BTCUST.P trade ideas
2 Scenarios for BTCNow that the cup and handle formation has been reached and the correction finished, I think we have 1 more leg up.
It's also possible that we fall from here, but I think another fakeout upwards is likely as bearish divergence forms on the month, but isn't quite there yet (RSI needs 1 more higher high to confirm bearish divergence)
Either way, my short targets are the 0.618 fibs. I am expecting the typical -70-75% crash by 2027 before the next cycle begins
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. We have finished the pink X wave directly, then we have gone to the final pink Y wave, which consists of wxy in orange counting. Now we are moving into the final Orange Y wave.
>> our confirmations:
* 4Hr TF: Breaking 118990 for the next hours, we will end the whole Yellow B "correction" wave successfully. .
Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
HOW TO Spot Liquidity-Driven Reversals & Market TrapsAdaptive Liquidity Pulse
🎯 Spot Liquidity-Driven Reversals & Market Traps
The Adaptive Liquidity Pulse is designed to help traders detect high-volume rejections and absorptions, revealing where big players are likely defending or accumulating positions. This indicator is especially useful for spotting market traps, liquidity sweeps, and swing reversals.
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🧠 How It Works
1. Dynamic Liquidity Zones
• Red Band (High EMA) → Potential supply/rejection zone
• Blue Band (Mid EMA) → Equilibrium / magnet zone
• Green Band (Low EMA) → Potential demand/absorption zone
2. Signal Labels
• 🔴 Rejection → Price spikes into high liquidity with volume → Bearish bias
• 🟢 Absorption → Price flushes into low liquidity with volume → Bullish bias
3. Volume-Weighted Detection
• Only triggers signals when volume exceeds a configurable threshold
• Filters out weak moves, highlighting true liquidity events
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📊 Best Use Cases
• Scalping & Intraday Trading: Identify early reversal points
• Swing Trading: Track absorption/rejection cycles to time entries/exits
• Liquidity Sweep Detection: Spot where false breakouts occur with volume confirmation
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⚡ Trading Tips
• Use Rejection (Red) for short entries or take-profits near highs
• Use Absorption (Green) for long entries or short exits near lows
• Combine with support/resistance zones or trend structure for higher accuracy
• Midline (Blue) often acts as a mean-reversion magnet in ranging markets
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📢 Alerts
• 🔴 Rejection Alert → Strong selling pressure at liquidity zone
• 🟢 Absorption Alert → Heavy buying at demand zone
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🧠 Why Traders Love It
• ✅ Visualizes hidden liquidity interactions
• ✅ Highlights trap zones before reversals occur
• ✅ Works across crypto, indices, forex, and commodities
• ✅ Designed for confluence with other strategies
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This script gives you a real-time pulse of liquidity shifts, allowing you to trade like institutions and avoid falling into retail traps.
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BitcoinBitcoin/TetherUS (BTC/USDT) Trading Analysis - Jul 15, 2025
Key Observations:
Price Movement:
Current Price: $117,692.46
24h Change: -2,148.72 (-1.79%)
Range: Low of $116,250.00 to High of $119,940.83
The price is currently near the lower end of the day's range, indicating bearish pressure.
Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
Strong Support: $112,000.00 (marked as S/L)
Intermediate Support: $113,500.00 and $110,000.00
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $119,900.00
Higher Resistance: $120,000.00 and $122,500.00
Profit Levels:
The "Profit" section lists potential take-profit targets, with the highest at $135,000.00.
The price has recently dipped below the $120,000.00 psychological level, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Trend Context:
The chart spans from June to September, but the current price action (July) shows consolidation after a potential pullback from higher levels.
The presence of multiple support levels ($112K–$116K) suggests a critical zone for buyers to defend.
Actionable Insights:
Bearish Short-Term: The price is below key levels ($119,900–$120,000) and has broken below $118,250.00. A retest of support at $112,000.00 is plausible.
Bullish Reversal Signal: If BTC holds above $112,000.00 and reclaims $120,000.00, it could target $122,500.00 or higher.
Risk Management: A break below $112,000.00 (S/L) may trigger further downside toward $110,000.00 or lower.
Conclusion:
The market is currently in a corrective phase. Traders should monitor the $112,000.00 support for potential reversals or breakdowns. A close above $120,000.00 would shift bias to bullish.
BTC CAN HIT 125K AFTER SHORT CORRECTIONHello friends, Bitcoin has made an incredible climb, carefully looking at the chart and also based on Elliott wave theory, it is clear that Bitcoin is completing submicro wave 4 of micro wave 5, wave 4 is usually an extended wave that covers a large time period with up and down fluctuations, I think the end of submicro wave 4 will be in the 110k-112k range in the four-hour timeframe. I think Bitcoin will break the 25k range in the coming days.
3 Bitcoin Tops, Weak Green Candles, and What’s Next? If you're closely monitoring the Bitcoin (BTC) market, patterns often begin to reveal themselves in surprising ways. In the attached chart, I’ve highlighted three major local tops that Bitcoin has made, each marked by a weak green daily candle. What’s even more striking is what comes next: a dramatic increase in trading volume, followed by steep corrections.
