HoldHOLD decision reaffirmed for the position entered at $183.25. Strong fundamentals, record backlog, and strategic moat in domestic manufacturing justify patience despite near-term volatility.
Trade ideas
New Trade Idea: First Solar (FSLR) Setup for Long-Term SwingEntered a position in First Solar (FSLR) at $183.25. This trade setup presents strong fundamentals, including impressive profitability and financial health, though there are a few risks to monitor.
🔑 Key Strengths:
✅ Strong profitability turnaround (Net Income up to $1.26B TTM)
✅ Debt-free with a solid Debt-to-Equity of 0.12
✅ Excellent efficiency (Gross Margin of 45.6%)
✅ Exposure to expanding clean energy markets both in the U.S. and globally
⚠️ Risks to Keep an Eye On:
❗️ Negative Free Cash Flow (-$942M TTM) due to heavy CapEx
❗️ Tightening liquidity (Quick Ratio of 1.41)
Given the favorable technical setup and strong fundamentals, this is a solid mid-term swing trade, but the cash flow and liquidity concerns will need close monitoring.
Would love to hear your thoughts—do you think FSLR is still undervalued, or is it priced for perfection?
$FSLR – Big Breakout Over $200 on Solar Sector CatalystNASDAQ:FSLR – Solar Sector Breakout on Major U.S. Supply Chain News
First Solar ( NASDAQ:FSLR ) is ripping through the $200 breakout level today, fueled by a powerful sector-wide catalyst.
🔹 The News Driving It:
Solar stocks are catching a major bid after T1 Energy (NYSE: TE) announced a strategic supply agreement with Corning to produce fully American-made solar panels.
This strengthens investor confidence in the U.S. domestic solar supply chain — a narrative Wall Street loves right now.
🔹 The Technicals:
NASDAQ:FSLR has cleared $200 resistance with strength and volume.
The chart has been coiling for weeks — this breakout is resolving a larger base.
Sector momentum + breakout structure = high probability for continuation.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Breakout over $200 with strong volume confirmation.
2️⃣ Stop: Just below the breakout level to protect gains if it reverses.
3️⃣ Target: Riding sector momentum — trailing stop strategy for potential extension.
Why I Like This Setup:
Clean technical breakout aligning perfectly with a macro & sector catalyst.
NASDAQ:FSLR is a leader in the solar space — when the sector runs, leaders often outperform.
Volume today confirms institutional interest.
$FSLR - forming a tight channel breakoutNASDAQ:FSLR - stock getting tight on the channel. Stock in a steady uptrend channel. Possible breakout here above $215 resistance . $222 level break need for bigger uptrend move.
FSLR Analysis FSLR broke above its descending trendline in May, a move that signaled a potential shift in momentum.
More recently, a golden cross formed between the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, reinforcing the improving technical structure. I also highlighted a prior golden cross that was followed by a sharp rally, showing this signal has had impact before.
With structure turning more constructive, I expect price may continue advancing toward the order block between 264–270 USD.
🎯 Conclusion: I anticipate FSLR could progress into the 264–270 USD zone. This view is based on technical signals, but market outcomes remain uncertain and cannot be guaranteed.
First solar seeing upside to continue NASDAQ:FSLR has broken out of the ascending triangle with strong bullish bar and volume. On top of that, the stock has broken out of the downtrend line and this signal the end of its corrective downside.
MACD has confirmed the upside momentum after both the signal/MACD line and histogram is above the zero line. Stochastic oscillator has been rising steadily, together with the 23-period ROC. Long-term target 350.00
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) Powers Global Solar AdoptionFirst Solar, Inc. (FSLR) is a leading global provider of solar panels and utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) power plants. Unlike many peers, the company uses advanced thin-film semiconductor technology, offering efficiency and durability while lowering manufacturing costs. First Solar’s growth is driven by the worldwide push for renewable energy, expansion of large-scale solar projects, and strong government incentives supporting clean power adoption.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume highlights strong momentum. The price has entered the momentum zone by breaking above the .236 Fibonacci level. Traders can use the Fibonacci snap tool to set a trailing stop just below that level, helping protect profits while leaving room for further gains.
