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BTCUSDT trade ideas

Bitcoin - Flag pattern is brokenBitcoin had been consolidating within a flag pattern for the past three months. That pattern has now officially broken to the upside, with the price surging to $109K — a strong bullish signal fueled by encouraging news around institutional adoption. Based on both the technical flag breakout and ongoing fundamental momentum, the next target for Bitcoin is $145K. Any move beyond that would be considered a bonus in this current bull cycle. Stay tuned for more updates. Cheers, GreenCrypto
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
StochRSI indicator and support and resistance levels Hello, traders. If you "follow" me, you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The StochRSI indicator on the left chart is slightly different from the StochRSI indicator on the right. The StochRSI indicator on the left chart is the StochRSI indicator provided by default in TradingView, and the StochRSI indicator on the right chart is an indicator with a modified formula. The StochRSI indicator is a leading indicator that is reflected almost in real time. Therefore, it reacts sensitively to price changes. Although it is advantageous because it reacts sensitively, it also increases the possibility of being caught in a fake, so I thought that a slight delay(?) was necessary, and so I created the StochRSI indicator on the left chart. If you look at the relationship between the K and D of the StochRSI indicators on the two charts, you can see that there is a big difference. In the end, you can predict the movement by checking whether the movement of the K line has escaped the overbought or oversold section. However, I think that you will receive information that can determine the sustainability of the trend depending on the positional relationship between K and D. Therefore, it is important to distinguish the inflection points that occur in the StochRSI indicator. This is because these inflection points provide important information for drawing trend lines. Therefore, the StochRSI indicator on the left chart, which better expresses the inflection point, is being used to draw the trend line. (Unfortunately, this indicator was not registered on TradingView because I did not explain it well.) - As a new candle was created, the StochRSI indicator on the left chart is showing an inflection point on the K line. The StochRSI indicator on the right chart is showing a transition to a state where K < D. We will have to check whether the inflection point was created only when today's candle closes, but I think that the fact that it is showing this pattern means that there is a high possibility of a change in the future trend. Since the next volatility period is expected to start around July 2nd (July 1st-3rd), I think it has started to show meaningful movements. - It is true that you want to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price. However, because of this greed, one mistake can lead to a loss that can overturn nine victories, so you should always be careful. Therefore, if possible, it is better to check for support and respond. In that sense, I think it is worth referring to the relationship between K and D of the StochRSI indicator on the left chart. This is because the actual downtrend is likely to start when K < D. - In order to check for support, you definitely need support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Ignoring this and checking for support at the drawn support and resistance points can result in not being able to apply the chart you drew to actual trading. Therefore, you should draw support and resistance points first before starting a trade. Otherwise, if you draw support and resistance points after starting a trade, you are more likely to set support and resistance points that reflect your subjective thoughts, so as I mentioned earlier, you are more likely to lose faith in the chart you drew. If this phenomenon continues, it will eventually lead to leaving the investment market. - It is important to determine whether there is support by checking the correlation between the StochRSI indicator and other indicators at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Even if the inflection point of the StochRSI indicator or other indicators occurs at a point other than the support and resistance points you drew, you should consider it as something that occurred beyond your ability to handle. In other words, you should observe the price movement but not actually trade. As I mentioned earlier, if you start to violate this, you will become less and less able to trust the chart you drew. - Accordingly, the basic trading strategy I suggest is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are expressed as average values, they may move in the opposite direction to the basic trading strategy. In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is resisted and falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downward trend, and if the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward trend. Therefore, the basic trading strategy mentioned above can be considered a trading strategy in the box section. In the case of deviating from this box section, it is highly likely to occur before and after the volatility period indicated by the relationship between the trend line using the StochRSI indicator mentioned above and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, special care is required when conducting new transactions during the volatility period. This is because there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake when trading during the volatility period. - The DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are good indicators to look at together with the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI, OBV, and MOMENTUM indicators. Therefore, the DOM(60) indicator is likely to be at the end of the high point range, and the DOM(060) indicator is likely to be at the end of the low point range. In the explanation