B T C U S D <•>BITCOIN Buy stop btcusd , bitcoin looking to give us another push up to correct itself,
TRADING STYLE : Scalp
SAFETY TIPS : (Trial Stop + Partial Close)
Market insights
BTCUSD | Yearly Close....What do you call this candle?Hello traders,
BTC is about to close its yearly candle in 12 days and its printing this candle. It looks to me like a perfect bearish pin bar on its own and a bearish harami by chart structure.
I'm not a huge fan of candlestick patterns tbh, I don't trade them. Some do, I don't. But when you see this one on a yearly close, you simply can't ignore it.
Let me know what you think down below
If you like what I share, Please support me with a like
Bitcoin Is Pausing — Not BreakingBitcoin on H1 is transitioning into a controlled consolidation following the sharp impulsive move, with price now rotating inside a well-defined range below resistance. The recent pullback failed to trigger continuation lower and instead formed a higher low within the structure, signaling that sellers are losing momentum while buyers continue to defend demand.
This price behavior points to absorption rather than distribution. Liquidity is building inside the range as the market digests the prior impulse, with neither side showing enough strength yet to force expansion. As long as BTC holds above the lower boundary of the structure, the bias remains constructive, favoring a gradual rotation back toward the upper range and the Target 2–Target 3 area.
From a macro perspective, this consolidation aligns with a broader wait-and-see environment across risk assets, as markets remain sensitive to U.S. macro data and expectations around monetary policy. With no decisive shift in liquidity conditions or risk sentiment, Bitcoin is mirroring that uncertainty through range-bound price action rather than trend continuation.
A clean acceptance above resistance would signal alignment between technical structure and macro conditions, opening the door for continuation. Until then, this remains a patience phase chasing moves inside the range offers low edge, and direction will only reveal itself once price exits the structure with clear intent.
BTCDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Elise | BTCUSD – 30M | Distribution Below HTF ResistanceBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Price aggressively swept liquidity into the HTF resistance and immediately rejected, followed by a sharp sell-off. Subsequent rebounds have failed to reclaim the resistance, confirming it as a distribution zone. Current consolidation near 87.8k reflects weak demand and hesitation, not strength.
Key Scenarios
❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Primary) → Failure to reclaim 88,500 – 88,800 targets 86,200 → 85,200 → 84,400.
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 (Invalidation) → Only a clean 30M close and acceptance above 89,000 flips structure toward 90,200 – 90,800.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 88,800 – 90,000 (HTF)
Support 🟢: 86,200 → 85,200 → 84,400
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
The support level is strong; go long on BTC.Bullish Technical Signals: Confirmation of Triple Bottom Characteristics
1.Resonance Between Oversold Recovery and Reversal Patterns
The daily RSI has fallen to 32.8, hovering near the oversold threshold (30). Meanwhile, a standard hammer candlestick pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart—featuring a small real body with a lower shadow twice the length of the real body—indicating strong buying interest at lower levels and exhaustion of short-term downward momentum.
The hourly RSI has turned upward from the oversold zone, forming momentum resonance with the continuous narrowing of MACD green bars. The fast and slow lines are on the verge of crossing above the zero axis, sending a clear rebound signal. Historical data shows that when "RSI near oversold + 4-hour hammer candlestick" appear simultaneously, the probability of a rebound within 1-5 days reaches 68%.
2. Solid Support System Builds a Safety Cushion
A triple support resonance has taken shape on the technical front:
① $85,000 marks the key Fibonacci 0.786 retracement level, withstanding multiple tests to form a short-term psychological support and capital absorption platform.
② $83,680 aligns with the convergence of the 100-week SMA and the long-term uptrend line starting in 2023, serving as a structural strong support level with an extremely low probability of being breached.
③ The price has traded outside the lower Bollinger Band for over 24 hours. Historical patterns indicate that the probability of returning to the channel after a breakout exceeds 80%, and the market is currently in the phase of accumulating momentum for the return.
3. Strengthened Support from Concentrated Chip Zone
On-chain chip heatmap data shows that 950,000 BTC have accumulated in the $84,000-$86,000 range, among which 400,000 BTC are recent real-traded chips, forming a strong support zone.
