few weeksThe market is extremely bearish, and there is a lot of fear right now. This scenario has happened before—BTC surprised everyone and pumped. Then, suddenly, everyone becomes bullish again, and that’s when BTC dumps by around 50% or more.
Not a financial advice. I could be wrong in very next week.
BTCUSD Bearish below 93,700The BTCUSD currency pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 93,700
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
Bearish Scenario (rejection at 93,700):
A failed test and rejection at 93,700 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
84,340 – Initial support
82,350 – Intermediate support
80,490 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 93,700):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 93,700 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
95,160 – First resistance
97,085 – Further upside target
Conclusion
BTCUSD remains under bearish pressure, with the 98,240 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC/USD Bullish trend breakdown selling strong📉 BTCUSD – SELL SETUP (4H TIMEFRAME)
BTCUSD is showing bearish pressure after a bullish trendline breakdown followed by consolidation breakdown.
Price is reacting lower from the 88,000 zone, confirming short-term downside momentum.
🔻 Entry: Sell from 88,000 area
🎯 Technical Targets:
• 85,700
• 84,700
• 82,200
📊 Timeframe: 4H
🧠 Structure-based trade | Momentum confirmation
⚠️ Risk Management is key
Always use proper position sizing and a well-defined stop-loss.
👍 Like | ➕ Follow | 💬 Comment | 🔁 Share
📌 Trade smart, not emotional
Bitcoin rebound expectedMacro Liquidity: Interest Rate Cut Implemented & QT Terminated, Leading to Easy Capital Conditions
The Federal Reserve has successfully carried out its third interest rate cut of the year as scheduled in December. Although it did not issue additional dovish guidance, the keynote of accommodative policies has been firmly established. The key supporting factors are as follows: ① The Federal Reserve has launched a 30-day plan to purchase $40 billion worth of Treasury bonds, which directly injects short-term liquidity into the market and eases the tension of capital strain. ② The Quantitative Tightening (QT) policy was officially terminated on December 1st, putting an end to the monthly withdrawal of $95 billion in liquidity and laying a fundamental underpinning for risk assets. ③ The US Dollar Index has pulled back to 98.36 and maintained a strong negative correlation with Bitcoin; the weakening of the US dollar has further opened up room for upward movement. Currently, the market has fully absorbed the pressure from "weaker-than-expected policies", and the dividends from loose liquidity are being gradually unleashed.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:89000-90000
tp:92000-93000-95000
sl:88000
Bitcoin ... BTCUSD .... Bitcoin / Dollar $Expanding Ending Diagonal / Distribution Wyckoff Schematic # 1 explained all rules of waves and their retracements %.
We are in Accumulation zone between pull and push inside Accumulation zone >
by the way, Our Target prices will be in 2026 - MAY - September = 129000 $ - 132000 $
Be Patient, Need Much Patience
Best of Luck to all.
2H | BTC/USD Bullish Setup & Key LevelsBitcoin is currently trading near $89,854, showing signs of recovery after retesting trendline support. Price action suggests a potential bullish continuation if the market holds above the $89,000 zone.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: $89,000 – $90,001
Target 1: $92,002
Target 2: $95,004
Invalidation: $86,026 (break below this level negates bullish bias)
Scenario:
If price sustains above the bullish zone and breaks $90,001, buyers may push toward $92,002 and possibly $95,004.
Failure to hold above $89,000 could lead to invalidation at $86,026.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always confirm signals and manage risk.
BTCUSD: tactical retest🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to break out of the descending channel toward the 100,000 area. The market is currently in a consolidation phase, preparing for a retest of the resistance zone between $92,000 and $93,000. The chart shows a "local bullish signal," indicating momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. A successful breakout from this zone is expected to allow buyers to test the area near $104,351.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Buy on retest of the zone $92,000 – $93,000
🎯 Take Profit: $104,351 Resistance)
🔴 Stop Loss: approx. $87,900
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current technical chart patterns; crypto markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid changes.
Bitcoin .... BTCUSD ... BITCOIN/DOLLAR ..The Key level 💯 88500$, if it Breaks up , W shape/Double Bottom pattern will be implemented .
Target price almost 93520$ initially, and could be much more.
W2 comes in Triple Combo / Triple Three Combination manner.
Who will win Bulls or Bears 🐻.... let's see 👀.
Selena | BTCUSD -Trend Support Holding | Demand Building BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTC remains inside a bullish macro channel while repeatedly defending the 89.5k–90k demand zone. Price is compressing directly under the buy-side liquidity cluster at 92.9k–93.6k. This is accumulation, not distribution.
A bullish continuation ONLY activates with a clean break of short-term structure.
Bullish Continuation Setup
Requires:
Break above 92.5k
Hold above 92.0k after retest
Once confirmed:
🎯 Target 1 → 93.2k
🎯 Target 2 → 94.0k
🎯 Target 3 → 96.8k–97.5k (major liquidity draw)
Bearish Breakdown Setup
Failure of 89.5k demand = collapse.
Triggers if:
Candle closes below 89.2k
Targets:
📉 87.0k
📉 84.8k
📉 82.0k liquidity shelf
Bias:
Neutral until 92.5k breaks.
Bullish above 92.5k.
Bearish under 89.2k.
⚠️ For educational purposes only.
BTC USDHI GUYS,
Today we had a quick buy and sell scalp.
tomorrow we buy and hold for at least 2 days , then we make our swing sell on thur, fri historical sell price pattern.
Lets see what happens in the morning.
NOTE.