of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, - I said that if the HA-Low indicator receives resistance and falls, there is a possibility that a stepwise downtrend will begin, - and if the HA-High indicator receives support and rises, there is a possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin. In order for an actual stepwise downtrend to begin, the price must fall below DOM(-60), and in order for a stepwise uptrend to begin, it must rise above DOM(60). In other words, the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section can be seen as support and resistance sections. - If these correlations start to appear, I think you will be able to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style without being swayed by price volatility and proceed with trading. The reason for analyzing charts is to trade. Therefore, the shorter the time for chart analysis, the better, and you should increase the start of creating a trading strategy. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Bitcoin New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section If we were to publish an update for Bitcoin, wave D could move toward higher levels. After hitting the green zone and gaining momentum, it could once again move upward to liquidate short positions. In this update, we've naturally raised and revised the invalidation level. The new targets have been marked on the chart. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
$BTC Consolidating Before the Next Big Move?CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidating after a strong bounce! Bitcoin is holding well above the 106K support zone and forming a tight range just below resistance. After a false breakout above 100K, the price is compressing just below key resistance at 108100. This consolidation between 106500 and 108100 looks like a pause, not a top. If BTC breaks 108100, the next targets are 110500 and ATH. Market structure is still bullish. A retest of 106500–105650 is possible before liftoff. Are you positioned for the breakout? If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! DYOR, NFA #BitcoinRecovery
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
Check if price can hold above M-Signal indicator on 1D chart Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I failed to register a modified indicator of StochRSI indicator on TradingView alone, so I added it to the existing OBV by readCrypto indicator. From the top of the indicator setting window to the bottom 1. OBV indicator of Low Line ~ High Line channel 2. PVT-MACD oscillator indicator 3. StochRSI indicator They are registered in the order above. Since the values ​​used are all different, you should activate and use one indicator. Please check the chart above. ------------------------------------------ (BTCUSDT 1D chart) It is showing a downward trend as it failed to rise above the HA-High indicator (108316.90) on the 1D chart. It is currently checking whether there is support near 107340.58, which is the StochRSI 50 indicator point. If it fails to receive support and falls, it is expected to fall to around 104463.99. The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point on the 1W chart. Since the StochRSI 20 indicator point is formed near the 104463.99 point, its importance can be considered high. - Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart is passing near 106133.74, there is a possibility of volatility when touching this area. Since the volatility period begins around July 2 (July 1-3), it is necessary to keep an eye on the current movement. - However, the key is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator, so the current movement may be natural. This volatility period is expected to last until around July 10 (July 9-11), so be careful when trading to avoid being fooled by fakes. ---------------------------------------- - ​​The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of transitioning to a state where K < D. - The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is showing signs of decline. - The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing signs of decline in the High Line. Therefore, if you look at the indicators, they are showing signs of decline overall. However, if the OBV rises above the High Line, the price will show signs of rise. Therefore, we need to observe the movements of the indicators while checking whether there is support at the StochRSI 50 indicator point. Basically, the time to make a purchase is when it shows support near the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low indicator. If you want to make a purchase outside of that, you should not forget that a short and quick response is required. The indicators that tell you the high point are HA-High, DOM(60) indicators. In addition, there are StochRSI 80 and StochRSI 20 indicators that require quick response. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain the details again when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
A Comprehensive Analysis !!!This market has shown disregard for technical patterns, and every time the price approaches historically significant levels, it reveals its true intentions and disappoints us. This cycle tends to repeat. In my opinion, we’re likely to see one more drop in Bitcoin’s price. After that, instead of continuing the expected downtrend from the pattern, the price could break the descending formation and experience a strong upward move. Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard.
Short
by CobraVanguard
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis. BTC remains in a retest phase after breaking out of the first descending broadening wedge. The price has returned to test the upper wedge trendline, which is now acting as support around ~$105,500. The purple 1 00-period MA (~105,570) overlaps this retest zone, adding additional confluence to the support. Ichimoku BTC is inside a green cloud, indicating indecision but not a confirmed trend reversal. The cloud provides dynamic support in the ~$104,500–105,500 area. Stay alert!
