Market insights
How the Fed’s Next Move Could Reshape Stocks, Gold and BitcoinPowell’s Big December Decision 🏛️
The December 2025 Fed meeting is a big deal because the US economy is in a tricky spot:
Inflation is still a bit too high 📈
Growth and jobs are starting to weaken 📉
Most traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25%, but not everyone at the Fed agrees. If Jerome Powell does something different from what markets expect, we could see either a strong rally in risk assets or a nasty risk‑off move.
What the Fed might do ⚙️
The Fed has three main options:
1. Cut rates and sound “dovish” 🕊️
They cut 0.25% and say they’re ready to help the economy more if needed.
Markets usually like this: cheaper money, easier credit.
2. Cut rates but sound “hawkish” 🦅
They cut, but Powell keeps warning a lot about inflation.
This sends a mixed signal: some good news, some bad news.
3. No cut (a pause) 😐
This would surprise markets because most people expect a cut.
Could scare investors and cause a quick sell‑off in risk assets.
What it could mean for gold and Bitcoin
1. Gold
Loves lower real yields and weaker dollar.
A clear cut with a dovish message could push gold to new highs.
A surprise pause or hawkish tone could trigger a quick pullback.
2. Bitcoin & crypto
Rate cuts usually mean more liquidity and more risk‑taking, which helps crypto.
If the Fed delivers the cut and hints at more easing in 2026, BTC could break out of its correction and start a new leg up.
If Powell disappoints (no cut or very hawkish talk), crypto can dump first as traders de‑risk.
Bottom line ✅
This meeting is important because it sets the tone for 2026:
A friendly, dovish Fed = more chances for a risk‑on environment in stocks, gold and Bitcoin 🚀
A cautious or hawkish Fed = more volatility and possible corrections before any new uptrend 🔁
Traders should watch not just what the Fed does with rates, but also how Powell talks about inflation, growth and future cuts.
BITCOIN Why nobody talks about this??That was the last indicator standing and now it is as clear as it can get. With last month's candle close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has confirmed that it has already started a new Bear Cycle.
The reason is simple and it is one of the most basic trading indicators out there. The 1M MACD was already on a Bearish Cross since October, and November's closing widened the gap to such extent that it is not recoverable anymore.
This has happened every time during a BTC Bear Cycle and in two of the past three cases, it took place while already on the Bear Cycle. History has shown that there is no coming back from this and BTC should start looking for the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1M MA100 (green trend-line) Zone. If all the Bear Cycle indicators we've shown on analyses since September were early signs, the MACD is conclusive and as mentioned, has confirmed it.
But what do you think? Has the MACD Bearish Cross confirmed the new Bear Cycle beyond any doubt? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSDT - 9TH DECEMBER 2025 - BEARISH PERSPECTIVE 🚀 BTCUSDT 4H ANALYSIS – CLEAR BEARISH SETUP FORMING
(Osmaan Mooraby 10X Limitless VIP)
🪙 Current Price: ~$94,000
Timeframe: 4H, Bybit
🔍 What the Chart Is Showing Us
This chart is a textbook bearish structure, and when you zoom out, everything aligns perfectly with a continuation to the downside.
Here is the breakdown in simple language 👇
🔴 1. Double Top Pattern at 107,000
BTC created a clean double top at the 107k region, which is a strong reversal pattern.
Both tops were rejected aggressively, showing clear seller dominance.
This is the origin of the entire dump.
🟪 2. CME Gap + Short Zone (99,640 to 103,420)
This purple zone is your ideal short limit area.
Why?
• It is the CME Gap
• It aligns perfectly with the previous breakdown zone
• It is where a liquidity grab is most likely to happen
• Market makers LOVE filling this zone before sending price down again
If BTC pumps into this region, the sentiment will flip bullish which becomes the perfect trap.
📉 3. Bearish Flag Structure
BTC is currently moving inside a bearish flag, which usually forms after a big drop then continues lower.
Inside this flag, price keeps making
• Higher lows
• But also lower highs
Which creates a rising channel inside a downtrend.
This is NOT bullish.
It is simply a relief pattern before continuation.
Volume is also decreasing inside the flag, which confirms the pattern is weak.
⚠️ 4. Expected Breakdown Targets
Once the flag breaks down, BTC has clear targets below:
1️⃣ 85,000 zone
Major liquidity sits here, easy target for market makers.
2️⃣ 82,500 zone
Continuation target after first liquidity sweep.
