$VLO Pierce Double Top NYSE:VLO has exhibited a Pierced Double Top pattern and subsequently retraced. For traders considering this position, it's crucial to note that a weekly close above the established horizontal resistance line will serve as a stop-out level. As always, we emphasize the importance of entering a trade with predefined targets in mind to optimize risk management."
Valero Energy Corporation
No trades
Trade ideas
VLO: Ascending Triangle, Not confirmed (54,83%)(28/1000)(28/1000)
Ascending Triangle for VLO on the daily chart.
Not confirmed
Possible 54,83% gains.
Valero follows the SPN (energy sector, chart on right).
Energy sector is building into an ascending triangle (not confirmed) with a possible 41,62% gain.
VLO analysis:
Pros:
1- Bullish Ascending triangle
3- PPS above 50MA and 200MA
3- R/R ratio above 5
4- 250RSI above 50 and ascending
5- 50MA ascending
6- RS above 0 and ascending
Cons:
1- 200MA flat
2- 50MA is NOT above 200MA
3- ATR flat, less volatility
Target price is 224,89$
Stay humble, have fun, make money!
MAAX!
Fundamental & Technical analysis of Valero!Valuation: VLO is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.3x, which is below the industry average of 15.9x. This suggests that the stock is undervalued. VLO's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is also 1.1x, which is below the industry average of 1.4x. This suggests that the stock is also undervalued on a book value basis.
Profitability: VLO has a strong track record of profitability. In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings per share of $8.45, which was up 54.7% year-over-year. VLO's return on equity (ROE) is 25.1%, which is above the industry average of 11.5%.
Growth: VLO is expected to grow its earnings per share by an average of 10.5% per year over the next three years. This growth is driven by the company's plans to expand its renewable fuels business and its focus on efficiency improvements.
Dividend: VLO is a dividend-paying stock. The company currently pays a quarterly dividend of $0.90 per share, which gives it a dividend yield of 3.05%.
Risks: The main risks to VLO include:
Changes in oil prices: VLO is a refiner, so its profits are sensitive to changes in oil prices. If oil prices fall, VLO's profits will also fall.
Increased competition: The oil refining industry is competitive, and VLO faces competition from other refiners, both domestic and international.
Regulatory changes: VLO is subject to a variety of regulations, and changes in these regulations could impact the company's business.
Overall, VLO is a well-run company with strong fundamentals. The stock is undervalued, and it offers a good dividend yield. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with the oil refining industry.
Technical indicators: The daily chart for VLO shows that the stock is trading above its 200-day moving average, which is a bullish signal. The stock is also forming a bullish pattern called a cup and handle. This pattern is often followed by a breakout to the upside.
Price forecast: Based on the technical analysis, I believe that VLO has the potential to reach a price target of $150.
VLO Reversal Pattern - Pump to $127🐂 Trade Idea: Long - VLO
🔥 Account Risk: 1.00%
📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option
🔍 Entry: +/- 116.75
🐿 DCA: No
😫 Stop-Loss: 107.99
🎯 Take-Profit #1: 127.09 (75%)
🎯 Trail Rest: Yes
🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨
If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button!
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What we see here is a typical reversal pattern. We gain the 114 level downward but fail to hold it and gain the 114 level again in an upward movement which is also the former lower low. If you’re more of a break out trader you can trade this setup directly long with a target at 127 and a stop-loss at 108. We’ve held this level for six days so far. If you want to make sure the trade is safer wait for a re-test around 116-114 and trade the long after a strong rejection. If you prefer the re-test make sure to put your stop-loss to 111-112 because you don’t want to see more downward pressure from that point on.
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Bottoming at Strong SupportSince the 16th December 2019 we've got a strong support level. It had been reached at 1st May again and held up to now. A test of the low of 13th March seems likely but one should have in mind that we are still sticking in the range with the low of the 5th of December 2022.
VALERO Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 060723 Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 113/61.80%
Chart time frame : C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Valero (VLO) More Energy LongsVLO tapped the midpoint at $110.01 and hit the perfect reentry at $109.04. If it gets another good chance to get long we'll take it. If not, because it hit right off the midpoint perfectly if it gets to the final target we'll get short with a tight stop too see what kind of reversal we can get at $111.96.