First Solar (FSLR) • 15‑min Intraday Insight | SMC + Equilibrium📊 Current price: $156.36 intraday (range: $152.58–$158.22)
🔹 Volume: Moderate–high—confirming institutional interest
🔍 Setup Overview
Structure: Multiple BOS & CHoCH transitions marking bullish structure
Equilibrium Zone📊 Current price: $156.36 intraday (range: $152.58–$158.22)
🔹 Volume: Moderate–high—confirming institutional interest
🔍 Setup Overview
Structure: Multiple BOS & CHoCH transitions marking bullish structure
Equilibrium Zone: Consolidation between ~$148–150 offering a clear base
Premium/Weak‑High: $173.70 zoned as next supply zone resistance
💡 Execution Rationale
Price broke equilibrium, now buyers hugging structure
Entry set on BOS above short-term swing (~$154 range)
Stops below equilibrium low (~$148)
Targeting supply zone at $173.70 (+11%)
🎯 Trade Plan
Long Entry: On break above consolidation high (~$158+)
Stop Loss: Below equilibrium (~$148)
Target: $173.70 (first reaction zone)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.5
Summary: First Solar is building clean intraday structure with institutional volume support. If price continues upward momentum, a move into the $173–174 premium zone seems probable.
#FSLR #Intraday #SMC #Equilibrium #SwingTrade #TradingView #VolProfile
: Consolidation between ~$148–150 offering a clear base
Premium/Weak‑High: $173.70 zoned as next supply zone resistance
💡 Execution Rationale
Price broke equilibrium, now buyers hugging structure
Entry set on BOS above short-term swing (~$154 range)
Stops below equilibrium low (~$148)
Targeting supply zone at $173.70 (+11%)
🎯 Trade Plan
Long Entry: On break above consolidation high (~$158+)
Stop Loss: Below equilibrium (~$148)
Target: $173.70 (first reaction zone)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.5
Summary: First Solar is building clean intraday structure with institutional volume support. If price continues upward momentum, a move into the $173–174 premium zone seems probable.
#FSLR #Intraday #SMC #Equilibrium #SwingTrade #TradingView #VolProfile
Big Moves Ahead for FSLR? Don’t Miss This Market InsightFSLR Market Breakdown: Strong Technical Rebound Meets Solid Fundamentals
First Solar (FSLR) is showing signs of a potential trend reversal after a period of extended weakness. The stock recently broke above key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) and Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) — including the 20, 50, and 100-day averages — following a strong base-building phase near its multi-month lows. This technical breakout may signal renewed institutional interest and growing momentum among swing traders.
Price Action: After forming a solid support base around the $130–$135 range, FSLR surged higher, breaking through its descending trendline and reclaiming major moving averages.
Moving Averages: The stock has crossed above both its 50-day SMA and 21-day EMA, which often serve as key indicators for trend shifts. A bullish crossover of short-term EMAs over longer-term SMAs strengthens the bullish thesis.
Volume Confirmation: The breakout was accompanied by an increase in volume, suggesting accumulation rather than just a technical bounce.
Sector Tailwinds: The renewable energy sector — particularly solar — is benefiting from long-term macro trends including the global energy transition, increased government incentives (like the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act), and rising ESG investment demand.
Earnings Strength: First Solar recently posted strong earnings, beating analyst expectations both on the top and bottom lines. Margins improved thanks to better pricing power, operational efficiency, and strong backlog.
Capacity Expansion: The company continues to invest heavily in expanding its U.S.-based manufacturing facilities, positioning itself strategically amid increasing tensions around supply chains and tariff policies.
Valuation Perspective: Despite the recent rally, FSLR still trades at relatively reasonable forward multiples compared to its clean energy peers — making it an attractive option for growth-oriented investors with a long-term horizon.
The confluence of technical strength and improving fundamentals makes FSLR a stock worth watching. A sustained hold above its moving averages could open the door to a move toward previous resistance zones around $165–$170. However, traders should monitor macro factors, sector sentiment, and treasury yields — all of which tend to influence clean energy names.
FSLR Unduly beat down = margin of safetyProfitable company that makes 1 billion in net income with 20 percent margins.
Unduly punished stock. Mainly serves businesses over residential, so the solar tax credit drama is not as relevant. Solar is the future and will only become more commonplace.
Still going strong from its bounce and eyeing the 170-200 level.
FSLR (First Solar Inc.) | High-Conviction Recovery PlayPublished by WaverVanir International LLC | 06/12/2025
FSLR has reclaimed key structure after sweeping a weak low and entering a high-volume discount zone (~$120–135). Price has aggressively surged, forming internal BOS and CHoCH patterns—confirming a liquidity reversal and positioning for a move toward premium supply levels.