Spotting the Pattern: Weak Green, Heavy Volume
At each pointed top (see red arrows), BTC formed an all-time high (ATH) with a relatively weak green candle, hardly the sign of euphoric buying strength.
Look closely at the volume bars below (blue arrows). Each time, as price struggled to push higher, volume surged after the top, often a signal of major sellers stepping in or longs closing en masse.
What followed? Significant corrections: -13.6%, -29.2%, and, now it might be shaping up for another potential drop (-24.1%) if history rhymes.
Why Does This Matter?
From a technical analysis perspective, volume is the fuel behind price moves. When a new high is reached with limp buying (weak green candles) but is swiftly met with rising volume on the way down, it’s a classic sign of distribution, a strong hand selling into retail euphoria.
Is Another Drop Coming?
Given the consistency in behavior, it’s not unreasonable to ask: are we about to witness another similar correction now that BTC has again hit a top with a weak green candle and volume is ticking up? The historical evidence certainly makes it plausible.
Long-Term Perspective: Still Bullish
Despite these corrections, my long-term outlook remains bullish. Every cycle has corrections, they’re opportunities for healthy consolidation, allowing strong hands to accumulate and the market to reset for its next leg higher.
*not investment advice
#crypto #btc #bitcoin #finance #trading
BTC Trade Plan: Watching for Break and Retest Above Daily Range🟠 Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading range-bound on the daily timeframe ⏳📉📈. I’m monitoring price action for a bullish break and retest 🔓🔁 of the current range to confirm a potential long entry 🎯.
📍 Key levels are already marked on the chart 🗺️—
🛑 Stop-loss would sit just below the previous swing low,
🎯 Target aligns with the higher price zone marked out to the left of the chart 🔼👈.
This is a classic range breakout setup—patience and precision are key.
🧠 As always, this is not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Testing Strong Support
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst.
Yesterday, we tested the local support zones previously marked and moved into a decline. At 21:00 (GMT+3), the U.S. Federal Reserve released its monetary policy statement, which included hawkish comments regarding inflation risks. The interest rate remained unchanged. The market reacted negatively to this news, and Bitcoin accelerated its drop.
At one point, a key buyer zone at $116,200–$115,000 (volume anomalies) was tested. Then, between 21:30 and 22:00 (GMT+3), a report from the White House on digital assets was released, shifting focus toward a more positive regulatory outlook. Bitcoin bounced from the mentioned zone and has since fully recovered the drop.
Currently, there are no immediate resistance levels, so in the near term, we’re likely to see a test of the ~$120,000 level. There, it's important to watch for any signs of selling pressure.
Buy Zones:
• $116,200–$115,000 (volume anomalies)
• $110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
BTC Moon Phase, Dominance % and BBWP resolutionBTC, D. Moon Phase. I see bearish scenario for the next days, until 4-5th of August. After reviewing Moon Phase chart for last year+, I see same scenario is happening most of the times. During the First Quarter ( Aug. 1) of the phase, price is dropping and start to recover about 4-5 days prior Full Moon. This is exactly when energy of the Full Moon starting to amplify. Current BBWP is contracted for 8 days, making the next move very rapid, I would not set any long/short trades, untill the volume start to expand. Its the mid summer - always slow and August is the month it start to accelerate towards the Fall, with all financial/political tricks happening in September and later in Q4. We already had one bear trap fakeout, but price didnt anticipate to go higher and got rejected by falling wedge upper like ( or bull flag, in this case).I would expect that high volume green candle will be either fully recovered to $110-111K , or 75% recovery, where the CME gap is $113500 - 1-2% lower, making it $113,000. The cascade liquidation will happen very fast, I expect the whole move down and up will take around 24 hours, with the bottom time 5-15 minutes. Need to be ready, that all alts will crash as well, Im expecting BTC %dominance to bounce here , after 8.4% drop to weekly 50EMA. I would like to see BTC, D% at 70% by Christmas and new ATH, what ever it is 160K or 200K what ever it is, for bitcoin to make ATH, it must grab dominance.
Bitcoin (BTC): Failed Dump | Buyers Still in Control Bitcoin recently had another wave of selling, where buyers once again showed their dominance near the local $116K zone and pushed the price of BTC back up.
We remain bullish, as we see the buyside dominance above the 116K area, so our target is still the current ATH; let's see.
Swallow Academy
Accumulate waiting for btc price increase💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – End of July (31/07)
📊 BTC Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe – End of July)
✅ Positive Signals:
• BTC has broken out of the consolidation triangle pattern (blue diagonal line), indicating a potential strong uptrend.
• The current price is retesting the breakout support zone around 117,800–118,000 → showing a good reaction and creating upward momentum.
• MA50 and MA200 are starting to slope upwards → confirming increasing buying strength.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
• If BTC holds above 118,000, it is likely to move toward the nearest resistance zone at 119,900.
• After breaking 119,900, the next targets are:
→ 122,792 (Fibonacci 1.618)
→ Further target: 127,900 (Fibonacci 2.618)
🛑 Risk Note:
• If the price drops below 117,000, it’s important to monitor again, as it may retest a deeper support zone around 114,500.
