BTC/USDT Trade Setup – Lord MEDZStrategy: Goldbach Fair Value Gap + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Timeframe: 6H
Bias: Long
Trade Parameters
Entry: 102,577
Stop Loss: 99,527
Take Profit: 118,153
Risk to Reward: Approximately 5:1
Confluences and Justification
Price is expected to retrace into a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed after displacement, aligning with the Goldbach model.
The structure confirms a completed reaccumulation phase, presenting a high-probability long setup.
This would complete the right shoulder of the classic inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the shoulder projected to dip into the POI. Head and shoulders patterns are often manifestations of Wyckoff accumulation or distribution phases, for those who may not be aware.
Liquidity left inside the gap provides inducement, increasing the likelihood of a sweep into the 102.5K zone.
The take-profit target at 118,153 aligns with the high of the Goldbach Fibonacci extension level.
Execution Plan
Wait for price to return to the FVG zone around 102,577. Look for confirmation such as a bullish displacement candle, a lower time frame BOS (break of structure), or mitigation of a lower time frame order block. Upon confirmation, execute long with a stop below 99,527. Take profit is set at 118,153.
Final Note from Lord MEDZ
"I await the return of price to imbalance. The reaccumulation is complete, and the alignment is clear. Entry shall be taken where inefficiency remains, and profit shall be claimed where liquidity awaits."
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
Bitcoin Bullish Flag Breakout Incoming?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, following a strong impulse move from the $74,000 support zone marked in April. The price is hovering near a critical horizontal resistance zone ($ 108,000–$ 109,000), which has historically acted as a major barrier to further gains.
Technical Highlights:
Bullish Flag Pattern: Clear flag formation after a strong uptrend, suggesting continuation potential.
Strong Support Rebound: April's bounce from the ~$74K support zone marked a key higher low.
EMA: Price is currently trading above both the 50-day and 100-day EMAs — a bullish sign of momentum.
Breakout Potential: A confirmed breakout above the flag resistance (~$109K) could ignite a strong rally toward $130K+.
Breakout Move: If the flag pattern plays out, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could target the $125K–$135K zone in the coming weeks.
Buy Entry: Once the day candle closes above the flag resistance line
BTC Weekly Analysis : Rise or Fall ? Let's SeeBy analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that last week’s candle closed at $108,350, and BTC is currently trading around $107,500. If the price manages to hold above $105,700, we could expect further upside momentum. The next potential bullish targets are $111,700, $124,000, and $131,800.
So far, this analysis has yielded over 9% return, and we’ll be sharing more updates soon from lower timeframes!
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BTCUSDT: Positive CDV Divergence for Potential Long Setups• Market Overview: Bitcoin currently sits at a pivotal point. Although the price movement has been somewhat indecisive, we’re watching closely for signs of bullish momentum.
• CDV Divergence Focus: Our attention is on a potential positive Cumulative Volume Delta (CDV) divergence. This takes shape when the price makes a lower low but CDV registers a higher low (regular bullish divergence), or when the price posts a higher low and CDV shows a lower low (hidden bullish divergence). These patterns can hint at growing buying interest even if price action hasn’t caught up yet.
• Support Zones (Blue Boxes): The highlighted blue zones on the chart signal potential support levels where buyers may step in. These are mapped from prior demand areas or structural support points.
• Trade Setup: Should a confirmed positive CDV divergence appear near or inside one of these blue zones, it could offer a strong case for a long entry. This would suggest that while the price may look weak, buying strength is quietly building underneath.
• Managing Risk: Any long entry must be accompanied by a well-defined invalidation level—typically just below the blue box support or the lowest point of the divergence.
Disclaimer: This is a technical pattern-based analysis intended for informational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Always perform your own due diligence and assess your risk appetite before entering any trades.
BTC/USDT BYBIT IDEA #1 – Daily Demand Zone Setup
We have an bullish OB with imbalance on Daily, 6 HOUR REFIMNET with some stoplosses underneath 107 200. If we do not hold local LTF -15M- 1H range I would be favoring this setup.
Otherwise I am already in position and already took two TPs.
Setup Thesis:
If price tags the demand zone (highlighted in pink) and holds, we could see a continuation toward recent highs. The setup favors a reactive long entry from this zone, as long as buyers defend the area with conviction.
