Bitcoin Dominance Quick UpdateThe high happened in February 2025. 7-April produced a lower high.
The session that produced the lower high is also a hammer. A hammer here can indicate an upcoming change of trend.
As long as BTC.D remains below 64% it has a very high probability of starting a descent.
If BTC Dominance moves and closes daily above 64%, this analysis and signals become invalid.
If the BTC.D hovers below 64%, the longer it stays below this level the weaker it becomes.
When this index goes down, everything Cryptocurrency grows, including Bitcoin.
It will be very interesting to see how it all develops. More and more signals are pointing toward an Altcoins market bullish wave developing now, not later. Do you agree?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC.D trade ideas
Will We have an Alt season soon?I believe the charts show we may be very close to an Alt season.
Chart show Bitcoin Dominance as percent of Crypto Market.
Reasons I believe an alt Season may be close.
1. We are at the top of a rising Wedge.
2. We are at the top of a parallel channel.
3. Sentiment is in the dumpster.
4. The Fibs look right for a .618 retracement to a support level
from recent swing highs to lows.
5. We hit the Fib .702 retracement from all time highs on Dominance.
Only time will tell. But If this does happen the rhetoric to never sell will once again be in full force. I will take something off the table if this hits.
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Let's analyze BTC dominance :
For four months, BTC dominance (BTC.D) has held a trendline support. After breaking out of an ascending triangle, BTC.D is forming another, with resistance at 62%-62.3%, repeatedly tested. A break above targets 64.50%, a strong resistance. Conversely, a trendline breakdown signals a potential drop to 59% support. Monitor these levels; a decisive break will heavily influence altcoin market dynamics.
Lower Support Levels:
59%-58.7%
Resistance Level:
62%-62.30%
64-50%
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BTC.D BITCOIN DOMINANCE near trendlineBTC.D is near the trendline.
Will we see a bounce right of the trendline? If so we could get the altseason we all are waiting for. However due too the massive growth in the number of altcoins and the many rugpulls in the meme sector and even liquidations as in CRYPTOCAP:OM for example, we could be in for a complete other scenario.
BTC could also keep the higher levels of dominance due to new ETF inflows and reserves by country's and the negative new in the alts. FUD could build up on the alts. So will we see an alt season in that case.... Even CRYPTOCAP:ETH is dropping so low.....
If we will see an altseason it will be different. Other bullruns there were just a few hundred altcoins so it was easy to pump them all. New we have milions of coins and the money supply is limmited. The inflows in BTC are stuck there in ETF's and reserves... So that looks nice but it won't flow back into alts in my opinion.
So what can we expect from the so called altseason.... Well i believe we will see rotation from narrative to narrative. The mass (retail) will first jump on the train with trading the pairs they know. In taht case we will see the first pumps in the bigger MEME's and DINO coins (coins that have survived several bullrun cycles like XRP, LTC, ADA, ETH, BNB, LINK).
Why DINO coins will pump? Because retail knows these coins and all the new coins are just too many to deal with. They just won't understand. Off course we will see projects like SOL, SUI, HBAR, ATH and several others pump with the coins but not every coin has the same visibility.
After these two narratives the rest could follow. A few a quite certain. Like AI, RWA, DeFi and a few others. But also in these narratives it will be cherry picking the good and proven projects.
So choose your darlings with care and don't mary your coins! All alts will drop 90% in the bearmarket!
Bitcoin Dominance
Dominance, after making the higher high talked about in the sessions and the previous update, has now established some bearish confluences on the daily chart. Some of those are bearish SFP, the parabolic chart price action, establishing a bearish divergence on the this chart as well, which will be confirmed if we got a red candle close(It'd be better if today's candle be red).
Let's just wait and see whether we do get a close or no, continuation of which will effect positively on alts.
Worries about BTC Dominance for your Alts? Bitcoin Dominance Is Very Close to a Downtrend – Altcoin Season Is Near
Bitcoin dominance is likely to enter a downtrend soon—because no uptrend lasts forever. This shift may occur within just a few weeks. As you can see in our current Scenario1
, Bitcoin dominance might sweep its previous high and reverse from there. However, if a daily candle closes above the previous high, then we move into Scenario 2.