3️⃣ 80,000 region and even 75,000
This aligns with macro levels, CME gaps, and weekly chart structure.
A strong breakdown candle can easily send price to the lower 70k range.
📌 5. What To Expect Next
Here is the most probable path based on chart structure:
🔹 BTC pumps into the CME Gap zone (99k to 103k)
🔹 Retail traders turn bullish
🔹 We place short limit orders in that purple zone
🔹 Market reverses sharply
🔹 Flag breaks down
🔹 Continuation toward 85k then 82k then 75k
This is the pattern BTC loves to repeat.
🧠 My View as a Trader
Right now, this is a patience game.
The bearish flag is almost complete, and all BTC needs is a final liquidity grab before the next leg down.
Do not FOMO long in the middle of a bearish pattern.
Wait for price to enter the CME Gap then react.
If BTC reaches 102k to 102k
→ I will place short orders
→ With stop above 108.3k
→ And target 85k to 80k
This is the highest probability trade setup on the chart.
✅ VIP Summary
• BTC formed a double top at 107k
• Currently inside a bearish flag, preparing for continuation
• CME Gap 99,640 to 103,420 is the short zone
• Breakdown targets: 85k – 82.5k – 80k – 75k
• This is NOT bullish relief, it is a trap
• Smart money will wait for the liquidity grab then short the reversal
Last pump for BTCGet ready for the last small pump of Bitcoin,
after this we will have a long downgoing trend.
Tomorrow we have important new for USD and also america might attack venezuela in 24 hours.
everything is ready for the BIG DUMP :)
Back in the Channel – Eyes on New ATHs AheadBitcoin: Back in the Channel – Eyes on New ATHs Ahead 🚀
We're slowly seeing confidence return… and this is not just another bounce. This chart shows BTC reclaiming the massive ascending channel that has governed price action since early 2023. Price just wicked perfectly back into structure — a key reclaim above 88,652 has flipped the narrative back in the bulls' favor. 📈
Three key things stand out:
Channel structure is intact — this is a clean re-entry.
Support held above 88,652 — major validation point.
Targets now shift to 115,054 → 124,144 → 138,800 — each level has history and structure behind it.
New ATHs may not come tomorrow, but with this kind of technical structure, early 2026 could bring serious fireworks . If the bulls stay disciplined, this is a textbook reaccumulation setup inside a macro trend.
Longs are valid as long as we hold above 88,652. Let price do the talking.
Thought of the Day 💡
Respect the structure, not the emotions. Charts like this don’t lie — it's the humans that waver. The higher the timeframe, the stronger the truth.
Disclaimer: What you read here is not financial advice — it’s high-level market philosophy from the FXPROFESSOR himself. Risk is real, and your capital is your responsibility. Learn, adapt, evolve.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
My worries: 79k was NOT checked as support And that is the major support on my chart. There is still over 40% likely that we need to check that 79k level.... but hey: i will be LONG over 88,652 — eyes on 115K → 124K → 138K 🚀 (just remember to play the levels: long over/short under!)
Bitcoin Holding Strength as Markets Price In Possible Fed EasingBTCUSD – Market Analysis and Key Levels
BTCUSD is trading around 91,300, and the broader structure is recovering well after reaching the yearly low near 82,000. The market is currently holding above the 90,320 support zone, which remains an important level to monitor. On the upside, the 92,230 resistance is the next key area price needs to break for further momentum.
If buyers continue to defend support, the next area of interest for me sits around 93,000, in line with the current bullish tone. The improving risk sentiment driven by rate-cut expectations is also supporting the broader market outlook, and investors appear to be pricing this in gradually.
BTC heads up at 95.2k: "Covid Stimulus" fib should give us a DIPShown here is a single fib series in three different time-frames.
The "Covid Stimulus Wave" was started by the FED's massive printing of fiat.
And here we are coming up on the next FED move and bouncing on the FED's fib.
Given the PINGS on last two fibs, we can expect a reaction at the next one.
$ 95,176.28 is the exact price of interest
$ 89,952.30 is the Must-Hold for bulls.
$104,235.03 is the next MAJOR barrier.
.
This Fib series is one of several used to create this recent near-term RoadMap:
Which has caught every turn on the hourly timeframe.
.
The biggest and most important fib series is bitty''s "Genesis Sequence":
Which MAY have created the BOTTOM with its Golden fib at 85.3k
.
