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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

BTC Short from H1 FVG + H4 OB Confluence — Risky Setup✅ Price in strong supply confluence (H1 FVG + H4 OB) ✅ SFP & order block add to short case, but context is choppy ⚠️ Trade is low conviction, manage size and stops accordingly Short Scenario: Entry: In $107,500–$108,500 zone (confirmation from SFP/OB) Target: $104,000–$105,000 (D1 FVG zone) Stop: Above $108,500 or invalidate on strong reclaim 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Look for reaction (SFP, rejection wicks) in FVG/OB zone before adding Exit quick if invalidated or strong momentum up 🚨 Risk Warning: Not a high conviction setup; use smaller position size and stay nimble
Short
by Goldfinch_song
BTC/USDT Drop to 101k?🧠 High Time Frame Context Trend: Consolidation within a broad range (support and resistance clearly defined). Key Psychological Levels: 105,000 USDT – minor level, acting as a magnet in short-term PA. 110,000 USDT – major supply confluence and liquidity target. 🟪 Supply & Resistance Zone Zone: Marked in purple (108.5k-112k). Key Observation: Swing high formed inside this zone, indicating liquidity trap. Potential fake-out or strong rejection from this area. Strong confluence with a descending resistance trendline, adding to the selling pressure. 🔵 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Retracement Targets FVG identified just below the current price (~103.5k-104.5k). Price is projected to: Reject from the current high. Drop to fill the FVG zone. Possibly bounce between FVG and Fibonacci retracement levels: 0.5 0.618 0.786 🔴 Volume & RSI Divergence Volume breakout is noted on the last push down (bottom red annotation), followed by a retrace. OBV shows bullish divergence with price: 🔻 Support Structure Lower red trendline is a key long-term support. Previous swing low aligns with this trendline – buyers showed strong interest here. If FVG fails to hold, expect a retest of this trendline near 97,000–98,000. 📈 Likely Scenarios Base Case (Neutral-Bearish): Price rejects current zone (~107,000). Pullback into FVG (101–104K). Bounce to 105K (minor resistance), then decide next direction. Bullish Breakout: If price breaks and closes above 110K, it invalidates supply zone. Opens door to 115–118K range. Bearish Breakdown: Fails FVG zone. Tests previous swing low and support (~97K). Below that, structure becomes macro bearish. 🧩 Summary Short-Term: Retracement into FVG likely. Monitor reaction. Medium-Term: Bearish bias while price is below 110K. Invalidation for bears: Clean break and hold above 110K.
Short
by King_BennyBag
10
BTCUSD I H8 CLS I Monthly OB I ATH Coming then $200KHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 +200K in play "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Long
by David_Perk
42
#BTC Update. Here's the trigger point.CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: Bitcoin is trading around the key $108K resistance, one of the most crucial levels for bulls to break. A strong close above this zone could spark a rally toward $ 117,000. However, if rejected, we might see a pullback to $ 103,000. I’m not touching futures just yet. I’m okay with missing a few green days; I’d rather wait for clear momentum than get caught in this choppy price action. Let me know what you think in the comments. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
1
SatochiTrader Expecting a huge BTC CRASH AFTER This..BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND. Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash. This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well. We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections. A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone. Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't. The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview. This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC. Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
Short
by SatochiTrader
1
BTC 26.06.25This could be the range i was waiting for to create the 3rd tap of the accumulation model later. Yesterday we had a mini model 1 at NY open which could have had the intention to be the starting point of the new range. I am now watching for new deviations which then would form a bigger range. There is nothing but liquidity until 104.536$ which would be a perfect target for a range low, but until there are no confirmations this only is an expectation. If the accumulation model is already complete, like i mentioned in my last post, then the target becomes the range high (110.652$).
