TCS - Positional - LongTCS in heavy oversold zone. Double bottom and support at level of 3000. Far away from 200 EMA on D timeframe. Bounce back will push its price till 3500 as first level where it will face resistance again. Consolidation around 3500 will push again till 4300+. Buy entry for positional long.
TCS trade ideas
TCS Swing Trade Setup📊 Price Action & Trend Analysis
Analyzing market trends using price action, key support/resistance levels, and candlestick patterns to identify high-probability trade setups.
Always follow the trend and manage risk wisely!
Price Action Analysis Interprets Market Movements Using Patterns And Trends On Price Charts.
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Large Cap IT Stock - Will it take support?In last few weeks, TCS has corrected significantly. Presently around support zone. Still the overall sentiments around IT sector is not very positive given the results, the associated commentary from different companies. Will TCS buck the trend or see some more correction. Below the current support zone (2900-3000), down move can take it towards 2600.
Disclaimer - View shared for study and learning. Kindly consult your advisor before taking any positions.
TCS SHORT-TERM ANALYSISTCS seems to have made a low for short term. The max downside risk is limited upto 8%, which would be 2882 from the current market price of 3140. But the recent bounce from 3000 levels is giving hope for further upside momentum, and this momentum will get stronger once TCS crosses and sustains above 3288. Upon that, we can expect highs upto 3540-3590. And if it breaches the recent support of 3000, then the downside risk upto 2882 will open .
THIS IS MY PERSONAL VIEW AND NOT A BUY/SELL RECOMMENDATION.
TCS to 5000 if it clears 3400-3500TCS future price outlook (as per recent market chatter & analyst commentary):
Short term (3–6 months): ₹3,400–₹3,600 possible if sentiment improves post the U.S. tariff uncertainty, Q2/Q3 results show steady deal wins, and IT sector demand stabilizes.
Medium term (12–18 months): ₹4,000–₹4,500 possible if U.S. recession fears fade, large digital transformation deals continue, and margins expand due to cost optimization.
Why TCS could go up after the tariff dust settles:
Strong order book – TCS still has multi-year contracts from BFSI, retail, and manufacturing clients that aren’t directly tariff-sensitive.
Weak rupee benefit – A depreciating INR boosts export earnings for IT companies like TCS.
Digital demand – Enterprises continue investing in AI, cloud, and automation projects where TCS has leadership.
Share buybacks & dividends – TCS often announces buybacks, which support the stock price.
IT sector rebound – Historically, Indian IT stocks recover strongly once macro headwinds are priced in.
TCS Chart Analysis: Key Trends and Predictions for August 2025**TCS Historical Pullbacks Analysis and Outlook**
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) has exhibited a remarkable long-term uptrend, punctuated by a series of significant corrections. Your chart annotation highlights a compelling technical pattern: TCS has experienced three major pullbacks of approximately **27%** each over the past decade. These deep corrections have historically been followed by periods of robust recovery and new highs.
Interestingly, your chart also marks two exceptional occasions where the stock witnessed even deeper corrections, around **34%**, the most recent of which may still be in progress. The ability of TCS to consistently bounce back after such steep declines testifies to its underlying strength, market leadership, and the confidence of long-term investors.
**Key Insights From the Chart:**
- **Three 27% Pullbacks:** Marked by distinct blue boxes, each of these corrections provided attractive accumulation opportunities, and each was followed by renewed bullish momentum.
- **Rare 34% Corrections:** These are far less frequent, indicating abnormal market stress or broader corrections, but also highlight zones of potential capitulation and renewed accumulation.
- **Current Status:** The latest price action suggests another 34% pullback may be underway or nearing completion, as marked in orange annotation.
**Strategic Takeaway:**
Given TCS’s proven track record of recovery after such corrections, investors may view these deep pullbacks as strategic buying opportunities for the long term. Patience and discipline are critical, as the stock often rewards those who accumulate during periods of pessimism.
**Conclusion:**
TCS remains a robust large-cap IT pick. Historical patterns suggest that major corrections—while unnerving—tend to precede strong rallies. Investors should watch for signs of stabilization and reversal to position themselves for the next phase of growth, always aligning choices with personal risk tolerance.
"TCS Takes a COVID-Style Dive Again – Is It Time to Buy?"Price Action History:
During the COVID crash, TCS fell nearly 35% from its top, eventually taking support at the 100 EMA on the monthly chart and staging a strong bounce.
In 2022 (June,july,Sep,Oct), around 3000 zone was tested multiple times, followed by a significant rally.