🔍 Technical Framework:
✅ Smart Money CHoCH → BOS confirms directional shift
🔵 0.618–0.786 retracement from recent impulse has been respected
🟣 Short-term equilibrium sits around $198.87 — first major resistance
🎯 Long-term target: $261.45 (aligned with strong high & 1.786 Fib extension)
📉 Risk Management & Trade Idea:
Ideal entry zone: $162–$170
Stop-loss idea: Below $148 to protect structure
TP1: $198
TP2 (stretch): $261.45
📈 Macro Catalyst Watch:
U.S. solar investment incentives (IRA policy continuation) ☀️
Semiconductor demand for solar manufacturing tech 🧠⚡
International solar adoption across EM markets
📊 Probability Outlook:
Bullish continuation to $198+: 70%
Push toward $261 zone by Q4 2025: 45%
Rejection back into $145–150: 15%
Volume confirms smart money intent. Pullbacks offer asymmetric entries if structure holds.
#FSLR NASDAQ:FSLR #SolarEnergy #SmartMoneyConcepts #WaverVanir #CleanEnergyStocks #SwingTrading #FibAnalysis #InstitutionalFlow
$FSLR is in motion to $225NASDAQ:FSLR is in motion to $225🚂
- Breakout of downtrend
- Volume shelf launch
- Bullish H5_L indicator
- Bounced off support zone
- WR% is swinging to Red barrier
First solar — long-term opportunity before the spotlight📈 Bought 7 shares @ $154.70
💰 Total investment: $1,083.25
⸻
Turned my attention to the energy sector, and more specifically, First Solar (FSLR).
Why First Solar?
✅ Energy isn’t in the spotlight right now — which means valuations are still attractive. The best time to buy is before the market catches on.
✅ Strongest player among competitors — solid fundamentals and leading technology in the solar space.
✅ Consistent revenue growth and profitability — this isn’t a speculative bet, it’s a profitable company.
📊 Key Fundamentals
+ P/E: 13.45 — significantly below the industry average of 24+
+ P/BV: 2.08 — attractive for a growth-focused energy company
+ ROE: 15.45% — solid return on equity shows strong management efficiency
+ Debt: Clean balance sheet — no red flags
+ Morningstar Fair Value: $168
+ Simply Wall St Fair Value: $249
📉 Market Mispricing?
With multiple sources showing fair value above current levels, and fundamentals in great shape, First Solar looks undervalued in the current market environment.
This is a long-term positioning move, not a short-term trade. I’m happy to accumulate more if the price consolidates or dips.
⸻
📌 Not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
FSLR LONG - bottom of channel Despite Global Economic Conditions
First Solar is one of the only solar companies to grow throughout the renewable energy bear cycle. Drastically rising AI demand = Energy Crises ~ Untapping all wells and alternatives.
FSLR solid earning growth YOY
Chart looks great
Black swan hits, fine holding it long
Posting for record ~ DYOR, holla with questions
BUY $100-130 for LT holdAnalysis:
- LT trend since 2012 shows ~$100 as key support level, even if support (prior resistance now support) from 2014 fails.
- $100 is 67% off of the recent high of $306. Ouch! But this also means there's large upside to get back to those levels.
Despite Trump admin opposition to renewables, FSLR is well positioned with US manufacturing capability, a FWB:20B backlog on current SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B in revenue. This means they could grow YoY throughout the Trump admin with just the current backlog. Also, they're profitable with 30% Net Income margins form the last year. Large commercial customers (namely, tech giants through renewables developers) are happy to continue investing billions in renewables (and to trade high capex for low opex).
Investment Thesis:
- Monitor this $130-135 level. If broken with conviction, we look towards $100 entry points. IMO, worst case is also $100-130 price by EOY 2026.
FIRST SOLAR Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 042425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 118/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
OptionsMastery: Monthly and Weekly Zone on FSLR!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
FLSR - Bulls Will control an Impending Advance---Elliott wave analysis---
As you can see on the daily chart, There is an impulsive cycle from the low of 5960 that validates all the required rules of the Elliott wave principle given below:
Wave (2) can never exceed the starting point of wave (1).
Wave (3) can never be the shortest wave among (1), (3) & (5).
Wave (4) can never enter the price territory of wave (1).
So, we have a valid reason to validate the wave count. In addition, FSLR's wave cycle has the following formation in the wave with Fibonacci levels:
Wave (1) is an impulse wave.