Stop-loss orders from short-term holders are concentrated below $85,000. If this level is successfully defended, it will avoid a technical stop-loss stampede and clear obstacles for the rebound.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy：85500-86500
tp:88000-89000-92000
Excellent opportunity to go long on Bitcoin in the short term.Bullish Catalyst Logic: Three-Pronged Support Builds the Foundation for a Rebound
1.Strong Technical Demand for Oversold Recovery
Bitcoin’s daily price has pierced the lower Bollinger Band and remained outside the channel. Historical patterns show that the probability of returning to the channel after a breakout exceeds 80%, signaling clear short-term recovery demand.
A resonant key support system has taken shape:
$83,680 marks the convergence of the 100-week SMA and the long-term uptrend line, serving as a structural strong support level.
The $85,000-$85,500 range was the sideways-trading low after the recent sharp decline, withstanding multiple tests to form a solid capital absorption platform.
The RSI indicators on the 1-hour and 30-minute charts have turned upward from the oversold zone. On the 4-hour chart, the MACD shows shrinking volume with capital accumulation, and the DIF and DEA lines are converging—all signs that downward momentum is gradually fading, and a technical rebound could be triggered at any time in the short term.
2. Chip Structure & Rebound Momentum After Liquidations
The market has recently exhibited the characteristic of "long liquidations forcing a bottom". Over $295 million worth of long positions were liquidated globally in the past 24 hours. Excessive selling has concentrated chips in the $85,000-$86,700 range, fully releasing selling pressure.
On-chain data reveals that long-term holders (with positions held for over 1 year) have increased their holdings in the $84,000-$87,000 range by 27% month-on-month. Their buying has absorbed short-term selling pressure, laying the fundamental groundwork for a rebound. In addition, there is a price gap in CME Bitcoin futures, which has a high historical filling probability and acts as a key short-term price magnet.
3. Macro Easing Expectations Have Not Been Fully Priced In
Market expectations for further Fed rate cuts remain intact, and the broader environment of synchronized monetary easing across major global economies has not changed, providing implicit liquidity support for risk assets.
Bitcoin’s negative correlation with risk-free yields persists. If economic data falls short of expectations, expectations for further easing may reignite, driving capital back into the crypto market. Currently, the $86,700 price level has partially priced in negative factors, putting Bitcoin in a relatively safe valuation range.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy：85500-86500
tp:88000-89000-92000
BTCUSD | Next Stop 75K - Still Bullish?Hello traders,
People are finally starting to believe in the bear market afterall, yea?
Here is our next stop lads, get ready.
Good Luck!
BTC ETH SOL MSTR Bullish Consolidation (Closer Look)I want to post this follow-up on the Hourly time-frame to my earlier post on the Daily time-frame so you can see how BTC SOL have bounced strongly from their initial two REVERSAL levels and are pushing to close the day ABOVE, which is VERY BULLISH.
ETH is a bit far from crossing above its two REVERSAL LEVELs but you can see it bounced off strongly from a CHANNEL LINE.
Final confirmation will be a GREEN close tomorrow Tuesday...
Good luck!
Bitcoin Just Did This at Support… Is the Bounce RealBTC/USD – H4 MARKET ANALYSIS
1. Current Market Structure
Bitcoin has completed a sharp bearish impulse and is now reacting from a clearly defined support zone. The strong sell-off flushed liquidity below the previous range, followed by an immediate bounce a typical sign of demand absorption rather than trend continuation to the downside.
At the moment, price is transitioning into a recovery phase, but the structure remains corrective, not impulsive yet.
2. Key Zones & Market Positioning
Support Zone: ~85,300 – 85,900 → Strong demand area where buyers stepped in aggressively
Target 1: ~87,900 → First reaction level / prior structure resistance
Target 2: ~89,900 → Range high / key liquidity pool
Target 3: ~94,000 – 95,000 → Major resistance & supply zone (higher timeframe)
3. Price Action & Liquidity Behavior
- The rejection from the support zone shows long lower wicks and follow-through buying
- This suggests sell-side liquidity has been absorbed
- Current pullbacks are shallow, indicating buyers are defending higher lows
This behavior aligns with a relief rally → consolidation → continuation structure.