In Scenario 2 , we look toward the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which is known as a strong retracement zone. Whenever price reaches this level, it typically experiences a significant pullback or even starts a new downtrend. This gives us two strong confluences already.
The third major confluence is that on the weekly timeframe, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is consistently showing bearish divergence—which is often a clear signal that a reversal is near.
Fourth confluence 21 EMA is getting close on 1W Time frame breaking 21 Ema can trigger a downtrend for BTC dominance.
Don't lose hope.
In short, Bitcoin dominance is close to reversing, and you just need to be a little more patient. The altcoin season you’ve been waiting for is coming soon.
If you’ve made it this far—after so much pain, so many difficulties, and countless moments of doubt—then hold on just a little longer. Success is near, and your patience will soon be rewarded.
Comment if you like my work and free premium updates like this and follow me to save yourself from losses and being on the wrong side.
Your comment motivates me
BTC Dominance Nearing Breaking Point – What It Means for Alts🚨📈 BTC Dominance Nearing Breaking Point – What It Means for Alts ⚠️🧩
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is climbing — and fast. As of now, we're at 64.13% , officially in the “ Bad for Alts ” zone. Historically, this level has meant one thing for altcoins: trouble ahead . But what if we go further?
🔵 The chart tells the full story:
Above 73% dominance, we're not just bad — it's disaster territory for altcoins.
The biggest alt bull runs in history started when BTC dominance reversed from these high levels .
But now? We're riding a rising channel with no sign of slowing, and a potential peak at 71.34% could be next.
📉 If dominance hits that upper wedge, altcoins may face an extinction-level drawdown — especially if meme coins, scams, and greedy behavior continue to dominate the space.
🧠 As the chart says:
“The END of Alts would be back here…” (not a valid scenario in my opinion but it exists)
Unless fundamentals and real utility make a comeback, we may be heading for a cleansing phase — where only the strongest survive . And that's Bitcoin only.
🔎 Key Zones:
>73% = 🚫 Disaster for Alts
64–73% = ❌ Bad for Alts
54–62% = ⚖️ Neutral / Good for select alts
<45% = ✅ Historically Great for Altcoins
💬 What do you think? Is this a final dominance pump before reversal? Or are we witnessing the long-awaited re-centralization of crypto around BTC?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin dominance is aiming to hit FIb 1.141 - Alt Season when ?Currently bitcoin dominance is around 64% and about to hit Fib 1 which is the previous high 64.34%.
We can expect bitcoin to breach this previous high easily and head towards the next resistance around the fib value 1.414. This is a strong resistance and if dominance breaks this value then next target is 70% is which around the high value achieve during the 2020 bear run.
I'm expecting dominance to reverse around 1.414 and altseason will start once dominance starts dropping.
Cheers!
GreenCrypto
BTC Dominance (BTC.D)BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Analysis - Historical Resistance at 64%; Is the Market Ready for a Big Shift?🔥
Hey there, awesome traders! 👋
I’m here with a mind-blowing analysis of the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart that could be a game-changer in this critical market moment. BTC Dominance is currently sitting at 64.01%, right at a super pivotal point. Let’s break down the chart together and see what’s coming next! 🚀
📊 Technical Analysis:
1. Current Situation and Ascending Triangle Pattern:
BTC Dominance has hit 64.01% and is forming an ascending triangle pattern (white lines on the chart). This pattern is typically bullish and signals strong buying pressure in the market. Right now, the price is testing the historical resistance at 64%, a level that has rejected price multiple times in the past (like in 2017 and 2021). If this resistance breaks, it could be a massive bullish signal for Bitcoin’s dominance and the start of a new uptrend. But if it gets rejected, we might see a significant drop!
2. Resistance Levels:
64% (Current Resistance): This is a strong historical resistance where the price is currently struggling. It’s been rejected at this level several times in the past, leading to pullbacks. A confirmed breakout above this level could be a powerful bullish signal.70.50%: If 64% breaks, the next resistance is at 70.50%. This level acted as resistance back in early 2021.78%: The next resistance is at 78%, a level that has been a solid barrier during historical peaks (like late 2017).86%: A longer-term resistance sits at 86%, which played a role in early 2017. It’s unlikely we’ll hit this in the short term, but it could be a target in a strong bullish trend.
3. Support Levels:
58.50%: If the price gets rejected at 64% and drops, the first support is at 58.50%. This level has acted as good support in the past (e.g., mid-2023).
54.50%: The next support is at 54.50%. This area has also held price during previous downtrends.
50.50%: A stronger support lies at
50.50%, which could be a good reversal point if the price reaches it.46.50%: A long-term support is at
46.50%, where the price bounced back in late 2022.
4. Signals and Market Behavior:
The chart shows an active "SELL" signal, indicating potential selling pressure at this 64% level. However, if trading volume picks up and the price manages to stabilize above 64%, this signal could be invalidated, turning into a strong buy signal for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if it gets rejected, we might see a drop toward the supports at 58.50% or even 54.50%.
📈 Overall Analysis and Prediction:
BTC Dominance at 64% is at a critical juncture. This level reflects Bitcoin’s control over the market, and a breakout here would signal that investors are favoring Bitcoin as a safer asset in the current market environment. This could put significant pressure on altcoins, as capital flows from them into Bitcoin, potentially leading to a downtrend for altcoins. However, if this resistance is rejected and dominance drops, it could spark a golden opportunity for an altseason, with altcoins seeing a solid rally as funds shift away from Bitcoin.Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price stabilizes above 64% (e.g., a few weekly candles close above this level), it could head toward 70.50% and then 78%. In this case, Bitcoin would gain more strength, and altcoins might face selling pressure.
Bearish Scenario: If the price gets rejected and falls below 64%, we could see a drop to 58.50% or even 54.50%. In this scenario, altcoins could see a strong growth opportunity as capital flows from Bitcoin into them.
💡 Suggested Strategy:
For Bitcoin Traders: Wait to see if the price stabilizes above 64%. If it does, this could be a strong buy signal for Bitcoin. But if it gets rejected, be cautious of a drop and consider buying at lower support levels like 58.50%.
For Altcoin Traders: If you’re focused on altcoins, play it safe for now. A breakout above 64% could hurt altcoins, but a rejection might create an excellent opportunity for altcoin growth.
Trading Volume: Keep an eye on trading volume. A breakout without high volume might be a fakeout.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
This chart shows the market is at a crucial, game-changing moment. A breakout or rejection at 64% could shift the entire crypto market’s direction. What do you think? What’s your take on this analysis? Drop your thoughts in the comments—I’d love to hear from you! 🙌
Don’t forget to like and follow—let’s rock the market together! 💪
#BTC #Dominance #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Quick Recap:
Resistances: 64%, 70.50%, 78%, 86%
Supports: 58.50%, 54.50%, 50.50%, 46.50%
Altcoin Season in May/June 2025First proper Altcoin Season -> 1 Year, -62% for BTC Dominance (Alts Crush BTC)
Second proper Altcoin Season -> 6 months, -44% for BTC Dominance (Alts Crush BTC again)
Third proper Altcoin Season (upcoming) -> 2-3 months, -20-25% for BTC Dominance (Alts will outperform BTC)
Diminishing returns for Altcoins, because there is not much utility for Altcoins as of now
ETH -> underwhelming performance in the last 2 years, thus gthe eneral altcoin market suffers
Mantra, memecoins, Luna, FTT , and many other scams affect the market, More people just buy BTC and forget and don't touch alts
Maybe?7 Consecutive weekly Green candles, 5 consecutive monthly green candles
Retesting Ascending Wedge/ Convergence of trendline from previous highs.
Uncertainty in the markets with tariffs, Alts getting crushed. Reprieve rally incoming?