📊 Current Scenario:
Once again, TCS is trading near the ₹2950–₹3000 zone, which coincides with the 100-month EMA – a historically proven support level.
Price action suggests we are at a critical inflection point similar to past major bottoms.
✅ Key Technical Levels:
Support Zone: ₹2950–₹3000 (100 EMA Monthly+ 2022 support level)
Immediate Resistance: ₹3300–₹3400
Upside Potential: A bounce similar to COVID & 2022 patterns could trigger a strong upside move.
Trading Strategy:
if you are short term trader Keep a strict stop-loss below ₹2900 (monthly close basis) or 100 monthly EMA
Position sizing is key – don’t over-leverage.
🔎 Conclusion:
For long term trader This zone has historically acted as a strong accumulation area for long-term investors. If history repeats, this could be a high probability buying opportunity for swing and positional traders.
Fundamental Factor
Net Profit (Q1 FY26) ₹12,760 cr (+6% YoY)
Revenue Growth +1.3% YoY (−3.1% in CC)
Operating Margin 24.5% (↑30 bps QoQ)
Trailing P/E 22× (vs 5‑yr average ~24‑26×)
Dividend Yield 2.0%
ROE /ROCE 52%/64%
TCS Near Major Support !
TCS is approaching a critical multi-month support zone between ₹2,880–₹2,860. This level has previously acted as a reliable demand zone in June and July. A retest and breakdown below ₹2,875 may open the gates for further downside toward ₹2,810.
However, a bounce from this support — backed by volume and a strong daily close — could push the stock back to the ₹3,040–₹3,080 resistance range.
🔻 TCS – Approaching Major Support (Daily)
CMP: ₹2,890 (as of Aug 2, 2025)
Support Zone: ₹2,880 – ₹2,860
📌 Key Price Levels:
Major Support: ₹2,880 – ₹2,860
Resistance (Bounce Zone): ₹2,920
Breakdown Trigger: Below ₹2,860
Target (if breakdown): ₹2,810
Target (if bounce): ₹2,940 → ₹2,975
Stop Loss (Bounce Trade): ₹2,855
🧠 Setup Explanation:
TCS is nearing a multi-week demand zone around ₹2,880, previously tested in June and early July. Watch for price action confirmation — either a bounce with volume or a clean break below ₹2,860, which may invite further downside.
TCS: ABC Correction Complete – New Impulse Wave in FocusTCS appears to have completed a classic Elliott Wave structure, consisting of an initial 5-wave impulsive move followed by an A-B-C corrective phase. The recent price action suggests the correction has likely ended, and a new bullish impulsive move is beginning.
Fundamental trigger:
Interestingly, just a few days ago, TCS announced strong quarterly results — reporting solid profits and declaring a dividend. Despite the positive news, the stock reacted negatively and moved lower. This could have been a classic case of "good news, bad reaction" — possibly a stop-loss hunt or smart money absorbing liquidity before the next leg up.
Key technical points:
✅ Wave 1-2-3-4-5 clearly visible, forming the initial impulse.
✅ A-B-C correction appears complete with price reversing from a key support zone.
📈 Bullish structure forming; watching for confirmation with a break above recent highs.
🔍 Technicals and sentiment suggest renewed upside potential, despite short-term shakeouts.
Invalidation below recent swing low (Beginning of 1st Impulsive).
This setup offers a potential long opportunity with a favorable risk-reward
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3000 to hold else we are going more down, target 3400-3700📝 Recent Performance
Q1 FY26
Net profit: ₹12,760 crore (↑6% YoY) .
Revenue: ₹63,437 crore (↓2.2% YoY), third consecutive quarterly decline .
Margins remained solid (~24%) .
Stock Momentum
Broke below key technical support post-Q1; could drop another ~5% .
2025 is the worst-performing sector—IT stocks down ~14%, TCS down ~21% YTD .
🌍 Key Headwinds
Global macro slowdown (geopolitical uncertainty, U.S. tariffs) dampening IT spending .
New bench policy causing employee anxiety — could affect productivity .
Client spending delays in North America, weak sectors like auto/manufacturing seen at other peers .
💡 Catalysts to Watch
Deal pipeline strength: Q1 bookings strong in BFSI & Americas — new deals worth ~$8.3 B .
AI and growth segments: TCS reported AI-infused and cloud pipelines now at ~$1.5 B .
Technical rebound: Stock approaching support/resistance zones between ₹3,150–₹3,600 .
🚀 Outlook: Will TCS Go Up?
