Bitcoin Domination to Last LongerThe price of the main currency's domination charts familiar pattern of sideways consolidation.
The dominance might stay in the range between 55% and 62%.
The blue zigzag illustrates potential scenario of consolidation.
The final drop to retest 55% level could be scaring but this will be just
a final leg down before uptrend resumes to target 65-68%.
BTC.D trade ideas
BTC Dominance Breakdown = Altseason Incoming?BTC dominance (BTC.D) has broken down from key support, signaling a potential altseason ahead.
The breakdown below the 54.11% – 54.85% support zone suggests capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins, which could trigger major moves across the altcoin market.
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Dominance of BTC: what does it say?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
✅ Bitcoin dominance has reached its PRZ range and is fluctuating in the corner of the ascending wedge pattern on the four-hour time frame, which can begin its corrective trend to the following levels if the bottom of this pattern is broken:
58.60, 57.66, 56.80
✅ On the daily timeframe, the major support at 56.80 must be broken for the structure to turn bearish 👌
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BTC DOMINANCE AND ALT SEASONIf we completed 5 waves up, structure ABC should be next. When price take liq above last high (A wave) we can see start of the drop and alt season. If not, btc price will go more to the upside and btc.d will rise again.
Everybody is expecting alt season so market makers can do opposite... lets see.
This is not a financial advice.
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Let's analyze BTC dominance:
BTC.D has been on the rise for the past four weeks and is now at a critical resistance level. Following Bitcoin's recent price surge, altcoins are struggling due to low liquidity. A rejection at the 59.92% resistance level for BTC.D could provide an opportunity for altcoins to recover. The 58.75% level is an immediate support for BTC.D, but a break below this level could also signal further downside. If BTC.D falls below 58.75%, the next support level to watch is 56.80%.
Key Levels:
Support: 58.75%
Resistance: 59.92%
A breakdown below the support level could potentially trigger a significant shift in market dynamics, favoring altcoins over Bitcoin.
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We’re Getting Close to Altcoin Season | Pattern from 2021CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is showing a pattern eerily similar to what we saw in 2021.
Here’s how it played out back in 2021:
Stage 1: After the 2017 alt season, we saw a W-bottom pattern form.
Stage 2: An uptrend emerged after breaking through the neckline of that W-bottom.
Stage 3: The real altcoin season kicked off as #BTC.D broke the uptrend line, and the market went crazy!
Now, let’s fast forward to today:
Stage 1: After the 2021 altcoin season, we’re seeing a multiple-bottom pattern.
Stage 2: An uptrend formed after breaking through the neckline of that pattern.
Stage 3: This is where we are now—the wild altcoin season could begin once BTC.D breaks the uptrend line!
2025 BTC.D - History Doesn't Repeat Itself, but It Often RhymesJust thinking through this idea in regards to BTC.D
In the last cycle BTC.D ramped up to consistently being above 60%, after its June 2020 lows, in the 4th week of October 2020. It ran up to 100% by the end of 2020 and then proceeded to roll over and fall back below 60% by the 3rd week of January 2021. Altseason started at the beginning of February 2021 with ETH & large cap projects. I'd like to think that Altseason officially ended by the end of May 2021 with a wild frenzy into memes (Doge, Shiba, Akita) setting new ATHs.
If we're applying that same logic to this cycle then... BTC.D. will begin its ascent towards 100% dominance by passing 60% by the end of October 2024 (as of today, it's October 30th) and then start to roll over the 2nd-ish to 3rd-ish week of January 2025, to start the New Year! From there we can estimate that Altseason will start sometime around the 1st-ish week to 2nd-ish week of February 2025. It will last until, I'm thinking, the end of April 2025 to middle-ish of May 2025 (at the latest).
Additional Thoughts:
We may get a blowoff top scenario by end of September 2025 / October 2025... but that's TBD. I'm not sure a double peak is guaranteed or in the cards this cycle. So, it may be wise to leave something in your bag headed into the end of year (Q3 / Q4), just so you can say mama we made it. IDK - just thoughts and not financial advice.
Resource & Thoughts
Consider the Path to Altseason by Secrets of Crypto
Would definitely have to consider macro, m2 & m3 and the US presidential election
Liquidity scoop is comingThe BTC dominance has always been a interesting indicator to me since 2024 April it has been gradually going up to the 60% zone and then we a saw a nice rejection which push alts to make new all time highs for year of 2024. It maybe this week and slightly delayed but I sniff another rejection wick coming soon to push alts to do 1.5-2x in returns within the next 2 months. It's all about patience and game plan. In these volatile markets spot trading is pretty nice.
Bitcoin Dominance Bearish BTC.D + ALTSEASONBack in 2017 and 2020 i've posted a BTC.D Bearish Chart.
That Was a long-term view and still playing well till now.
You can find my Old Prediction
Both times we wend on BTC From 20000 to 3000 and From 65000 to 16000, but it's not about Bitcoin Bearish Scenario, but About ALTSEASONs.
Both times it were best seasons ever as BTC.Dominance went down
That Chart Is it and still valid until 2035 together with my Bitcoin longterm view TA on TradingView.
Wish you a good luck and hope you'll be happy with that TA. Enjoy.
Sal ??!!Bitcoin Dominance Today the price shows that the price is moving inside a short-term ascending channel on the daily time frame, settling at $104,896 with trading volume increasing significantly.
It is worth noting that Bitcoin Dominance analysis shows that the price is currently approaching a major resistance at $110,125, an important area that may determine the next trend¹.