Then again could be making all these trend lines up.. Time will tell
They say things never go up in a straight line….64% been the target back up
I would hope nothing higher than that would truly hurt the alts.
In my opinion I really think we have bottom unless this trade war starts to change the direction of the market again.
A break down from such a massive run should be biblical !
Higher Highs for BTC.D???COINBASE:BTCUSD
BTC.D currently printing an inverted creek inside another bowl and catching resistance at the supply trend line. And often creeks need to be jumped, so this jump could be cause building for higher highs here soon.
It's unlikely that we exceed the 1:2.414, but the strength of BTC has been blowing hats off so it would be no surprise there.
If this TA does play out, it suggests continued weakness in most altcoins compared to BTC for this next potential rally up. But I do believe when it tops, the drop could be quite impulsive as we witnessed in November 2024.
Good Luck!
- Not Financial Advice-
Trump's Crypto Policies Drive Bitcoin Dominance to New HighsSince President Trump's inauguration, Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has steadily climbed from around 55% to over 63%, reflecting a significant shift in market dynamics. This rise is largely attributed to the U.S. government's strategic accumulation of Bitcoin, including the establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve funded by seized assets. Such initiatives have redirected capital from altcoins to Bitcoin, reinforcing its dominance in the cryptocurrency market.
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is hovering at a critical resistance zone between 63% and 64%. A breakout above 65% could signal increased capital flow into Bitcoin, potentially pushing its price down to $75K or even $55K, while altcoins may underperform. Conversely, a rejection at this level might indicate the onset of an altcoin season. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $85K, awaiting a catalyst to determine its next significant move.
Bitcoin Dominance Ascending Channel and Altseason (1W Log)CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been in a clean uptrend inside an ascending channel for over 2 years.
• The midline has consistently acted as a magnet, but BTC.D has recently detached from it and might be headed for another retest of the upper boundary.
• Unless major macro catalysts intervene, I expect no notable changes until the 72-73% key area, the same zone that triggered 2021's altseason.
Regarding altseason, this cycle isn't like previous ones. With millions of tokens today, dilution is real, and a full-blown altseason where everything pumps seems unlikely.
Instead, I expect selective rotation into quality projects, and that might actually make it easier to find real outperformance.
Bitcoin Dominance Is Printing The Last Shakeout Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we pointed out that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is in the last bullish wave which has a target approximately at 66% and the bear market on altcoins is almost over. Today we will look in details on this wave inside and try to predict the most precise scenario.
Let's take a look at 12h time frame. Here we can see the wave 1 and 2 and now price is in wave 3. Fibonacci extension levels 1 and 1.61 is the target for wave 3. Looking at the current wave we can say that it's not over, so it will likely to see 64.7% in this wave before the correction. Correction is going to be subwave 4 which will likely be finished at 63% then we have the last wave which can be equal to wave 1. In this case predicted earlier 66% will be reached at the end of April.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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$BTC.D to 66%, $TOTAL2 / BTC down to 0.43The final year of bitcoin halving year is usually a bullish year for the Altcoins. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 is the measure of the Total Market Crypto Market CAP without $BTC. Today we are looking into a ratio chart of TOTAL2 vs BTC Market cap. The supposed strength in Altcoin is missing as is evident from the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart and the ration chart between TOTAL2 vs BTC.
If we plot the Fib Retracement levels on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D from the last cycle lows to the highs, we see that in the current halving cycle the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is progressing towards 0.786 Fib retracement levels which is currently indicating a CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D of 66.2 %. The ratio of Toatal2 vs BTC Market cap fits surprisingly within the Fib levels and makes new lows every week in this weekly chart. The levels to watch on the ratio chart will be 0.43
What does this trend tell us. It might be possible that the Altcoins USD pairs are bullish, but the Altcoins are making new lows vs BTC. So, it's a better strategy to go long $BTC. The risk reward is very much in favour of CRYPTOCAP:BTC rather than Altcoins.
Verdict: Long CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 66%.