Bitcoin Faces Major Resistance as Bearish Shark Harmonic FormsBitcoin is trading into a major high-timeframe resistance region where structural, volume, and Fibonacci levels all converge. Price has been rejected back into the larger descending channel after a failed breakout attempt, suggesting the recent move could be a bearish retest rather than a continuation higher.
Adding to the bearish pressure is the emergence of a Shark Harmonic pattern. The current structure sees the C leg form off the major swing low (A point), leading into a strong push toward the potential D reversal zone. If price rejects here, it would activate the bearish harmonic and signal a deeper corrective move lower.
The 96,400 region remains the critical area to watch. A decisive breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish pattern and open the door for a bullish continuation. However, failure to reclaim this zone will likely confirm the rejection and set Bitcoin on course toward the 60,000 region, in line with the broader trading channel acceptance.
At this stage, price action is at a decisive point. Rejection confirms bearish continuation. Breakout reclaims bullish momentum. Traders should monitor this area closely for the next major move.
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
The opportunity to buy Bitcoin!Hello, traders
Bitcoin currently trade around $93,911 having broken resitance above $88,000-$89,000 zone. The breakout, supported by strong volume, positions Bitcoin favorably for further gains, although a short-term pullback appears likely.
Technical indicators remain bullish:
Price holds above the 21-EMA and 30-SMA, both beginning to slope upward.
Quarterly VWAP levels at $89,485 and $84,484 provide strong support.
The Volume Profile suggests heavy buyer interest around $84,000–$86,000.
A minor retracement toward $88,000–$89,000 could precede a consolidation phase before Bitcoin targets $96,000 and eventually the psychological $100,000 mark.
Bitcoin remains in a strong position. Tactical patience and disciplined risk management will be key to capitalizing on the next major move.
[BTC] 2025.04.18Greetings. It’s a pleasure to reconnect with you.
Before diving into altcoin analysis, we believe it is essential to first address Bitcoin, as it remains the key driver in determining the overall market direction.
Since the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin has been in a prolonged consolidation phase accompanied by a downward trend. In an effort to identify a potential bottom for this correction, we have closely monitored the market over the past three months.
Initially, our team identified the period around March 10 as a likely inflection point for a bullish reversal and prepared a related analysis idea. However, we refrained from publishing it, as the movements of key altcoins—which typically serve as leading indicators—did not align with our internal criteria.
As anticipated, the market went on to form another low. We now believe that April 7 marked not just a temporary bounce, but a potential structural pivot point in the broader trend.
The rationale behind this assessment is outlined in detail below. We appreciate your time and hope you find the insights valuable.
We believe the logical starting point is to examine the key highs that have formed during this cycle.
Among the two major peaks—referred to here as “Point 1” and “Point 2”—it is critical to determine which marks the termination of the fifth wave. This distinction plays a pivotal role in accurately interpreting the subsequent wave structure.
If Point 1 is the conclusion of the fifth wave, then Point 2 can be naturally understood as the terminal point of a corrective B wave.
Conversely, if Point 2 represents the end of the fifth wave, then the decline that followed is likely the beginning of a corrective A wave.
To validate this, we conducted a detailed analysis based on Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. The results showed that Point 2 did not align well with any major wave theory frameworks. Its price structure and time proportion appeared incomplete and inconsistent.
In contrast, Point 1 exhibited a high degree of confluence with multiple classical wave theories, including Glenn Neely’s NEoWave principles. Structurally, it demonstrated the typical characteristics of a completed five-wave advance.
Based on this evidence, we conclude that Point 1 is the more valid candidate for the fifth wave termination. Consequently, we believe any analysis of the current market structure should build upon this interpretation.
To further clarify the interpretation of the key peak,
we present two possible scenarios using Fibonacci ratios as the analytical foundation.
These scenarios are illustrated as the red path and the blue path,
each representing a different wave development depending on the subsequent market movement.
However, the key takeaway is that both scenarios converge on a single conclusion:
“Point 1” marks the completion of a full wave cycle,
and can thus be identified as the termination point of the fifth wave.
While the detailed wave progression may evolve depending on how the market unfolds,
recognizing that a major top has already been established is essential for shaping any mid-to-long-term strategy.