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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BTC USDHI GUYS
Btc has made the most beautiful move today i expect buy entries tomorrow to clear area of interest real sells incoming
BTC COING GOING INTO THE WEEKLY/DAILY LEVEL FAIR VAULE GAPSI'm now focusing on a potential fair value gap for Bitcoin. I'm speculating on the possibility of BTC reaching a range between 96,000 and 99,000. This is a market prediction, so I'm not using any specific tools at this moment. This is a preliminary thought.Estimating BTC's PotentialI'm solidifying my assessment of Bitcoin's fair value gap. My current projection remains that BTC might gravitate towards the 96,000 to 99,000 range. This is still a speculative market thought, and my process continues to refine this initial estimate.
BITCOIN MONEY FRIENDS Bitcoin has hit new highs in terms of price and structure it’s been good trading btcusd very easy , all required is patience
BTC Is Setting Up Something Big…BTC MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H
1. Current Price Structure
- BTC is continuing to trade inside a clean sideways channel between the Support Zone (88,700 – 89,500) and the Resistance Zone (92,500 – 93,500).
- After rejecting the support zone, price has started forming a series of higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum building inside the range.
- The current price action shows a corrective leg forming, which aligns with the projection drawn on the chart: slowly climbing toward the resistance zone.
2. Liquidity Zones
Resistance Liquidity (92,500 – 93,500):
- This zone has absorbed liquidity multiple times, showing clear sell pressure and unfilled orders from previous sessions.
Support Liquidity (88,700 – 89,500):
- Several long wicks show strong absorption — buyers consistently defend this region.
BTC is currently traveling from liquidity-to-liquidity, moving upward to target the liquidity cluster above.
3. Today’s Market Scenario
Main Scenario – Bullish Drift Toward Resistance
Price structure suggests that BTC is entering a mid-range accumulation → expansion phase.
The higher low sequence indicates that buyers are slowly gaining control.
BTC is likely to:
- Continue forming minor corrections on the way up.
- Push into the upper resistance zone.
- Potentially sweep the highs inside this zone before any major reaction.
This aligns with the red projection drawn on your chart.
4. Market Psychology
Inside ranges like this, the market often:
- Builds liquidity on both sides.
- Creates clean, predictable swing highs/lows.
- Encourages traders to overreact at small moves.
Smart money typically uses these conditions to accumulate at support and offload at resistance.
BTC is following this exact textbook behavior.
5. Intraday Strategy
Trade Idea (Buy Bias inside the Range)
Entry (BUY): 89,800 – 90,000
Stop Loss: 89,200
Take Profit: 92,800 – 93,400 (Resistance Zone)
Alternative Scenario
If BTC rejects sharply from resistance → sell only after a confirmed break of market structure, with targets back toward mid-range.
Stay patient — BTC is moving in a controlled climb, and the liquidity above is the magnet.
Key resistance ahead of tomorrow’s major news**“Tomorrow, the most important news of 2025 will be released — the U.S. interest rate decision. This announcement is expected to determine the direction of many market trends, including Bitcoin’s. It will show whether the bearish phase is coming to an end or if we’re going to get rejected and continue the downward trend.
In any case, high volatility is likely until tomorrow night, so be cautious with your positions.”**
BTC Bullish Setup Identified – My Trade Plan📌 Bitcoin has successfully formed a bullish setup on the 1H time-frame. Based on current price behavior and structural support levels, I am entering this trade with a clear and disciplined plan.
🟩 Entry Zone
₹ 91,200 – 91,500
Price is currently respecting this demand zone, showing signs of absorption and potential upside reversal.
🔰 Stop Loss
₹ 90,000
Clean invalidation level below the support.
If this breaks, bullish structure is gone — so SL is fixed.
🎯 Target
₹ 93,500
This aligns with previous resistance and the next liquidity pool.
Once price reaches this zone, I’ll book profits.
⸻
📈 Summary
• Setup Type: Bullish Reversal
• Entry: 91,200–91,500
• SL: 90,000
• Target: 93,500
• Risk–Reward: Attractive & disciplined
⸻
BTC is preparing for a bounce — waiting for confirmation and executing with proper risk management. 🚀📊
BITCOIN Bitcoin breaking up the Triangle 🔺️.
1st Target price 102000$ upto 129000$
Highly recommended for Buying ASAP now 👌
BTC: flat chaos🧑💼Still dancing flat arround 90k.. Starting to think that this year it won't hit that 75k either shoot back up again. Zoom into H1 to see what I mean, total mess..
