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BTCUSD Perpetual ContractBTCUSD Perpetual ContractBTCUSD Perpetual Contract

BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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Welcome 2026 — A New Year for Better TradesHappy New Year 2026, Traders. 2025 has been a year that truly tested every trader strong volatility, constant macro shifts, and markets that rewarded discipline while punishing emotional decisions. This year reminded us that profitability does not come from being right once, but from managing risk correctly over hundreds of trades. There were winning trades that built confidence, and losing trades that reinforced an essential truth: the market is always right, and our job is to adapt. As we step into 2026, I wish every trader a strong and stable mindset. Trade with a plan, respect your stop-loss without hesitation, and never let emotions override structure. May you stay calm during sudden spikes, remain disciplined during winning streaks, and trust your system during drawdowns. Consistent profits are the result of patience and execution not speed or prediction. May 2026 be a year of clean trading: fewer impulsive trades, less FOMO, more high-quality setups, and a steadily rising equity curve over time. Wishing you good health, mental clarity, and continuous growth as a trader. Happy New Year 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
Bitcoin Isn’t BREAK — It’s Being Trapped Between Liquidity WallsHi Traders, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading inside a clearly defined consolidation range between $85,000 and $90,000, with price repeatedly rotating between a strong resistance zone overhead and a well-defended support zone below. The chart shows that every attempt to push higher into the upper boundary has been met with aggressive selling, while downside moves stall once price reaches the lower demand area. This behavior confirms that the market is range-bound rather than directional. From a price action perspective, the recent impulsive move into the $89,500–$90,000 resistance zone failed to gain acceptance. The sharp rejection that followed indicates the presence of strong supply and profit-taking at higher levels. Importantly, this was not followed by continuation selling, but instead by a drift back toward the middle of the range, a typical characteristic of balanced market conditions. Structurally, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is printing overlapping highs and lows on the 1H timeframe. There is no consistent sequence of higher highs or lower lows, which means neither buyers nor sellers have control. Price continues to rotate around the mid-range equilibrium near $87,500–$88,000, an area where liquidity is actively exchanged and where short-term traders dominate order flow. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are flat and tightly compressed, with price frequently crossing above and below them. This flattening of moving averages reflects momentum exhaustion and indecision, not trend strength. In trending markets, price typically respects one side of key EMAs; here, they act more as mean-reversion magnets. From a macro standpoint, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is lacking a strong directional catalyst. U.S. yields remain relatively stable, the USD is not making decisive moves, and there is no immediate Federal Reserve policy shift driving risk appetite. As a result, Bitcoin is responding primarily to technical liquidity zones rather than macro narrative, reinforcing the ongoing consolidation. In conclusion, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD remains neutral and range-controlled, capped by heavy resistance near $90,000 and supported by demand around $85,000–$86,000. Until the market achieves a clean breakout with acceptance and volume, price is likely to continue oscillating within this range. In this environment, patience and discipline matter more than prediction, and trading decisions should be based on reaction at key levels, not directional bias.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
BTCUSD ANALYSIS 12/28/20251. Fundamental Analysis: a) Macroeconomics: • USD: After a technical rebound, the USD is stalling -> no longer exerting strong selling pressure on BTC. • US equities: Trading within a narrow range, in an accumulation phase -> the market is waiting for a new signal. • FED: No signal of further tightening; interest rates remain high, but mid-term expectations are still for cuts -> BTC is being supported. • BTC ETF: ETF flows are not seeing strong outflows, mainly holding positions, showing institutions have not exited the market. b) Politics: • No new negative geopolitical news -> the crypto market is not experiencing shock events. c) Market Sentiment: • Neutral – slightly risk-on. • Retail traders are trading short-term, while institutions are standing aside waiting for trend confirmation -> high chance of liquidity sweeps on both sides. • Year-end period, overall activity is slowing, with no major trades. 2. Technical Analysis: • Overall trend: Sideways within a slightly upward range. • Price is trading below the short-term ascending trendline (rejected multiple times – circles on the chart). • Oscillating within the 87k – 88k range. • RSI: M15–M30 RSI around the 50–60 zone -> not overbought. • Suitable for scalping within the range, not suitable for holding long-term trend trades. => Current structure: Not enough momentum to break the trendline -> prioritize pullback trades and range trading, avoid chasing price. Key Technical Levels: • Resistance: 88,048 – 89,186 • Support: 86,177 – 83,856 3. Previous Market Session: • BTC tested the 89k–90k zone -> strongly rejected at the trendline. • Then returned to consolidation around the 87k–88k area. • Liquidity did not expand -> this is a technical pullback, not distribution. => The previous session was an order absorption day; direction has not been chosen yet.
OANDA:BTCUSD
by Signals_100pips
Bitcoin Very Strong Key Levels to Mark on Your Chart ( BTC/USD )These are very strong Bitcoin levels identified through market structure and price action. I recommend marking them on your chart, as they can be very useful for future trading decisions. Both proper buying and selling areas are clearly mentioned to help with planning trades around key zones. If anything is not clear or you need clarification, feel free to ask in the comments. ⚠️ Shared for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management. 🔖 Hashtags: #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #KeyLevels #PriceAction #SupportResistance #TradingEducation #MarketStructure
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by FreeForex-pk
1
Monthly Bitcoin Candle Colour Closes since 2011 - December closeDecember closed RED If you have been following these posts over the months, you will know we have been following a colour sequence that has lasted 11 Months. This has NEVER happened before in Bitcoin History and it repeats the beginning of the 2023 Recovery / leading to Bull Run. However. the Red December close ends that sequence.... As mentioned last month, The Red candle was the highest probability. There were only 2 choices as to trying to predict the December Candle and the small RED candle was the better option..Because it may point to PA repeating what happened in January 2023, when Bitcoin came out of a Bear market. This small red candle is the same size as the one we Had in December 2022. Both the preceding November Red candles in 2022 and 2025, were the same size at around -28% Dec 2022 was -10,6% Dec 2025 is -11.6% Remarkable similarities but only for 2 candle sequence so far. Should this repeat the Mov. Dec 2022 and January 2023 pattern, we may expect the possibility of a large Green January. The chances of us repeating that left box again are very VERY Slim, Mostly as we have just done so for 11 months previously..BUT statisticaly, Januarys are Green more often than Red. Zoom into the main chart But, lets be realistic, if we are in a a BEAR Market, then a RED January is highly likely,as in 2022 ( left dashed box) , But....... If we look at the Dashed Box From JULY 2021 to the 2021 Nov ATH and then to Jan 2022, we have got a series of 2 x Green, Red, Green, 3 X Red ( the last Red candle was JANUARY 2022) We have just done the same from June 2025, a month earlier, so our most recent 3rd Red candle is December 2025 ( right dashed box ). In 2022, the candle after the 3rd red was Green...that, again points towards a Green January for us. IF WE FOLLOW PATTERN and it needs to be remebered, that this price action was a brief pause in the Deeper Bear that was yet to arrive. The chances of us having a Red January and so making 4 Red candles in a Row is also slim. but not impossible. Previously, we have only ever had 4 Red Candles ( or more) groupings :- ( Arrowed on chart ) August to Nov 2011, (previous PA unknown) July to October 2014 August 2018 to January 2019 ( 6 months ) These were in a Bear Market. But in 2019, this was followed by 5 months of Green. Previous JANUARY closes are 8 Green to 6 Red 4 of those Green Closes were after 2 or More Red months previous. 2 of the Red Closes were after 2 or more Red Months previously. This also points towards a higher chance of a Green January. 7 of those Green January closes has a Higher price in the year, than the closeing January candle price. 5 were followed by a Green Febuary All 6 of the Red January closes are followed by a small green Febuary HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC Weekly Thesis: Bullish Fakeout Before a Larger Cycle ResetThis is a longer term thesis for BTC on the weekly timeframe that runs counter to the dominant market narrative. The prevailing view is that because Bitcoin has not yet broken its higher high and higher low structure, the cycle remains firmly bullish and new all time highs are inevitable. While that structure is technically still intact for now, focusing on structure alone without broader context is causing many participants to miss what is developing beneath the surface. From a higher timeframe perspective, price is currently interacting directly with the 0.618 retracement of the prior impulse. Historically, this level has acted as a major inflection zone across previous cycles, particularly when combined with prolonged consolidation and volatility compression. Over the past several months, Bitcoin has continued to coil into an increasingly tight range. Volatility has compressed to levels that typically precede large directional expansion. When this type of compression occurs at a key Fibonacci retracement, resolution is rarely minor. My base case is not immediate downside. I expect an initial continuation to the upside. There is still ample room for price to rally without challenging the prior all time highs. This upside expansion is likely to reinforce bullish conviction and strengthen the belief that the cycle is still firmly intact. However, I believe this move higher will function as a bullish fakeout. Structurally, price action on the weekly timeframe is beginning to resemble the right shoulder of a much larger head and shoulders formation. The neckline of this structure aligns closely with the same 0.618 retracement zone. A failure after an upside breakout would trap late bullish positioning and open the door for a much larger corrective move. If this structure resolves bearishly, the measured move projects toward the 48k region. This level aligns with prior cycle percentage drawdowns, represents a major liquidity zone, and coincides with where significant ETF related accumulation occurred. A return to this area would function less as a collapse and more as a structural reset. I also expect 2026 to be a broadly bearish year for crypto, not necessarily in the sense of total failure, but as a corrective phase that punishes excessive leverage, one sided positioning, and narrative driven certainty. The current market environment is increasingly crowded with perpetual bullish conviction, which historically precedes major shakeouts. If Bitcoin were to retrace into the 48k region and successfully reclaim it afterward, it would likely reset the market into a healthier and more sustainable long term bullish trend rather than an overextended speculative one. - Scenario Probability Weighting - These probabilities reflect current structure, volatility behavior, Fibonacci confluence, and historical cycle symmetry. They should be updated as new information arrives. Bullish fakeout followed by breakdown toward 48k: 45% to 50% Clean bullish continuation with sustained acceptance above prior ATH: 25% to 30% Extended consolidation and delayed resolution: 15% to 20% Immediate bearish breakdown without upside expansion: 5 % to 10% My primary thesis remains that upside is likely first, followed by failure. - Invalidation and Confirmation - This thesis is invalidated under the following conditions: * Sustained weekly acceptance above the prior all time high with follow through and expanding volume * Reclaim and hold above the 0.786 retracement, confirming the 0.618 acted as accumulation rather than distribution Downside confirmation would require: * Weekly loss of the neckline and 0.618 retracement * Expansion in volatility and volume accompanying the breakdown Until invalidation occurs, the current volatility compression at a major Fibonacci level suggests the market is preparing for a large move. The key question is not whether volatility will expand, but whether expansion is accepted or rejected. This is not a prediction of collapse. It is a probability weighted thesis built on structure, Fibonacci confluence, volatility behavior, and historical cycle symmetry. Time will tell.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSD
by Alexander_Thaddeus
Bitcoin: metals won Y2025A lot of insecurities during the year, geopolitical tensions, stories regarding tariffs effects, the longest US Government shutdown, fears on AI valuations, insecurity regarding the clear course of the US economy, questions regarding independence of the Fed from the US Administration, have all affected investors decision to prefer metals in Q4 2025, gold and silver, above all other asset classes. Analysts are in agreement that funds from the crypto market were transferred into holdings of gold and silver. This is the main reason why the crypto market and BTC are closing the year in a negative territory. BTC is still trying to pass the $90K level, however, another week in a row such a move was only another attempt. The majority of trades were between $87K-$88K range. BTC is still moving in a slow motion mode, without any significant liquidity inflow. The RSI is looking like a flat line, still below the level of 50. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, indicating that the cross is not near. The week ahead brings the end of the year 2025 and a New Year holiday as another non-working day. Usually during this period of time, the majority of investors and traders are taking some time-off. In this sense, there should not be any significant change in markets. BTC will most probably continue to oscillate around the level of $88K, where it will most probably close the trading year 2025.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Why bitcoin can go down to $33,000Imagine geo politic is not stable, war is keep continue. Then,the gold price will keep going up. because gold have lower risk. Imagine some country de dollarise. China yunan port are now can trade with all kind of stocks with RMB. China also banned bitcoin, ethereum and USDT in Hong Kong. When you check the market volume is droping more than 65%. Even the highest bitcoin price in $20,000 tradin volume is more higher than current bitcoin price. That's why I predict the price can even go as low as $33,000 in 2026. The bullish will only start on 2027
