BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
Bitcoin Heading for a Healthy Retracement in May 2025The GREEN fractal is the only cycle operating at present that went up in the past two days. Even this most bullish cycle heads down for a retracement.
Bitcoin has not tested any lows since the bottom on 7 May. Time to deliver a HL to stabilise the structure.
We saw yesterday 2 May that the pump was forced with no volume and it is a weekend now. Time for a re-visit of the lows.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD 📊 Technical Analysis
● Price exited a 3-month descending channel and is climbing inside a new rising channel; $91 500 support keeps bulls in control.
● Price just under the $95k supply zone; a break unlocks the upper rail near GETTEX:98K and the next objective at $106k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-BTC ETFs hauled in ≈ $3.4 B last week, underscoring persistent institutional demand.
● US JOLTS openings fell to a four-year low, boosting Fed rate-cut odds and softening the USD—both tail-winds for Bitcoin.
✨ Summary
Rising-channel structure, hefty ETF inflows, and softer U.S. data favor a push above $95 K toward $98 K–106 K; bias invalidated below $91 500.
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Bitcoin is poised for a 95K breakout. 100K target?After a fairly rapid growth (rally) bitcoin did not correct, the price could not reach 0.382 within the local correction, the range is squeezed between resistance and 0.236, which indicates a bullish interest in the current situation
The price has been in consolidation for the last 4-5 days. This is enough to break the resistance at 95600 and give us a good momentum.
Scenario: If bitcoin continues to slowly and gradually approach the 95600 resistance, there is a high probability of triggering a crowd when the resistance is broken, which will push the price to 100K.
Check if it can rise along the rising channel
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until April 30th.
The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4).
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If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it.
That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28).
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2).
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The next volatility period is around May 19.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Bitcoin is at a critical decision pointBitcoin:
Currently, Bitcoin is at a key resistance zone around the $97,500 level, which holds significant technical importance as it has acted as a price barrier multiple times in the past. In a bullish scenario, if Bitcoin manages to decisively break through this resistance and stabilize above this level, a strong upward movement could begin. With increased trading volume and buyer support, the price could target the next level at around $115,000. This scenario is particularly likely if positive fundamental factors, such as favorable news regarding Bitcoin adoption or improving macroeconomic conditions, support this move.
However, in a bearish scenario, if Bitcoin fails to overcome the $97,500 resistance and faces selling pressure, a price correction becomes more probable. In this case, the first significant support level is around $92,000, which could serve as an initial correction target. If selling pressure persists and this level is breached, the next support lies at approximately $89,500, which may act as a temporary price floor. Given the current market conditions and recent volatility, my personal view leans more toward a potential price decline, as technical factors and market uncertainty may strengthen sellers.
Risk Warning: Investing and trading in the cryptocurrency market involves high risk. Prices can be highly volatile, leading to significant profits or losses. Please conduct thorough research and seek professional financial advice before making any trading decisions. This analysis is solely a personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. You are solely responsible for any trading decisions you make.
Good luck
Pooya Salehipour
BTC - 4 Cycles Repeating Itself!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $75,000 zone is expected before the next impulsive move begins. 📉🚀
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
bitcoin road map !!!Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Will BTC Correct Before Breaking $96K? CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as it did in the previous post , I hope it was useful for everyone.
Bitcoin is still moving in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , this type of movement does NOT seem to be enough to break Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , so I still expect a correction .
The volume of Bitcoin's price rebound to the previous high does NOT seem to be sufficient, and even Regular Divergence(RD-) is evident.
According to Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed its 5 impulse waves and we should expect another decline . Of course, there is still a possibility that the main wave 4 will be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . But both scenarios can bring us a decline in Bitcoin price .
I expect Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) before the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) is filled, This is just my analysis of course, considering the above explanation. What do you think?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,095
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $93,350-$92,551
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $96,100, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTCUSDT Roadmap From Demand to Potential Sell-Off ZoneBitcoin has successfully broken the descending trendline resistance, confirming a bullish continuation toward the upper levels. Price is currently supported by the Immediate Demand Zone between 90,970 and 92,917. Below that, a stronger support lies around the Strong Demand Zone between 84,011 and 86,374.
If momentum holds, Bitcoin is poised to test the 103,898 - 107,211 region, identified as a Dangerous Supply Zone where potential heavy sell-offs could occur. An extended push could aim for the projected high at 105,428.
Invalidation would occur if price sharply falls below 84,000, returning pressure to the downside. Structure remains bullish as long as higher demand zones continue to hold.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #76👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⚡️ Not much has changed since yesterday, so without reviewing the previous analysis, let’s get into today’s setup to see what positions we can open.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 1-hour timeframe, the price is still within its range box. Even though yesterday it tested the lower range once and we expected a breakout to the upside, that didn’t happen, and the price was rejected from the 95370 resistance and continued to range.
✔️ After the rejection from this level, volume began to decline, which is a good sign. The lower the volume gets, the sharper the breakout move from the box is likely to be.
💥 If 95370 is broken, I definitely recommend having an open position, as the risk of hitting the stop loss is worth the potential gain. The target in case of a breakout will be the 98828 resistance.
⭐ The SMA99 is also providing good support and is currently sitting below the candles, which adds to the positive bias for this scenario.
🎲 If the price gets rejected from the resistance again, we’ll likely see more range-bound action today. But due to the strong bullish momentum, I don’t think the price will lose its support levels, and it’s likely to test 95370 again.
💫 That said, if I observe structural changes and see support levels like 91945 breaking, I’ll also be ready to take short positions.
🔽 However, for shorting, I think we should wait for more structure to form. Once the price shows more reaction to the 93626–95370 range box, and if 93626 breaks, we can enter a short. But right now, I’d personally wait for a break of 91945 before going short.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance, the range box is still intact, and price is above the 64.22 level. If Bitcoin breaks the 95370 resistance and BTC.D continues to rise without breaking below 64.22, then Bitcoin will outperform altcoins. If 64.41 is broken, we can expect a sharp bullish move in Bitcoin.
📊 To enter positions on altcoins, the best confirmation remains the break of the 64.22 level on BTC.D.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As for Total2, the 1.05 resistance still hasn’t been broken. To confirm the beginning of a bullish move in altcoins, we need a breakout of this level. The first target of this move would be the 1.07 resistance.
📉 To turn bearish, the first trigger is at 1.03. We’ll need to wait for the price to test it, so we can determine the precise level and react accordingly in future retests and breakouts.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT.D behaves slightly differently from Bitcoin and Total2. While Bitcoin and Total2 are both near resistance and poised for a breakout, USDT.D is still some distance from the 4.99 support.
☘️ The probability of this support break coinciding exactly with Bitcoin and altcoin triggers is low. However, I believe this is a more significant trigger than Total2’s.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC alternative bullish scenarioI've posted a couple of macro scenarios for btc but this is just an alternative view, replaying what happened during the last bull cycle.
This alternative option is similar to others I've charted in that we have some kind of top end of September. I don't think it will be an instant retrace as price may fluctuate through Oct before bulls get exhausted.
Where this alternative differs from others, is that after this top we see a huge retrace to 73k (ish) then some kind of pump in Jan 2026 before a final dump down to 56-57k areas.
not a nice scenario but possible.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1H – Bullish Until Key Support BreaksHello guys!
Bitcoin continues to move inside an ascending channel after testing the main resistance zone around $95,700. Price action shows a slight correction while respecting the channel structure. Despite a "fake divergence" appearing on the RSI, the main trend remains bullish as long as the $90,900 support holds.
✅ If buyers defend this zone, we could see another leg higher toward the channel top and beyond the main resistance.
⚠️ However, if $90,900 breaks down, it would signal weakness, and short opportunities could emerge with a target toward the $86,400 zone and lower.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $90,900
Resistance: $95,700
Btc4hWelcome to king btc 3. Bitcoin is expected to have a price decline to 88760, given the 4-hour divergence and the pattern formed at 95000, and there the conditions must be examined, which will start a rise to 99800 or continue to experience a decline to 76600, and this is just a possibility. Stay tall.
Bitcoin still defying gravity. Can it hold and continueBTC is flagging out at the previously defined point of interest. Although there are signs of bullish divergence market structure has yet to provide enough evidence that a retracement is in effect. However, the chart shows a volume gap below that presents an opportunity.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
The Hidden Power of the Silver Bullet Strategy - Full GuideIntroduction
The Silver Bullet Strategy is a high-probability intraday trading technique popularized within the Smart Money Concepts community. It focuses on taking precision trades during specific times of the day when liquidity is most active. Mastering this strategy can help traders consistently capture high-quality setups with minimal risk.
In this guide, we will cover:
- What the Silver Bullet Strategy is
- Key Times to Watch
- Entry Models
- Target Setting
- Risk Management
- Real Chart Examples
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What is the Silver Bullet Strategy?
The Silver Bullet Strategy is based on trading within a "window" of high-probability price action, typically during key liquidity times. It looks to capture moves after liquidity sweeps, order block mitigations, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) plays.
Key Principles:
- Focuses on high-probability windows (New York session especially)
- Waits for a liquidity grab and displacement
- Entries are often on FVGs, OBs, or MSS points
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Silver Bullet Timing Windows
Timing is crucial to this strategy. The "Silver Bullet" typically occurs in these windows (New York time):
- First Window: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM (New York)
- Second Window: 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM (New York)
These times capture major moves post-liquidity sweeps or reversals after news/market manipulation.
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Silver Bullet Entry Model
The classic sequence for a Silver Bullet setup:
1. Identify Liquidity Sweep: Look for price to grab liquidity above a swing high or below a swing low.
2. Look for Displacement: A strong move away from the sweep, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Breaker Block.
3. Entry in FVG or OB: Enter on a retracement into the FVG or Order Block after displacement.
4. Confirmation: Use lower timeframe MSS or BOS to confirm the reversal.
Liquidity sweep and FVG at the 5m:
MSS + Displacement candle at the 1m:
So all 4 steps completed!
Example Entry Checklist:
- Liquidity sweep
- Strong displacement creating an FVG
- Price retraces into FVG or OB
- MSS/BOS confirmation
- Execute trade with tight stop-loss
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Where to Set Targets
Targets should be logical based on market structure:
- First Target: Recent internal liquidity (equal highs/lows)
- Second Target: External liquidity zones (major swing highs/lows)
- Optional: Use 1R/2R/3R scaling based on risk-to-reward goals
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Risk Management for Silver Bullet Trades
Golden Rules:
- Risk less than 1% per Silver Bullet setup
- Set stop-loss beyond the liquidity sweep (not too tight, not too loose) or above FVG
candle
- Stick to one or two trades per window maximum
- Avoid revenge trading outside the windows
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Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Trading outside the specified time windows
- Entering without a confirmed sweep and displacement
- Overleveraging because the strategy "looks easy"
- Ignoring higher timeframe bias (HTF context is still critical!)
Pro Tip: Combine Silver Bullet entries with SMT Divergences, MSS, and IFVGs for maximum confluence.
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Final Thoughts
The Silver Bullet Strategy is one of the cleanest ways to approach intraday trading. By mastering liquidity concepts, timing, and precision entries, traders can catch powerful moves with strong risk-to-reward setups.
Be patient, wait for your window, and always trade with discipline.
Happy Sniping!
BITCOIN → Consolidation or reversal? Why is $ 95000 important?BINANCE:BTCUSD held up quite strongly during the tariff war and largely weathered the storm, while the stock market and indices were in free fall. The improvement in the fundamental situation has once again heightened interest in the asset among traders and investors.
Earlier, I pointed out that against the backdrop of falling markets (due to Trump's policies and tariff wars), Bitcoin is holding up fairly well. It cannot be compared to gold, which maintains its status as a safe haven, but overall it has stayed out of the 73K risk zone.
Countries are continuing negotiations in the US, which generally points to an improvement in the trade situation, but all attention remains on relations between China and the US, and a resolution may be close.
Technically, on the daily/weekly timeframe, the price has broken through the trend resistance and the asset has moved from the sell zone to the buy zone, which in general only increases interest in the flagship. Bitcoin is stuck in the 95K-92K range. A false breakout of resistance provokes a correction, and now we need to monitor the price and see where the correction will stop. This will show us important support that could become the basis for consolidation.
Resistance levels: 95K, 100K, 102.5K
Support levels: 93.5, 92.9, 92, 91K
To break through 95K and continue growing, Bitcoin must form consolidation. There is none at the moment, and a correction and halt may indicate the approximate boundaries of consolidation. However, the focus is on 95 - 93.5 - 92K. If the price manages to stay within the local boundaries and continues to storm the 95K resistance, we will have a chance for a breakthrough and continued growth to 100K. Otherwise, Bitcoin may form a deeper correction, for example to 91-88K
Best regards, R. Linda!