[LONG] BTCUSDT | BTC Going Up n Up?Welcome,
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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
BTC/USDT Analysis – Uncertainty is Growing
Hi everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached our ~$94,300 zone (abnormal cluster) and almost immediately showed a buying reaction on the 1H timeframe, but the local high wasn’t retested.
Today, Bitcoin dropped more than 2% following the release of the U.S. GDP report, briefly piercing through the mentioned zone before quickly recovering the losses.
At this point, we estimate the chances of breaking out of the current range at 50/50 — uncertainty is growing, and a stronger correction toward the $91,000 area is becoming increasingly likely, either from current levels or after another test of the recent high.
Sell zones:
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
What do you think will come first — a breakout above the high or a correction?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’ll be interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD 📊 Technical Analysis
● Price exited a 3-month descending channel and is climbing inside a new rising channel; $91 500 support keeps bulls in control.
● Price just under the $95k supply zone; a break unlocks the upper rail near GETTEX:98K and the next objective at $106k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-BTC ETFs hauled in ≈ $3.4 B last week, underscoring persistent institutional demand.
● US JOLTS openings fell to a four-year low, boosting Fed rate-cut odds and softening the USD—both tail-winds for Bitcoin.
✨ Summary
Rising-channel structure, hefty ETF inflows, and softer U.S. data favor a push above $95 K toward $98 K–106 K; bias invalidated below $91 500.
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This week, crude oil prices have consecutively closed with bearish candles and declined. On the 4-hour chart, there are four consecutive bearish candles exerting pressure. On Saturday, the OPEC+ convened a meeting ahead of schedule and confirmed the decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, which further intensifies the market's concerns about oversupply. It is recommended that for crude oil trading next Monday, short positions should be mainly taken at the resistance level during rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
buy@94500-95500
TP:97500-98500
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Bitcoin's Blueprint: Channel Breakout Sets Stage for $104K Push
Looking at the Bitcoin/TetherUS 1D chart from May 6, 2025, we're witnessing a critical technical setup that suggests significant upside potential.
The price is currently at $94,758 , having established a solid foundation after the April recovery. This technical analysis reveals a powerful bullish scenario developing:
Master Pattern: Ascending Channel Continuation
Bitcoin has formed a textbook ascending channel (yellow boundaries) since the February-April bottoming pattern. After testing the lower boundary in April at approximately $74,508, price has rebounded sharply and is now consolidating in a rectangular accumulation zone (purple box).
Key Technical Elements:
- Diagonal Support Break : Price has successfully broken above the descending trendline (gray) that had capped gains since early 2025
- Channel Position : Currently trading in the lower half of the ascending channel, suggesting significant upside room
- Volume Confirmation : The 10.61K volume with positive price action (+0.03%) indicates healthy accumulation
Projected Movement Pattern
The blue arrows map out the anticipated price movement:
1. Current consolidation within the purple box (accumulation phase)
2. Initial thrust to upper channel boundary (~$100K)
3. Minor pullback to establish higher support
4. Final push toward the target of $104k
Strategic Insight: "The Channel Magnet Effect"
Bitcoin's price action demonstrates the magnetic pull of the upper channel boundary after confirmed breaks of diagonal resistance. The purple consolidation zone serves as the launchpad for this measured move.
This pattern is particularly significant as it mirrors Bitcoin's historical tendency to build momentum through rectangular consolidations before channel expansions.
Traders should watch for a convincing break above $98,000 as confirmation of this bullish scenario, with potential for acceleration once psychological resistance at $100,000 is breached.
For risk management, the lower boundary of the purple box provides a clear invalidation point for this bullish thesis.
multiple positive factorsDriven by multiple positive factors, including institutional funds inflow, the halving cycle, and the development of the Middle East market, as well as a breakthrough in the technical aspects, Bitcoin has a relatively high probability of surging towards the $100,000 mark in May.
Trading Strategy:
buy@94500-95500
TP:97500-98500
BITCOINSeveral factors could cap Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside this month (May 2025) despite its strong momentum near $97,000:
Volume Decline and Depleting Buying Momentum
Recent trading volume has been declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Without strong volume to confirm a breakout, rallies may stall or reverse, attracting bearish activity and limiting upward moves.