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin, The Next High Is The All-Time HighThe title might be a bit misleading but, the truth is that Bitcoin stays bullish short-term and this is bullish on all terms... Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today? Any day, any week, any moment; every month, place or year, the market provides everything we need to know. This information is made available to us through the chart. Bullish Bitcoin The present signal is the fact that Bitcoin remains very high, challenging resistance, after a strong recovery and advance. This is happening with the altcoins also. If you look at the last two peaks, as soon as resistance was hit there was an immediate crash. The next day was full red; very strong bearish action and momentum and this led to a new low. The situation is not the same today. 22-May peak. 23-May, strong bearish action. 9-June peak. 11-June, strong bearish action. 26-June lower high (not a peak). Today, neutral action. This neutral action is what I am taking as a bullish signal. Many other factors of course support this conclusion yet, this is still an early signal. Fib support A closer view of the daily timeframe: 4H. The grey line represents Fib. retracement. Dark blue—Fib. extension: Conclusion Each time there is a price peak a retrace follows, if there is no retrace then you are not witnessing a peak but rather a stop, a pause; resistance being met. It seems that the current lower high is not the end but rather just a pause before additional growth. Market conditions can change. It can happen that several days Bitcoin goes sideways with the bulls failing to garner enough strength. In this scenario, there would be a move lower before additional growth. The present scenario shows a bullish chart even if prices drop, remember, the market is in no hurry. Easy money In September we will have lower interest rates and this is a bullish development for Bitcoin. Advanced money minds see easy money as inflationary for the currency, while Bitcoin is inflation-proof. So the dollar goes down and Bitcoin goes up. I didn't quite develop this point, next time I'll do a better job. Summary The market is good even if it shakes. The market is good and isn't shaking, the recovery is already in place. Bitcoin's price is very strong and there are many layers of support. The altcoins are in a similar situation, growing from the bottom up. The Fed will reduce interest rates in September and then once more before the year ends, this is bullish for everything so, everything will be going up, at least everything that we are interested in, support and trade. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Never give up! You are divine! You are blessed. If you are reading this now, you will be blessed for your great timing. Hard work and dedication always pays. Keep moving forward, keep pushing forward, never give up. When life hits you hard, do take a break if you need it, only to comeback with new energy, a new mind and an infinite drive to achieve your goals. You are the reason why Bitcoin exist... You are the lifeblood of the market. Without you, nothing is possible. It is because of you that we all continue to grow. Thanks again for taking the time to read. I appreciate your support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
Analyzing the new month, new week, new day Hello, traders. If you "follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) A new month begins in one day. The key is whether it can hold the price by rising above 109588.0. If not, there is a possibility that it will fall below the 94172.00 StochRSI 50 indicator point that the arrow is pointing to. We need to see if it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0). Since the current low-point trend line is not complete, it is not surprising that it can show a downward trend at any time. However, if it rises above 109588.0 and maintains the price, it is expected that there will be an attempt to rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92). I think it is likely to be the last target of the target bull market in 2025. - (1W chart) It is a period of volatility around the week including June 23. That is, from June 16 to July 6 is the volatility period. The key is whether it can rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43) during this volatility period. Even if it fails to rise, if the price maintains above 104463.99, it is expected to show an upward trend around the next volatility period. The next volatility period on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of August 18. - When it falls below 104463.99, we need to check whether the HA-High indicator is newly generated. If not, it is important to check whether there is support around the current HA-High indicator point of 99705.62. Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 99705.62, its importance can be said to be high. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart. - (1D chart) The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 on the 1D chart. If it fails to rise, 1st: 104463.99 2nd: 99705.62 You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, 1st: 89294.25 2nd: M-Signal of the 1M chart There is a possibility that it will fall near the 1st and 2nd above. ----------------------------------------- (1W chart) The chart above is a trend line chart drawn on the 1W chart. It looks complicated, but what's important to look at is the correlation between the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line. That is, even if the price rises above 109.588.0, if it doesn't rise above the high-point trend line, it is likely to fall near the low-point trend line. Fortunately, since it is forming an upward channel, it is expected that the price will eventually rise even if it falls. - (1D chart) Unlike the trend line on the 1W chart, the high-point trend line on the 1D chart forms a downward trend line. Accordingly, the period around July 7, when the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line intersect, can be considered an important period of volatility. However, the volatility period starts around July 2nd and is expected to end around July 10th. ---------------------------------------------- As shown above, many lines were drawn to analyze the chart. I have roughly explained which of the lines drawn in this way should be prioritized. Since chart analysis is for creating a trading strategy, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are ultimately the most important. Therefore, it is most important to check how the support and resistance points were created and find the reason for them. Other analyses are only additional elements. As I always say, chart analysis that does not show support and resistance points is only an analysis chart that can be used for trading. You cannot trade with such analysis charts. Also, if support and resistance points are shown, you should check the basis for setting the support and resistance points. In order to serve as a support and resistance point, there must be a basis. When you cannot confirm the basis for the support and resistance point, it is important to ask questions and find out the basis. Fibonacci ratios are not suitable for actual trading. However, when the ATH or ATL is updated, it is valuable enough for analysis. Other than that, there must be support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTCUSDT Analysis – Bullish Focus Amid ConsolidationBTCUSDT Analysis – Bullish Focus Amid Consolidation Bitcoin is currently mirroring the broader market sentiment, particularly tracking the S&P 500. After a false breakout above the psychological 100K level, BTC entered a distribution phase, followed by a consolidation range. This indicates a potential accumulation before a bullish continuation, although resistance levels remain key hurdles. False Breakout at 100K: A failed breakout attempt triggered a sharp reversal, signalling short-term weakness. Price rolled back and found temporary support around 106,200, pausing further downside The pair is consolidating within a tight range, indicating a possible setup for a renewed bullish push. Outlook: Despite the resistance cascade, BTC remains in a bullish structural zone as long as it holds above 106,000. A clean breakout above 108,500–110,000 could open the path back toward 114,000–117,000. However, failure to break may result in a deeper pullback towards 104,000–102,500. Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks for supporting.
