BTC short term Wave countAnalyzing a Bitcoin (BTC) form Wyckoff schema in a 4H chart.
We can’t determine if it’s an accumulation or distribution yet. Based on MACD and Elliott Wave Theory, I believe the chart will follow a similar pattern. However, time will determine the outcome. If BTC declines and accumulates within a shorter time frame of Elliot support levels, it could be a long trade opportunity.
(This analysis is not financial advice. Your actions are solely your responsibility.)
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
Bitcoin - No one expect this move! 20% this week (plan here)Whales are preparing a huge trap for the retail traders, and you probably already know that the trap is this massive falling wedge! Falling wedge patterns are usually bullish, right? But not if they occur at the end of a trend. You probably want to trade wedges that are at the start of a trend. What's more, everyone is watching and buying into this wedge, which brings so much questions - will all retail traders get REKT again? Most likely yes, as usual. You want to do pretty much the opposite of what the majority of retail traders do to be a profitable trader.
You probably already know that Bitcoin is manipulated and controlled by the banks and huge institutions. They control the price and development. Do not be fooled that some average Joe geek from Florida eating McDonald's controls the development. Whales need liquidity to buy because their orders are so huge; they need time to buy as much Bitcoin as possible. That's why they need to push the price down to take all stop losses from retail traders.
The price is below the 20, 50, 100 and 200 daily moving averages - that's a huge downtrend! Also, on the chart we can see a huge previous rectangular range between 108k and 91k. It does make sense if the price will test this range before continuing to the downside. To me, this is indeed a risky speculation. I definitely don't want to speculate on that, because sooner or later Bitcoin will crash to 67k! I don't trust this falling wedge at all! Please tell me, what about you?
Write a comment with your altcoin, hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
Bitcoin Lower High Continues ?Bitcoin saw a burst of upside momentum earlier this week, but it may be more of a reaction than a reversal. The move came after a breakout from a short-term range, yet it hasn’t managed to shift the broader trend. The latest push topped out at $88,465, just under the previous key high, failing to signal a true change in direction.
Key Points:
The high at $88,465 wasn’t enough to break the bearish market structure.
Potential downside targets include $74,500 and possibly $67,850 if weakness continues.
Price action is still printing lower highs, and unless a strong breakout clears $88,500 with momentum, sellers are likely to maintain control. A deeper pullback remains a strong possibility, especially if lower support levels are tested and fail to hold. Overall, trend continuation to the downside remains the dominant scenario until proven otherwise.
Bitcoin will Breakout Formed A Next Bitcoin zone lets see how the price will react.
Provider Mr Martin Date 21 April Monday 2025
Bitcoin price Running During between resistance zone 88,500 a waiting for solid breakout zone if the price break the near support will be 81,500 this price suggest to take profit long-term keep sellers are in full control.
The price candles will shows selling side until this resistance breakout then price will likely continue moving downside.
your like's and comments' must and also motivating and will be share more analysis to you.
BTCUSDT at daily resistance, likely to head to 84kThe price has hit the daily resistance as expected in the quoted post. I see a pullback here which is already started. A short trade setup is favorable gere, We take a short in this zone and target towards daily support DS1. The correction can go upto weekly suppor WS1 but lets focus on this short trade first. risking 1.5% for 4.5% win.
Bitcoin downtrend breakout?Bitcoin on the USDT market pair broke out of an 86-day downtrend from a descending broadening wedge, looking for +30% in price action from entry at retest levels around 81k - 79k with a final upside target at the apex of the wedge at 105k-110k
A 4-hour close below 78k - 77k will invalidate this setup.
BTC Trade Plan 12/04/2025Dear Traders,
I believe BTC will be Try to retest 88-90 K Area before Another Free Fall,
after 4 Times Hit Top of Descending Channel , i expect price will be break Soon,
Strong Resistance : 88-90 K ,,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
BTC - Bulls Charging... However!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the blue trendline support and has been bullish in the medium term. 📈
However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, as BTC is still trading within the falling channel marked in red. 📉
For the bulls to take over long term and initiate the next impulsive wave, a break above the $91,000 major high in blue is needed. 🔵
Meanwhile, BTC may still retest the blue trendline — where we’ll be looking for new short-term longs. 🎯
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin: Long-Term OutlookClearly, this is more of a schematic scenario, and the probability of it playing out exactly as drawn is extremely low.