Key Factors:
Demand zone: High probability support area
Clean structure: HL-HH continuation in play
Market strength remains intact above this zone
Plan:
Wait for reaction at demand
Long on confirmation (rejection candle, reclaim, or strong 4H close)
Invalidation below the zone lows
"BTC to $108,800 – How Likely Is It?"Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum as key technical indicators align in favor of a major breakout. With increasing institutional interest, rising ETF inflows, and a favorable macroeconomic environment, BTC appears to be setting up for a potential rally toward the $108,800 level. Historical price action also suggests that once Bitcoin breaks past major resistance zones, it often surges rapidly. If the current support levels hold and buying pressure continues, the $108,800 target may be closer than expected.
BtcusdtHello friends, in these important days of the markets, I wanted to share an analysis of Bitcoin with you. I think it is in a bullish flag and the target is 136,000 and within reach. It is 140,000. And I think that considering that the volume is decreasing, this indicates that with a sudden increase in volume, it will exit this bullish flag upwards with great intensity and speed.
BTC/USDT H1 Chart Out look Bitcoin is Now running at near the 107500 and following a short term Bearish pattern on EMA 50 and 200 by using that we can consider on sell side with the given Targets like 107000 which is near the Bitcoin is consolidating and the Final target support is 106000/105000.
Bearish Scenario
1st Target is 107000 ( from here it may make some retest)
2nd Target is 106000( main target).
3rd Target is 105000.
Use stop loss at 108100.
Bitcoin at a Crossroadshello guys!
In the current 1D chart of BTCUSDT, a Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, suggesting potential for significant price movement in the near term. The structure includes a defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, with a descending trendline acting as a critical resistance level.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price respects the descending trendline and fails to break above the neckline (around $109,480) , a bearish reversal is likely. In that case, the target based on the pattern lies near the $93,500–94,000 support zone. This level aligns with a previous consolidation area, making it a strong candidate for a reaction or bounce.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
On the flip side, if the price breaks above the neckline and the descending trendline, invalidating the pattern, a strong bullish continuation could unfold. The potential breakout target would be around $127,000–130,000, in line with the projection from the head of the pattern.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – June 29, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Hello,
This is Seobeorin, approaching technical analysis not as a result but as a prediction, from a realistic perspective.
I am presenting a bearish view on Bitcoin as of June 29, 2025.
If you refer to the Ethereum idea from June 27, 2025, you can confirm that I presented a bearish perspective on Ethereum at the time. The basis for that perspective is still valid, and we are currently waiting for the take-profit level to be reached. The reason I selected Ethereum at the time was because I believed that the downward pressure on Ethereum was relatively stronger than that on Bitcoin.
However, based on today’s Elliott Wave count on the Bitcoin chart, I now judge that Bitcoin is also likely to experience some short-term downward pressure. Therefore, I am presenting a short position idea on Bitcoin.
The first take-profit target is set near $106,056. Depending on future price movements, this take-profit target may be narrowed or expanded. I will continue to track this idea, and as it develops, I will align the reasoning accordingly to organize the thought process more clearly.
Thank you.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis BTC.D and events calendar for JulyToday is the last day of the month and the last day of the second quarter, so there may be some volatility in the markets between 🐂 VS 🐻
💰 The CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart shows an interesting picture — the price has reached the upper limit of the consolidation channel, and now:
1️⃣ The scenario with an upward breakout is quite clear: a breakout from the channel upward and consolidation above $108-110k= a move to $125k during July.
2️⃣ A correction to $99k will mean that buyers have taken control of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, preventing it from updating its lows. This will be a clear signal to buy, because further growth is inevitable.
3️⃣ A deep correction to $91,660 (filling the GAP that formed on the CME BTC chart) or slightly lower. This is the last “unclosed” GAP, which, according to TA rules, should be filled for a full-fledged growth trend to begin.
So which scenario is closer to your heart, which one do you believe in?
Or write your version of events in the comments.
Interesting observations to think about:
◆ Over the past two weeks, the inflow of funds to #BTCETF has exceeded $5 billion, but the price of #BTCUSD on CEX exchanges has not been able to “break out” upward. Is this just ETF "property of numbers", or are spot #Bitcoin sales that strong?
◆ The BTC.D indicator has reached a critical level of 66%, and it will be interesting to see whether it will give altcoins some breathing room next month.
(If there are a lot of likes and comments under the idea, we will additionally describe our thoughts on BTC.D and USDT.D.)
◆ SP 500, by the way, has updated its highs, and the last few months on the stock market are very similar to the beginning and middle of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.
◆ And in principle, July promises to be very eventful:
👉 By July 9, Trump is expected to make a statement regarding the tariff wars with the rest of the world, which he has put on hold.
👉 July 18 marks the beginning of Mercury retrograde, which “influences” people's behavior and ‘superstitions’ and forces them to be “more cautious” when making trading decisions (and trading bots don't care about emotions and beliefs)
👉 And on July 30, there will be a FOMC meeting, where Mr. Powell may announce a rate cut, as the US is in a recession, which is time to acknowledge.
