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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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Bitcoin’s Next Move Starts Here Key Levels MappedBTC is currently in a technically critical phase. Price is trading below a major dynamic trendline resistance after a confirmed bearish break, keeping the broader structure corrective rather than impulsive. Momentum remains capped unless bulls reclaim key dynamic levels. The plan from here is straightforward and scenario-based: A. If price retraces into the Immediate Dynamic Trendline (IDT) and gets rejected again, that rejection becomes a high-probability short trigger. In that case, downside continuation toward the Demand Pool Zone (DPZ) is expected to complete leg 5 of the corrective wave. This zone is where I would anticipate strong accumulation and a relief rally, targeting a move back into the Supply Pool Zone (SPZ). B. Alternatively, if BTC breaks and holds above the IDT, momentum should accelerate to the upside, with the Supply Pool Zone remaining the primary upside target, exactly as mapped on the chart. What happens at the Supply Pool is decisive. If bulls fail to hold price and we see a strong rejection, that would confirm distribution and could trigger a complete bearish expansion, opening the door to much deeper targets, potentially toward the $50k region. Market is at a decision point. Are you bullish or bearish from here? Let’s discuss your view
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by weslad
40
The Language of Price | Lesson 1 – Candlestick TheoryLesson Focus: Candlestick Types (Theory) This post introduces the basic concept of candlesticks and how price behavior is visually represented on a chart. Candlesticks are one of the most fundamental tools in market structure analysis, as they reflect price movement, momentum, and market participation over time. 📘 WHAT IS A CANDLESTICK? A candlestick represents price activity during a specific time period and shows: • opening price • closing price • highest price • lowest price Candlesticks do not predict the future. They simply describe what has already happened in the market . Their meaning becomes clearer only when viewed within broader market context. 🧠 CANDLESTICK TYPES SHOWN IN THIS EDUCATION 1️⃣ Shrinking Candles (Uptrend & Downtrend) Shrinking candle bodies indicate loss of momentum . Price may continue in the same direction, but with reduced strength and participation. 2️⃣ Change Color Candle (Uptrend & Downtrend) A color change against the prevailing trend may indicate weakening momentum or a temporary pause . This reflects hesitation, not a confirmed reversal. 3️⃣ Long Wick Candle (Uptrend & Downtrend) Long wicks show price rejection . The market attempted to move further but was pushed back, revealing opposing pressure. 4️⃣ Inverse Long Wick Candle (Uptrend & Downtrend) Inverse long wicks suggest acceptance in one direction and rejection in the other , often near key levels or during transitions. 5️⃣ Inside Candle (Uptrend & Downtrend) An inside candle forms within the range of the previous candle . This represents consolidation, indecision, and temporary balance. 6️⃣ Momentum Candle • In an uptrend : a strong bearish momentum candle may indicate sellers stepping in • In a downtrend : a strong bullish momentum candle may indicate buyers stepping in Momentum candles reflect sudden imbalance , not guaranteed continuation. 📌 EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE These candlestick examples are theoretical illustrations designed to improve understanding of price behavior and market structure. This lesson focuses on recognition and understanding, not decision-making. If you find this educational series useful and would like to continue learning about market structure and price behavior , you may follow to stay updated with future lessons. ETHICAL & EDUCATIONAL NOTICE This content is presented solely for educational and analytical purposes , based on historical price data. It does not promote or encourage any specific trading method, financial instrument, gambling, leverage, margin usage, short selling, or interest-based activity . Readers are encouraged to align any financial activity with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles . ⚠️ DISCLAIMER This material is strictly educational and informational . It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading instructions. The author does not provide personalized guidance. Any decisions made based on this content are the sole responsibility of the individual.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by ARMA_Market_Analysis
18