Long
by MrMartin_11
BITCOIN PRICEACTION TRADING STRATEGIESBitcoin’s price is influenced by macroeconomic factors, including U.S. inflation trends and institutional adoption (e.g., Bitcoin ETFs with $138B in assets). Its volatility remains high, with 10% daily moves possible, driven by 24/7 trading and sentiment shifts. Recent recovery from a dip below $102,000 was tied to geopolitical tensions, but macro signals suggest a risk-on environment supporting further gains. Outlook: Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, with technical indicators leaning bullish but resistance at $108,000 posing a challenge. A decisive breakout above $108,950 could signal a move toward $111,000-$115,000, failure to hold this level will retest 100k$ level or below.and below 100k could turn bearish .
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis Market Structure & Trend Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel). Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone. Key Technical Zones 1. Supply Zone Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply. Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range. 2. Demand Zone Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength. Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels 1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with: Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib). Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails. A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond. Psychological Levels 105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions. 100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails. Volume Profile High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance. Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range. Scenarios & Trade Ideas Bullish Scenario If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF: Potential Long to local resistance. On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level. Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet. Bearish Scenario If price fails to hold the demand zone: Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level. If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below. Conclusion Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation: Above demand = bullish recovery setup. Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG. Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
by King_BennyBag
10
BTC/USDT Trade Setup – Lord MEDZStrategy: Goldbach Fair Value Gap + Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Timeframe: 6H Bias: Long Trade Parameters Entry: 102,577 Stop Loss: 99,527 Take Profit: 118,153 Risk to Reward: Approximately 5:1 Confluences and Justification Price is expected to retrace into a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed after displacement, aligning with the Goldbach model. The structure confirms a completed reaccumulation phase, presenting a high-probability long setup. This would complete the right shoulder of the classic inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the shoulder projected to dip into the POI. Head and shoulders patterns are often manifestations of Wyckoff accumulation or distribution phases, for those who may not be aware. Liquidity left inside the gap provides inducement, increasing the likelihood of a sweep into the 102.5K zone. The take-profit target at 118,153 aligns with the high of the Goldbach Fibonacci extension level. Execution Plan Wait for price to return to the FVG zone around 102,577. Look for confirmation such as a bullish displacement candle, a lower time frame BOS (break of structure), or mitigation of a lower time frame order block. Upon confirmation, execute long with a stop below 99,527. Take profit is set at 118,153. Final Note from Lord MEDZ "I await the return of price to imbalance. The reaccumulation is complete, and the alignment is clear. Entry shall be taken where inefficiency remains, and profit shall be claimed where liquidity awaits."
