BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC/USDTRight now, BTC is at a crossroads. We've completed the weekly Fibonacci retracement and returned to the main trading zone.
It's crucial to hold the key level at 94,400.
If we succeed, the next target is 99–100K for BTC.
At that point, we should watch for a local correction — we likely won't break through 100K on the first attempt.
Altcoins should also catch up accordingly.
Finally, everything looks nice locally, and it's a good time to start building strong swing positions
#BTC Complex consolidation phase📊#BTC Complex consolidation phase📊
🧠Currently in the resistance zone, but the trend direction is bullish. We are doing narrow fluctuations in the range of 91800-95000. There are some contradictions between the long and short positions here. If we want to participate in new transactions, we must wait until the absolute support and resistance levels.
➡️If it falls below the first support zone near 91800, then we need to pay attention to the second support zone of 88000-89000
➡️We need to wait for the structure to become clearer before looking for new trading opportunities.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC Short Term I expect a decline to 92474.68 within this week. If the daily red candle closes below this level, we are likely to see 88200.44 and 87235.76 levels.
Our direction is up in the medium and long term. I think there will be pullbacks in the short term.
If there are 2 4-hour candle closes above 95369.00, this possibility will be canceled.
BTC Weekly Analysis – Potential Retracement & Next TargetsAnalysis & Thought Process:
Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture on the weekly timeframe. Having observed recent bullish momentum, the price now faces resistance around the 95,900–96,700 range. If BTC manages to clearly reverse from this resistance area, it could propel upwards to test psychological resistance at the significant 100K level within the coming days.
However, careful analysis indicates the presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 89–90K. Such imbalances in price action typically attract price retracements to achieve market efficiency. Thus, I anticipate a correction back down to the 89–90K area, which would represent an ideal zone to consider a long swing position.
Trade Idea:
Short-term bearish scenario: Look to short from current resistance levels (around 95,900–96,700) targeting the 89–90K FVG area.
Long swing setup: If BTC retraces and holds the 89–90K region, it presents an attractive area for swing long entries aiming back towards and beyond current resistance areas.
PLAN NOT VALID IF
If the price fails to hold 89K, the next logical areas to watch for support are lower down at the 82–78K range, followed by a deeper pullback potentially extending towards 74K.
Profit Targets & Stop Losses:
Short trade: Entry around 95,900–96,700, profit target at 89–90K, stop loss set slightly above the resistance (e.g., 97.5K).
Long trade: Entry at 89–90K, profit targets initially back to 96–100K. Stop loss placed just below the 88K area.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please perform your own due analyse before entering any trades.
Bitcoin Trading and Investment Strategy (April 2025)Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around the mid-$90,000s after rebounding ~25% in April, with market sentiment shifting to greed. BTC’s dominance is high (~64%) as capital concentrates in Bitcoin over altcoins. On-chain data shows large holders (“whales”) aggressively accumulating, even as short-term traders turn optimistic. Below is an actionable strategy.
BTC broke out of a multi-month falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal. On the 1H/4H charts, momentum is bullish: a textbook double-bottom formed on the daily with a neckline around $87,600 was breached, confirming upside targets near $100,600.
A bull pennant consolidation is visible on the 1H after the sharp rally, hinting at another leg up (measured move target ≈ $100,900 on breakout). Short-term EMAs (20/50) on 1H/4H have turned upward and are stacked bullishly, aligning with the daily 50 and 200 EMAs which have flipped into support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory without extreme overbought readings, leaving room for further upside. Volume has been steady to rising on upward moves, indicating buyers remain in control.
Immediate support lies at the breakout zone of GETTEX:87K –$90K (prior resistance now turned support). This area includes the daily double-bottom neckline (~$87.6K) and coincides with the top of the earlier consolidation range. Bulls want to see this zone hold on any pullback. Below that, secondary support is around $84K and roughly the 4H 200 EMA area.
Resistance is clustered at $94K–$95K (recent local high region). A 4H close above $95K with strong volume would likely trigger momentum buyers. Beyond there, $100K is a major psychological level and the short-term target from multiple patterns – importantly, a dense cluster of short seller liquidation levels sits around $100K, making it a “liquidity magnet” for market makers. Expect heavy order flow and possible volatility as BTC approaches six figures. Above $100K, minor resistance could appear near ~$102K (projected wedge target), then prior ATH ~$108K–$109K.
For longs, scale out profits in layers as BTC advances. First TP around $100K – just before the round number – to avoid slippage if a wave of selling hits there. If momentum is very strong, hold a portion for a possible extension to $102K–$105K (wedge target zone). A stretch goal for bulls would be the $108–$110K area (all-time high region), but tighten stops well before this level as profit-taking is expected near ATH.
If BTC falls back under the GETTEX:87K neckline after having broken out, it would negate the double-bottom breakout and likely accelerate downward. Thus, stop-losses for longs can be placed just below GETTEX:87K (e.g. $86K) to cap risk.
The breakout from the wedge/base was accompanied by a surge in volume, confirming institutional participation. Volume has not dried up on this rally – a positive sign that the trend could sustain. Overall, the daily chart structure sets the stage for a potential run back to five-figure territory (100K+), provided key support levels are defended.
Any dips into the high-$80Ks are buy-the-dip opportunities as long as BTC quickly reclaims $90K. Below GETTEX:87K , the next critical support is $80K–$84K. $84K was highlighted as a crucial level – failure to hold 84K during the last pullback would have signaled capitulation. It held then, so watch it on any retest.
