BTCUST trade ideas
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, for bitcoin, we got an exit from the sideways trend in the upward direction, but the growth wasn’t significantly confirmed by volumes. The price reached the key resistance zone of $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes), from which we received a reaction.
Currently, BTC has adjusted to the buy zone of $95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes), the buyer's reaction is present.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
There is a high probability of a test of lower levels this week. This scenario is confirmed by the following factors:
• a steady delta advantage in the direction of sales, which prevents the development of a full-fledged upward movement;
• rather weak trading volumes;
• the wave structure, which has already called into question the current exit from the sideways trend, the price has returned to its framework.
We consider the development of the correction through one of the marked scenarios on the chart.
Sell Zones:
$96,100–$96,600 (local volume area)
Level $98,000
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume area)
Level $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
On macroeconomic developments this week:
• Monday, May 5, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for April;
• Monday, May 5, 14:00 (UTC) — ISM Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector of the United States for April;
• Wednesday, May 7, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the FOMC statement and the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, May 7, 18:30 (UTC) — FOMC press conference;
• Thursday, May 8, 11:00 (UTC) - announcement of the interest rate decision The Bank of England in May;
• Thursday, May 8, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the inflation letter from the Bank of England;
• Thursday, May 8, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin soon again 100K$(any breakout there can cause huge pump)As we can see technically we have last and major resistance zone ahead which is 100K$ resistance zone and also red trendline sell pressure is exactly there But we can also expect breakout to the upside and more pump in next weeks and even new possible ATH at least near 120K$.
Notice: 100K$ is now major resistance and we may have short-term fall or range near this resistances zone but soon or late the breakout with pump is coming.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Bitcoin Intra-day Long Setup
We’re seeing a potential long setup form on the lower time frame. Price action recently faced a clean rejection at the channel resistance and is now making its way down toward a critical support zone.
Price is approaching the value area low, which lines up perfectly with the point of control (POC) and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement — a strong confluence zone.
If this area holds and shows a bullish reaction, we could see a reversal play out, potentially pushing price back toward the range highs and filling the recent liquidity gap.
However, if the POC is lost, it increases the chances of a full rotation down toward the value area low of the range, so risk management is essential.
BITCOIN - Price can exit from wedge and rose to $102K pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, the price declined to $81600 level, after which it bounced and rose to $88500 points and then started to fall.
Also price entered to wedge pattern, where it fell to support line, breaking support level, but soon turned around and bounced up.
Price broke $81600 level again and continued to grow next, but later it corrected to support line.
Then, BTC rose from this line to $93000 level, broke it, and reached resistance line of wedge, after which corrected.
After correction, BTC fell to $93000 level and then rose back to resistance line of wedge, where it trades close.
In my mind, price can correct to support line and then bounce up to $102000 points, exiting from a wedge.
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BTC - Is this rally sustainable and what to expect?In the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced an impressive surge in price, exploding from around 85k to over 94k, showing strong bullish momentum. This rapid movement has certainly caught the attention of many traders and investors. However, while the price action has broken through previous lower highs, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment, it's crucial to approach this rally with caution.
Although the recent price increase indicates that bullish momentum is in play, it's important not to overlook the possibility of a short-term pullback or consolidation. The market has shown volatility before, and while breaking the lower-high structure is a positive sign, it doesn’t necessarily guarantee sustained upward movement.
In this analysis, I will dive deeper into the current price action and what it means for BTC short-term outlook. We’ll explore the factors to watch in the coming days and the potential risks that could challenge the bullish trend.
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What will we discuss:
- Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance
- Point of Control
- Stochastic RSI
- The deathcrosses
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Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance
The golden pocket Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.65), measured from the highs to the lows on the higher timeframe, is located between 96,450 and 97,580. This area aligns with a key resistance level that previously triggered a strong move down in BTC. The golden pocket often acts as a strong rejection zone, and bears are likely to try defending this level again. So be careful on how price will move into this level and how it reacts.
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Point of control (POC)
The Point of Control (POC) for the entire trading range from November to the present is located precisely at 96,450. This level is particularly significant as it aligns with multiple technical factors, creating a strong confluence zone. Not only does it coincide with a well-established resistance area that previously initiated a sharp move to the downside, but it also sits within the golden pocket Fibonacci.
The POC marks the price level where the highest volume of trading activity has occurred during this entire range, indicating a strong area of interest for both buyers and sellers. High-volume nodes like this often act as magnets for price and tend to offer either strong support or resistance depending on the context. In this case, with the POC positioned within a broader resistance zone, it becomes an even more formidable barrier.
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Stochastic RSI
The Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe is currently in the overbought zone, where it has remained for approximately 10 consecutive days. This prolonged stay in overbought territory suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening and the indicator is beginning to show signs of exhaustion.