4. Market Scenarios
Primary Scenario (High Probability):
- Price holds above the support zone
- Builds a higher low structure
- Gradual push toward Target 1, followed by Target 2
- If momentum accelerates, expansion toward Target 3
Alternative Scenario:
- Failure to hold above the support zone
- Strong bearish close below demand
- Would invalidate the bullish recovery and open deeper downside
5. Trading Perspective
Bias: Buy the pullback, not chase the breakout
Best opportunities lie near demand, not at resistance
Market is currently recovering, not reversing trend fully yet
Summary
Bitcoin is not collapsing.
It is stabilizing, absorbing liquidity, and preparing for a potential multi-leg recovery.
As long as the support zone holds, the roadmap remains clear:
Demand → Recovery → Targets expansion.
BTCUSD Update - 4H Time frameBTCUSD Update - 4H TimeframeBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been in a corrective phase after the strong rally, declining along the descending trendline from highs above 100k. Price has now reached a major demand zone around 84,000 - 85,800, where strong buying interest emerged previously.We're seeing early signs of reversal: a sharp bounce from the lows near 85,800 with a bullish arrow pointing up, indicating potential accumulation. This zone aligns with prior support and could act as a springboard for the next leg up if buyers defend it.Ideal buying opportunity on a retest or hold around 84,000 – high-probability long setup with confluence of structure and demand.Watch for confirmation with a strong close above 88,000 to target 92,000+.Trading SignalAsset: BTCUSD (Bitcoin/USD)
Direction: Buy (Long)
Entry Range: 84,000 - 84,500 (on dip into demand zone)
Stop Loss: 83,500 (below the zone low)
Take Profit Targets: 88,000 (first resistance), 92,000 (next major level)
Risk/Reward: Targeting 1:3+
Timeframe: 4H - Swing/Position trade potential #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #Bullish #DemandZone #TradingSignal #CryptoTrading This is not financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research, manage risk properly, and consider your financial situation before trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
BTC Weekly Outlook: Trend Still Bearish, But Watch These LevelsBitcoin made a move early this week, breaking above last week's high — only to face sell pressure after the Fed’s rate cut. While rate cuts usually add liquidity (a positive for risk assets), BTC's technicals still lean bearish.
🔻 Trend Check:
Still forming lower highs and lower lows
No sign yet of a sustained trend reversal
Bulls need a confirmed higher low to shift momentum
📊 Technical Setup:
This bounce may be part of a corrective rally in a rising channel
Key resistance zone: 94K–95K
A clean breakout here could target 105K next
📌 What to Watch:
Price action near 94K–95K
Whether BTC prints a higher low on this pullback
🧠 Caution: Until the trend flips, rallies may be short-lived.
BTCUSD short term shortBTCUSD high probability short for daytrading. Price on the 15m chart breaks below 87470 without any fakeout and now that the price is consolidating inside the origin zone. First target that the price is gonna go for would be 86900, followed by 85890 next.
BTCUSD-Bearish Structure Forming on Bitcoin – Patience RequiredMy analysis on Bitcoin today might get some negative comments from those who are holding BTC or are in long positions. However, from my perspective, I see a bearish pattern forming in line with the main trend. If this pattern gets activated, it could push the price down toward the $75,000 area — although it’s still too early for that level to be reached.
For now, my expectation is a period of consolidation (compression) first, followed by a potential downside move.
Will Bitcoin's bullish trend continue?st”}
COINBASE:BTCUSD 🚀
Long-Term Technical Trend 📈
Bitcoin is still in a strong long-term uptrend on the weekly timeframe.
Any recent decline should be seen as a normal pullback or correction within the broader bullish structure.
Fundamental Factors 🌍
There are still many uncertainties surrounding digital assets.
However, given the current conditions (late 2025 into 2026), I personally see Bitcoin and Ethereum as the least risky crypto assets compared to the rest of the market.
Because the total crypto market cap has already grown significantly, I don’t believe most cryptocurrencies can multiply the way they did in previous bull cycles.
Even in a very bullish scenario, an average growth of 100–200% seems realistic and reasonable.
When liquidity is limited and not all assets can grow at the same time, capital usually flows toward the strongest names.
In my view, Bitcoin and Ethereum will remain investors’ first and last choices.
Personally, I continue to allocate the majority of my capital to these two assets only.
Trading Perspective & Possible Scenarios ⚖️
So, what should we do from here?
First, we must clearly separate a correction from a true downtrend.
In a correction scenario, the market could still drop another 10–20% from current levels.
In that case, the main upward move could resume around the $70,000 area.
In a downtrend scenario, similar to the previous cycle with a 70–80% decline, the market would lose its bullish structure and start forming lower highs and lower lows, making any sustainable recovery much harder.
Whether you are a long-term investor or a short-term trader, respecting your stop-loss and risk limits is essential to protect your capital.
For me personally, a clear break and consolidation below $70,000 would officially confirm the end of this bullish trend.
If that happens, I will liquidate my positions.
We should also remember the pessimistic scenario:
Cryptocurrencies could remain bearish for a long time (1–2 years), or even fail to grow at all.
While this is not my base case right now, I never ignore it and always consider it a key risk.
Price Targets 🎯
Now, the interesting part.
In my most optimistic scenario, I estimate Bitcoin’s average price in 2026 to be between $150,000 and $170,000.
Once price approaches this zone, I will gradually convert my crypto profits into cash.
For Ethereum, I see $6,000–$8,000 as very reasonable targets.
Higher levels seem unrealistic and far-fetched to me.
If market conditions change, I will update this analysis and keep you informed.
Thanks for reading 🙏
Wishing you **maximum profits
BTCUSD: Anticipating a Strategic Sell OpportunityRecent economic indicators present a challenging landscape for risk assets, with disappointing U.S. employment figures underscoring labor market fragility and cooling inflationary pressures signaling a potential shift in monetary policy expectations. Major U.S. equity indices, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) and Nasdaq-100 (NDX), are exhibiting technical patterns suggestive of near-term exhaustion, hinting at a broader market correction. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) appears poised for a period of weakness.
From a technical perspective, BTC/USD is approaching a critical juncture. The pair is testing a key ascending resistance trendline (highlighted in orange), which has historically acted as a formidable barrier. A retracement toward this dynamic resistance zone is anticipated, presenting a high-probability selling opportunity. Given that this setup does not align with a classic A-Book liquidity profile, trading volumes may remain subdued, suggesting a less aggressive approach to position sizing.
Traders are advised to monitor price action closely for confirmation of a pullback, with a focus on confluence between the ascending resistance and other technical indicators, such as momentum divergences or elevated selling pressure, to optimize entry timing. Risk management remains paramount in navigating this potentially volatile environment.
Bitcoin Is Trapped — But Not WeakMarket State:
– Bitcoin is trading inside a defined sideways structure, bounded by a strong support zone near 87,500–88,000 and a heavy resistance band around 90,500–91,000.
– The sharp sell-off into support was immediately absorbed, followed by a rebound — confirming buyers are defending the range, not abandoning it.
Key Levels:
– Strong Support: 87,500 – 88,000
– Range Mid / Balance: ~89,000
– Strong Resistance: 90,500 – 91,000
– Breakout Trigger: Acceptance above 91,000
Price Action Read:
– Repeated rejections at resistance and higher lows from support signal range compression.
– This is not trend continuation yet — it is market indecision resolved through time, not price.
NEXT MOVE SCENARIOS
➡️ Primary Scenario – Range Continuation
– Price oscillates between support and resistance.
– Buy reactions near 87,500–88,000, fade moves into 90,500–91,000.
➡️ Breakout Scenario (Macro-Driven)
– A decisive break and acceptance above 91,000 requires:
• Dovish Fed repricing
• USD weakness
• Broader risk-on rotation
– Only then does upside expansion become sustainable.
❌ Invalidation:
– A clean breakdown below 87,500 would shift bias to deeper corrective price discovery.
BTC 4hr TF - 15 December 2025BTC Has Broken The Support Trendline From The $88,300 Level And Based On The Rising Wedge Pattern - Price Can Eventually Go Towards The Monthly Target For December Which Is Around $77,000
( Not Financial Advice - Just What The Chart Is Showing )
Weekly BTCUSD Analysis: Bullish Momentum Builds Toward $96,000.Analysis:
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week with strong bullish momentum, confirming buyers’ control as price continues to respect higher-timeframe demand zones. The broader market environment remains supportive, with a declining US Dollar and rising geopolitical tensions increasing demand for alternative and safe-haven assets such as Bitcoin.