VLO Valero Energy Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the VLO Valero Energy options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $143 strike price Calls with
2023-2-3 expiration date for about
$4.20 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
VLO confirms breakoutOn my radar is this energy sector company called Valero Energy Corporation, Ticker: VLO
The idea details:
Ideal Entry @ $136.00
Ideal Stop @ $125.25
Ideal Target(s) @ $146.50, $160.25 & $167.25
Option Proxy:
Expiration: June 16, 2023
Strike: 150
Ideal Entry Price: $8.00
Ticker: .VLO230616C150
Trade Plan:
Entering trade at approximately $136.00 would be ideal, upon testing target 1 @ $146.50 we’d sell 1/3 of our position booking partial profits, at that time we would also move our Stop to our ideal entry @ breakeven. Upon testing target 2 @ $160.25 we’d sell another 1/3 of our position booking additional partial profits, at that time we would also move our Stop to where we took our first profits @ target 1. We’d allow our last 1/3 to run towards our final target or stop us out for profits at the target 1 location. Maintain Option Proxy profit taking in conjunction with the underlying stock price.
ABC BullishPrice has fallen from a rising wedge and did not go back down to C.
There was also a small RSI divergence and it appears both have corrected.
STOP below C.
No recommendation.
D is the target. It can be 100% of leg AB or a greater or a lesser Fib level of leg AB.
It is a measured move that occurs over and over in the market. This pattern will reverse at D.
It appears that the lower trendline of the wedge is causing resistance today.
$VLO daily bear flag VLO reports earnings later this month. I have a decent long position in this name, but for a day trade or swing Idea, I like longs over 128 and puts under 124.4
I personally believe what worked in 2022 won't in 2023, so oil names may not be as safe of a hiding place for big funds this new year.
What Is Smart Money?Smart money is capital placed in the market by institutional investors, market mavens, central banks, funds, and other financial professionals.
Smart money also refers to the force that influences and moves financial markets, often led by the actions of central banks.
Smart money is invested on a much larger scale than retail investments.
But do you know why they call themselves Smart?
Because their access to data and their analytical ability at any given moment is much higher than retail traders!
Bringing the game to the next level:
After I publish my analysis for VLO on March 7th, 2022, and mentioned an opportunity to buy at 86-87 level with a 46% gain in less than 6 months:
1- March 8th,2022:
- Bank of America added VLO to the US1 list and adjusted its target price to 135 from 107 for 2022.
(The US 1 list reflects strategic stock recommendations made by the BofA Merrill Lynch US 1 committee.)
-Scotiabank Raises Price Target for Valero Energy to $90 From $83.
2-March 14th,2022:
-JPMorgan Adjusts Valero Energy's Price Target to $101 From $95
-Tudor Pickering Raises Price Target for Valero Energy to $104 From $93
So, it is not impossible to beat the so-called smart money..!
Another layer of analysis:
If you are looking at oil prices since March 7th, you see a 15-20% correction, but VLO is up more than 6.3% since then???
Because there is something more important than Oil price for refineries..!
That is called Crack spread..!
Any increase in the crack spread will increase refineries profit exponentially..!
While the oil price is 34% up YTD, Crack spread is up 91% YTD, which means lower oil prices could increase the refineries profit..!
moreover, VLO is the second biggest Biodiesel producer in the world and benefit from it as well..!
Conclusion:
I will not care about oil price as long as the crack spread is higher than the 2021 average(21)..!
Best,
Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
* I have a long position.
VLO opportunity on dip buyDon't know why this sold off today, there is insider selling, but this is a solid energy play. Good dividend, excellent growth metrics. Solid 50 day, 200 day, and 52 week EMAs. I own since 34% ago, will add more should it dip to 61.8% fib around $125. Energy momo is here to stay for a while.
Why you need exit strategy ???It was March 7th when I published my first VLO analysis:
I revised my target price to 140 on April 26:
then VLO went up to 148
+84% in less than 100 days..!
Now you see the highest ever revenue and learning per share, but the price is 25% below its All time high???
Why?
Maybe the best answer is provided by George Soros:
The reality is that financial markets are self-destabilizing; occasionally they tend toward disequilibrium, not equilibrium.
Best,






