Long
by Skinwah
Bitcoin may reach resistance level and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Previously, the price was trading inside a well-defined downward channel, repeatedly rebounding from both the support and resistance lines. Each upward move got rejected within the seller zone, especially around the 108500 - 109200 range, which acted as a strong barrier multiple times. Later, BTC dropped to the buyer zone near 102700 - 102000, and from there, we saw a strong impulse up. This impulse broke through the channel resistance line and the support area, indicating a short-term bullish breakout. At the moment, the price is approaching the resistance level at 108500, which previously served as a turning point. Given that this area also aligns with the upper boundary of the seller zone, I believe we may see another reversal from this level. In my opinion, after reaching resistance, BTC may start a new downward wave, targeting the 102700 support level. This is where I’ve set my TP 1. Considering the recent breakout, the historical significance of the resistance, and the strong reaction from seller zones, I remain bearish in the short term and expect a potential decline toward support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
21
BTC Breakdown Escalates Bearish MomentumBitcoin has officially broken below the critical 104K support level, invalidating the recent short-term bullish structure. The price action reflects a clear shift in market sentiment, confirmed by the bearish EMA/SMA crossover and a firm rejection from the strong supply zone between 110K–111.8K. This rejection formed a clean lower high around 110K, followed by a decisive drop below the weak supply area and failure to hold 104K a key level previously acting as a demand floor. The current structure now favors downside continuation, with the 98K zone as immediate focus. If bearish momentum persists, attention will shift toward the Weak Potential Reversal Zone and eventually the Recommended Buy Back Zone around the 84K–86K area. This zone aligns with a historical support range and may offer high-probability entries for medium-term accumulation. Until price reclaims the 104K–105.5K region, rallies are likely to be sold off within the supply zones. Short-term traders may look to trade the breakdown toward the highlighted support levels, while long-term investors should monitor price reaction within the buyback region.
Short
by weslad
5
Bitcoin will Bearish conformed Structureon Thursday Bitcoin Price briefly reclaimed at 110K this morning as macro tailwinds and institutional flows lifted crypto but analysis say clear catalyst is still needed to break all time high after the long impulsive rally earlier in the year. BTC has been trading with in descending channel on the daily time frame looking after the Long time price will needs break and catch there Support 105K Level if the price stays below more then could next zone formed 102K You may find more details in the chart i need support from you Guys And feel free to share your thoughts other views in the comments.
Short
by MrMartin_11
Example of how to draw a trend line using the StochRSI indicator Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- We use the StochRSI indicator to draw a trend line. We draw a trend line by connecting the peaks of the StochRSI indicator, i.e. the K line, when they are created in the overbought area or when they are created in the overbought area. That is, when the K line of the StochRSI indicator forms a peak in the overbought area, the trend line is drawn by connecting the Open values ​​of the falling candles. If the candle corresponding to the peak of the StochRSI indicator is a rising candle, move to the right and use the Open value of the first falling candle. When drawing the first trend line, draw it from the latest candle. Since the third trend line indicates a new trend, do not draw anything after the third trend line. The currently drawn trend line corresponds to the high-point trend line. - Therefore, you should also draw the low-point trend line. The low-point trend line is drawn by connecting the K line of the StochRSI indicator when the top is formed in the oversold zone. The low-point trend line uses the low value of the candle when the K line of the StochRSI indicator forms the top in the oversold zone. That is, it doesn't matter whether the candle is a bearish candle or a bullish candle. The drawing method is the same as when drawing the high-point trend line, drawing from the latest candle. The top of the best K line of the StochRSI indicator was not formed within the oversold zone. (The top is indicated by the section marked with a circle.) Since the trend line was not formed, the principle is not to draw it. If you want to draw it and see it, it is better to display it differently from the existing trend line so that it is intuitively different from the existing trend line. - The chart below is a chart that displays the trend line drawn separately above as a whole. It is also good to distinguish which trend line it is by changing the color of the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line. The chart below is a chart that distinguishes the high-point trend line in blue (#5b9cf6) and the low-point trend line in light green (#00ff00). The low-point trend line is a line drawn when the trend has changed, so it does not have much meaning, but it still provides good information for calculating the volatility period. - To calculate the volatility period, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required. However, since I am currently explaining how to draw a trend line, it is only drawn on the 1M chart. - I use the indicators used in my chart to indicate support and resistance points. That is, I use the DOM(60), DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and OBV indicators to indicate support and resistance points. Since