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Bitcoin / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACT

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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas

BTC Yearly Camarilla PivotsSo Camarilla pivot points is how I generally trade. Daily, weekly, and monthly usually. However let us pull up the yearly Camarilla on Bitcoin and take a look. These levels were plotted on January 1st and we can see that the bottom so far was hit to the dollar on L3 which is the projected range bottom. Short term I think there could be a pullback. However I would not be suprised to See if we strike Yearly H3 this year before this bull cycle ends. I think anyone calling for crazier targets than that is going to be very wrong. Maybe a wick beyond... but I do not think 150k to 250k s coming in this cycle. The cycle is already mature and in my honest opinion a run up to H3 might be the best we can hope for. Let us see
by Gunslinger2005
BTCUSDT Reaches Critical Volume Zone: Potential Reversal?**Executive Summary:** Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently testing one of the most sensitive areas on its macro volume profile: the 96,000 to 96,500 USDT range. This is a historically significant resistance zone marked by institutional distribution, aligning with a major wall on the VPVR. The current structure suggests a potential buyer exhaustion and opens a highly calculated tactical short opportunity. --- **Macro Technical Context:** From the 85,000 USDT base, BTC has rallied with strong institutional confluence: - Rising Open Interest (new capital, not just a squeeze) - Sustained positive cumulative delta - Real volume accompanying all breakouts The current move has pushed price directly into the most significant volume resistance level since early 2024. --- **Macroeconomic Backdrop (April 2025):** Recent global developments add additional layers of complexity: - The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% amid aggressive US tariff policies, sparking fears of global economic slowdown. - Inflation is decelerating slowly, but financial stability risks are increasing, especially in emerging markets with high debt exposure. - The US economy is under pressure, with reduced 2025 growth projections (1.8%) and potential recession indicators. Despite this bearish macro backdrop, BTC has acted as a partial hedge, with capital flows possibly seeking alternative stores of value amidst fiat instability. However, macro headwinds should not be ignored — any surge in risk-off sentiment or liquidity contraction could catalyze aggressive profit-taking. --- **Area of Interest: 96,200 – 96,600 USDT** This is a zone where: - VPVR shows dense prior institutional activity - Previous breakouts failed - Potential bull trap setup is likely --- **Tactical Playbook: Institutional Reactive Short** **Entry:** Sell Limit at 96,500 **Stop Loss:** 96,950 (above local liquidity) **TP1:** 94,800 (prior volume cluster) **TP2:** 93,300 (pre-squeeze area) **Risk/Reward:** 1:3.2 **Activation Criteria:** - OI begins to drop within the zone - Delta turns neutral or negative after failed breakout - Volume spikes with no follow-through --- **Retracement Scenarios to Watch** Even if the short setup plays out, it may not signal trend reversal but rather a healthy retracement within an ongoing bullish structure. **Expected retracement zones:** - 94,800 – former breakout zone - 93,300 – pre-squeeze structure These areas align with VWAP anchors and previous institutional footprints. If price returns to these zones and OI holds or rises, they offer excellent long re-entry opportunities. However, if BTC drops below 92k with collapsing OI and negative delta, a larger trend shift may be in play. --- **Cold Read: Can BTC Retrace Further?** Yes, and that’s not only possible — it may be technically healthy. BTC has rallied +13% from 85k to 96k in under 36h. That’s steep. While Open Interest is climbing and delta is still positive, price has now deviated far above both daily and weekly VWAP anchors. Technically, this creates a reversion risk. If we begin to see exhaustion signals at 96.5k (stalling delta, volume spikes with no follow-through, and flat or declining OI), a pullback becomes not just plausible, but strategic for institutions. Important: This does *not* invalidate the uptrend. It simply opens room for tactical reloads near 93–94k. Only if price breaks 92k with clear unwind do we entertain full trend reversal. --- **Invalidation Triggers:** - Consolidation above 97,000 with rising OI - Aggressive delta returns on breakout continuation --- **Conclusion:** This setup presents a high-asymmetry counter-trend opportunity, but it requires disciplined execution. Only act with confirmed confluence. If invalidated, the structure supports continuation toward 99,000+. Traders must also consider macroeconomic pressures that could weigh on risk appetite and crypto liquidity. Meanwhile, pullbacks to key VWAP zones around 93–94k could offer tactical reloads in favor of the prevailing trend. Stay sharp. The market doesn't care about opinions—only data. --- **Author:** Pôncio Pacífico Ex-institutional, now underground. "Read the flow. Everything else is noise." --- *Liked the analysis? Drop a comment or follow for real-time tactical updates.*
Short
by NunoSid
BTC Analysis - Bullish BiasMy current outlook on Bitcoin remains bullish, anticipating a move towards higher price levels. I am specifically watching for the potential formation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Should an FVG form, I will be looking for price to potentially retrace and touch this gap. Upon a successful interaction with the FVG, my expectation is for price to then continue its ascent towards the higher levels I have marked on my chart. I am focusing on identifying confirmed long opportunities based on this potential FVG setup and retest. Trade safe!
Long
by InnerCircleAnalysis
Bitcoin (BTC): Be Careful - This Might be One Big Trap.....Bitcoin has broken the GETTEX:92K area, which on bigger timeframes is near the major resistance zone and from where we were expecting to see some sort of weakness or rejection. What we got instead was a big liquidation hunting, which led the price into overbought zones on RSI and Bollinger Bands. 10% movement without any correctional moves on Bitcoin is a lot, and so taking that all into consideration, we are expecting at least to see a retest back to the GETTEX:92K area, from where we will get more confirmations of upcoming movements. If we see that buyers will secure the zone, then we might actually head to upper zones, but if we see that sellers will overtake that zone (which then would mean that we have formed a fakeout), it would be an ideal shorting position - let's wait. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
Do you think I'm joking ???Chart is speaking itself... Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
BTCUSDT, Binance Futures – Weekly Technical OutlookMarket Context Bitcoin has demonstrated renewed strength, breaking out from the recent consolidation phase and moving firmly back above the $90,000 level. This move follows a successful defense of the $74,000–76,000 range, which now acts as a strong weekly demand zone. The current weekly candle (as of midweek) is developing into a bullish engulfing pattern with solid volume support, indicating momentum may be building for further continuation. Key Technical Zones: 📌 Support Levels: • $74,400 – $76,000 → Previous swing low + liquidity zone. • $65,000 → Confluence with trendline support & prior consolidation. • $51,900 – $52,000 → Strong historical support on VPVR. 📌 Resistance Levels: • $95,000 – $98,000 → Local resistance and prior range midline. • $105,000 – $110,000 → Weekly highs and Fibonacci extension zone. • Above $110,000 → Potential discovery zone with limited historical structure. 🧭 Trend & Structure: The broader trend remains bullish on the weekly timeframe. After a healthy correction from the $110,000 high, BTC has printed a higher low, suggesting the continuation of the longer-term uptrend remains intact. The chart also highlights the breakout from the symmetrical triangle formation that began in Q1 2024 — this breakout is being respected and validated.
by E-TradePSH
unpublished Bitcoin navigator BTC update 21.04.2024 I just realized I posted a private chart yesterday. I'll republish it so that the entire @TradingView community can see it Click👇🏻 So, after deep analysis Which, surprisingly, coincides with my previous publications. I won't add them to this post. The base case scenario is to reach BTCUSD 96-98 Why? 1. Need to reach the highest volume level of the year In May, and with a high probability, a correction down to the level I have indicated with the yellow box At least 4 out of 5 models point to this The models are these transparent dotted lines that are barely visible. And then ATH Interesting Question, where is ATH? I have shown on the chart a dashed line that tapers off the two previous peaks. I have seen many times how this line did not work and was broken by a big Liquidating candlestick up and down, so graphically, you can guess my conservative targets. When writing this text, I wondered what could explain the fall in the price of Bitcoin after adding it to the reserve, other than speculation and liquidity gathering, and I have no other answers. But in this case, when they start releasing news about the Bitcoin reserve, they will buy it en masse, after this official announcement. Some time will pass, and a 20% drop, then most of the industry will be disappointed and start blaming Trump - he failed again, even with the Bitcoin reserve. So after that, we should quickly rise on this emotion. Best regards EXCAVO
Long
by EXCAVO
20
BTC MacrosWyckoff model 1 accumulation played out very well with a powerful spring up to 4hr swing structure protected high / macro range high. Assuming rejection from previous zone POC / High to low GP zone, huge OBIM / range supply confluence. But rejection is just a mitigation of previous demand (ie. "fakeout") as we swing slightly lower to make another wave upwards, reject from another important POI between 95-99k, retest/mitigate one more time and then off to new highs / equal highs? Perhaps fast enough to occur before the trade war comes back into affect, full blown meltdown to zero :)
Long
by OverleveragedLarry
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Holds the Support Line📊 Technical Analysis Price has broken the long‑term down‑trend and flipped the 84‑85 k supply zone into support; holding >83 k unlocks 92 k then 100 k. 💡 Fundamental Analysis BlackRock’s IBIT pulled in $186 M net inflows last week. Spot‑ETF flows remain positive, even at 2025’s weekly low. MicroStrategy bought 6 556 BTC at $84.8 k, giving 13 k+ institutions indirect exposure. Network hashrate hit a record >920 EH/s and topped 1 124 EH/s earlier this month. ✨ Summary A confirmed breakout, resilient ETF demand, corporate accumulation and record network strength align for a push toward 92–100 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
5
BTC Next Move - Bulltrap or Take-off?In todays overview, we will discuss the price action of BTC and what we could expect in the short-term. What will we discuss? - Bitcoin approaching key resistance - Daily trendline break - But no higher high yet - Stochastic RSI overbought on the daily timeframe - Defining the daily range - Downside targets within the range - Final thoughts ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bitcoin Approaching Key Resistance Bitcoin is now pressing up against a significant resistance zone in the $88,000 to $89,000 range. This area is dense with liquidity, and many stop-loss orders have likely accumulated just above the previous local wick. It's not uncommon in these scenarios for price action to briefly push higher, grabbing that liquidity and triggering those stops, before reversing direction. A short-term stop run followed by a move to the downside wouldn’t be surprising and would align with typical market behavior in these conditions. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Daily Trendline Break – But No Higher High Yet On the daily chart, BTC has managed to break above a descending trendline that had previously capped price action. While that initial breakout was a promising sign for bulls, price has since been consolidating outside the trendline without yet printing a higher high. Until that happens, the overall market structure remains bearish on this timeframe. A confirmed higher high would be needed to shift the daily trend back to bullish. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Stochastic RSI Overbought on Daily Timeframe The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart has been in overbought territory for more than a week, which is typically unsustainable for long periods. This kind of prolonged overbought reading often precedes a pullback. The key question is not if a correction will happen, but how deep it will go. Ideally for bulls, a minor pullback followed by a higher high would be constructive and could signal the beginning of a stronger upward move. But until then, caution is warranted. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Defining the Daily Range Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined range between $75,000 and $88,000. This is the key zone that traders should be paying attention to. As long as price remains within this bracket, we are in a ranging market, not a trending one. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Downside Targets Within the Range If price does get rejected at the resistance zone, downside targets to watch include support levels at $84,000, $80,000, and $75,000. These levels could provide bounce opportunities within the range. There’s no need to speculate on price moving significantly below $75,000 unless that level is cleanly broken. Similarly, upside targets beyond $89,000 shouldn’t be considered until we see a proper breakout and continuation. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Final Thoughts We should treat the current market as range-bound until proven otherwise. That means respecting the range: moves into resistance zones near FWB:88K – GETTEX:89K are potential selling opportunities, while dips into support around $75K–$80K may be areas to look for buying setups. Until either support or resistance gives way, expect this chop to continue, and trade accordingly. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
47
BTC - Distribution Confirmed After Accumulation Cycle CompletionThis 4H chart is a textbook illustration of how smart money cycles play out over time—starting with accumulation, leading into a sharp markup, and culminating in a deceptive distribution phase characterized by manipulation and false breakouts. Let’s dissect each stage of this engineered move: --- 1. Accumulation Phase Following a Double Bottom At the left of the chart, price forms a clear double bottom —a classic retail reversal signal. - Smart money likely used this area to absorb sell-side liquidity, building long positions while retail traders expected further downside. - This base formation set the foundation for the upcoming accumulation range , marked by sideways price action and multiple rejections from both highs and lows of the range. The purpose of accumulation is simple: transfer supply from weak hands to strong hands. Every dip in this range allowed large players to fill bids without driving price too aggressively. --- 2. Sharp Markup and Resistance Interaction Once positions were fully loaded, price launched into a strong impulsive move upward , confirming the transition from accumulation to markup. - The move stalled at a clear horizontal resistance zone—marked as an area of prior supply and potential seller re-engagement. - Price consolidated just below this resistance, building tension and liquidity in the form of breakout longs and stop orders from early shorts. This led to the final stage of the cycle: distribution via manipulation. --- 3. Manipulation Above Resistance: The Fakeout What followed was a classic fakeout above resistance . - Price briefly broke above the key resistance area, attracting breakout buyers who assumed the trend would continue. - In reality, this move served as a liquidity sweep and exit trap , allowing institutions to offload long positions accumulated earlier. - The immediate rejection from this fakeout confirms a bull trap —a hallmark of distribution. This is where smart money transitions from buyers to sellers while retail is left holding the bag. --- 4. Gap Inversion: Confirmation of Distribution Post-fakeout, price creates a gap and immediately inverts back into the prior range , invalidating the breakout and forming a clear distribution schematic . - The gap acts as a volume void or inefficiency , often revisited in reversal models. - Once this area is rejected and price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, it becomes clear that distribution has been finalized. - This breakdown marks the beginning of a markdown phase—typically faster and more violent than the markup. The rejection confirms that price is now being delivered to the downside. --- 5. Narrative: From Accumulation to Redistribution and Collapse This setup isn’t random—it’s narrative-driven: - Double Bottom → Accumulation → Breakout → Manipulation → Distribution → Reversal Each phase builds on the previous one, guided by smart money's intent to trap liquidity and maximize profit during transitions. Now that distribution is confirmed, the expectation is continued downward delivery as price seeks out untapped liquidity and rebalances imbalances left behind during the markup. --- Conclusion: This 4H structure is a clear representation of the Wyckoff distribution model in action: - Accumulation fuels markup. - Breakout entices buyers. - Manipulation traps them. - Distribution unloads supply. - Reversal completes the cycle. The move down is not a random pullback—it is the deliberate continuation of a planned liquidity cycle . Expect further downside unless this structure is invalidated with a reclaim and break of the prior fakeout zone.