🔑 Key Weekly Levels
Primary Support: 87,595
Strong Support (Major Demand Zone): 83,780
Immediate Resistance: 90,660
Next Resistance: 94,662
Bullish Target: 96,000
📈 Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, BTCUSD maintains a bullish market structure, printing higher lows on the weekly timeframe. Price continues to trade above key moving averages, indicating sustained upside momentum.
Support validation: The zone around 87,595 has acted as a reliable demand area, where buyers repeatedly step in.
Trend strength: Momentum indicators suggest bullish continuation, with pullbacks being shallow and corrective in nature.
Breakout potential: A confirmed weekly close above 90,660 would strengthen bullish conviction and expose price toward 94,662, followed by the psychological 96,000 level.
The 83,780 region remains a strong long-term support and represents a high-probability accumulation zone should deeper retracements occur.
🌍 Fundamental Context
The ongoing weakness in the US Dollar combined with elevated geopolitical risks continues to support Bitcoin’s narrative as a hedge and alternative store of value, reinforcing the bullish technical outlook.
🔮 Outlook
As long as BTCUSD holds above 87,595, the bullish bias remains intact. A breakout above resistance could trigger the next impulsive leg higher toward 96,000 in the coming weeks
Regards: Chart Analyst Pro.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #WeeklyAnalysis #CryptoMarket #BTCBullish #TechnicalAnalysis
BTCUSD Bullish BiasMarket Outlook – BTCUSD
If price breaks above the current descending trendline, it could signal the start of a short-term bullish continuation.
Macro Context:
The market had largely priced in a more aggressive stance from the Bank of Japan, which raised expectations of further downside in Bitcoin—potentially a breakdown of the daily demand zone. However, the actual hike came in at only 25 bps, which reduced downside pressure. Instead of selling off, BTCUSD reacted positively, indicating underlying strength and absorption of sell orders.
Technical Structure:
Price respected the 1D demand zone, confirming strong buyer interest.
Momentum has shifted upward despite bearish expectations, increasing the probability of a trendline breakout.
A confirmed break and hold above the descending trendline would strengthen the bullish case.
Trade Plan:
Entry: After a confirmed breakout and retest of the broken trendline (support flip).
Strategy: Suitable for intra-day to short-term swing trades, depending on follow-through and volume confirmation.
Bias: Bullish, as long as price holds above the demand zone and structure remains intact.
Risk Note:
Invalidation occurs if price loses the demand zone decisively, which would negate the bullish setup.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year! 🎄✨
BTC SHORT SETUP 📉 BTC UPDATE — Short Setup in Play
Bitcoin is showing rejection from a key resistance zone, and current structure suggests bearish continuation if price respects this level. Momentum is favoring sellers while liquidity rests below.
📌 Trade Levels :
🔓 Entry: 87348
❌ Stop Loss: 89820
🎯 Target: 86192
Patience is key — let price confirm and manage risk properly.
Trade the levels, not the emotions.
BTC....cycles (big picture)BTC has been following a very accurate 32 wk cycle pattern since January 2024, even to the smaller fractal timeframes if looked on a daily chart. If it were to continue this pattern (big if, as we know cycles change over time). The 80k seen in November 2025 marked the low, and end of previous cycle and we are already on the next major cycle that according to cycle theory will likely see its high between March and May 2026 (green lines). As long as the 80k holds (another big if) whe should see price move up over the next 6 to 10 wks.
Using EW, ikely targets would line up between 155k/185k, with potential to 250k if the macro and liquidity picture lines up (another big if).
Staying above 80k and a break over 102k will increase the probability of this scenario.
BTCUSD – Short-Term Sell from Supply Zone (30m)Bitcoin is currently trading back into a well-defined supply/resistance zone after a strong impulsive move up. Previous price action shows clear rejection from this area, suggesting sellers are active and defending this level.
Trade Plan:
Bias: Short (sell from resistance)
Entry Zone: 88,300 – 88,900 (supply area)
Stop Loss: Above 89,500 (invalidates bearish setup)
Target: 85,500 – 85,200 (demand/support zone)
Rationale:
Price has rallied into a prior rejection zone
Structure shows potential lower high formation
Risk-to-reward is favorable from resistance
Target aligns with previous demand and liquidity area
Invalidation:
A strong close above the supply zone would invalidate the setup and suggest continuation to the upside.