Crypto Market Overview, What is potentially coming next. Observations:
1. **Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D):
- BTC dominance is trending upwards, indicating a shift of capital back into Bitcoin relative to altcoins. This suggests a "flight to safety" scenario where investors favor Bitcoin over riskier altcoins.
- BTC dominance appears to be testing resistance levels near 59-60%.
2. USDT Market Cap:
- USDT's market cap is steadily rising (green line), showing an increasing supply of stablecoins. This could indicate that investors are moving into stablecoins, potentially as a preparation to re-enter the crypto market or hedge against volatility.
3. Altcoins Excluding Top 10:
- The dominance of smaller altcoins (blue line) has been in a declining trend. This aligns with the increasing BTC dominance, suggesting weaker investor confidence in smaller altcoins.
4. Bitcoin Price (orange line):
- Bitcoin’s price is climbing alongside its dominance, a bullish signal. This suggests strong investor interest and potential accumulation at these levels.
5. Market Sentiment:
- The convergence of rising BTC dominance, a stable USDT supply increase, and a declining smaller altcoin trend typically signals market participants reallocating capital from speculative assets to Bitcoin.
6. Moving Averages:
- BTC.D seems to be moving above significant moving averages, which often serve as dynamic support/resistance levels. This adds strength to the bullish case for Bitcoin.
### Potential Outlook:
1. **For Bitcoin:
- If Bitcoin dominance continues to rise and its price maintains upward momentum, it may lead to a significant rally. The combination of increasing price and dominance suggests that Bitcoin could outperform the broader market in the near term.
2. For Altcoins:
- Smaller altcoins are likely to face additional pressure, as funds flow out of them and into Bitcoin or stablecoins. Larger-cap altcoins (those in the top 10) might be less affected but could still underperform relative to Bitcoin.
3. Market Transition Phase:
- The increasing USDT supply suggests that liquidity is building on the sidelines, which could flow into the market soon. If Bitcoin breaks key resistance levels, it might act as a catalyst for renewed interest in the crypto space.
4. Potential Risks:
- A sharp decline in Bitcoin dominance or a stagnation of price near resistance levels could result in a reversal, with capital flowing back into altcoins or out of the market entirely.
### Key Levels to Watch ###
- **BTC Dominance Resistance:** 59-60%. A breakout above this could signal a Bitcoin-led bull market.
- **Bitcoin Price Resistance:** Monitor the $35,000-$37,000 range as a critical level.
- **USDT Market Cap Growth:** Continued growth could precede major market moves.
In summary, the chart indicates that Bitcoin is likely to remain the leader in the near term, with increasing dominance and price signaling a bullish trend. However, smaller altcoins could struggle in this environment. Stablecoin movements should be closely watched for signs of liquidity deployment into the market.
DOMINANCE - retesting almost done!The market is experiencing a terrifyingly bearish phase, and the start of the week is concerning. However, everything will be fine soon.
We can see this through the dominance chart.
On the weekly timeframe, the pattern has broken downward, and a retest is now in progress.
This current pressure on altcoins aligns with the dominance chart retesting its breakdown.
It’s expected that dominance could rise to a maximum of 61% before altcoins break free from this nightmare and finally deliver the long-awaited profits.
Personally, I’m still holding onto my altcoins and strongly advise against selling. Everything will improve in the coming weeks.
Altcoins are currently at bargain lows that are worth buying.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
RSI AnalysisRSI Length: 50
MA Type: SMA
MA Length: 50
Historically, when RSI is below SMA on this setting, it means the start of alt season. One thing to pay attention to is that RSI is trying to break above the SMA line and if RSI fails to break above the SMA line, it is a confirmation that btc will lose value against alts. People have been calling for alt season since 2022, but still nothing has happened and this chart also does not confirm or predict an alt season. I’m just pointing out what has historically happened to the Big D based on RSI chart.
BTC.D - Official Alt Season ?Charting this on a weekly timeframe is tough, so use it as a reference point only.
I’ll provide more precise analysis on lower timeframes, but this represents my general macro outlook. But: Start preparing for an Exit Strategy. You are warned.
1st area of Interest = Green Box (45-46%)
2nd area of Interest = 43% Horizontal Support and close Trendline Support
3rd area of Interest (in case we got very lucky) = 39.70%
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis:Zone A (Resistance Area):
The highlighted white box represents a strong resistance zone for Bitcoin dominance. The chart has tested this level multiple times but has failed to break it so far.
If Bitcoin dominance manages to break this level, it could signal further upside momentum.
Potential Move to Zone B:
The blue arrow indicates a possible corrective move if Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance at Zone A.
Zone B, the highlighted gray box, appears to be a significant support area. A reaction can be expected if the chart moves toward this zone.
Sure! Here's the analysis in English for your TradingView post:
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis:
Zone A (Resistance Area):
The highlighted white box represents a strong resistance zone for Bitcoin dominance. The chart has tested this level multiple times but has failed to break it so far.
If Bitcoin dominance manages to break this level, it could signal further upside momentum.
Potential Move to Zone B:
The blue arrow indicates a possible corrective move if Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance at Zone A.
Zone B, the highlighted gray box, appears to be a significant support area. A reaction can be expected if the chart moves toward this zone.
Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin dominance successfully breaks above Zone A, it will indicate Bitcoin gaining strength relative to altcoins. This could mean a shift of liquidity from altcoins to Bitcoin.
Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance and moves downward, the next target will likely be the support zone at Zone B. This could signify increased focus on altcoins.