Wave (2) retraced 100% of wave (1). It has formed A-B-C zigzag.
Wave (3) is an extended wave.
Wabe (4) is a complex correction W-X-Y, that retraced to 0.382 level.
Wave (5) is an ending diagonal.
Wave A retraced 0.382 of wave (5), which extended to 1.618 level.
Wave (B) retraced 100% of wave A.
FLSR had accomplished impulsive structure at 232 and started corrective formation. It looks like the correction phase occurred at 132.19 . We can expect a new motive cycle from 132.19 . Traders should carefully watch the breakout of wave 4 of wave (c).
Target projection:
Using Reverse Fibonacci of wave (B)
Reverse Fibonacci Of correction
resistance and pivot levels
From the above projections, we can find a cluster of levels to measure our targets. Traders can follow cluster targets: 168 - 188 - 192 or higher. It can extend up to 100% at 232.
Alternatively, Failure can continue correction to the final support level of 115.58, which is less likely to happen.
---Indicator Study:---
Average true range:
ATR of the FLSR rose to 7.79 when the price was rising. It suggests that we can get a rapid upward move after the breakout of wave (4).
RSI:
The RSI of the FLSR surged from 31.09 to 49.5 . RSI surge along with price suggests that bulls have a strong grip on the stock. We can also see a divergence from the previous move.
Exponential Moving averages:
Major EMAs, such as the 200-day and 100-day , are trading above the price, but the 20-day Exponential Moving Average is being broken by FSLR. Its possible for security to reach quickly to 50 EMA soon.
Thank you!
By @moneydictators on @TradingView Platform
2/21/25 - $fslr - Cannon take fire. long.2/21/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:FSLR
Cannon take fire. long.
- this is by no means as big as NASDAQ:NXT given my conviction, familiarity w/ that one
- but we've reached the point of "come on guys"
- my thesis is we're in the middle of the stock market crash and it's been asynchronous which is why nobody is noticing and different mag7s have been used/ picked weekly to dampen vol. but if you look at any of them on a stand alone basis, you'll see -15% to -30% from peaks to troughs
- will orange guy come and shoot solar headlines? guys idk, if i had a crystal ball i'd probably be warning everyone not posting on stonks
- but fslr cash gen and leadership in the industry, multiples seem v v v reasonable here esp given it's a much higher quality name than enph, sedg both of which put up amazing results (not rewarded bc tide go out - we've been talking about this)
- but some of my heavy cash has gone to this one today. next week they report. i'm v clear that ex post seems to be a better game to play esp w names less familiar or playing just tape/ multiples
- but seeing industry laggards report good results
- and the stocks only go lower
- we're in value territory here w/ fcf yield >10%
- i'll be hitting the big hard on a risk off, so have ammo to go, but not playing this light. we're doing pretty well on the year, so i'm pressing the advantage and working off the above thesis.
V
FSLR Elliott Wave buying opportunityDue to an engulfing pattern and completion of 5 wave impulsive Elliott wave pattern, I expect First Solar to correct to price levels below in black from where I expect it to rally to new all time high as shown as black price levels
1/22/25 - $fslr - r/r merits a punt long <$1751/22/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:FSLR
r/r merits a punt long <$175
- my fav solar name remains NASDAQ:NXT , don't get it twisted
- but if say NASDAQ:NXT is my $tsm.... NASDAQ:FSLR is my $nvda. it's a bit higher octane, bigger cap. more headline grabby etc.
- double the mgns of NASDAQ:NXT , but big capex (why i like NASDAQ:NXT is it's much capital-lighter)
- but don't forget agent orange has elon on the team and guess who remains +ve solar. yuh yuh credits this credits that. look... if we r going to "drill drill drill" - and don't say i didn't write about this event - the best scenario is a balance generation profile and we export a lot of oil.
- does it take time? is this the low V? no clue fam.
- but the sell off looks like a quick buck/ punt sub $175. so i've done some S calls to size up gross without touching my notional.
just flagging in case you're inclined to opine, troll me or otherwise just follow along.
V
Great Buy.......First Solor......leading US Solar Manufacture!NASDAQ:FSLR has great Fundamentals, and we are now signaling Bullish Divergence (2h Chart). The post-election selloff is a little overdone. This was due to the market anticipating the trade disruption caused by Trump tariffs. With NASDAQ:FSLR being domestically positioned I believe this is a great buying opportunity on this stock......I am not a financial advisor this is just my outlook and predictions on the market.