Scenario Probability Price Outlook
Base Case 🌤 Moderate ₹3,100–₹3,600: range-bound until spending improves
Bullish Case 📈 Conditional ₹3,700+ if major IT deals (AI/cloud) accelerate
Bearish Case 📉 Possible ₹2,900–₹3,050 if global tech slowdown worsens
✅ Summary
Reason for caution: Slowing revenues, sector weakness, macro uncertainties.
Reasons for optimism: Consistent profitability, strong AI/cloud pipeline, and positive deal wins.
If global IT spending recovers (driven by AI/cloud), TCS could rebound toward ₹3,700+. Until then, it may trade in the ₹3,100–₹3,600 range.
TCS - D1 - Bearish Pennant 🧾 1. 📊 Q1 FY26 Earnings Summary
i. Revenue: ₹63,437 cr (~US $7.4 bn), up just 1.3% YoY, missing expectations of ~₹64,667 cr
ii. Profit/margin held up; revenue disappointed.
📌 Key Takeaway: Profit and margin resilience, but weak revenue growth flagged caution—all aligning with cautious global client sentiment.
🔮 2. Upcoming Events & Catalysts :
Ex‑Dividend Date: Record date July 16, for interim dividend of ₹11/share.
Macro Cues: U.S. tariff developments, global IT spend trends, and sector peers (HCL, Infosys) Q2 reports. Reflation in IT services could shift sentiment.
TCS Investor Engagements: Gen‑AI STEM program (Jul 9); presence at global fintech & life‑sciences events through Sep (SIBOS, COBA) .
📆 3. Catalysts Ahead :
Global IT Budget Trends (esp. U.S. and Europe) → direction for next‑quarter bookings.
Peer Q2 Results (HCL, Infosys) → could provide broader sector cues.
New Deal Wins from BFSI/USD clients → margin & growth potential.
Macro Developments: Trade policies, Fed signals, and inflation data.
Thank you.
TCS Long Opportunity - Medium-Term Swing Trade📈 TCS Long Opportunity – Medium-Term Swing Trade
🔹 Entry : ₹3266 (Last Close)
🔹 Target : ₹3525
🔹 Qty : Up to 25 shares
🔹 Timeframe : ~6 months
🔹 Estimated ROI : ~16.49% annualized
A moderate-risk swing setup on Tata Consultancy Services . Technically and fundamentally aligned for gradual upside, assuming market conditions stay favorable. Entry near current levels with a well-defined target.
⚠️ Trade only if you're comfortable with the risk of capital loss. Position sizing is key.
Technical Trend Analysis of Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), a leading player in the IT services sector, has recently garnered attention for its potential volume increase, making it a focal point for technical analysis.
This blog post delves into the current technical trend analysis of TCS stock (NSE: TCS) based on the 1-day chart.
Selection Rationale
TCS was selected for this analysis due to its observed potential for increased trading volume, a critical indicator of market interest and price movement. The analysis employs a trendline drawn from the highest highs to capture the stock's directional momentum, complemented by Fibonacci retracement levels to identify key support and resistance zones.
Trendline and Fibonacci Analysis
The primary trendline, established from the peak highs, indicates a downward trajectory over the observed period. This suggests a bearish sentiment prevailing in the short term. Overlaying the Fibonacci retracement tool, the price action reveals significant support at the 0.236 level, currently aligning around INR 3,445.70. This level has historically acted as a strong support zone, where the stock price has demonstrated resilience against further declines.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels: The chart highlights resistance at INR 3,660.00 (0.5 Fibonacci level), INR 3,936.90 (0.618 level), and INR 4,176.50 (0.786 level), with the upper bound nearing INR 4,600.00.
Support Levels: Beyond the current support at INR 3,445.70, additional support is noted at INR 3,200.00, with a potential downside to INR 3,055.50 if the trend continues.
Volume Insights
The volume bars at the bottom of the chart reflect intermittent spikes, particularly around key price movements. This corroborates the selection criterion of potential volume increase, suggesting that significant buying or selling pressure could influence future price action.
Conclusion
The technical analysis of TCS indicates a bearish trendline with the stock currently testing a critical Fibonacci support level at 0.236 (INR 3,445.70). Investors and traders should monitor this level closely, as a break below could signal further downside, while a rebound may indicate a reversal or consolidation. Given the potential for volume-driven movements, staying attuned to market developments will be essential for informed decision-making.
For a more comprehensive analysis or real-time updates, consider utilizing advanced tools and platforms like TradingView, and consult with a financial advisor for personalized investment strategies.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.