BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Indicators Suggest $127,000 TargetAt the time of writing, BINANCE:BTCUSDT trades at $115,061, holding firmly above the $115,000 support. The models suggest that selling by STHs will remain limited until BTC approaches $127,000, which sits above the previous all-time high of $124,474 and marks the next major profit-taking level.
For BINANCE:BTCUSDT to reach this target, broader market support will be necessary. Geopolitical tensions remain a drag on sentiment, but renewed investor confidence could aid momentum. Reclaiming $117,261 as support and pushing to $120,000 would set the stage for a potential new all-time high in the near term.
If conditions worsen, BINANCE:BTCUSDT risks losing $115,000 support, with a possible decline to $112,526 or lower. Such a move would invalidate the bullish thesis and highlight the vulnerability of BTC to external pressures, reinforcing caution among traders while the market reassesses its trajectory.
“BTC Wave 4: The Calm Before the Final Push?”Just thought I'd throw another chart onto the fire.
BTC/USDT on the weekly is printing a textbook Elliott Wave structure, with Wave 3 likely topped near $117.5k followed by current corrective action into Wave 4. The chart shows manipulation at the highs before rejection, aligning with bearish RSI divergence that’s been building since late Wave 3.
Wave 4 retracement looks to be eyeing the 0.236–0.382 zone, with fair value gaps (FVGs) and demand clusters sitting between $109k → $95k as potential magnet levels. A deeper flush into $74k–$57k remains on the table if the broader correction expands.
The bullish case hinges on holding above $109k and resuming impulsive upside toward a potential Wave 5 extension into $123k+. Lose that 109k support, though, and the correction accelerates.
TL;DR – BTC is cooling off after Wave 3, with Wave 4 correction in play. Watch the $109k handle like it’s life support: hold it for a push to $123k, lose it and $74k re-enters the chat.
Weekly Liquidity Sweeps, Order Blocks & Fibonacci ReversalsSmart Money Playbook: Liquidity Sweeps, Order Blocks & Fibonacci Rejection in Weekly Time Frame
This chart outlines a smart money-driven scenario within an ascending channel, using Fibonacci levels and institutional order blocks as confluence zones.
Key Levels:
- Ascending Channel – Bullish short-term structure.-Buy-side Liquidity: 119,332 (potential sweep).
- Order Block: 118000 (reaction zone).
- Fibonacci Confluence:
- 0.5 at 117,625
- 0.618 at 118,960
- Sell-side Liquidity: 115,426 (downside target).
- Deep OB: 111031.8 (final liquidity draw if breakdown continues).
Trade Outlook:
- Price may first push higher to sweep 119,332, tapping into the 0.618 Fib zone + liquidity.
- Then reverse toward 115,426, targeting sell-side stops.
- A break below may lead to the 111031.8 OB, aligning with deeper liquidity and Fib levels.
BTC possible failed range breakout - Aggressive Move The BTC ATH rally began post cash close and had very thin volume on the break out before setting this range on the higher time frames. Normally, a range after ATHs are made I would be extremely bullish and I am.
Aside from the failed breakouts at the highs, the attempts paired with nuances such as the crypto week impulses, the day of signing GENIUS and new regulatory acts being drafted now, the attempts to break those ATHs were nudged off.
Sometimes come failed moves come fast moves, and so I have to be prepared that BTC will trade between these thin areas on the volume profile from 111k to 115k. 113k being the most noticeable node in the entire profile.
Similar to my analysis on the break to ATHs, I would expect this move to be aggressive and remind us of a 2020 cycle style flush in Altcoins. Kind of already seeing it with the performance of alts today preempting the failed move up on BTC at range highs.
I will NOT be shorting anything in crypto, these are just areas that I am heavily interested in buying. Currently flat perps and will wait for BTC to make its mind up.
BTCUSD Consolidating in symmetrical Triangle — Key Fib LevelsBTCUSD is moving sideways and forming an asymmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a potential breakout in either direction. Price action may first test the 120–121 zone, which aligns with the 0.618 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels from the seller side of the recent swing.
From there, the market could either resume a decline or break upward, depending on how price reacts at this critical zone. Traders should watch closely for confirmation signals before entering positions
Bitcoin's Path to a New All-Time HighIn the captivating world of cryptocurrency trading, Bitcoin has always been a cornerstone of attention. Recently, its price trajectory has offered a compelling narrative of resilience and potential growth. A detailed examination of the current Bitcoin chart, as depicted, indicates a significant trend shift that might suggest a new all-time high (ATH) by July 27th.
The chart showcases a strong upward trend after breaking through a major descending resistance line in early July. This breakout was supported by an increase in trading volume, a bullish indicator that often precedes sustained price movements. After this pivotal shift, Bitcoin has maintained a robust ascent along a rising support line, marked in red on the graph.
The focal point of this analysis lies in the highlighted circle, where Bitcoin consolidates around $72,000 after a sharp increase. This consolidation phase often serves as a springboard for further price escalation if supported by underlying market sentiment and continued investor interest.
Drawing on these observations, the trajectory extends towards a potential reach for $73,000, a figure that would mark a new ATH, by July 27th. Such a target is not only technically feasible but also aligns with market dynamics often observed in post-consolidation phases.
Investors and traders might want to keep a close eye on any changes in trading volume and watch for any signs of a price pullback to the supporting trend line, which could serve as potential buying opportunities. As always, while the signs are promising, the volatile nature of Bitcoin requires a balanced approach to risk management.
Bitcoin reached technical price target of cup and handleBearish argument:
Bitcoin has reached the technical price target of cup and handle pattern as seen on the weekly chart.
Safe entry: Need to wait for closed monthly reversal candle
Early and risky entry: Double top on the daily and weekly with daily bearish divergence and bearish engulfing candle.
Bullish case: No major volume spike and Ethereum hasn't shown a clear bearish reversal yet at the ATH level.
A high probability BUYLooking at the overall Structure which is Bullish, price has created series of accumulated liquidity forming the bases of price accumulation. With an mitigated engineer liquidity and a subsequent liquidity accumulation, price is going for a manipulation which the engineered Liquidity and then distribute. At the entry just wait for a choch or a candlestick rejection to reduce momentum and Buy.
Uncertain times for BTC. But take a chance here.www.tradingview.com
The good news is that, if we have some bullish strength, we have large 4H/1D vector candle to fill between around 119 to 122k.
However, short term max pain at every level is on the short side. If you take the short term max pain volume product, again, all favour short.
Hidden bullish divergence lost on all time frames.
117.9k short term resistance, support 116.8. If it breaks I think we head to 116,500 LQ pool and, then, long term channel support.
I would be looking to go long hard, here.
TPs - according to your risk tolerance.
SL - 114900.
I am currently in a position but won't be adding to it in this weakness.
Bitcoin Weekly Chart – Possible Scenarios into September 2025Scenario 1 – Direct Upside Move
BTC holds current mid-channel structure and builds momentum.
A push toward $134,000 comes first, driven by bullish sentiment and strong inflows.
After the rally, possible rejection sends BTC back down to retest $100,000 before any continuation.
This path suggests an earlier breakout, followed by a mid-cycle correction.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Correction Before Final Rally
BTC breaks lower within the channel, sliding toward $94,000 .
A wick to $90,500 may form, testing major horizontal support and channel base.
This coincides with the September 2025 Fed rate cuts , which could provide the macro catalyst for reversal.
From there, BTC rebounds sharply, igniting a strong year-end rally toward $134,000 .
This second scenario may align more closely with macro timing, where policy easing sparks the next leg higher.
Conclusion:
Both scenarios project $134k as the next major upside target. The path differs:
Either a direct move with a later retest of $100k (Scenario 1).
Or a final deeper flush to $90–94k before the September rate cuts, then a powerful year-end rally (Scenario 2).
Bitcoin Key Holders Turn Neutral Ahead Of Volatility ExplosionBINANCE:BTCUSDT price had shown an upward trend throughout the month, but this momentum faltered in the last 24 hours, with BTC falling to $117,305 . This decline occurred as the price slipped below the established uptrend line, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
If investors maintain their positions during the expected volatility surge, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could stabilize above $117,000. This would open the door for a potential push toward $120,000, turning it into support and allowing further upside movement.
However, if investor sentiment turns bearish and selling increases in response to volatility, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could face a significant drop . In this case, the price may fall through the $115,000 support level, potentially reaching as low as $112,526 . This would wipe out the gains seen in August, invalidating the bullish outlook.
BTCUSDT:Elliot Wave 15minAccording to the previous analysis, it is expected that Bitcoin's upward trend will occur with the formation of waves 1 and 2. Considering the market structure, the market structure must be broken and stabilized above the previous ceiling, followed by a decline towards liquidity as the second wave, after which we will expect growth.
BTC Technical Analysis – Order Block Reaction or Trend Reversal?Bitcoin has recently formed a CHOCH after a corrective move and is currently trading within the previous Order Block.
In the short term, price may push upward to test the first Order Block and retrace, or extend higher into the second Order Block, aligning with the 50% FVG level, before a potential pullback.
The broader market outlook remains bearish, targeting the predefined downside levels.
However, if Bitcoin breaks above 121,166 with a strong bullish candle, this scenario would be invalidated, and a bullish trend shift could begin.
$BTC Next Move Short position, chart is on the screen. SL and TP are set.
I’m using 15% margin for the entry.
Let’s start with Bismillah...
I see the high chart forming a bearish flag.
BTC Spot Buy Idea - Clean Execution Plan! This is the 12 hour BTC chart and Alhamdulillah BTC is moving exactly as I expected recent move was predicted if you don’t believe me check my last live YT stream.
Now for the analysis: BTC is trading in demand marked zone as long as it stays above this zone it can still pump. But if 12-hour candle closes below it then look at marked magnet zone below that is very important key zone. If that happens BTC will likely move straight to it.
I’ve been waiting for that level for a long time so watch closely 110k level is magnet level.