the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators are not displayed on the 1M chart, I have shown the 1W chart as an example. The indicators displayed up to the current candle correspond to the main support and resistance points. Although it is not displayed up to the current candle, the point where the horizontal line is long is drawn as the sub-support and resistance point. It is recommended to mark them separately to distinguish the main support and resistance point and the sub-support and resistance point. The trend line drawn in this way and the support and resistance points are correlated on the 1D chart and the volatility period is calculated. (For example, it was drawn on the 1M chart.) The sections marked as circles are the points that serve as the basis for calculating the volatility period. That is, - The point where multiple trend lines intersect - The point where the trend line and the support and resistance points intersect Select the point that satisfies the above cases at the same time to display the volatility period. When the point of calculating the volatility period is ambiguous, move to the left and select the first candle. This is because it is meaningless to display it after the volatility period has passed. If possible, the more points that are satisfied at the same time, the stronger the volatility period. If the K-line peak of the StochRSI indicator is formed outside the overbought or oversold zone, it is better to exclude it when calculating the volatility period. - The chart below is a chart drawn on a 1D chart by summarizing the above contents. The reason why there are so many lines is because of this reason. For those who are not familiar with my charts, I have been simplifying the charts as much as possible these days. However, when explaining, I have shown all the indicators to help you understand the explanation. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Analysis UpdateBTC is currently holding above the key resistance-turned-support zone of $106,057, after a clean breakout from the symmetrical triangle last week. Price is consolidating just below $107,000, signaling a potential pause or minor pullback before the next leg. Technical Overview: Trendline support from May is intact $106K zone flipped into support — critical for bulls to hold Price action is compressing under resistance at $107,000 Holding here may lead to a retest of $108,895, then $111,785 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $106,057 – Immediate support $101,409 – Mid-range demand zone $98,898 – Rising trendline $93,343 – Strong base zone Resistance: $107,000 – Minor resistance $108,895 – Major resistance $111,785 – Upper breakout target Outlook: Bulls need to defend the $106K zone to maintain momentum. Failure to do so could cause the price to pull back toward $101K. On the flip side, strong volume above $108900 may trigger a rally toward $111K+. DYOR | Not Financial Advice
by ScramblerG
Understanding SFP In Trading1. What is a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)? A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) occurs when the price temporarily breaks a key swing high or low but fails to continue in that direction, leading to a sharp reversal. This pattern is often driven by liquidity grabs, where price manipulates traders into taking positions before reversing against them. An SFP typically consists of: A false breakout beyond a previous swing high/low. A sharp rejection back within the prior range. A liquidity grab, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a reversal. SFPs provide powerful trade opportunities, signaling potential reversals and the exhaustion of trends. 2. Understanding Liquidity Grabs & Stop Hunts The financial markets are structured around liquidity. Large institutions and algorithmic traders require liquidity to execute their large orders efficiently. One way they achieve this is by triggering liquidity grabs and stop hunts. Liquidity Grab: Occurs when price moves beyond a key level (e.g., swing high/low), activating orders from breakout traders and stop-losses of trapped traders. Smart money absorbs this liquidity before pushing the price in the opposite direction. Stop Hunt: A deliberate price movement designed to trigger stop-loss orders of retail traders before reversing. Often seen near major support and resistance levels. These events are crucial for understanding SFPs because they explain why false breakouts occur before significant reversals. 3. Why Smart Money Uses SFPs Institutions, market makers, and algorithmic traders use SFPs to: Fill large orders: By grabbing liquidity at key levels, they ensure they can enter large positions without causing excessive price slippage. Manipulate retail traders: Many retail traders place stop-losses at obvious swing points. Smart money exploits this by pushing the price beyond these levels before reversing. Create optimal trade entries: SFPs often align with high-probability reversal zones, allowing smart money to enter positions at better prices. Understanding how institutions operate gives traders an edge in identifying manipulative moves before major price reversals. 4. Market Structure & SFPs Market structure is built upon a series of swing highs and swing lows. Identifying these key points is crucial because they represent areas where liquidity accumulates and where price is likely to react. Swing High (SH): A peak where price makes a temporary high before reversing downward. Swing Low (SL): A trough where price makes a temporary low before reversing upward. Types of Swing Points in Market Structure Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL) – Bullish Trend Lower Highs (LH) & Lower Lows (LL) – Bearish Trend Equal Highs & Equal Lows – Range-Bound Market 5. Liquidity Pools: Where Traders Get Trapped Liquidity pools refer to areas where traders' stop-loss orders, pending orders, and breakout entries accumulate. Smart money uses these liquidity zones to execute large orders. Common Liquidity Pool Zones: Above swing highs: Retail traders place breakout buy orders and stop-losses here. Below swing lows: Stop-losses of long positions and breakout sell orders accumulate. Trendline & Range Liquidity: Multiple touches of a trendline encourage traders to enter positions based on trendline support/resistance. Smart money may engineer a fake breakout before reversing price. 