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cryptobizchannel
1
BITCOIN 'From Denial of the Bear Cycle to Bitcoin going to 0'We've been showing you since September why Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was structured to start a new Bear Cycle in October, mostly based on the very accurate 4-year Cycle Theory. Recently we've published analyses of the last indicators that practically confirmed that the market has already entered this Bear Cycle. Today, with a combination of the Pi Cycle bands and the Aroon Oscillator, we basically display the investor mentality as the market transitions from Bull to Bear and again back to Bull. First of all, even the 3W time-frame has confirmed that by breaking a closing a 3W candle below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), BTC confirmed in late October the start of the Bear Cycle. As you can see that happened before on December 27 2021, May 07 2018 and August 04 2014. Every time that happened, the Bear Cycle was a fact. We are now within the 1W MA50 - Pi Cycle (green) Support trend-line Zone, which is part of the 'Denial of Bear Cycle' Phase, where the majority of the market doesn't/ can't accept the trend change. Below the Pi Cycle Support starts the 'Bitcoin going to 0' hysteria where the majority of the market starts turning from bullish to bearish, having accepted the Bear Cycle, making extravagant calls on Bitcoin's potential bottom. This is when the very reliable Aroon Oscillator turns bearish below 0.00. Once this hits its Buy Zone, it has historically been a fair time to start buying again for the long-term. That is when bearishness across the market is at its peak and of course when smart money start buying massively again. So do you think that's a good framework to follow? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
31
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 26, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Bitcoin market has traded within a narrow range in the Active Inner Trading Zone during the current holiday season. This progressive zone is characterized by a Mean Resistance level of 90,500 and a Mean Support level of 84,500. Given the prevailing dynamics in the cryptocurrency market, it is recommended that traders diligently monitor price movements in this Active Trading Zone. A breakout on the upside from this range may lead to vital targets, including an Interim Inner Coin Rally at 98,000, and a subsequent Interim Coin Rally at 102,500. However, it is important to acknowledge that these targets will encounter resistance at the Mean Resistance level of 93,500 before being attained. On the downside, the principal target, identified for some time, is the Outer Coin Dip at 78,500. This target will be supported by significant backing from the Mean Support level of 82,500, which is situated below the Active Trading Zone’s Mean Support level of 84,500.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
BTC/USD Cycles, downtrends and uptrendsIf we look at the BTC/USD 6 Month Chart. We can see that BTC is still following its 730/731 day cycle. Almost like clockwork. Follow the Sign Wave Pattern up and down, you will see that it's been very accurate. I made the original version of the chart way in Dec 27, 2022, which you can see on the link. Looking at the history of this chart, we can see that after various major increases and uptrends, BTC has always delivered a roughly ~72% to ~87% retrace roughly lasting Two or Three 6 Month Candles before continuing on to a make a new All Time High. BTC had been in an uptrend for 3 long years and has very likely peaked for this Cycle. So what do I think will happen? Shaded White area is where I think BTC will go with either a total -70% drop to ~$37,931. or resistance found at either ~$48,384 to ~32,061. Alternatively: Dashed Line = -80% drop to ~$25,148 Dotted White Line = -87% drop to ~$15,551 If BTC/USD continues to follow the 730/731 day cycle for this downtrend, then we can expect BTC to recover within either the 6 Month Candle that starts Wednesday 1st Jul 2026 or within the 6 Month Candle that starts Friday 1st Jan 2027. After this Downtrend, BTC should make a new All Time High within the 6 Month Candle that starts Sunday 1st July 2029, after that, it’s another year to a year and a half downtrend until the 6 Month Candle that starts Wednesday 1st Jan 2031. And so on, and so on. I hope this is helpful.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
Bitcoin 2026Hi and good day to you, This is a sample projectile of the bitcoin forecast that has been made sample form the last 2025 and who ever made that far, congratulation to you and those who not manage to reach out to top my condolences to you. Summary of feng shui 2026 as follow:- The Fire element supports Fire Industries (Energy, Finance) and the Wood Industries (Media, Creative Arts), which align with the user's focus on technology and services (AI FOCUS ERA) transformation and restructuring of the financial system and an Economic Reset (We might see new kind of payment this year or later). Area to focus (Shipping, Logistics, Communication, and Transportation are predicted to have the strongest wealth-generating potential.) To be avoid (loan or such) Industries such as Banking, Engineering, Cars (Metal), and Property/Real Estate (Earth) are predicted to face challenges Best of luck again to you and see you when i see you. Bye.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MalaysiaDPR
Most Traders Think This Is a Breakout — It’s Actually a LiquiditBITCOIN (BTCUSD) – 1H MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS 1. Current Market Context – Sideways Is Not Weakness Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clearly defined sideways (range-bound) structure. This type of market often confuses traders because: - Price moves frequently - No clean trend is visible - Fake breakouts appear on lower timeframes However, sideways movement is not randomness it is order accumulation and distribution. 2. Key Price Zones on the Chart 🔴 Resistance Zone (Upper Range) Price has been rejected multiple times from this area Sellers consistently defend this level Breakout attempts fail without structure confirmation 🟢 Support Zone (Lower Range) Price repeatedly finds buyers in this area Long wicks and strong reactions confirm demand Smart money absorbs sell pressure here 3. Sideway Zone = Liquidity Zone The highlighted sideway zone is where: - Retail traders overtrade - Emotions dominate - Stop-losses are clustered on both sides Professionals use this phase to: - Accumulate positions quietly - Create false breakouts - Prepare for a high-momentum expansion later This is why most losses occur inside ranges. 4. Price Behavior Inside the Range Notice the repeated pattern: - Push up → rejection - Drop down → strong reaction - Higher volatility near range edges - Compression near the middle This behavior confirms: - No trend confirmation yet - Market is waiting for liquidity completion 5. Breakout Logic – Not Guessing, Only Confirmation A valid breakout requires: - A clean close outside the range - Structure continuation, not a single candle - Acceptance above resistance or below support Until then: - Every move inside the range is noise - Every early entry is risk exposure 6. Professional Trading Mindset In a sideways market: - Patience is a strategy - Waiting is a position - Capital preservation > prediction Conclusion – Read the Market, Don’t Fight It This chart is a textbook example of range accumulation. Until price proves otherwise: Respect the range Trade only confirmed reactions Ignore emotional breakouts The market always shows its intention only disciplined traders are calm enough to see it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
Bitcoin bottom or half way down? This is what bottoms look like. This is also what halfway down at the end of cycle looks like. Why end of cycle story seems wrong: * retail hit fear and called the end before fall? * no rally, euphoria, fomo, or even all of retail back? * so little leverage? * no altseason? * we just shifted into global easing * US ended QT * US shooting excess money everywhere that will end up in markets. The BBB is like a market stimulus * Gold is over $30T and more overbought monthly than almost at any point in history. A huge amount is there for profit. It will be taken and needs a new home * Global Liquidity at all time high and still growing Why it seems right: * Timing matches history * majority of people are saying it
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by jwelshiv