This structural understanding serves as a critical anchor in the broader market outlook.
Having previously identified “Point 2” as the likely termination of the B wave,
our current focus shifts to pinpointing the end of the C wave—
in other words, the optimal buying zone within the corrective structure.
Our team initially regarded the period around March 10 as a strong candidate for the conclusion of the C wave.
However, due to insufficient synchronicity across the broader market—
particularly the lack of confirmation from key altcoins—
we concluded that this point did not represent a genuine inflection.
※ Our analysis is based not on individual coins but on a comprehensive structural assessment of the overall market.
As a result, we extended our observation period.
A clear and confident reversal signal was finally detected around April 7.
In hindsight, the March 10 low proved to be a false bottom, marked only by a temporary rebound,
whereas the true structural pivot materialized in early April.
With this in mind, we believe the market is now entering a phase where a full wave reversal is plausible,
and it is time to begin formulating a strategic entry plan in alignment with this outlook.
Now, let us evaluate whether the second low (April 7)
qualifies as the true termination point of the C wave.
From a technical standpoint, the preceding decline exhibits the hallmarks of an Ending Diagonal—
a classic pattern frequently observed at the conclusion of C waves.
This structure serves as a strong technical signal that the wave sequence is entering its final stage,
indicating not just a temporary rebound, but the potential for a structural trend reversal.
Considering both the wave characteristics and the timing context,
we believe there is sufficient evidence to regard the April 7 low not merely as a short-term bottom,
but as the culmination of the C wave—and more importantly, the starting point of a major reversal in the broader trend.
Finally, to further reinforce the technical foundation of our analysis,
we turn to harmonic pattern analysis.
By applying a range of Fibonacci ratios between the start and termination of the B wave,
we have identified a remarkably precise Deep Crab pattern—
one of the most powerful reversal signals among all harmonic structures.
Notably, the current price action has landed directly within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone),
strongly suggesting that the timing for a strategic long position is ripe.
In summary, we now have a confluence of three compelling signals:
A clear Ending Diagonal structure at the tail end of the C wave,
A significant inflection point formed around April 7,
And a textbook Deep Crab harmonic pattern confirming the reversal zone.
These three elements align cohesively to provide a well-founded justification for initiating long exposure.
There is no longer a reason for hesitation.
Assuming appropriate risk management is in place,
we believe this is a moment to enter with confidence.
Thank you sincerely for reading this analysis in full.
We will continue to provide high-quality, data-driven market insights,
rooted in both structural depth and technical precision.
If our perspective resonates with your approach to the market,
we warmly invite you to follow our work and stay connected.
Your support and engagement are what fuel our continued efforts.
See you in the next idea.
BTC Major Top And Bottom Identified Road to $160,000 Bitcoin is currently trading around $95,000. Based on my analysis of the top and bottom zones, we are very close to breaking the critical $100,000 resistance level.
I expect BTC to break $100K within the next few weeks. Once we achieve a clean breakout above $100K, the market could enter a strong bullish phase.
From there, I anticipate Bitcoin will reach the $160,000 target within the next 4 to 7 months.
Key support and resistance levels are marked on the chart, with confirmations from volume, structure, and sentiment.
This is a long-term bullish idea — short-term volatility is expected, but the macro trend looks very strong.
🔔 Follow for updates as the journey unfolds!
🚀 Target: $160,000 | 🛡️ Always manage risk carefully.
Ghost Town Vibes Explained —Bitcoin & The Altcoins Will GrowIt is a very well-known fact that people only join the market and decide to participate when prices are high and rising. Retail is not interested in bottom prices because there is no excitement.
No people around can be taken as a clear signal that the market is trading at bottom prices. This is good, normal and natural, think about it.
When the market is trading at high prices, All-Time High, you will see a massive amount of people engaging and participating. There is excitement, entertainment and fun and that's what people want.
The market being overbought and trading at high prices, lots of activity and many people ready to buy is a clear signal that the top is in a crash comes next. Remember, most of the people are not here to make money, grow or learn, most of the people engage in "trading" to lose money, and that's why there is no interest when prices are lower. Only smart investors, smart traders and whales tend to be looking at the market when prices are great.
Just watch! Just wait!
