BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
Bitcoin "Crash" 2025Bitcoin started a more significant correction recently, which is scaring many people, and there is already a lot of talk about the beginning of the Bear market.
In my view, the upward trend is still intact, and this could very well be a healthy correction to prepare for a more significant rise in the coming months.
We have an important support level at $75K which has confluence with the 3D SMMA which has already proven to be strong in the past, I think there will be some reaction and that could very well be the end of this correction, but as long as the price manages to stay above $70K I will remain bullish and looking for Longs.
It is important to note that the Fear and Greed indicator is at 21, with Bitcoin at $84K.
BITCOINBitcoin’s market cap and price action in April 2025 confirm a robust upswing, supported by technical breakouts, improving sentiment, and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Sustained trading above $88,000–$91,000 and a convincing breach of $94,000 are key confirmations of the current bullish phase, with $100,000-103000 as the next major target
Here for a Funtime short sellCurrently analyzing Bitcoin on the 15-minute chart.
I spotted a symmetrical triangle forming after a strong upward move, showing signs of market indecision.
I mapped out the weekly highs (blue line) and potential support zone (yellow line) based on the daily/weekly structure.
My anticipation:
If price breaks down from this triangle, I expect a short move toward the 92,155 support zone.
If price breaks up, the next target would be around 95,670.
I'm staying flexible and will let the breakout direction guide my next move.
Trade safe, manage risk!
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #ChartAnalysis #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
Take a step back to leap forwardMost altcoins REALLY NEED another correction before they can aim for higher levels.
There’s a high chance we’re about to see a major shakeout, and after that, the market will gradually rotate capital into altcoins.
It’s coming very soon — probably early May, though it’s hard to pinpoint exactly when. Just be prepared for a big liquidation move to wipe out all the FOMO long positions flying around 😂😂😂😂
This game has never been easy.
Wait for the market shakeout, fam. 😎😎😎😎😎
This upcoming move is going to be a big one 😎😎😎😎
BTC - Next to 100k?Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently showing strong price acceptance above the $94,500 region, with the latest POC (Point of Control) holding firm at $94,880, suggesting this is the price where most trading volume has occurred recently. The VAH (Value Area High) sits just above at $95,100, and price is hovering slightly above that range at $95,043, which is an early sign of potential bullish continuation. Each previous breakout leg—such as the one from $91,000 to $94,000—was supported by rising value areas and shifted POCs, showing steady demand and controlled price discovery upward.
As long as BTC stays above $94,500, dips may continue to be bought, and bulls are likely targeting $96,200–$97,000 liquidity pockets next. However, any failure to hold above $94,400–$94,500 with a 4H close back below VAL could lead to a rotation back toward the older value area around $93,000, which would shift the bias to short-term range-bound or even corrective.
So, more buys can be expected on retests of $94.5K, but profit booking or initial short setups can be planned if BTC prints a rejection wick + closes below the developing POC and VAL — especially below $94,300, which would invalidate current acceptance💥
BTCUSD Swing Short | Fading Supply Spike- 4H Liquidity BreakdownBTC retraced into the 4H liquidity breakdown zone at 96,111.6. Bulls failed to absorb supply here, confirming structural weakness. Price spiked into this zone but rejected, setting up a swing short opportunity. This rejection lacked conviction, driven by late longs chasing into thin liquidity. The setup isn’t about momentum—it’s about exploiting the structural fragility where stretched positions collapse.
"Entry Price: 95,300.0 – Fading the Supply Spike (Limit Order Pre-Loaded)"
"SL: 96,150.0 – Supply Absorption Invalidation (8,500 Ticks Risk @ 0.01 Tick Size)"
"TP: 92,000.0 – Structure Rebuild Zone (33,000 Ticks Reward @ 0.01 Tick Size)"
"RRR: 3.88R Skewed Outcome (Pre-Fee)"
"Net RRR After Fees: 3.56R"
Expected stop loss is 850.0 USD range on price, translating to 1.70 USDT risk on my 0.002 BTC size. Expected take profit is 3,300.0 USD range on price, yielding 6.60 USDT reward. Total fees estimated at 0.07492 USDT if TP hits, 0.13427 USDT if SL hits. Net reward after fees is 6.52508 USDT, net loss after fees is 1.83427 USDT, yielding a final net reward-to-risk ratio of 3.56R.
Contextual layers:
"Liquidity Breakdown: 96,111.6 – Bulls Failed to Absorb Supply, Breakdown Confirmed"
"POC: 94,500.0 – Microstructure Breakdown Trigger"
"Bull/Bear Inflection: 91,911.8 – Critical for Macro Sentiment"
"London Open: 91,828.5 – Support Impulse Level"
Conviction weighting:
ADX rising above 22 confirms trend strength weakening into resistance. RSI divergence highlights momentum exhaustion with price making higher highs, but RSI printing lower highs. Open interest rising into supply suggests late long positioning, primed for failure as structure collapses.