Short
by Louigi_24
56
BITCOIN New Update (4H)Before anything else, we shouldn't forget that through multiple analyses shared from the bottom on higher timeframes, we knew Bitcoin was highly bullish. The red zone from the previous analysis has been engulfed and cleared | a lot of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move. It’s better to wait for a pullback now. The price has now reached a resistance zone, where a large number of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move. Also, the diametric pattern is still visible, and after the completion of wave F | which has just occurred | a reversal is expected for wave G. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Bitcoin – Testing Major Resistance: 95k next target?Bitcoin is currently trading inside a significant resistance zone between $88,000 and $89,000. This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, evidenced by multiple rejections that led to notable sell-offs. The recent upward momentum that brought price back into this area was backed by a strong rally off the April lows, pushing through local structure and recovering critical levels. However, despite the strength of this move, price is now approaching a decision point where bulls need to prove continuation capacity or risk triggering another corrective leg. Consolidation Structure The current structure reflects a potential accumulation base forming below resistance, marked by a series of higher lows and a compression of volatility. This typically precedes a breakout, though it also heightens the risk of a sharp rejection should buyers fail to sustain pressure. The local trend remains bullish on the 4H timeframe, but the lack of follow-through above resistance so far suggests hesitation. Price is essentially coiling beneath a ceiling, building pressure for a breakout or breakdown move in the coming sessions. Bullish Scenario If Bitcoin is able to cleanly break above the $89,000 resistance level, the key confirmation will be a successful retest of this zone from above. This area, once flipped into support, would offer a strong launchpad for continuation toward the next key target at $95,000. This target aligns with the measured move projection from the recent range and also represents a psychological milestone that may attract momentum buyers. A confirmed breakout and retest would signal strength from bulls and invalidate the prior resistance structure, transitioning it into new support. Bearish Scenario Alternatively, if price fails to break above the resistance zone and prints another rejection, I expect a retracement to follow. The first major area of interest on the downside is the imbalance zone between approximately $84,000 and $85,500. This level also aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, and given the inefficiency left behind from the recent rally, it serves as a logical short-term support area. A bounce here would not be surprising, particularly on the first touch. However, should price break below and close beneath this zone, it would indicate weakness and open the door for a deeper corrective move. The next major downside target in that case would be the golden pocket between $79,500 and $80,500. This zone carries strong confluence: it’s formed by the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement, a previously unfilled price void (PVG), and the base of the recent rally. Price reaching this area would likely attract interest from both buyers looking for re-entry and shorts looking to cover. A reaction from this level could set the stage for a medium-term bounce or even a new accumulation phase. Current Stance At the moment, my stance is neutral-to-bullish while price remains within the resistance zone. I'm closely monitoring for a clean breakout and retest, which would trigger a long setup targeting the $95K area. Until that breakout occurs, caution is warranted due to the risk of rejection and retracement. If price breaks down from the current level, I will shift my focus to lower support zones, particularly the imbalance region and the golden pocket, for potential long opportunities or further confirmation of bearish momentum. Conclusion Bitcoin is at a pivotal point technically. The structure and momentum suggest the possibility of a bullish continuation, but confirmation through breakout and retest is essential. A failure to break and hold above resistance will likely initiate a retracement, with the imbalance zone serving as the first major test. If that zone fails, a trip toward the golden pocket at $80K becomes increasingly probable. This is a reactive zone-to-zone environment, and both breakout and breakdown scenarios offer actionable setups based on confirmation. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
73
Bitcoin Is Following Our Trading Plan Hello, Skyrexians! As we told you new impulsive wave to the new ATH has been started below 80k for BINANCE:BTCUSDT and now price found some resistance. Next 2-4 weeks will be very difficult for traders and holders and we will explain you why. On the 4h time frame we can see the new impulse which shall consists of 5 waves. Awesome oscillator tells us that this is the wave 3 inside this impulse and it can be over because of target area according to Fibonacci. The wave 4 can retrace to FWB:88K and it can happen very soon, but this time altcoins promised to remain strong. The next growth will happen to $94-95k in the wave 5. Dominance can reach our final target at 66%. The further correction to 0.61 Fibonacci below $85k will cause the atlseason and after that altcoins will grow in the very short period of time with the growing Bitcoin. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
3