30 days from now the Altcoins market will be high up. All the trading pairs will be anywhere between 100% and 300% higher compared to current prices, this will not be the top but only a start. At this point, watch the rush and experience all the action around Cryptocurrency, it is just how it works.
Imagine an amusement park but with no entertainment involved. Nobody will pay to visit this park. When they add the games and the rides, loud music, dance and shows, people will go there to play and have fun.
People don't care about the price, they just want to exchange with others and be part of this world.
Humans like to be in groups, community; when Crypto grows, everybody will join.
The ghost town vibes is the best signal that confirms bottom prices and a bull market about to develop. It is the best signal pointing to a strategy of buy and hold. Focus on the long-term.
Whatever happens, think long-term. You can't go wrong when buying at the bottom. This is your chance.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC H4 Analysis | Key Support Zone: | Watch for ReactionBitcoin is approaching a significant support area between 88,277 and 86,850 on the H4 timeframe. This zone has historically acted as a demand region, and price action within this range will be critical to monitor.
Technical structure shows a potential for volatility, and traders should keep an eye on how BTC behaves around this level. A clear reaction here could offer insight into the next directional move.
No trade setup provided — this is a technical observation for analysis purposes only.
BTC Short Term I expect a decline to 92474.68 within this week. If the daily red candle closes below this level, we are likely to see 88200.44 and 87235.76 levels.
Our direction is up in the medium and long term. I think there will be pullbacks in the short term.
If there are 2 4-hour candle closes above 95369.00, this possibility will be canceled.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #71👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
🔄 Yesterday’s Recap
In yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that the main triggers had already been activated, and it might be too late to enter a position. However, you could still enter trades using momentum triggers such as RSI and SMA.
⚡️ As we can see, the RSI oscillator, after exiting the Overbought zone, triggered a bearish divergence and has now dropped below level 50. This means the RSI trigger has not yet been activated, and the price didn't pull back to the SMAs either — instead, it broke below them and entered a short-term correction.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price was rejected from the key resistance at 94,283 and dropped to the 92,007 zone.
✔️ The SMA99 is getting closer to the price, and we might see a pullback to this level. If this happens and the price builds a structure after the pullback, it could offer a good long entry during the correction.
📈 The main long trigger remains the breakout above 94,283, which would signal the start of the next bullish leg.
✨ For a healthier trend structure, the price might undergo a deeper correction, increasing the chances of a pullback to the SMA99 scenario playing out.
📊 However, note that during the drop to 92,007, selling volume increased, which is not favorable for the bullish trend. So, if you're planning to enter a long during this correction, make sure selling volume is decreasing and buying volume is rising.
🔽 For short positions, as mentioned in previous analyses, we must wait for a confirmed trend reversal. Currently, there is no trigger indicating a downtrend, and we need to wait for a new structure.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
BTC dominance is still climbing and moving toward the 64.60 resistance level. If it stabilizes above this level, it could initiate the next bullish leg for BTC dominance.
💥 For a bearish BTC.D scenario, either rejection from 64.60 or a breakdown below 64.12 would be appropriate triggers.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is showing a deeper correction compared to BTC, aligning with the increasing BTC dominance. It has corrected down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
🔼 For long positions, a breakout above 1.04 is a good trigger — but be sure to watch BTC.D to decide whether to go long on Bitcoin or altcoins.
⭐ As for shorts, like other charts, we need to wait for a confirmed trend reversal before considering a short position.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
This chart is also correcting, and after finding support at 4.99, it is now retracing upward and sits near 5.13.
💫 For the downtrend in USDT.D to continue, a break below 4.99 is crucial. If it holds below that level, the overall crypto market can continue moving upward.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC- crash is coming? Most likely no)In its best traditions, bitcoin in one impulse reached the monthly target 95000, which I wrote about
The probability of a correction to set a higher low in the equilibrium area of the range is increasing.
Probably in May the crypto market will have to pass the last stability test, in case of success we will get excellent opportunities for spot and speculative positions before the next cyclical growth spiral.
For now have to wait for weekly open but there are 2 options:
pump till PWH and then move on correction
slow bleeding till 0.5 or mb till 83k in worst case and then pump to ATH
Watching closely $93,900 level.BTCUSDT Weekly Update
Bitcoin has successfully broken through its previous resistance area and is currently testing a new resistance zone. We are closely watching the $93,900 level. If the market provides confirmation of a rejection or reversal at this level, we will consider entering a short position targeting the marked FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone.