by ramon_markiewitz
13
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Four Bullish Drivers Behind Bitcoin's Rally (1) Institutional Capital Rampage: From Whale Holdings to Market Scarcity - **BlackRock et al. as anchor investors**: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has ballooned to $71.9 billion, holding 660,000 BTC—equivalent to 3.1% of total circulating supply. Such "whale-level" positions not only provide liquidity support but also shatter traditional financial institutions' attitude toward crypto. - **Accelerating OTC concentration**: OTC platform data shows Bitcoin inventory plunged from 166,500 coins at the start of the year to 137,400 coins, a 17.5% drop. This signals massive coins are shifting from exchanges to institutional custody, creating a "scarcity effect" analogous to apple prices surging due to supply shortages. (2) Fed Rate Cut Expectations Ignite Hot Money Inflows - **Policy pivot-driven capital reallocation**: After Fed Governor Bowman signaled a possible July rate cut, CME futures now price in two 2025 rate cuts (up from one). Historical parallels: Bitcoin surged 42% in 6 months post-Fed's first 2019 rate cut (S&P 500 +12%), as low rates enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a "non-sovereign asset". - **Diminishing opportunity costs**: A potential Fed rate cut would lower real yields (nominal rate - inflation). If 10-year Treasury real yields fall from 2.3% to 1.5%, the opportunity cost of holding gold/Bitcoin declines, pushing funds from bonds into risk assets. (3) Regulatory Gate Opening: Chinese Brokerage Breaks New Ground - **Guotai Junan International's milestone**: On June 24, Hong Kong's SFC approved its virtual asset trading services, making it the first Chinese-funded brokerage to gain such. This opens a "compliant channel" for mainland capital—post-announcement, its HK shares surged 101%, while OTC Bitcoin inventory dropped by 3,000 coins, indicating institutions are front-running liquidity inflows. - **Financial infrastructure upgrade**: The service allows clients to trade BTC via traditional securities accounts, lowering entry barriers. Analogous to Chinese brokerages accessing gold ETFs in 2013, such channels typically trigger explosive incremental flows, expected to attract $1-2 billion from family offices initially. (4) Technical "Golden Cross" Confirms Long-Term Trend - **Key moving average resonance**: BTC recently completed a 50-day MA (102,300 USD) cross above 200-day MA (94,700 USD), forming a "golden cross". Backtesting 2019 and 2020 instances, this pattern preceded 58% average 6-month gains, though short-term pullbacks (10-15%) are common (e.g., June 2023 post-cross correction). - **Strong support forming a safety net**: The 200-day MA now acts as dynamic support—pullbacks to ~95,000 USD would represent a "secondary buying opportunity at institutional cost bases", similar to housing prices finding support when breaking below moving averages. Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@106000~107000 SL:105000 TP:108000~109000
Long
by David_Wilson1
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
BTC — Altcoin Sentiment Hinges on BTC Holding BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating within a well-defined range between ~$102K and ~$112K, with a bounce off the lower boundary now challenging midrange resistance. As long as BTC trades within the range, altcoins are expected to remain strong. 🟩 Midrange: $106K • 0.618 fib and prior supply zone • Key inflection for either a move higher or return to range low 🔻 Range Low Support: $102K • Break below this = plan invalid • Expect deeper BTC correction and altcoin bleed in that scenario 📈 Bias: • Altcoins strong = only valid if BTC holds this structure • Rotations likely while BTC moves sideways or grinds higher • Upside target (range high): ~$111.9K 📌 BTC stability = altcoin opportunity. Breakdown from range? Get defensive fast.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
Next Volatility Period: Around July 2nd Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The key is whether it can rise above 108316.90 and find support. When OBV rises above the High Line, we need to check if the PVT-MACD oscillator switches to above the 0 point. However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently showing signs of entering the overbought zone, I think there is a high possibility of resistance. We need to check for support in the 108316.90-111696.21 zone, which is the high point boundary zone. - If OBV fails to rise above the High Line, - If the PVT-MACD oscillator fails to remain above the 0 point, - If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and switches to a state where K<D, It is highly likely that it will eventually encounter resistance in the high point boundary zone and fall. Therefore, what we need to do is to check for support near 108361.90-108353.0. If it rises after that, we need to check for support near 111696.21. Entering a new purchase in the high point boundary section is a very risky transaction. Therefore, a short and quick response is required when making a purchase. The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. Do not forget this. However, since the HA-Low or HA-High indicators are intermediate values, they may move in the opposite direction. In other words, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will receive resistance and fall, showing a stepwise downtrend, and the HA-High indicator will receive support and rise, showing a stepwise uptrend. Therefore, you must check whether there is support in the low point boundary section of the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section or the high point boundary section of the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. To do this, you must trade in a split transaction method. - The next volatility period is expected to start around July 2 (July 1-3). The reason why we calculate the volatility period is because it can be a turning point of the trend. Therefore, making a new trade during the volatility period means that there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain the details again when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTC/USDT – Fakeout Above Rising Channel | Why Clean Breakouts StThis chart highlights an important lesson in breakout trading: Not all breakouts are valid, even when backed by volume. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: BTC was trading inside a well-respected ascending channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower bounds. Price broke above the channel with a 15-minute candle close and volume, giving the appearance of a clean breakout. However, shortly after, price re-entered the channel, invalidating the breakout. This is what we call a fakeout or bull trap. ❓ So Why Did the Breakout Fail? Lack of Follow-Through Buyers: Despite volume, there wasn’t enough buyer continuation above the breakout level to sustain momentum. Liquidity Hunt: The wick beyond the upper trendline likely served to trigger breakout entries and stop losses of short sellers, only to reverse after liquidity was collected. Key S/R Reaction: After re-entering the channel, price reacted at a minor horizontal level (previous S/R), attempted another push, but failed again, confirming weakness.
by SLPHOBIA
1
Premium zone tagged — now we watch how the Smart Money reactsBitcoin just tapped into the 108,151 level — the top of a measured premium range and a likely area where profit-taking begins and fresh distribution footprints form. This run-up wasn’t random. Price surged from inefficiency, cleanly filled the fair value gap (FVG), and is now flirting with a key liquidity pocket. Here's what the structure says: Premium reached: 108,151 (0% fib) If rejection holds, Smart Money looks to discount entries: 0.236: 106,136 0.382: 104,889 0.5: 103,882 Deep retracement zone: 0.618 at 102,874 Final defense for bulls? The unmitigated FVG block between 101,440 → 99,613 Possible Playbook Scenarios: Quick retrace → higher high: Bounce off 104,889 or 103,882 before attacking 108,967+ Deeper sweep: Into 102,874 (0.618) before Smart Money steps in again Invalidation: Break below 99,613 closes this bullish narrative and confirms a structural break TL;DR Execution Logic: Wait for retracement into 0.5–0.618 fibs Look for bullish reaction (engulfing or SFP) Upside targets: 108,151 (retest) 108,967 (liquidity sweep) Further upside if momentum sustains
by SmartFlowsI
Long trade 🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade 📍 Pair: BTCUSDT 📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025 🕒 Time: 10:00 AM (NY Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: Not specified (assumed 4Hr or intraday swing) 📈 Direction: Buyside 📊 Trade Breakdown: Metric Value Entry Price 101,705.24 Profit Level 108,783.85 (+6.96% %) Stop Loss 99,579.47 (−2.09%) Risk-Reward Ratio 3.33 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes: High-Conviction Buyside Play: Entry aligns with the broader BTCUSD bullish structure, supported by consistent higher-timeframe momentum. Liquidity Grab Below Key Low: Market swept downside liquidity near $99,600 before reversing sharply, indicating smart money accumulation. Stop level moved (2.86%)
Long
by davidjulien369
Here is an analysis of the latest Bitcoin market trendBitcoin has surged to around $106,700 at its peak and hovered around $104,800 at its low. Overall, the trend remains relatively stable, continuing to stay at a relatively high level. What is driving the market? First, institutional funds have flowed in again. Recently, many investors have bought Bitcoin through ETFs, with substantial capital inflows, which has formed support for this price level. Second, the technical outlook is promising. Various technical indicators suggest that it is still a bullish market, meaning the price may continue to rise. Third, regarding support and resistance levels: if the price declines, it may first find support near $104,000. If it breaks upward, the next target is roughly between $108,000 and $110,000. What about the short-term trend? If it can break through $107,000, it may then surge toward $109,000 or even the high of $112,000. If it fails to break through, it may fluctuate repeatedly within the range of $104,000 to $106,000 for a period. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@104300-104800 TP:107000-107500
Long
by MyronWilson
2