BITCOIN 'From Denial of the Bear Cycle to Bitcoin going to 0'We've been showing you since September why Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was structured to start a new Bear Cycle in October, mostly based on the very accurate 4-year Cycle Theory. Recently we've published analyses of the last indicators that practically confirmed that the market has already entered this Bear Cycle. Today, with a combination of the Pi Cycle bands and the Aroon Oscillator, we basically display the investor mentality as the market transitions from Bull to Bear and again back to Bull. First of all, even the 3W time-frame has confirmed that by breaking a closing a 3W candle below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), BTC confirmed in late October the start of the Bear Cycle. As you can see that happened before on December 27 2021, May 07 2018 and August 04 2014. Every time that happened, the Bear Cycle was a fact. We are now within the 1W MA50 - Pi Cycle (green) Support trend-line Zone, which is part of the 'Denial of Bear Cycle' Phase, where the majority of the market doesn't/ can't accept the trend change. Below the Pi Cycle Support starts the 'Bitcoin going to 0' hysteria where the majority of the market starts turning from bullish to bearish, having accepted the Bear Cycle, making extravagant calls on Bitcoin's potential bottom. This is when the very reliable Aroon Oscillator turns bearish below 0.00. Once this hits its Buy Zone, it has historically been a fair time to start buying again for the long-term. That is when bearishness across the market is at its peak and of course when smart money start buying massively again. So do you think that's a good framework to follow? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
31
BITCOIN Merry Christmas with symmetry at its very best!First of all allow me to wish everyone Merry Christmas with Tradingshot's best wishes to everyone for great health and prosperity! Now as far as Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is concerned, this chart on the 1W time-frame displays once more its symmetry among Cycles at its very best. They key component here is the Supertrend. Every time this indicator turned red (bearish) as it has done now since November 10, BTC has already started its Bear Cycle. The amazing symmetry here is found in the past 5 weeks when the price has been ranging within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). As you can see the moment it broke below the 1W MA100, it also breached the 0.182 Fibonacci retracement level and entered the 0.182 - 0.236 Fib Zone. This has happened every single time with remarkable precision since the 2014 Bear Cycle. The last two Cycles bottomed on the 0.382 Fib at least. So what does that mean for us now/ today? Well first of all, the current Bear Cycle is likely to reach $56500 (0.382 Fib) at least. Secondly, every Bear Cycle bottomed around 44 - 46 weeks after the Supertrend turned red. This gives us a fair time horizon for the potential bottom around September 14 2026. Would you be buying once $56500 hits or come September 2026? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
23
Bitcoin: Won't Break Support, Back To 95K?Bitcoin continues to maintain the broader support around the low 80Ks. While this formation appears to be a lower high consolidation (bearish), it could also be the key inflection point for a reversal back into a bullish structure. This possibility aligns with the broader bullish trend which is still bullish AND with a Wave 5 scenario which I have talked about numerous times. The broader trend that I am referring to is the bullish structure from the 126K high back to before the 73K breakout. This is the dominant structure, NOT the retrace from the 126K to 80K which is the short term trend. It is important to always consider the market from both sides of the argument. The bear argument in terms of wave count: since 88K has been overlapped, the current move is potentially a Wave 2 of the broadest magnitude. If this is true, Bitcoin has room to retrace back into the 60Ks (roughly 50% retrace from highs). The bull argument: 88K has not been overlapped for long, in fact price is very reluctant to stay below this level. 88K was the price I determined as the Wave 1, Wave 4 overlap of this broader 5th Wave that peaked at 126K. If price refuses to break lower (80K support) then it will be signaling that this is likely the beginning of the broader Wave 5 of 5 which can see a move beyond 126K over the coming months. I agree Wave counts can be confusing and are only crystal clear after the fact, but that is not the point. The point is we can formulate potential scenarios that require confirmation by the market. If 80K breaks and price cannot swiftly retrace, then the bearish argument gains traction and price is likely in the Wave 2. IF 80K holds, and we are breaking back into the 90Ks, especially 95K resistance, then the bullish argument is in full swing. Again this information is NOT to be used as a concrete forecast. The MARKET does what IT WANTS WHEN IT WANTS. We listen, adjust and manage risk. This information can be used as a general roadmap to anticipate further moves based on the confirmation the market offers. For example, if the bullish breakout scenario unfolds, it would make sense to expect more from longs. This includes things like: aggressive profit objectives (3:1 or greater), scaling into supports because they are more likely to hold, etc. Also expecting less from shorts, or not