This FVG is a bullish imbalance zone, which previously contributed to market momentum. If the price moves lower, we plan to exit short positions near the FVG zone and look for confirmation to enter buy-side trades, aligning with the existing bullish market structure.
Let's closely monitor these levels throughout the week. If price action aligns, we anticipate strong trading opportunities on both sides of the market.
Is the Market Setting You Up? My BTC Manipulation TheoryEveryone’s hyped about BTC’s run — but is this rally legit, or just another carefully staged trap? Let’s break it down…
BTC, as well as other cryptocurrencies, have been performing well lately — but the big question remains: “Is this manipulation?”
Well, here’s my take.
Whenever a piece of news drops — whether it’s from regulators, governments, or financial figures — it affects crypto prices, positively or negatively. The Trump and Fed saga might be playing a part here, but I believe our collective participation has also fueled the price movement. Now with institutions stepping into our space, there’s a new problem.
Now to business.
On the chart, I’ve outlined key routes and zones from the weekly down to the 4H timeframe to help answer this question.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC fought hard and bounced off an area of imbalance. During this HTF rebalancing, it created a strong sell-side liquidity area on the 4H timeframe. There was also a period of consolidation — which shouldn’t be ignored, because it holds clues to our big question.
After this accumulation phase (which happens on all zones, because time is fractal), BTC took liquidity to the upside — making what I believe is a manipulative move.
Now, on the 4H chart, you’ll notice a sort of rebalance happening. It’ll most likely drop down to the TSE:RE zone I marked, to hit stop-losses set by the bulls, tricking people into thinking we’ve gone bearish — only to trap them again before distribution occurs (you might lose it at this point, lol).
So — we’ve identified potential market manipulation.
If this theory holds, where might distribution take place?
I’ve marked out possible areas, and it’s most likely within the $93k - $99k region.
Why?
These zones hold a significant chunk of pending orders.
BTC hitting $99k will get everyone thinking the bears are finished — perfect for a trap.
NB: Don’t expect this all to happen in a day or a week… lol.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice — just my observation.
Hope it was easy enough to follow.
LEAVE A FOLLOW AND A BOOST!
Bitcoin (BTC): Waiting For Clarity Around Current ResistanceBitcoin is still hovering around the resistance line where buyers have yet to prove they have taken control over that zone.
We are waiting for 2 things that can happen from here: either a rejection and fakeout, which would lead the price down or a proper BOS and retest, which could lead to new highs on the coin.
Of course we are looking for the fakeout to form, as we like shorting more than longing on daily trades but we have to adapt with market structure development so we wait for more clarity!
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Compression Before the Next Major Move?Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a critical range, trading between clearly defined support and resistance zones over the past week. Price action remains "trapped" within this structure, akin to a market equilibrium phase, with neither bulls nor bears taking decisive control.
Currently, BTC is testing a major historical resistance cluster — an area shaped by prior price memory and significant psychological levels. Over the weekend, price action into this resistance showed visible exhaustion, with momentum stalling and early signs of supply absorption emerging.
Simultaneously, Bitcoin is balancing on the daily anchored VWAP, a key dynamic indicator used by institutional participants to gauge fair value. A sustained breakdown below VWAP would significantly increase the probability of a broader corrective move toward key prior support levels.
Technical Scenarios to Monitor:
🔹 Bullish Resolution: Reclaiming resistance with strong volume expansion could open the door for continuation toward ATH zones and price discovery.
🔹 Bearish Resolution: Failure to hold the VWAP and daily structure support would likely trigger a deeper corrective leg, potentially retesting prior demand zones.
Market Context:
No clear trend reversal signals yet, but growing evidence of momentum loss at the highs.
Sideways price action is typical during key decision points; expect compression before expansion.
Macro structure remains bullish, but short-term caution is warranted.
🧠 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: Watching for acceptance or rejection above current highs.
Support Zone: Anchored VWAP and key daily structure (~confirm levels based on your chart).
⚡ Stay nimble — Bitcoin is at a critical juncture where the next few sessions could define medium-term direction.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarkets