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BTCUSDT trade ideas

BTC/USDT 4H — Pinched Below $118K into Jackson HolePrice: ~$114.7K at write-time; day range ~$114.6–117.0K. Trend: Lower highs; trading under MA “equilibrium” (~$117–118K). Key Zones: Support: $114.8K → $112K → $110–112K (reaction) → $104–102.5K → $99–101K (major). Resistance: $118K → $121K → $124–126K (major) → $129–132K. Plan: Bearish: Below $114.8K, expect $112K → $110–112K; if $110K fails, then $104–102.5K → $99–101K. Bullish: Above $118K, target $121K → $124–126K; clean break over $126K → $129–132K. Invalidation: Shorts invalid if daily close >$118K; longs invalid if $110K breaks. Flows & Catalysts: Spot BTC & ETH ETFs saw fresh outflows → mild risk-off tone. Derivatives liquidations >$200M in 24h → volatility pockets. Macro: FOMC Minutes Aug 20, Powell at Jackson Hole Aug 22, US GDP Q2 Aug 28, Core PCE Aug 29. Bias: Bearish/neutral below $117.5–118K; bullish only on decisive reclaim.
Short
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTC/USDT Analysis. Absorption of Selling Pressure Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update. As expected, yesterday Bitcoin showed an initial reaction from buyers with a local rebound. After that, the price once again tested the ~$115,000 level, where the strongest absorption of selling had previously taken place. Despite renewed activity from limit buyers, we still do not see consistent market buying. Only if the price consolidates above $116,000 can we expect an upward extension toward the next selling zone at $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes). However, even in this case, opening long positions would be impractical due to the limited potential and elevated risks. For now, it is more reasonable to wait for a confirmed reversal or a stronger presence of market buyers. Buy Zones: $115,300–$114,000 (accumulated volumes) $110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes) Sell Zones: $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes) $121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption) This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin possible distribution schematic in playAs said in the title, looking for a distribution pattern to play out in Bitcoin. Please keep in mind that this is playing out on a relative lower timeframe. So one might see this as in-between sorcery while HTF trend continues to be up. If it plays out like this, it means BTC will remain in a horizontal consolidation area allowing MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 to continue to perform. Which in turn means we might see more bullish PA on ETH and ALTS over the next 1-2 months. When BTC indeed reaches a UTAD phase, there should follow a market-wide drop for cryptocurrencies. This market-wide drop might be a steep one, dragging alts down -50% or such. But, if the HTF trend continues to be up, this might become a drop that is worth buying and leading towards a blow-off top phase towards 2026?
by Martechnic
BTC Possible Trend Shift & Short SetupWhen I saw this PA on thursday I thought: this looks like a MSB. I compared this situation with other examples that worked but wasn't convinced: - Here price went up fast for the (kind of) SFP, but it wasn't a pump ----> which was the case in the other examples - Here price fell back on decent structure (blue box) -----------------------> which wasn't the case in the other examples Falling back on decent structure meaning: the PA after MSB below the blue line that fell back on the blue box. In previous examples there was more structure above that PA then below that PA. Here, with that blue box I didn't find this to overly be the case. ------------------ Now however, with structure formed over the weekend (the PA after MSB) which price has now fallen below of + the fact that the structure I spoke about as decent support (blue box) has proven to not be support, I don't see any support left anymore and I think there is a short setup as long as we don't get any significant 15min PA (like a big engulfing candle taking out any lows). So: I'm now actively looking for the short setup. I think the most obvious spot is the marked black dashed line, however I'm also thinking about: - Is it possible for price to go up way higher, taking out my SL but still creating a LH (in prpportion to the ATH)? - Is price that weak that I shouldn't even bother waiting for my entry level but search for the entry at current PA? First point is I think invalid: as this would be illogical given my idea that there isn't any support left: if the blue box couldn't give this kind of a high LH, how could current structure provide this? Second point is hard to say. For now though I think this is a decent observation to share. Will provide updates on new thoughts / trade entries.
by EyyJasper
BTC/USDT Long Setup, 4H Bullish Divergence May Flip Daily Trend📈 BTC/USDT Long Setup, 4H Bullish Divergence May Flip Daily Trend Short-term bullish signals on the 4H chart suggest a potential trend shift on the daily. Watch key levels and volume for confirmation! Timeframe: 4H Pair: BTC/USDT Exchange: Binance Date: August 19, 2025 🧠 Trade Thesis: Bitcoin displays a bullish divergence on the 4H chart, suggesting a reversal potential, while the 1D chart hints at a bearish divergence. If the 4H momentum drives price higher with strong volume, it could turn the daily trend bullish, overriding the higher timeframe bearish signal. 🔍 Setup Details: - Bullish Divergence (4H): - Price forms lower lows. - RSI shows higher lows. - MACD flattens, nearing bullish crossover. - Volume: Stabilizes around support, with a potential surge needed for confirmation. - Structure: Price holds above trendline, 200 EMA zone near 114.5K. 📍 Trade Levels: Entry (Long): 📥 115.2K to 115.5K (breakout above resistance, pullback to 200 EMA, confirmed by a clear uptick in volume above the recent 1H average). Stop Loss: ❌ 114.2K (beneath recent 4H swing low and 200 EMA zone). Targets (Take Profit): 🎯 TP1: 117.4K (VPOC, EMA cluster — expect some resistance here). 🎯 TP2: 118.5K (prior resistance high). 🎯 TP3: 120.0K (psychological level, channel top). Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ✅ 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, depending on entry and exit. ⚠️ Invalidation: A break below 114.2K with high volume invalidates the setup, suggesting the 1D bearish divergence takes over with possible downside to 113K. If the 4H divergence fails quickly (e.g., price drops below 114.5K within 2 candles without volume confirmation), exit immediately, especially if the breakdown occurs without strong volume support as this would indicate weak bullish momentum and likely bearish continuation. 📌 Conclusion: This short-to-mid-term (1–3 day) long setup could lead a daily trend shift if price closes above 115.5K with a bullish engulfing candle or volume surge. Monitor the 116.7K to 117.7K zone for confirmation. Comment your take and follow for more setups! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves risk, please manage your capital responsibly. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #BullishDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis
Long
by BitBullMarkets
1
▒₿▒ TWIN SHOOTING STARS | WK ▒₿▒COINBASE:BTCUSD [ [ ]] Hello everyone, We identified a critical juncture for Bitcoin, marked by two consecutive weekly Shooting Star candles. The wait for confirmation is now over. The market has made its decision, and the bearish thesis we outlined has been validated. The Bearish Thesis: Confirmed and In Control The potent storm warning we identified has now made landfall. What Happened: The weekly candle closed decisively bearish, breaking below the floor of the recent consolidation range (~$115,000). This move confirms the immense selling pressure at the ~$124,000 resistance and validates the double Shooting Star pattern as a major top for the time being. What It Means: The period of indecision is over. Sellers have taken control, and Bitcoin has officially entered a corrective phase on the weekly timeframe. The Bullish Case Has Faltered The alternative scenario of a "Bullish Rectangle" or a simple healthy pause has been invalidated. The hope that buyers would absorb supply and push higher was negated by the strong weekly close to the downside. The price action has confirmed that the recent sideways movement was distribution, not accumulation. The Updated Game Plan: What to Watch Now With the breakdown confirmed, the context of our key levels has changed. They are no longer possibilities; they are now active targets and established resistance. Established Resistance: $124,000. This level is now the confirmed peak. The bulls would need to reclaim this formidable level to even begin to suggest a return to the uptrend. Broken Support / New Resistance: The previous "Indecision Zone" of $112,000 - $115,000 has now been broken. In the event of any bounce, this area is now expected to act as resistance. The Primary Target: With the initial warning sign at ~$111k triggered, the focus now shifts to the next major support zone. The logical destination for this corrective move is the previous multi-month resistance from May-July. Therefore, the primary target is $104,000 - $100,000. Bear Market Confirmation: As before, a decisive weekly close below $104,000 would break the entire macro market structure, signaling that this is more than a correction and likely the start of a longer-term bear market. The probability of the bull run being over would then become extremely high (>85%). Conclusion The time for a neutral stance is over. The technical evidence confirms that Bitcoin is in a correction with a high probability (70% likelihood) of heading towards the $104,000 support zone. The path of least resistance is now clearly to the downside. Any rally back to the $112k-$115k area is likely to be met with selling pressure. This is not financial advice (NFA). This is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR). Posted by: Kairos
Short
by CRYPTIK1
GBPCAD 1H shortLast week I spotted the GBPCAD setup, long extended candles to the upside and no significant pullback yet. RSI overbought as an extra indicator. So I started to place sell orders in total 2 sell orders, I took the trade over the weekend because the pullback didn't happened yet. But today was the day! GBP showed weakness and starting to drop. I closed the trade at 1R profit but it was nice to see that my initial target 2R and even 3R was also possible. Happy with the result!
Short
by FX-Diaries
Bitcoin 15-Minute Trade SetupAfter a sharp sell-off from the high of 124,571.2, Bitcoin has been consistently forming a series of lower lows and lower highs, indicating sustained bearish pressure. Recently, we observed a break of structure (BoS) at 116,72, followed by a corrective pullback on the 15-minute timeframe. This pullback presents a short-term trading opportunity. Entry: 115,310.9 Stop Loss (SL): 115,000 Target (1:4 RR): 116,551 Interestingly, the 116,551 level also aligns with a potential rejection zone on the 4-hour point of interest (POI), which could reinforce this setup. Trade Idea: Looking to take advantage of the pullback for a risk-defined entry with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Monitoring how price reacts around the 4H POI will be key in managing this trade.
Long
by Jimmy_Rebello
Bitcoin 4H — Decision Point @ Fib PocketWe’ve retraced deep into the 0.618–0.79 fib zone (115K–117K) after the $124K peak. This is the “make-or-break” area where BTC decides if the August rally continues or rolls over. ⸻ 🟢 Bullish Scenario — “Fib Bounce” • Trigger: 4H close above $117,150 (0.618 reclaim) with increasing volume. • Entry Idea: Long above $117K → confirmation candle close. • Stop Loss: Below $115K (invalidate fib hold). • Targets: • TP1 = $120K • TP2 = $123–124K (previous high retest) • TP3 = $128K+ if momentum extends ⸻ 🔴 Bearish Scenario — “Fib Failure” • Trigger: Breakdown and 4H close below $115K (0.79 level). • Entry Idea: Short under $115K → confirmed breakdown. • Stop Loss: Above $117K (back inside fib pocket). • Targets: • TP1 = $113K (prior swing low) • TP2 = $110K major support • TP3 = $106K if sellers dominate ⸻ ⚖️ Summary BTC is coiling at the deep retrace zone. • Above $117K = bullish continuation toward new highs. • Below $115K = bearish breakdown toward $110K. This is a react, not predict level — let price choose the side, then trade with momentum.
by mrbrights1de