BITCOIN DOMINANCE UPDATE: WHEN ALTSEASON?Hey everyone!
Appreciate a like and follow if this analysis helps!
Bitcoin Dominance is a key indicator for potential altcoin seasons. While there's been anticipation, the market hasn't shown significant changes yet. Let's analyze the Bitcoin Dominance chart for clues.
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin Dominance has formed a large rising wedge pattern and is approaching strong resistance. This level acted as support in 2019-2020 but has now turned into resistance.
We're currently in a potential "maximum pain zone." This period can present opportunities to accumulate promising altcoins for potential gains during the upcoming bull run.
Important to note: Accumulating now might involve short-term losses of 20-30% due to market manipulation. However, the potential for 20x-30x returns during the bull run makes this risk worthwhile for some.
Key Takeaway:
Seize the Opportunity: Start accumulating quality altcoins now to capitalize on the potential bull run.
Embrace Risk: Be prepared for short-term losses to reap long-term rewards.
Let's discuss it! What are your thoughts on Bitcoin Dominance and the potential for an altcoin season? Share your analysis in the comments below.
BTC.D trade ideas
BTC.DAnalysis for BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance): Weekly Timeframe 📊
The chart highlights the market cap dominance of Bitcoin (BTC.D) on a weekly timeframe. Several important points are marked, including projected levels for Bitcoin dominance and significant forecast dates:
🟢 October 7, 2024 - Buy Date (Green Line):
This marks a local bottom, suggesting a potential opportunity for Bitcoin to experience a decrease in dominance. This could indicate the start of favorable conditions for altcoins, as investors might rotate into altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates or trends downward.
🟢 February 10, 2025 - Buy Date (Green Line):
This date highlights another expected local low in Bitcoin dominance. If Bitcoin’s dominance declines around this time, altcoins might outperform, leading to potential opportunities in the altcoin market.
Expected Level for Major Altcoin Season:
The horizontal lines and red markers indicate the anticipated level of Bitcoin dominance required for an incredible altcoin season to occur. When Bitcoin dominance reaches the circled area, it could be an optimal time for altcoins to rally, as money may flow out of Bitcoin and into the broader cryptocurrency market.
Note:
All times are based on Los Angeles time (UTC -7). A small margin of error of 1-2 candles is possible depending on the timeframe.
Bitcoin Dominance CycleLamba(L) = 208 weeks
SMA = 1/4 L = 52 weeks
SMA offfset = -1/8 L = -26 weeks
SMA decline at -15% per cycle.
Expect surprise breakdown of BTC.D support in summer 2025.
Wavelength cycle is the VBM 396693 pathway
Actual price data is VBM 124875 pathway
Fade in/out at extreme divergences between price and its fundamental tone.
Bitcoin Dominance Ending diagonal ALTSEASONBitcoin ending diagonal can lead into altseason,
• Ending diagonal is usually characterized by overlapping wave 1 and 4 and also by the wedge shape. However, overlap between wave 1 and 4 is not a condition and it may or may not happen
• The subdivision of an ending diagonal is either 3-3-3-3-3 or 5-3-5-3-5.
#BTC.D Vs. #OTHERS.DExploring the dynamics of the crypto market! 📊
#BTC.D shows Bitcoin's strong market position, holding a significant share of the total market cap on top of the trend. Meanwhile, #OTHERS.D represents the rising influence of altcoins. Both indicators are key to understanding shifts in investor sentiment.
Which trend do you think will dominate in 2024?
#CryptoMarket #BitcoinDominance #AltcoinSeason"
Where is Bitcoin Dominance headed?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D 1W chart;
Bitcoin Dominance has been moving horizontally at the same level for 3 weeks.
Let's not forget that the chart is weekly.
Although I think it will most likely return from the 58.25% level , I also stated that it may be better to go down after at least testing the 62.52% level above. The reason is that this will be very useful in the next bull cycle.
Considering the immediate level, it will start a downtrend with a close below the level indicated as +OB .
The noteworthy point here is the orange circle; the Golden Cross formed by the combination of 50EMA and 200EMA . This is a bullish sign.
However
After such a deep and prolonged decline, it would not be right to expect the chart to change direction and rise with the first Golden Cross . For this reason, I should mention that the level around 47% is important.
If the 47% level does not break sharply downwards, it may use this as support and start rising. If it breaks, we may see a decline up to 40%.
BTC.D Mid TermWe are observing a BTC dominance move that will indicate the anticipated altcoin rallies in the next 3-4 months.
This move could signal a significant rally in the altcoin market and pave the way for substantial gains in altcoins.
A drop in dominance can be seen as a positive signal for altcoins.
BTC : HARD DROP Likely BEFORE New ATHHold on to your horses - in today's analysis we're going to do a really deep dive on Bitcoin, the altcoin market (TOTAL 3) and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Make sure you watch all the way until the end to reach the final conclusion!
In this video, I systematically point out two main reasons why the corrective phase isn't over, as well as what could possible happen NEXT based on the rotations between alts and BTC.
COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
For months I've been anticipating a multi-month corrective pattern, before another impulse wave up which I believe leads us to our final all time high (ATH) for this bullish cycle. Although I've said "multi-month" quite a few times... who knew it would be such a drag! I nearly thought BTC was ready to turn towards the upside, but after THIS* happened (together with the analysis in the video) it's likely we're still heading lower:
*https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/h2bMes4J-BTC-FINALLY-Bullish-BREAKOUT/
THIS* is referring to my update on BTC two days ago, where it seemed like a bullish breakout. At this point however, the price is not able to hold the support zone (which was the condition I listed) and therefore it's likely a fakeout.
If you're looking for the idea I referred to in the analysis on the Altcoin dump find it here:👇
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Market Cap BTC dominanceMy last idea about BTC dominance played out exactly as expected. Now, many people are worried about their investments in altcoins; all they see are red candles, which is understandable since dominance has been increasing this whole time. Currently, it stands at 57.5%. The final target is 60%, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level and a major global order block. We also see a weekly MACD divergence.
During the last capitulation, the fear index hit 17, and many people sold their altcoins. However, I noticed significant buying volumes across all crypto market assets. The waves are primed to pump all of these. My global target is 32% dominance.
Major Resistance Ahead?This simple line (58%) used to act as a major support for BTC Dominance in 2019 and 2020. Since breaking below this support level dominance has not been able to reach this level until now. A major reversal is possible around 58% level since this old support can potentially act as a major resistance level for this cycle. Only time will tell what is to come and I cannot absolutely be sure that this level will be the top for BTC.D this cycle.
Bitcoin Dominance Update: Potential Market Dump!The Bitcoin Dominance chart has just reached a key resistance level, which is expected to trigger a rejection and initiate alt-season. However, given the market's volatility and technical structure, another short-term bearish scenario is also anticipated. In this scenario, BTC dominance could spike up to 67% over the next two months, potentially until November-December 2024. On the other hand, if the resistance level is rejected, we can expect a market pump accompanied by a strong alt-season. DYOR
BTC.D Chart Idea - ALT Season Coming?BTC.D already broken the rising wedge in May/June this year and now retested strong weekly resistance at 57.17% in the first week of Aug this year when global markets went down. IMO, it was a capitulation event for this year before the next big leg up in all assets. A lot of people are concerned and asking about the ALT season this bull market. I believe this market is doing the same as it did back in the previous cycles. Once the BTC.D starts going down, you will see crazy pumps 50-100x pumps in low caps, 10-20x in mid caps, and 4-5x in higher cap coins. IMO, we will see the ALT season very soon and it can start as early as the first of week of Sept or can even further take 3-4 week, but we are just right there. Hang on to your coins guys if you had bought in the bear market.
NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR!
Altcoin Season on the Horizon? Here's 6 Reasons to Watch CloselyAltcoin season might be around the corner, and here’s why:
BTC Dominance Facing Heavy Resistance:
The BTC Dominance chart is encountering several significant resistance lines, a signal that often precedes a shift in favor of altcoins.
Overbought Stochastic Indicator: The stochastic indicator on BTC.D is extremely overbought, suggesting a potential turning point.
Altcoins Leading MA line Retracements:
Like my previous analysis suggests, altcoins have recently been leading retracements to key moving averages (20MA, 50MA, and now the 200MA), with BTC following weeks behind. This suggests that altcoins could be leading the rebound rally and bullish continuation aswell since the BTC.D could turn to the downside.
Volume Patterns: There’s noticeable accumulation in altcoins, reflected in increased volume, which could indicate upcoming price movements.
Bearish Engulfing Candle: A bearish engulfing candle has formed on the BTC chart, which historically has a 79% success rate of indicating a trend reversal to a downward trend. This could mean further downside for BTC.dominance, potentially shifting attention and capital to altcoins.
Positive Sentiment and Development: Many altcoins have seen significant positive developments and upgrades in their ecosystems lately, leading to renewed investor confidence and potential inflows as these projects gain traction.
Personally I've sold 50% of my BTC. Currently sitting on some cash if we fall towards 44k$ area then I'll relocate my BTC money into altcoins.
Thanks for reading, good luck trading and make sure to follow me on X for weekly updates!
@PuppyNakamoto
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
Bitcoin Dominance Set to Drop. Altcoins Poised for a Breakout?📉✨ Bitcoin Dominance Set to Drop? Altcoins Poised for a Breakout 🚀💎
1️⃣ Bitcoin Dominance Outlook:
While Bitcoin's dominance has been on the rise, we may be nearing a turning point. If dominance breaks down from this channel, it could signal a big opportunity for altcoins to shine. 🌟 This could be the start of a new altcoin rally! Keep your eyes on key levels as this unfolds. 📊
2️⃣ Bitcoin Supply Milestone: 🟡 94% of the total Bitcoin supply has now been issued. With only a small fraction left to be mined, scarcity will increasingly influence Bitcoin’s value. However, this could also boost confidence in altcoins as traders look for the next big opportunity. 🔄
3️⃣ Time for China to Lift Bitcoin Ban? 🌏 Rumors are spreading that China might reverse its Bitcoin ban. This would likely have a major impact on the market, driving both BTC and altcoins upward. A bullish outcome here could inject fresh momentum into altcoins. 🐂🚀 just rumors and anyways Chinese do carry crypto anyways...
4️⃣ Liquidation Warnings: Despite potential short-term volatility from liquidations, a drop in Bitcoin dominance could shift the spotlight to altcoins. If you're positioned in alts, this could be a moment to watch closely! 🔥 (think spot going forward?)
5️⃣ FED Speakers and Macro Impact: Goldman Sachs lowering the US recession risk and key FED speakers this week could impact market sentiment. Watch for potential shifts that could favor altcoins over Bitcoin in the short term. 💼📊
📌 Get ready! A potential drop in Bitcoin dominance could be the signal we've been waiting for to see altcoins take off. Stay sharp, and protect your positions!
Relevant News:
🔗 Goldman Lowers US Recession Risk: What It Means for Bitcoin
🔗 Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Season
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITCOIN DOMINANCE - Completion of an 5th impulsive waveWe are currently completing the fifth impulse wave of a micro degree, which, if it fully plays out, could trigger a significant downturn. This potential drop could pave the way for an altcoin season.
Still we have a 5th wave extension around 60%-62%.