This is a structural exploitation setup. Monitoring price behavior for confirmation or invalidation as liquidity thins.
BTC Cycle Top - Confluence w/ Previous CycleBased on confluence with the previous cycle, I’m projecting the BTC cycle top around $115K.
Looking at the 2021 cycle, we saw:
A news-driven dump after the initial ATH.
A strong recovery to retest the previous highs.
Followed by the true cycle top exactly 26 weeks (182 days) later.
We're now seeing a similar pattern play out in 2025:
Post-ATH retrace and consolidation.
Recovery underway.
If history rhymes, we could be looking at the final leg up, topping out within the same 26-week window.
Target range is aligned with prior structure and psychological resistance.
Let’s see how it plays out…
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CycleTop #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BTC115K
BTC H4 Analysis | Key Support Zone: | Watch for ReactionBitcoin is approaching a significant support area between 88,277 and 86,850 on the H4 timeframe. This zone has historically acted as a demand region, and price action within this range will be critical to monitor.
Technical structure shows a potential for volatility, and traders should keep an eye on how BTC behaves around this level. A clear reaction here could offer insight into the next directional move.
No trade setup provided — this is a technical observation for analysis purposes only.
#BTC reaches weekly resistance zone, cautiously bullish📊#BTC reaches weekly resistance zone, cautiously bullish⚠️
🧠From a structural point of view, after we broke through the resistance zone at the daily level, the resistance zone turned into a support zone, so after the price fell back to this support zone, I participated in some long trades. The interim target is around 90,000, so I chose to close all positions after reaching here.
➡️In general, my mind is still in the shock trading, so I don’t look forward to the goal too far. Because we haven’t built a long structure at the daily level, we still need to be vigilant.
➡️Currently we have reached the resistance zone at the weekly level, don’t chase the rise here. We can look for some short signals in this area to participate.
⚠️Note that the large level belongs to the long trend, the correction at the daily level is over, and it is possible to start the upward trend at the daily level. Try to focus on long trades.
Let’s take a look👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC is Still A Correction.BTC is in good rally these days, but my believe is that it is still in a correction.
I am not 100% confident in wavecount, but I am confident that BTC is not done correcting until it has gone down to somewhere between 62.500 - 52.500.
If the rally BTC is currently in, I believe we are seeing a flat, and I will correct my count accordingly.. But right now I'm seeing a W-X-Y-X-Z correction.
Be careful, and do not bet on BTC is rallying to a million just yet ;)
For now I believe there will be good odds for following the white line I've drawn on the chart.
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea
🚦 Market Context & Price Action
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move.
💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts
According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout.
🟢 Wyckoff Schematic:
Buying Climax (BC) at current highs
Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces
Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup
You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab.
🟢 Trade Plan:
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level
Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation)
Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation
Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low
🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment
Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable.
🟢 Key Fundamentals:
ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong
Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness
Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move
🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management
Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering.
🟢 Risk Management:
Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS
Use tight stops below the range
Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption
📈 Trade Idea Summary
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally
Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure
Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range
Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range
Not financial advice!
BTC Bullish IdeaThe Fractal from the 2020 bull run looks very similar to the current bullish fractal BTC is in at the moment.
Also looking at the RSI on high time frame (3 day chart) we can see a clear pattern. 3waves descending on the RSI, before a breakout to the upside on 7th Sep. Same pattern on the market cipher B indicator.
Expectation is that there is an imminent breakout soon (day, or weeks) as pressure keeps building, the release will be explosive.
BTC post halving scenariobased on previous halvings, expecting price to come down a bit and accumulate before starting the climb up.
Fib trend gives me 2 significant targets for highs: Mid Jan 2025 and mid Jan 2026.
I've mapped out potential fib targets based on standard fib extension targets.
i.e. 2.272 - 2.786.
However saying this, fib extensions from low to halving project different targets for a bullrun.
previous bullruns have reached fib extensions of between 8-9.
I'll add another chart in the comments showing this.
BTCUSDT – Structure Rebuild or Breakdown? My Neutral Bias Until Description:
On the 15-minute BTCUSDT chart, I’m currently directionally neutral—I need the market to tip its hand before engaging.
94,722.9 USDT – If bulls attempt another breakout, demand must punch through this level. No passivity here—if buyers show up strong, I’ll look for confirmation to join a bullish continuation.
91,631.5 USDT – This is my bull/bear S/R inflection level. If the market slides back into this zone, I’m watching for bearish momentum to reclaim dominance.
Current stance: Structure is rebuilding for a potential long breakout, but I am aggressively watching for proof—no chasing shadows. Until I get a clear reaction at either of these levels, I remain flat, patient, sniper-focused.
The trap zones are set. This is a textbook wait-and-react environment. No bias, no emotion—clarity comes from structure + liquidity + reaction.