Stop Loss:
Short-Term: 5–10% below entry ($90,000 for $92,500 entry).
Mid-Term: 10–15% below entry ($85,000 for $91,000 entry).
Long-Term: Monitor support ($80,000) but hold unless fundamentals deteriorate.
Position Sizing:
Short-Term: 1–2% of portfolio per trade.
Mid-Term: 5% of portfolio.
Long-Term: Up to 10% of portfolio.
Risk/Reward: Target 2R for short-term, 3R for mid-term, and let long-term investments ride based on fundamentals.
Not a financial advice. DYOR.
A Simple sell set up is formed here in BitcoinCurrent Price Area: ~94000
Short-term Trend View: Downtrend
First Target: 93500
Second Target: 93000
Stop Loss: above 94400
In short: you are expecting a short-term correction in Bitcoin from 94000, with a stop-loss tight above recent highs (94400), aiming for a ~1000 point move down.
Quick thoughts on this setup:
If Bitcoin fails to break 94400 cleanly, your short view stays valid.
Watch for support near 93500 — some bounce can happen there, so partial booking or trailing stop could be smart if it stalls.
Microstructure Shift Observed — Scouting LTF Long Reversion PlayThe active short from 95,300.0 remains fully engaged, aligned with the 4H liquidity breakdown thesis, targeting broader downside expansion. This position will play out in full as per the original trade design, independent of lower timeframe fluctuations.
However, emerging microstructure shifts—evidenced by reclaiming the Point of Control (94,500.0)—highlight a potential short-term structural reversal.
Primary Position: Swing short thesis remains intact, allowing full downside potential to unfold.
Secondary Opportunity: Scouting LTF long reversion setups for countertrend engagement, contingent on continued supply failure and structural stabilization above reclaimed pivots.
This approach exemplifies multi-timeframe bias management:
Primary bias (HTF) remains bearish, unchanged.
Secondary bias (LTF) shifts toward opportunistic longs, with conditions monitored in real-time.
Demonstrating conviction in core theses, while maintaining agility to capitalize on evolving microstructure.
$BTC - Weekend OutlookBitcoin just tapped into the major overhead supply zone 95k, which corresponds to the breakdown origin of the previous range.
Notably, we observed the highest Coinbase premium in recent sessions, signaling aggressive spot-driven demand. However, a sell wall is starting to build around 95k and 97k, suggesting that short-term sellers are positioning here.
Key support to watch : the 88k–86k range, which marks the recent breakout base and vwap.
Holding this zone would validate the breakout structure and set the stage for further continuation to the upside. Failure to hold likely triggers a deeper retest toward mid-range levels.
Expect volatility over the weekend as price oscillates between overhead supply and this critical breakout support.
BTC Setup: Scalp Shorts Active Below 97.5K BTC is currently facing strong resistance around the 97.5K area on the daily timeframe.
As long as BTC stays below 97.5K on a daily closing basis, I am expecting a potential pullback move.
📉 There is a chance of a wick or sharp move down toward the 92K zone, which could provide good scalp short opportunities.
📈 However, a clear breakout and daily close above 97.5K would invalidate this short idea and shift the bias back to bullish continuation.
Trade Plan:
🔻 Below 97.5K = Look for scalp shorts with strict risk management.
🔼 Above 97.5K = Exit shorts and watch for bullish setups.
Always remember: Protect your capital and stick to your plan! 🎯
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your own risk before entering any trade.
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 3BTC Possible HTF Creation 3
Inversed chart again... (to minimise full breakdown to 48k fear which messes with my analysis).
Price did a MSB which definitely weakens this downtrend (yellow). But what happens now?
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Three possibilities:
1
Price gets capped here at outstanding 95k level and goes back to 74k level, breaks through it and goes to 48k. This now definitely is a irrational thought as price messed the downtrend up by doing this MSB. Beforehand this might have been also irrational as the big 70k is a closed structure because of the pump through it (this change in PA + followed up up-move makes this a confirmed closed structure; however this is still speculation: needs more sample). Like, if price just kept on downtrending through the inefficiency, then I could see the mega breakdown to 48k happening but now... no.
2
Price makes a HL instead of going back to 74k level. I don't see this happening as changes in trend usually start with some sort of significant PA at the lows/highs which we IMO didn't get here. I don't think the MSB is enough as the downtrend got initiated with an SFP (strong) and price has yet to deal with the 95k level which IMO is just a really big level if you look at it LTF (though definitely less outstanding as this isn't the last LH anymore. That's the one which now has been broken with the MSB). Just LTF looking at the lowest low it just doesn't make sense to me: nothing significant happened at the lows. The way price went back down and then made a HL instead of an SFP while IMO there was no reason for the HL just doesn't make sense. The 'base' for the higher TF MSB (yellow) is imo weak.
3.
Price SFP's the lowest low 74k level on the 1D (and even better on the 15min). Why SFP? Well, higher TF moves often just start with an SFP. Either SFP or deviation and I don't see a deviation happening as I think the downmove to 74k would just be weak as there's already the MSB. Weak so no stength to get below the level so simple SFP is what you get. This 'pattern' happens often: downtrend ----> sudden MSB but unexpected as insignificant PA at lows, thus unjustified MSB -----> price gets back to lowest low and creates significant PA (SFP) -----> now the real uptrend starts with a justified bottom.
Oct-Dec 2022: SFP within deviation
March 2023: deviation
August 2023: deviation
January 2024: deviation
August 2024: SFP