If we have forgotten anything, please add it in the comments!
Bitcoin Rejected at Value Area High — Full Market Auction Lower?Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has seen a short-term pullback after being rejected from the daily resistance level, which aligns with the value area high. The reaction also coincides with a volatility squeeze shown on the Bollinger Bands — hinting at a controlled, technical rejection rather than a panic selloff. If the market follows traditional auction theory, a full rotation toward the value area low may now be in progress.
Key Technical Points:
-Value Area High Rejection: Price was rejected from high time frame resistance and respected auction theory principles
-Targeting $103,000 Value Area Low: Price may rotate lower if resistance continues to cap upside
-$100,000 Psychological Support Untapped: Remains a magnet for liquidity if the range plays out fully
Bitcoin’s structure over the past week has remained range-bound between $108,000 and $100,000. The recent failure to break through the value area high at the upper end of this range has now triggered a controlled pullback — technically expected based on market auction dynamics. Once a value area high is respected and price cannot sustain above it, the natural response is for the market to seek equilibrium by rotating toward the value area low.
This theory aligns with current confluences: the rejection occurred exactly where daily resistance, the value area high, and upper Bollinger Band resistance converged. The rejection was not sudden or erratic, but gradual — indicating that this is likely a technical rejection, not emotional selling. If this rotation plays out as expected, the next key support will be found near the $103,000 region.
What further supports this narrative is the untouched $100,000 psychological level, which remains a natural magnet for both liquidity and sentiment. From a market structure perspective, $100K serves as a clean test zone for buyers to step in and attempt to form a bottom — particularly if the pullback is slow and controlled rather than volatile and sharp. Until then, all signs suggest that the upper limit of the current range has held.
If Bitcoin remains capped beneath $108,000, expect further downside pressure. A full market auction rotation could bring price to $103,000, with the potential to dip as low as the $100,000 psychological level. This zone will be key for judging the strength of buyers and determining whether the range continues or a broader breakdown begins. Only a reclaim of the value area high would invalidate this structure.
break, BTC soon reaches new ATH💎 Update Plan BTC after NFP (July 3)
Notable news about BTC:
Bitcoin (BTC) recovered to $ 109,000 on Wednesday when the US agreement with Vietnam and the increase in global M2 supply of M2 money has promoted an increase in open interest rates (OI), soaring to 689.78 thousand BTC worth about $ 75 billion. The cryptocurrency market in general has increased the price along with BTC, with leading altcoins, Ethereum (ETH), XRP and Solana (SOL) increased by 7%, 3%and 4%respectively.
Bitcoin, the market cryptocurrency market increased by the trade agreement with Vietnam and M2 money supply soared
The cryptocurrency market has recovered on Wednesday, an increase of 2% to regain the market capitalization of $ 3.5 trillion.
Technical analysis angle
First, congratulate the investors who follow the plan when we previously traded according to the model and had a short signal at 108k and took profit and then Long in the 106k area.
Currently, BTC is in wave 5 and is trapped in the Fibonanci area of 2,618 golden ratio around the price of 109k, this is also the threshold of the price of investors who are under pressure before the price area goes to 112k
The 112k region is a psychological area of profit and will appear on the 109k sales situation before the BTC price may rise further in the last 6 months of the year.
Please follow the channel to receive accurate scenarios about gold and BTC /-Teart /-heart
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
BTC/USDT Long Setup – Daily Bullish Continuation PlayMarket Context:
Bitcoin has reclaimed significant ground after a corrective phase and is now approaching prior highs. The current move suggests strength and potential continuation — but with overhead resistance near 111,866, a retracement or consolidation before continuation is likely.
Setup Idea:
The chart illustrates a bullish continuation scenario: price may push slightly higher into resistance, then retrace into a more favorable entry zone before targeting new highs. The Fibonacci retracement levels between 100,500 and 102,470 align with a high-probability demand zone for a dip buy.
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Await retracement into the 0.5–0.618 fib zone (102,400–100,500)
Stop Loss: Below 99,900 (beneath 0.65 fib and invalidation structure)
Target: 119,900 (clean extension above prior high)
Risk/Reward: Favorable multi-R setup based on macro continuation
Notes:
The setup anticipates a pullback before the next impulse. If BTC breaks through 111,900 with momentum and no retrace, the trade idea would shift to chasing on strength or waiting for consolidation above.
Momentum indicators on VMC show bullish pressure building, but overbought conditions suggest temporary cooling may occur.
Let the retrace come to you — and position accordingly on confirmation.