Trading is also in repeating patterns, any gain in any side few % up the goes back down same ammount and story repeats, no clear trend at all... 🤦♂️Anyone who hold longterm positions - its a game of nerves, one day you got mini breakthru, few hours later all collapses back.
⏸︎ In those condtions I just trading hedge, open both sides, take 100pip TP leave the other one it will turn into BE or even profit anyways.. Be careful and be patient guys!
Bitcoin Holds 90,000 Ahead of FOMCMarket fear pushed Bitcoin expectations toward 50,000, yet the 80,000 support and Santa rally narrative are holding the ground ahead of tomorrow's FOMC outcome.
Bitcoin is currently trading below the trendline connecting consecutive higher lows since November 2022, indicating a bearish bias unless price regains this barrier and the 110,000 resistance.
A close above 110,000 would re-establish bullish momentum, opening the door toward the all-time record at 126,000, followed by new potential records near 137,000, 150,000, and 190,000–200,000, in alignment with the trendline connecting higher highs from March 2024 to December 2024.
On the downside, a drop below 80,000 is expected to extend losses toward 70,000, and in more extreme cases, a drop below 70,000 could expose the 50,000-region. (Previous support zone between March and September 2024)
- Razan Hilal, CMT
BTCUSD Head And Shoulders PatternAnother bearish confirmation pattern on BTC. Price likely retesting 84 and 82k
The Bitcoin bulls are gathering their strength.Derivatives Market Analysis: Bullish Option Bias + Market Maker Hedging, Providing Extra Safety Margin for Bitcoin Longs
The current derivatives market presents a favorable structure characterized by "call option dominance + market maker hedging support," offering strong tailwinds for Bitcoin’s short-term upside.
1. Call Option Premium Leads, Bullish Sentiment Dominates
Data from Deribit shows that the $90,000 strike price has the largest option open interest. Call option open interest reaches $8.45 billion, 45% higher than put options ($5.82 billion), forming a distinct "call premium." This imbalance indicates that institutional and professional traders are pricing in significant upside potential, with capital concentrating on bullish bets at key resistance levels.
2. Market Maker Hedging to Trigger Passive Spot Buying
As the December option expiry approaches (scheduled for ), market makers face hedging pressure for their short option positions. To neutralize delta risk, they are likely to passively purchase Bitcoin spot — a technical buying force that will provide short-term upward momentum. Historical data shows that such hedging-driven buying often amplifies price movements during option expiry windows.
3. Healthy Leverage Environment, Rational Bullish Sentiment
- Perpetual contract funding rates remain moderately positive, reflecting balanced long-short positioning without extreme bullish excess.
- Open interest in perpetual contracts has grown steadily, indicating that market bullish sentiment is supported by real capital inflows rather than excessive leverage. This reduces the risk of volatile liquidations and lays a solid foundation for a sustained rally.
4. Structural Divergence Signals Imminent Rally
The "weak spot market consolidation + strong derivatives bullishness" divergence is a classic precursor to short-term trend activation. While spot prices fluctuate narrowly, the derivatives market’s aggressive bullish positioning suggests that capital is accumulating momentum for a breakout. This structural mismatch provides an extra safety margin for long positions, as derivatives-driven buying is likely to bridge the gap between spot and derivatives sentiment.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy：89000-90000
tp:91000-92000-94000
sl：88000
BTCDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
BTC/USD 15m – Live Long Signal (Dec 09, 2025)BTC/USD 15m – Live Long Signal (Dec 09, 2025)Buying the dip right here at ~$90,480–$90,550 zone Perfect higher low formed
Strong bounce + bullish engulfing off the $90k–$90.2k demand
Clean retest of breakout level → now flipping to support
Entry: 90,480–90,550
Stop Loss: Below 89,900 (risk ~600–650 points)
Take Profit 1: 91,200
Take Profit 2: 91,800+ R:R = 1:2.5 – 1:4
Bias: Bullish while above $90k#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BTCUSD #BitcoinLong #BTCLongSignal #CryptoTrading #BreakoutPlay Not financial advice – This is my personal trade setup. Trade at your own risk, use proper risk management, DYOR!
BTCUSD downtrend continuation The BTCUSD currency pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 98,240
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
Bearish Scenario (rejection at 98,240):
A failed test and rejection at 98,240 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
87,066 – Initial support
84,880 – Intermediate support
82,220 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 88,530):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 98,240 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
100,127 – First resistance
102,450 – Further upside target
Conclusion
BTCUSD remains under bearish pressure, with the 98,240 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