The core idea is that I lean toward the view that a medium-term downtrend is unfolding — meaning it’s still developing.
In this context, every local upward impulse should be treated as a potential opportunity to enter short positions.
As long as the price stays below 96,392, we’re likely seeing the formation of distribution zones — from which the market may continue to move lower, aiming to break recent medium-term lows, with the potential to drop below the 70,000 level.
Also, if we look at the current market sentiment, most traders are excited about a new all-time high — and that often means the opposite is more likely, since the crowd tends to be wrong at key moments.
That said, this doesn’t mean shorting at current levels. It’s still essential to wait for clear confirmations to ensure higher-quality entries.
BTC Current Situation!Hello traders,
Here's a quick update on BTC in the 3-day timeframe:
BTC has rebounded from the lower support level but is currently facing resistance at the 21 MA near $86K. The candle needs to break above this resistance to confirm the continuation of the rebound. Failure to do so may result in a rejection, potentially dragging the price below $80K.
Strategy:
~ Accumulation: $74k to $80k.
~ Short-term Target: $100k.
~ Mid-term Target: $130k.
~ Long-term Target: $150k and above.
Note: Always do your own research analysis before investing.
BTC - 4H Bearish Bias Remains Active📉 BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Bearish Bias Remains Active 📉
COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to show strong bearish momentum, and the current structure suggests a likely drop from the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone.
🔍 Key Setup:
There's a resistance zone around $86,000, backed by favorable liquidity just above it.
This setup increases the probability of a liquidity grab and sharp rejection, which aligns with our bearish scenario.
Target zones are mapped near $79K and $76K, depending on how price reacts to the first support.
✅ We’re watching closely for price action confirmation before entering a short.
Also, check our previous Bitcoin idea, where we predicted the fall from FWB:83K to below $77K—it played out perfectly!
💡 Follow for real-time updates and don’t miss the next precision trade! 🚀
BTC Weekly Analysis (1W)First and foremost, keep in mind that this is a weekly analysis, and along the way, Bitcoin may experience upward bounces from daily or hourly support levels.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin started forming a diametric pattern, and with the recent drop, the bullish scenario has strengthened, canceling Bitcoin’s previous triangle formation.
The price has now entered wave F. The green zone is where wave F could potentially complete.
June is the month when this corrective wave (wave F) is expected to end.
Wave G is a bullish wave, and its target could be the red zone.
A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook and analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
#BTC successfully broke upward📊#BTC successfully broke upward✔️
🧠From a structural perspective, we successfully broke through the daily resistance zone, and the resistance zone turned into a support zone. The next resistance zone worth our attention is 88000-89700. At present, we have reached the staged resistance zone near 87377. If we can consolidate a short structure from here, then the target area of this structure overlaps with the yellow support area, then it is a long area that is very worthy of our attention.
➡️From a graphical perspective, the price is gradually compressed to form an ascending triangle. At present, it has chosen to break upward, but the appearance of this model means that the bullish trend is about to end, so we still need to be vigilant about the risk of falling back. We need to observe the order of arrival of the yellow support zone and the red resistance zone to participate in different transactions.
⚠️Note that if we directly fall below the inflection point 83903, the bullish expectation will fail, and the daily support zone will turn into a resistance zone. If the price rebounds to this area, then we can look for shorting opportunities.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
This is exactly how the market takes your money?I want to share with you a mindset about why, as a trader, you often face trouble when the market hasn’t yet shown a clear Swing Buy or Swing Sell signal.
When the market is in a good state, meaning it’s showing a clear Uptrend or Downtrend, you’re almost guaranteed to make a profit. However, during such times, your only issue is taking profits too early, scalping prematurely. You then re-enter at a new, higher position than before and continue scalping multiple times within a single Swing trend.
As the Swing trend nears its end, that’s when the market starts to take back the profits you made earlier. The market reclaims the capital it “lent” you and even collects some of your gains as interest. When the market enters a phase of unclear direction or is preparing for a new trend, you carry the Swing mindset from the previous phase into this Scalping phase, expecting the market to deliver the same big profits as before.
This is exactly why your positions are prone to losses and frequently hit Stop Losses, causing you to lose a chunk of your remaining capital.
This is how the market takes money out of your hands. Do you find yourself in this situation?
BTC Technical Resistance| .618 Fiboancci| Trend Bitcoin is currently facing a key moment in price structure as it approaches a significant high time frame resistance zone. Price is testing a major confluence level at $87,459 — a technical cluster that may serve as a ceiling for this leg of the move. This zone includes multiple overlapping indicators, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and pullback.
Key Points:
Bitcoin is testing $87,459 — a zone of major confluence between key technical indicators.
The area includes the .618 Fibonacci level, value area high, and VWAP pool.
Current conditions present risk for longs, with better opportunities likely at lower levels.
This current region is one of the most critical resistance zones seen in recent weeks. The $87,459 level aligns with several technical tools: the 4618 Fibonacci extension, the value area high from recent ranges, and a VWAP pool, all of which act as strong resistance when combined. Price action here is showing signs of hesitation, and failure to cleanly break above could trigger a short-term reversal.
Internally, even the daily chart is suggesting caution, as the structure begins to show exhaustion signals. Momentum has slowed, and the move feels extended without a healthy pullback. Given the number of traders likely to be trapped in longs here, the market could easily rotate lower and flush out overleveraged positions, reinforcing the idea that this level is a logical rejection point.
From a trade management perspective, this is a risky place to long. While some scalpers may attempt to catch upside continuation, the higher-probability long setups will emerge only after a pullback to more favorable demand zones. Until then, patience is warranted for bullish entries.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
A rejection from the $87,459 region could lead to a retracement toward the $74,000 area, where support is more clearly defined. For bullish continuation, Bitcoin must first reclaim and hold above this resistance zone with strength. Until then, longs remain high risk, and a move lower offers a better reward-to-risk scenario for positioning.
Bitcoin Analysis: Macro Tailwinds + Tape Reading = The Perfect B🌍 Bitcoin Analysis: Macro Tailwinds + Tape Reading = The Perfect Bulltrap (or a Historic Breakout)
Published by: Pôncio Pacífico — The Portuguese God of Derivatives
⚡ Macro Context: Global Instability Is Pushing Bitcoin Up (For Now)
In the last 48 hours, Bitcoin has surged nearly 3%, hitting $87,500. This happened while:
The U.S. dollar weakened amid political instability (Trump challenging the Fed's authority)
Gold hit a new all-time high above $3,370/oz
Global equity markets corrected and bond yields declined
🔎 Sources: Bloomberg & Reuters
Bitcoin is behaving like a risk-off asset. Bullish at first glance, but the tape tells a more sinister story...
🕵️ On-Chain & Order Flow Analysis (last 5 days)
Delta: Negative delta candles with price still rising → classic short squeeze behavior
Open Interest: Increased during the pump, then flattened → sign of trapped FOMO longs
Volume: Strong at the beginning of the move, now fading while price still climbs → exhaustion?
Conclusion: we’re seeing short liquidations + late long entries = DANGER ZONE.
📊 Institutional Trading Scenarios (Macro + Tape Reading)
🚑 SCENARIO A: Bulltrap in Progress (most likely)
Short entry: $87,850–$88,000
Stop loss: $88,200
Target 1: $87,100
Target 2: $86,200
Trigger: Weak volume + flat delta + rising OI (FOMO)
🌪 SCENARIO B: Controlled Pullback, Institutional Re-entry
Long entry: $86,300
Stop: $85,800
Target 1: $87,500
Target 2: $88,800
Trigger: Volume spike + positive delta + stable OI
⚡ SCENARIO C: Authentic Breakout
Entry: $88,100
Stop: $87,600
Target: $89,800–90,000
Trigger: Aggressive delta + visible liquidations + strong volume breakout
💭 Final Pôncio Proclamation
"Macro says buy. Tape says wait. Combine both and you realize: whoever buys now without a plan... is paying for the market makers' champagne brunch."
Share this if you don’t want your gym buddy to long the top again.
#BTC #Futures #TapeReading #CryptoAnalysis #MacroTrading #InstitutionalTools #VolumeProfile #OpenInterest #ShortSqueeze
Bitcoin (BTC): Seems Like Bigger Long Squeeze, Expecting DropBitcoin has had a strong recovery since our liquidity candle, which barely touched our major support zone.
We think this is just a bigger long squeeze to gather more longs into the market in order to get them liquidated on the way toward the proper retest of that support zone so we are still looking to see the drop in the markets and only then start looking for some sort of market structure break on bigger timeframes.
Swallow Academy
Are you making this common mistake?There’s a huge mistake nearly everyone in crypto makes that kills their portfolio after one cycle.
Read this to make sure you are not doing it!
Most crypto investors take huge risks without realizing it, and you probably are too.
They chase random altcoins and think that if they pump, they'll break even on all their other losses or get rich!
This often leads them through a cycle of despair, which makes them give up after a few big losses.
Instead, crypto investors should focus on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the majority of a cycle and only concentrate on strong altcoins that show resilience during CRYPTOCAP:BTC sell-offs as we approach alt season.
Then, they should track their portfolio like a pro to monitor their performance and change things where necessary.
If you are not currently doing this, but would like to begin, then message me to see how I can help you @CryptoJayTrades
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #68👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
🔄 Yesterday's Analysis
In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that since the 84363 level was broken, RSI had entered Oversell, and selling volume had increased — if sellers were truly stronger than buyers, the price could drop to 83233. But if that didn’t happen and the price returned above 84363, we could say the move was fake and both the momentum and selling pressure were also fake — and the price could move upward.
👀 As you can see, that’s exactly what happened. The move turned out to be a fake break, and the price reversed. With this fakeout, we could have opened a position in the lower timeframes — as shown in the chart I provided. In the 15-minute time frame, after the fakeout of 84363, the price formed a top at 84633, and with a strong breakout candle, the trigger was activated and the price moved upward — reaching a 15:1 risk-to-reward ratio so far.
🚀 Another position could have been opened in the 1-hour time frame, where we could have entered after breaking 85126. As you can see, the candle closed above this level, the price moved up, and the position reached a 5:1 risk-to-reward.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, the price moved up to 87562 and has now been rejected from this level. The RSI has also exited the Overbuy zone.
✔️ To continue the upward trend and open a long position, for now — since the market hasn’t formed much structure yet — you can enter on the break of 87562. But if more structure forms, you can enter on the break of the new structure or a pullback to the SMA25.
📉 For a short position, we need to wait for now, because market momentum is bullish, and in my opinion, we shouldn’t trade against the trend. So, if you want to short, wait for a trend reversal, or for the price to fall back below 85550, which would invalidate the whole move as a fakeout.
💥 Keep an eye on momentum oscillators like RSI today. If RSI enters Overbuy again, there’s a strong chance of a new bullish wave starting.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin Dominance also moved upward yesterday in sync with the overall market, reaching 64.12.
☘️ If the price can stabilize above 64.12, the next bullish leg of BTC dominance will start. The first trigger for a bearish shift in BTC dominance is the break of 63.67.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now let’s look at Total2. Yesterday, the 965 level was broken and the price moved up to 980, but — just like Bitcoin — it was rejected from that level and is now pulling back.
🔼 To continue the bullish move, breaking 980 will be a valid trigger. For short positions, we need to wait for a trend reversal.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether Dominance (USDT.D), as you can see, it also had a sharp move yesterday, breaking 5.44 and 5.39, and reaching 5.32.
✨ The key support for the past few days was at 5.39, and now that this level is broken, the price dropped to 5.32 where it found support.
🎲 Continuation of the bearish trend in USDT dominance requires a break of 5.32. For a bullish reversal, we need to wait for a clear change in trend.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC - A fake out ?
-Green rising Channel broke 2 days ago and get retested. That retest was same previous highs too. Green rising channel was given 3 days ago (look at image 1 below).
Price is hovering above lower line of green channel and upper TL of blue channel and hVn.
There are some divergences in Volume. 4h CVD has a Div too, but 4h CVD is not a tool which i look at often. CVD is much better at lower TF.
Bybit has more bearish volume Divs (obv, ad) than Binance.
Bybit has bearish divergence in CVD in every TF 15min-4h. 🧐 😆
POC of the both rising Ranges were bought with buy imbalances. (image 2-3)
Follow for more ideas/Signals.💲
Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights or other charity :)✌️