#BTC Update #12 – July 31, 2025#BTC Update #12 – July 31, 2025
Bitcoin is currently at the upper boundary of the channel it has been following. It may experience a pullback from this upper boundary. This pullback is estimated to reach the $116,800 level. If it wants to go lower, it could drop as far as the $114,500 level.
There is a significant amount of liquidity between $121,000 and $117,000. Bitcoin may also try to sweep this area. However, despite 4 or 5 attempts, it still hasn’t managed to break above the upper resistance zone. Therefore, a pullback should always be taken into account.
Overall, Bitcoin is still in a correction within a correction. That means no impulsive move has occurred yet. It’s not at a suitable point for either long or short positions. You may choose to trade within this range, but keep in mind that it's quite risky.
BTCUSDT – Diametric G-Leg Underway?⏱ Timeframe: 4H / 1H
🔍 Method: NeoWave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
📍Posted by: CryptoPilot
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🧠 NeoWave Progression Update
As outlined in our previous analysis, we are tracking a potential Contracting Diametric structure (A–G) originating from the March 2025 highs.
🚨 The G-Leg may now be actively unfolding.
Here’s what just happened:
• Price rejected sharply from the supply zone near 119,000–119,500, exactly where Wave F was expected to end.
• After a drop to 115,780 (minor trendline), price bounced, but failed to make a new high, stalling at 118,700, forming a lower high → classic signature of a developing G-Leg.
• This G-wave likely aims to break below Wave E low, seeking imbalance fills and structural resets.
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📊 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT)
• 🟥 Bearish Market Structure confirmed via MSS on 1H: Lower Highs + Internal BOS
• 🟨 Buy-side Liquidity above 120k was already swept
• 🔻 Price failed to reclaim OB block around 119.5k
• 🧩 FVGs remain open between 114.5k–113k, acting as magnet zones
• 📉 Expectation: Price may now break the ascending minor trendline and accelerate toward the major structure low
📌 Primary Scenario:
• Wave G of Diametric in motion
• Potential structure: Zigzag or Complex Combination
• Expectation: Bearish continuation to break below 113k
📌 Alternative Scenario:
• If price closes above 120.5k, diametric structure may be invalidated
• Watch for triangle/flat development instead
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⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Price action near 118.7k–119.5k is crucial. Reclaiming that zone with strength changes the bias. Until then, sellers remain in control.
💬 Final Thought:
We’re tracking the final stages of a multi-month complex correction. The rejection at supply, combined with SMC signals and NeoWave symmetry, suggests sellers may push price into deeper demand zones soon.
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📌 Follow CryptoPilot for advanced wave structure updates, market geometry insights, and ICT-style smart money traps.
💬 Share your views or alternate wave counts in the comments!
Bullish Flag Forming on BTCUSDT – Is the Next Big Move Coming?🧠 Complete and Insightful Technical Analysis:
The 12H BTCUSDT chart is currently showcasing a textbook Bullish Flag pattern, a powerful continuation structure that often precedes major upward moves.
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🏗️ Pattern Breakdown: Bullish Flag
1. Flagpole:
The sharp breakout from around $107,000 to $123,000 marks the impulsive rally — this is the flagpole, created by strong bullish momentum.
Represents the "lift-off" phase where buyers dominate the market.
2. Flag (Consolidation Phase):
After the strong rally, price consolidates inside a downward-sloping parallel channel, forming the flag.
This pullback is healthy, characterized by declining volume, a key feature of the Bullish Flag.
Indicates temporary profit-taking before continuation.
3. Confirmation:
A breakout above the flag's upper boundary (around $123,000 – $124,000) with strong volume would confirm the pattern.
Breakout traders often use this as a high-probability entry.
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📈 Bullish Scenario (High Probability):
If BTC breaks above the flag structure:
🎯 Measured Move Target (Based on Flagpole Height):
$123,000 + ($123,000 - $107,000) = $139,000
🚀 Potential for further upside if macro conditions and sentiment support the move, possibly reaching $135,000+ in the medium term.
Confirmation Required: A strong candle close above $123,500 with volume spike.
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📉 Bearish Scenario (If Breakdown Occurs):
If BTC breaks down below the flag (~$117,000):
Retracement likely toward previous breakout zones at $112,000 – $109,000
Such a breakdown could turn the current structure into a fakeout or bear trap
However, this zone may present a strong re-entry opportunity for long-term bulls.
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📚 Educational Insight for Traders:
Bullish Flags often appear during strong uptrends, acting as a pause before the next leg up.
A healthy pattern shows shrinking volume during the flag and rising volume at breakout.
Traders should monitor key horizontal resistance and volume behavior for confirmation.
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🧭 Conclusion:
BTCUSDT is at a critical technical juncture. The formation of a clean Bullish Flag suggests the potential for a major continuation rally. Confirmation through a breakout is key — this is the time to prepare, not react.
#BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #BullishFlag #BTCBreakout #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #BTCAnalysis #BitcoinPattern #CryptoEducation #BTCFlag #ContinuationPattern