Profit-Taking After Sharp Rally
After surging roughly 24% from April lows , some investors may lock in profits, creating short-term selling pressure that caps gains.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks
Mixed economic data and ongoing macro jitters-such as trade tensions and tariff uncertainties-could trigger risk-off sentiment, reducing appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin and strengthening the US dollar, which often moves inversely to BTC.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment Volatility
While institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have been strong, sudden shifts in sentiment or regulatory concerns around crypto products could cause volatility and limit sustained rallies.
Technical Indicators
Although technicals remain broadly bullish, Bitcoin must decisively break and hold above $96,230 with volume confirmation to sustain an upswing. Failure to do so could result in consolidation or pullbacks to support zones near $90,237 or lower
BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) and US Dollar (DXY) Differential: Correlation and Trends
Key Relationship: Inverse Correlation
Bitcoin has historically exhibited an inverse correlation with the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of major currencies. This relationship stems from Bitcoin’s role as a speculative, risk-sensitive asset and the dollar’s status as a safe-haven currency.
Factor Impact on BTC/USD
Stronger USD (DXY ↑) Typically bearish for Bitcoin (BTC ↓)
Weaker USD (DXY ↓) Typically bullish for Bitcoin (BTC ↑)
Fed Rate Hikes Strengthens USD, pressuring BTC
Risk-On Sentiment Weakens USD demand, supports BTC
Recent Trends in 2025
Decoupling from Historical Patterns:
Despite the DXY falling 9% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025, Bitcoin has declined 6%, diverging from its typical inverse relationship.
This anomaly reflects Bitcoin’s growing correlation with equities (e.g., Nasdaq) amid global trade war tensions and its reduced linkage to gold.
Monetary Policy Impact:
The Federal Reserve’s restrictive policy (4.50% rate) has bolstered the USD, limiting BTC’s upside despite easing trade tensions.
Bitcoin’s fixed supply and speculative nature amplify sensitivity to liquidity shifts.
Correlation Metrics:
2024 Q1: BTC/DXY correlation coefficient of -0.65, indicating a strong inverse relationship.
2025: Correlation weakened due to macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) and BTC’s shifting market role.
Critical Factors Influencing BTC/USD Dynamics
Fed Policy Signals: Delayed rate cuts (priced for June 2025) sustain USD strength, capping BTC rallies.
Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven USD demand spikes during geopolitical crises (e.g., trade wars), pressuring BTC.
Institutional Adoption: Growing BTC integration into traditional finance may reduce volatility and alter its correlation profile.
2025 Outlook
Short-Term: BTC faces headwinds from USD resilience and equity market volatility but could rebound if Fed cuts materialize.
Long-Term: Structural drivers (halving, institutional demand) may restore BTC’s inverse correlation with the USD as macro conditions stabilize.
In summary, while Bitcoin and the dollar often move inversely, 2025 has seen this relationship tested by shifting market dynamics. Traders should monitor Fed policy, risk appetite, and BTC’s evolving role in portfolios for directional cues.
BTCUSD 1H CHART PATTERNThis chart shows the BTC/USDT (Bitcoin/Tether) 1-hour time frame, and it includes a falling channel (bearish trend) highlighted in red. The price has moved consistently downward within this channel. However, a blue upward arrow suggests a potential bullish breakout
BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Watching Value Area Retest | (May 5, 202BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Watching Value Area Retest + Macro Confluence | (May 5, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
Bitcoin has been consolidating after sweeping liquidity around the $69K level. I'm currently not in a position, but closely monitoring for confirmation of direction as we approach key zones.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Neutral (waiting for confirmation)
Entry: Watching for a retest of the value area low
Stop Loss: Will be set once structure confirms
TP1/TP2: Will define after confirmation
Partial Exits: Based on price reaction at value area and confluence zones
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Lots of spot selling pressure currently—if it continues, lower prices are likely
✅ Still watching for potential bullish reversal structure for long-term upside (targeting $214K in long horizon)
✅ Correlation with S&P 500 is important here—SPX may push higher in coming weeks, especially as “sell in May” often applies to retail, while institutional flow tends to shift in June
✅ Watching the 7500 level on SPX as a possible reaction zone
❌ No confirmation yet—entering early could be risky
✅ Waiting for a clear market structure shift around value area support
4️⃣ Follow-up Note
I'll continue monitoring this setup and will post updates once we get a confirmation of direction or a structural break worth acting on.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Btcusdt Btc ranges btw a support and a resistance, a break above could lead to GETTEX:98K BTC price while a break below could lead to a GETTEX:92K btc
BTC - Wreckdown to 90.7k?Okay so as mentioned bTC tested its nPoC 95.1k and soon would come off to 90,740 as the median point where major liquidity stays, the plays are to played on the falls!
$BTC - Weekend OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 1d
We'll see how the 92–90k zone reacts this weekend, but I think the deepest this pullback might go is around 89–87k. We don't really wanna see price breaking the 86k level for a potential higher low
I’m not really expecting a push to 200k–300k in the coming weeks. We already frontran the 70k-68k area (htf demand), and I think we’re just forming a broader distribution range here. It’s possible we take out the highs and deviate up to 114–118k
Let’s see. Enjoy your weekend everyone!
DeGRAM | BTCUSD is continuing to rise📊 Technical Analysis
● Breakout above a multi-month triangle cleared the $95–98K zone. The price approached the long-term resistance line, steering price toward $108K.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Strategy bought 1,895 BTC and Semler Scientific added 167 BTC, marking a surge in corporate buying.
● Arizona passed legislation to invest up to 10% of $31.5B state assets in Bitcoin.
● New Hampshire governor signs crypto reserve bill into law.
● Metaplanet reaches 5,555 Bitcoin milestone with latest 555 BTC buy.
✨ Summary
Bullish breakout confirmed. Key levels: ~ GETTEX:92K support, ~$93–95K resistance, and $108K target. Strong institutional/state buying underpins the uptrend.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Liquidity Grab Happened, Bullish CME Got FilledBuyers showed a strong dominance during the Asian session, where we had strong candles forming, which filled the bullish CME gap and formed some sort of resistance zone.
As we had a stronger rejection near the resistance zone, now we are going to look for possible MSB in the current area, which would give us similar downward movement.
We are going to wait for MSB as long as we are below the liquidity line.
Swallow Academy
Bloody newsThe news the news the news the bloody news r behind the corner🫣
Engulfing saturday Daily @....
MARKET IS BOREDPlease call Bogdanoff ASAP, because this asshit market got bored and will be wrecked soon. Wall Street has no money to get over current resistance — this means we go back.
Way down we go.
BTCUSDT.P ~ M15 SETUP BTC LONG TRADE
SETUP :
E : 93832.8
TP : 95793.5
SL : 93171.5
TRADE BREAKDOWN :
- Extreme Aoi (area of interest tagged) sweaping all the significant liquidity at the lows,
- Entry based on ifvg while targetting untapped internal range liqudiity (irl)
- Stops below candle wick lows.
Bitcoin will continue to rise after the correction!Hello, traders
Still same senario, BTC need correction to rise more. Today btc just complete micro wave3 , 91k first target then 88k.
BTCUSDT forming a Bullish Flag patternBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, often regarded as a strong continuation setup in technical analysis. The breakout from the prior descending wedge has already provided strong bullish momentum, and now BTC is consolidating just below key resistance, signaling the next possible leg upward. With volume steadily increasing during this consolidation phase, this flag pattern holds significant potential for a breakout rally.
The price structure reflects healthy accumulation, where smart money seems to be stepping in before the anticipated surge. The flagpole leading up to the pattern shows strong bullish dominance, and the sideways flag structure suggests that Bitcoin is merely taking a breather before pushing higher. A confirmed breakout from the flag could target an upside of 20% to 30%+, aligning with the projected price move shown on the chart.
Fundamentally, Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream traction, and the broader crypto sentiment is turning positive again. The volume patterns and technical indicators reinforce the bullish outlook. Investors are showing renewed interest, especially as BTC holds above key psychological and structural levels, which adds confidence to the continuation narrative.
This setup is ideal for breakout traders and investors looking to capitalize on short to mid-term gains. If the bullish flag plays out as expected, BTC could make another significant move toward its all-time high zone.
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BTCUSDTWe broke the ascending channel downwards and retested. I expect a drop to 88765.43 levels. I will wait for the candle to close below 93514.10 below the last bottom to enter the position.