Always remember that the markets are not entirely automated so it can fail to reach areas of interest or what many call support and resistance levels, but the days of the week and price pattern never fails.
This is not financial advise but historical advice, please trade with care
Is everyone too bearish on BTC? Up to $108k before down?Everyone is extremely bearish on BTC here calling for new lows, but the chart and indicators don't look like they support a move straight down.
Even though we're technically consolidating in a bear flag, I don't think we actually break to the downside (yet).
To me, it looks like we should see a large bounce first up to the $103k-108k range, then I think a larger downside move can play out down to the lower support levels.
The reason why I don't think we see a move straight down is because we're so oversold on high timeframes (weekly) and we're still above key support levels. It makes more sense to me to see a fake out move up that makes everyone bullish again before we see the large move down.
As long as we remain above that $86.1k support level, then I think this is a strong possibility of an outcome.
Let's see if we can hold that level and how it plays out.
BULLISH FOR WHILE AGAIN . Hi Everyone
Identified another potential buying setup today. This represents my second trade of the week, following a successful outcome on the first position. Market structure continues to show signs of additional buy opportunities forming, which I will continue to monitor closely.
This journal entry is for personal record-keeping and reflection only and does not constitute financial advice.
Best of luck
BTC Dip and RipBTC appears to be repeating the pattern from a similar decline on December 10th by falling and consolidating around monthly VWAP (yellow dots). It swept a pocket of liquidity around 89,100-300 and cascaded lower during the low volume trading which was expected. The next large liquidity cluster on the weekly is around 95k, so I think we target that next. However, I'm targeting a more conservative range of 93,000-500 since this area has acted as very strong resistance lately and for the following reasons:
low amount of nearby short liquidations required to rapidly cascade upwards (toward 100k)
futures open interest is still bearish but modestly recovering
IBIT while put/call OI is bullish, the excessive calls (1.1MM vs. 617k puts) are acting as resistance due to spot hedging
dealer gamma positioning is positive which acts to dampen volatility (both directions)
I have also provided an alternate path which has BTC testing the lower trend line of the bear flag on the 1D chart. If this line breaks, then the measured move projects a potential low of $65k. I will definitely cut longs and flip short on a meaningful break of this trend line.
I opened at 90k on Friday. I expected the liquidity sweep but I'm trading IBIT options, which required a commitment before NY close. I expect the trade to play out by the end of this week.
Connect the DotsAre you seeing this. Self explanatory i think. Alt season about to start, so much upward potential, and it makes sense because sentiment is at a low. Take it for what you will, I definitely missed this before i could have taken advantage at this recent crash, but it will feel irrelevant in the end. $$$
BTC/USDT - The Calm Before the Storm - Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is not simply moving sideways.
Price is currently compressed inside a critical technical structure, where buying and selling pressure is tightening aggressively. Historically, this type of compression often precedes a strong impulsive move.
After the sharp decline from the 126,000 area, BTC has entered a controlled consolidation phase within a falling wedge, while still trading below the major descending trendline. This is a decisive zone where the market chooses between reversal or continuation.
---
Current Market Structure
The higher-timeframe trend remains bearish, but selling pressure is weakening
Higher lows are forming, signaling early buyer participation
Volatility is shrinking → energy is being stored
Price is approaching the apex of the pattern, meaning a breakout decision is near
This is the market loading liquidity before the next major move.
---
Bullish Scenario — “Reversal Confirmation Zone”
If BTC:
Breaks and closes strongly above the descending trendline
Holds above 94,300
Shows expanding volume
Then:
The corrective phase is likely complete
Bearish structure starts to fail
A medium-term bullish reversal becomes highly probable
Upside targets:
99,000 → 103,000 → 107,000
A clean breakout could shift market sentiment from fear to confidence.
---
Bearish Scenario — “Continuation Trap”
If BTC:
Gets rejected again at the trendline
Loses the 90,300 support
Breaks down below the wedge structure
Then:
The consolidation becomes a bearish continuation pattern
Late buyers get trapped
The dominant downtrend resumes
Downside targets:
86,000 → 82,200 → potential retest of 80,500
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Key Levels to Watch
94,300 – 99,000 → Breakout validation or fakeout zone
90,300 → Psychological mid-range support
86,000 – 82,200 → Final defensive demand zone
Price reaction at these levels matters more than any indicator.
---
Bitcoin is trading at a structural decision point.
This is not an area for FOMO — it is an area for confirmation.
➡️ Breakout = follow the trend
➡️ Breakdown = respect risk
Let price action do the talking.
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#BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #FallingWedge #MarketStructure #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney
BTC at CrossroadsThere's no easy answer here and Bitcoin is at a crossroads - bounce off trend for significant bullish move or break for bearish continuation. BOJ rate hike has been predicted for months and is likely priced in but whales are selling calls to cushion themselves from potential downside. Difficult to call but I am leaning bull in the short term.
BTCUSD: Is This Consolidation Building the Next Expansion?Bitcoin has transitioned from a strong impulsive selloff into a more compressed and irregular price structure, suggesting the market may be shifting from panic-driven movement into recalibration. Momentum has slowed, but volatility remains present, indicating that participation has not fully exited the market.
This type of price behaviour often appears when short-term direction becomes unclear and liquidity begins to rebalance ahead of a larger decision. Rather than a clean continuation, the structure currently reflects uncertainty, a common precursor to a sharper move once conviction returns.
The coming sessions should provide greater clarity as Bitcoin approaches a point where patience, not prediction, becomes the key advantage.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.






