6. Identifying Bullish SFPs SFPs can occur in both bullish and bearish market conditions. The key is to identify when a liquidity grab has occurred and whether the rejection is strong enough to confirm a reversal. Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure in a Downtrend) Price sweeps a key low, triggering stop-losses of long traders. A strong rejection wick forms, pushing price back above the previous low. A shift in order flow (bullish market structure) confirms a potential reversal. Traders look for bullish confirmation, such as a higher low forming after the SFP. Best bullish SFP setups occur: At strong support levels Below previous swing lows with high liquidity After a liquidity grab with momentum confirmation 7. Identifying Bearish SFPs Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure in an Uptrend) Price takes out a key high, triggering stop-losses of short traders. A sharp rejection forms, pushing the price back below the previous high. A bearish shift in order flow confirms downside continuation. Traders look for bearish confirmation, such as a lower high forming after the SFP. Best bearish SFP setups occur: At strong resistance levels Above previous swing highs where liquidity is concentrated With clear rejection wicks and momentum shift 8. How SFPs Signal Reversals SFPs provide early warning signs of trend reversals because they expose areas where liquidity has been exhausted. Once liquidity is taken and the price fails to continue in that direction, it often results in a strong reversal. Key Signs of a Strong SFP Reversal Long wick rejection (indicating absorption of liquidity). Close back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout). Increased volume on the rejection candle (confirming institutional activity). Break of short-term market structure (trend shifting). Divergences with indicators (e.g., RSI divergence at the SFP). 9. Identifying High-Probability SFPs One of the most critical aspects of a valid SFP is how the price reacts after a liquidity grab. The candle’s wick and close determine whether an SFP is strong or weak. A. Wick Rejections & Candle Closes Key Features of a Strong SFP Wick Rejection Long wick beyond a key swing high/low (indicating a liquidity grab). Candle closes back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout). Engulfing or pin bar-like structure (showing aggressive rejection). Minimal body size relative to wick length (e.g., wick is 2–3x the body). Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure) Price sweeps below a key low, triggering stop-losses of buyers. A long wick forms below the low, but the candle closes back above the level. This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected lower prices. Best bullish SFPs occur at major support zones, previous swing lows, or untested demand areas. Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure) Price sweeps above a key high, triggering stop-losses of short sellers. A long wick forms above the high, but the candle closes back inside the range. This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected higher prices. Best bearish SFPs occur at resistance levels, previous swing highs, or untested supply areas. ❌ Weak SFPs (Avoid These) ❌ Wick is too small, meaning the liquidity grab wasn’t significant. ❌ Candle closes above the swing high (for a bearish SFP) or below the swing low (for a bullish SFP). ❌ Lack of strong momentum after rejection. B. Volume Confirmation in SFPs Volume plays a crucial role in validating an SFP. Institutional traders execute large orders during liquidity grabs, which often results in spikes in trading volume. How to Use Volume for SFP Confirmation High volume on the rejection wick → Indicates smart money absorption. Low volume on the breakout move → Suggests a lack of real buying/selling pressure. Increasing volume after rejection → Confirms a strong reversal. Spotting Fake SFPs Using Volume If volume is high on the breakout but low on the rejection wick, the move may continue trending rather than reversing. If volume remains low overall, it suggests weak market participation and a higher chance of chop or consolidation instead of a clean reversal. Best tools for volume analysis: Volume Profile (VPVR) Relative Volume (RVOL) Footprint Charts 10. Key Takeaways SFPs are Liquidity Grabs – Price temporarily breaks a key high/low, triggers stop losses, and then reverses, signaling smart money absorption. Wick Rejection & Close Matter – A strong SFP has a long wick beyond a swing point but closes back inside the range, invalidating the breakout. Volume Confirms Validity – High volume on rejection wicks indicates smart money involvement, while low-volume breakouts often fail. Higher Timeframes = Stronger SFPs – 1H, 4H, and Daily SFPs are more reliable than lower timeframe setups, reducing false signals. Confluence Increases Probability – SFPs are most effective when aligned with order blocks, imbalances (FVGs), and major liquidity zones. Optimal Entry Methods Vary – Aggressive entries capitalize on immediate rejection, while confirmation and retracement entries improve accuracy. Proper Stop Loss Placement Prevents Fakeouts – Placing SL just beyond the rejection wick or using structure-based stops reduces premature exits. Take Profit at Key Liquidity Levels – Secure profits at previous swing highs/lows, order blocks, or imbalance zones to maximize returns.
Education
by CandelaCharts