shorting at all, etc. Only you can decide how to adjust your strategy based on the context of the environment. Also what makes this situation more compelling is the fact that the macro environment is strongly supportive. Lawmakers, the biggest banks and companies all innovating, investing, and betting huge in this space. On top of that, we have a government that is extremely Bitcoin friendly and setting us up for future rate cuts. CPI "officially" came in at 2.7%, less than expected which bolsters the argument for more rate cuts, perfect for the upcoming YESman, I meant Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Think about it. Remember, short term sentiment prices in the future based on only what it can process in the moment AND it is highly irrational. This is where short term mis pricing come from along with compelling lower risk opportunities you just have to have the confidence in your ability to recognize them. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective. Let's goooooooooooooooo!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
16
Elise | BTCUSD – 30M – Compression Below Major SupplyBITSTAMP:BTCUSD After a strong impulsive rally from the HTF demand zone (~86.8K), BTC transitioned into consolidation while respecting trend support. Multiple reactions from the trendline (purple circles) confirm buyer presence. However, upside progress is slowing as price meets heavy sell-side liquidity and supply overhead, increasing the probability of either a breakout or a rejection. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Continuation is valid only if price accepts above the major supply zone with strong candles and volume. 🎯 Target 1: 90,300 🎯 Target 2: 91,000 🎯 Target 3: 92,000 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Failure to break supply + loss of trendline support signals a pullback. 🎯 Downside Target 1: 88,000 🎯 Downside Target 2: 86,800 (HTF Demand) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 89,200 – 90,300 Support 🟢: 88,000 – 86,800 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
28
BTCUSD Below a Downtrend Line: Don’t Rush to Trust the BounceBTCUSD is still trading in a bearish-leaning environment , as neither the news backdrop nor the technical structure supports a clear bullish reversal yet. Profit-taking from large players, combined with cautious year-end sentiment, means recent Bitcoin rebounds are more technical in nature rather than the start of a new uptrend. In a thin-liquidity environment, the market tends to favor selling rallies instead of chasing higher prices. On the chart, price remains below the descending trendline and capped by the Ichimoku cloud, confirming that sellers continue to control the primary trend. Upside attempts have been shallow and quickly sold into, reflecting a lack of conviction from buyers. The 89,500 area stands out as a key resistance zone, where price has tested multiple times without a decisive breakout. In the short term, the most reasonable scenario is for BTC to rebound into resistance and then weaken, before revisiting support around 86,800. A clean break below this level could open the door for further downside extension. Conversely, only a strong breakout and sustained hold above 89,500–90,000 would truly invalidate the current bearish structure.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Paradise_Noir
12
BTC/ISD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTCUSD – Daily (1D) chart using SMC + Fibonacci + EMA mean-reversion logic. ⸻ Market Context • Higher-timeframe bias: Bullish (macro) • Long-term structure still intact despite the pullback • Current move down = deep corrective phase, not confirmed trend reversal yet • Price is trading below EMA 50, but reacting near EMA 200 + HTF support ⸻ What Happened (Why BTC Dropped) • Liquidity taken at the October high • Sharp impulsive sell-off → distribution + stop-hunt • Price retraced into a high-confluence discount zone ⸻ Key Demand / Accumulation Zone (Blue Area) ~85,000 – 92,000 This zone is important because it aligns with: • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • Previous daily demand • Range low support • Proximity to EMA 50 (93K) → mean reversion magnet • Multiple long lower wicks → absorption This suggests smart money accumulation, not panic selling. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from major swing low → all-time high • 0.5 & 0.62 → failed supports • 0.705 – 0.79 → institutional rebalance zone Textbook location for trend continuation buys ⸻ Trade Idea (Swing Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 86,000 – 90,000 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~82,000) • Targets: • TP1: 93,000 (EMA 50) • TP2: 101,800 (EMA 200 / mid-range) • Final TP: 121,000+ (marked target point / liquidity above highs) RR potential: 1:4 to 1:6 (swing setup) ⸻ Confirmation Signals (Very Important on BTC) Wait for at least one: • Daily or 4H bullish engulfing • Strong rejection wick from demand • 4H CHoCH after sweep of lows • Compression → expansion behavior ⸻ Invalidation • Daily close below ~82,000 • Acceptance below demand with strong volume If that happens → bullish swing idea is invalid, and market likely seeks lower HTF liquidity. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This is a high-timeframe accumulation & continuation setup: • Deep discount • Fib OTE + demand • EMA mean reversion BTC rewards patience and HTF discipline — confirmation > prediction. If you want, I can: • Break this into a 4H / 1H execution plan • Help you build a BTC-specific SMC swing model • Or map bearish alternative scenarios for risk control Please support boost this analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
(BTCUSD, 2H timeframe)...(BTCUSD, 2H timeframe): Current price: ~86,800 🎯 Targets (Upside) Target 1: 90,800 – 91,000 (First resistance / my marked 1st support turned resistance) Target 2: 94,800 – 95,000 (Major resistance / 2nd level on my chart) 🛑 Downside Supports (if price drops) Support 1: 87,800 – 88,000 Support 2: 85,800 – 86,000 📊 Bias Price is below the descending trendline → trend still bearish to neutral A clean breakout and close above ~88,500–89,000 can open the move toward 91k Rejection below trendline → possible retest of 86k zone If my want, tell me: Scalp / intraday / swing trade Buy or sell setup I’ll give my exact entry, SL, and TP levels 🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by XAUxBTC_Pro
10
BTC OpEx Weekly OutlookI expect a volatile week for Bitcoin due to the massive OpEx on 12/26. The notional value expiring is roughly 8x the previous week. Max pain is 96k on Deribit. Other exchanges are slightly higher. Dealer gamma exposure is negative on Monday which should add volatility, so I expect another trip to recent support around 85k. As the week continues, gamma sharply turns positive which should have a dampening effect on price swings. As OpEx approaches, I expect price to move up at an increasing rate due to dealers unwinding hedges into Friday. Max pain is around 96k, so it should be a magnet for price throughout the week. Hedges unwinding will apply pressure to short liquidations which could cascade with a peak in the 94-96k range. After options expiration, price should fall sharply IF whales write more covered calls forcing MMs to hedge. I am short into Monday. Plan to long if it dips, then open a short in the 94-96k range or whatever the top is near EOD Friday with a final target of 72k in the coming weeks/months.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by proteus_1
12
Elise | BTCUSD | 30M – Distribution → BOS → Liquidity SweepBITSTAMP:BTCUSD The sell-side liquidity sweep produced a technical bounce; however, price has failed to reclaim key structure or break descending resistance. This indicates a corrective retracement, not accumulation. Until a bullish structure shift occurs, downside continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. Key Scenarios ❌ Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias) Rejection below descending trendline keeps BTC vulnerable to another liquidity run. 🎯 Target 1: 86,600 🎯 Target 2: 86,200 – 86,000 ✅ Bullish Invalidation Only a 30M close above 88,000 with structure shift invalidates bearish continuation and opens room for higher retracement. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 87,900 – 88,000 Support 🟢: 86,600 → 86,000 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
21
BTC/USD Analysis – December 24, 2025HI! Bitcoin is showing signs of potential bearish pressure, but confirmation will depend on how price behaves around the critical support zone. Key Observations: Critical Support Zone: The blue area on the chart (~$78k–$79k) represents a major support level. A breakdown below this zone could trigger further downside, with the first target around $72k and a final target near $66k. Until this support is decisively broken, the bearish scenario remains unconfirmed. Recent Price Action: A strong drop occurred recently, followed by only a 33% corrective retracement, indicating limited bullish momentum. Bearish Patterns: Cup Formation: The chart shows a clear cup pattern, which historically can precede further consolidation or downside in a bearish context. Weekly Trendline Break: On the weekly timeframe, the trendline has been broken down, suggesting a potential shift in overall market sentiment. Conclusion: BTC appears poised for further downside, but traders should wait for a confirmed break below the critical blue zone before entering bearish positions. If this support fails, we could see the next targets around $72k and $66k. Until then, the market remains in a cautious state. Trading Plan: Bearish Confirmation: Only if $78k–$79k support is broken. Targets on Breakdown: $72k (first), $66k (final). Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSD
by melikatrader94
13
Bitcoin - The 30% correction is just starting!🥊Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is just heading lower: 🔎Analysis summary: Just a couple of weeks ago, Bitcoin perfectly retested the major all time high resistance. Since then, Bitcoin already created an expected correction of about -40%. But looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin can still drop another 30% from here until it retests support. 📝Levels to watch: $60,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhil
16
Bitcoin Tests Resistance - Downside Risk Toward $85,700Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish move inside a clearly defined descending channel, Bitcoin attempted a recovery and managed to break out of the channel. However, this upside move lacked strong follow-through. Price entered a consolidation range, where multiple reactions and fake breakouts signaled distribution rather than accumulation. This behavior suggested that sellers were still active at higher levels. Following the range, BTC formed a triangle structure, capped by a descending Triangle Resistance Line and supported by a rising Triangle Support Line. Price has been compressing within this structure, but recent attempts to push higher were rejected near the 88,500 Resistance Level (TP1), confirming strong selling pressure at this zone. Currently, BTC is trading near the upper boundary of the triangle, where sellers continue to defend resistance. As long as price remains below the Triangle Resistance Line and fails to reclaim 88,500, the bearish scenario remains in play. My scenario: I expect a rejection from the triangle resistance, followed by a move back toward the 85,700 Support Level, which aligns with both horizontal support and the lower triangle boundary. A clean breakdown below 85,700 would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper decline. Only a strong breakout and hold above 88,500 would invalidate this short setup. For now, the market favors sellers below resistance, with 88,500 as key resistance and 85,700 as the main downside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
18
BTC/USD – H1 Analysis...BTC/USD – H1 Analysis (Based on my chart) Market Structure Price is forming an ascending triangle (higher lows + horizontal resistance). Holding above the Ichimoku cloud, bullish pressure is active. A breakout is likely after this compression phase. 📈 Buy Scenario Buy Zone: 88,800 – 89,200 🎯 Targets Target 1: 90,500 Target 2: 92,000 ❌ Invalidation A strong H1 close below 87,800 will invalidate this bullish setup. 📌 Summary Bias: BUY Trend: Bullish continuation Pattern: Ascending triangle breakout Expectation: Price to move upward toward the marked Target Point
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by RSI_Trading_point
6
Elise| BTCUSD – 30M | Range Recovery Into ResistanceBITSTAMP:BTCUSD After a sharp sell-off and liquidity sweep below range lows, price formed a clean recovery supported by ascending structure from the bottom. However, current price action is approaching a major resistance zone that has already caused multiple rejections in the past. This area remains a decision point between continuation and rejection. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → If price breaks and holds above the range resistance with strong acceptance, continuation toward higher premium levels becomes likely. ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Failure to reclaim and hold above resistance may lead to another rotation back toward range mid or lower demand. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: Range high / HTF supply zone Support 🟢: Range low & recent demand base ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
9
Head and shoulders in long term .I have identified this kind of patterns multiple times before its full formation. From a technical perspective, the 110k–113k range represents a critical resistance zone. a clean break and sustained acceptance above this area would likely open the door for an impulsive move toward the 147 k and 170k targets. Prior to that, price must reclaim and confirm above 105k, followed by a decisive breakout of the 110k–113k region. Failure to do so keeps the current structure vulnerable and leaves this pattern valid as a potential distribution top, which could set the stage for the next bear market. While my macro bias remains bullish, I will stay cautious until these key levels are conclusively reclaimed.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Crypto_Rich_Bangkok
16
Elise | BTCUSD | 30M – Bearish Continuation SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD After failing to sustain above the HTF supply zone, BTC printed a clear distribution phase followed by impulsive downside. The current move appears to be a corrective pullback into bearish structure resistance, suggesting continuation rather than reversal. Key Scenarios ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Rejection from current structure resistance may lead to continuation lower. 🎯 Target 1: 86,800 🎯 Target 2: 86,300 ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Only a clean break and hold above bearish structure resistance would invalidate this setup. 🎯 Upside Invalidation Level: Above HTF supply Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 88,000 – 88,400 Support 🟢: 86,800 – 86,300 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
13