Typically, when the Stochastic RSI hovers in this upper range for an extended period without a meaningful pullback, it signals that a reversal or at least a slowdown in the prevailing trend could be imminent. The oscillator appears to be running out of steam, and barring a sudden surge in buying pressure, it is likely to start curling downward in the coming days or within the next week.
This could imply a shortterm correction is luring.
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Deathcrosses this cycle
A deathcross is a bearish technical indicator (lagging) that occurs when a shorter-term (50-day MA) crosses below the longer-term (200-day MA).
Deathcross 1
At the time of the first death cross, the price of BTC had already formed a local low before the crossover occurred. Following the death cross, BTC experienced what is commonly referred to as a "death cross rally" — a counterintuitive move where price rallies shortly after the bearish signal.
This rally was significant, as it broke short-term market structure to the upside and eventually found support at the 50-day MA, the same level that previously acted as resistance. That support held, even during a brief rejection, and marked a key shift in momentum.
From there, BTC continued its upward move and eventually went on to make new highs, effectively invalidating the immediate bearish expectations typically associated with a death cross.
Deathcross 2
The second death cross in this cycle occurred after Bitcoin had already established a local low and began moving back upward toward the death cross. Initially, BTC struggled to break above the 50-day MA, but it eventually managed to push through.
However, this time, during the subsequent correction, Bitcoin was unable to hold the 50-day MA as support. Instead, it formed a higher low, indicating a shift in market dynamics and suggesting that the selling pressure may have been weakening. This higher low marks a crucial point in the price structure, as it hints at potential bullish momentum building, despite the earlier bearish signal from the death cross.
Deathcross 3
This time, the low was established right at the moment of the death cross, and BTC began to move upward immediately after the crossover occurred. After initially struggling to break above the 50-day MA, BTC surged higher and managed to surpass both the 50-day and 200-day MA.
Currently, BTC is facing strong resistance at these levels. The question now is whether BTC will correct and find support at the 50-day MA once again, as it did during the first instance, or if it is aiming to form a higher low, similar to the second occurrence.
In both scenarios, Bitcoin has historically experienced a pullback after a few days of upward movement, so a correction at this point would not be surprising.
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Bitcoin: Strong Support —Back To BasicsNotice the black lines on this chart...
The lower line marks the January 2025 wick low.
The second line, a bit higher, matches the December-November 2024 wick low.
Last week Bitcoin smashed this resistance range and is now safely trading above it. The break of this support turned resistance turned once more support is a major bullish development.
The action as it is happening now on the weekly timeframe puts Bitcoin back in the same conditions as before the March 2025 breakdown.
Notice the entire period after the March 2025 breakdown and April recovery, this is a classic stop-loss hunt event, liquidity hunt or bear-trap. The action moved below support just to quickly recover.
This can also be read as a "failed signal."
The bears attempted to move the market lower but failed. A failed signal turns into a strong signal contrary to the initial direction of the move. So if this is a failed bearish signal it translate from a TA perspective into a strong bullish signal. This works because it reveals a double-bullish dynamic. The failed bearish continuation after breakdown reveals bears weakness, the successful recovery reveals bullish strength; two points for the bulls.
Now, the active weekly candle/session did not wick lower to test the "strong support" price range, between $89,250 and $90,500, black lines on the chart, no, instead the action is happening safely above this range.
Bitcoin is super strong right now. Strong support.
If Bitcoin were to move lower and challenge this support zone, this would become a unique opportunity, a very strong opportunity, an amazing opportunity to buy LONG with high leverage or simply accumulate more if you are spot.
If it drops, awesome, a unique buy opportunity.
If it continues higher right away we are good because Bitcoin has been green four weeks straight.
It doesn't get any better and we have the support of the entire Altcoins market which is starting to heat up. I told you we would see slow steady growth, it doesn't happen in a day because are in a long-term bullish phase but oh boy, oh boy, oh girl oh boy it will grow.
By late May 2025, everything will be green 2-3 levels up. That is, minimum 200%-300% up and that is just the start. You've been warned.
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Namaste.
Bitcoin Range-Bound in Heavy Resistance – CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), like Gold , has been moving in a Range for the past 5-6 days and is currently in a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) , as it has been in the past few days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure can take two forms: Double Three Correction(WXY)_Expanding Flat(3-3-5) .
I label this analysis " Short " for the following reasons:
Due to Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX ) these days, I am short on the S&P 500 Index.
China’s president Xi Jinping says Trump lied about them having a phone call ; it is NOT good news for the S&P 500 Index and Bitcoin .
CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) has NOT filled yet, and I think Bitcoin will NOT start the next bullish rally before filling the CME Gap.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $92,830 and then decline to the Support zone($92,000-$91,400) if the Support lines are broken.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,741-$95,520
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $97,000, we should expect more pumping.
Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 100_SMA(Daily), we should expect a fall.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Soon again above 100K$(major supports are 90K & 87K)The market is now bullish as it was expected after breakout of red trendline and now we may have short-term correction to test new supports like 90K$ and 87K$ or without any correction:
more pump soon will pump price to extremely bullish zone above 100K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/9/2025 (Big Picture)For me, I think that we are going to the End the wave 5 of the BTC Supercycle . As you can see , the wave that we are now have very small accumulation making it should be wave 5 rather than the begining of new cycle or the correction wave since both usually have large accumulation.The Gann fan suggest that the End of the wave 5 should be around 128,000$-132,000$. And after the time that it finish the wave 5 it would be coincided with the depression that many economist suggest that it would happen.Surprisingly, It also coinside with the Modern Elliott Wave theory suggesting that a Grand Supercycle wave five is nearing completion in the 21st century, likely leading to the deepest economic downturn since the 1700s.
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout with Volume Confirmation | BTC/USD
A symmetrical triangle formed on the 15-min chart followed by a strong breakout with volume support. Entry was taken after breakout confirmation, with risk well-managed below structure support. Target zones and stop clearly defined. This setup is based on clean chart structure and pattern analysis. Educational purpose only.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make movement up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price continues to move inside a rising wedge, gradually climbing higher while respecting the boundaries of the formation. After a strong impulsive breakout above the 93000 level, the market has entered a phase of sideways consolidation just below the upper boundary of the pattern. This area acts as a pressure zone, where bullish attempts are becoming weaker, and the price starts to lose momentum. What's important is how clearly the trend line has been respected, with multiple touchpoints confirming its significance. Recently, BTC tested the lower boundary of the wedge near 93000, rebounded, and made another push upward. However, despite this growth, the price is nearing the resistance formed by the wedge's upper boundary, and this structure often implies a potential reversal once the market loses steam. Given this setup, I expect BTCUSDT to reject the upper edge and correct toward 95000, my short-term goal. This level aligns with the trend line, making it a logical area for the price to seek equilibrium again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary CodeIn-Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary Code Across Four Halvings
Authors: SanTi Li, Nahida, Legolas
Abstract: This paper focuses on Bitcoin's four halving events from 2012 to 2024, systematically reviewing the halving mechanism, inflation rate trends, and analyzing market performance before and after each halving to explore their impact on price movements. Through historical data analysis and macro comparisons, it is highlighted that Bitcoin has entered a cycle where its inflation rate is lower than that of gold, emphasizing its scarcity and establishing a long-term value logic comparable to traditional assets. Additionally, from the perspective of the four halving cycles, although the price increase post-2024 halving has been moderate, it is still in the accumulation phase, with the real window potentially opening between 2025 and 2026. The article concludes by discussing Bitcoin's core value foundations, including scarcity, decentralization mechanisms, and deflationary models, indicating its maturing logic as "digital gold."
1.Bitcoin Halving Cycle: Block Rewards and Inflation Rate
Bitcoin, designed by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009, has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins. Initially, miners received 50 BTC per successfully mined block, with this reward halving approximately every 210,000 blocks (about four years), gradually reducing the new issuance. The halving cycle officially began in 2012, with subsequent halvings every four years. In 2024, the block reward became 3.125 BTC, leading to an annual inflation of 52,560 x 3.125 = 164,250 BTC, accounting for approximately 0.782% of the total supply.
This inflation rate is already lower than that of most developed countries and gold, which has an annual production inflation rate of about 1.5%-2%. Currently, Bitcoin has entered a cycle with an inflation rate lower than that of gold.
Fig.1 Bitcoin Halving Cycle Rewards and Inflation Rate Chart
As shown in the chart: When each block reward was 50 BTC, the annual increase was approximately 52,560 x 50 = 2.628 million BTC, about 12.5% of the total 21 million supply. In 2025, with a 6.25 BTC reward per block, the annual increase is 52,560 x 6.25 = 328,500 BTC, about 1.564% of the total supply.
As of around 14:00 on May 7, 2025, approximately 19,861,268 BTC have been mined, accounting for about 94.58% of the total supply, with a total market capitalization of approximately $2.034 trillion. Compared to the previous halving cycle in 2020, when about 18,385,031 BTC had been mined (approximately 87.5% of the total supply) and the total market capitalization was about $161.8 billion, the market cap has increased by approximately 1,236% over five years.
In the next four years, the annual inflation rate will be only 0.782%.
Fig.2 Comparison of Inflation Rates in Major Countries (2019-2025)
In 2019, China's inflation rate was about 2.9%, and the United States' was 2.3%. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and subsequent stimulus measures, it was predicted that the U.S. would experience significant inflation from 2020 to 2022. Indeed, the U.S. inflation rate reached a high of 8%, later decreasing to around 2.2% by 2024 due to Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. China's annual inflation rate is about 0.2%, effectively controlling inflation among major countries. Most developed countries have an inflation rate of around 2.5%, but the actual experience of currency devaluation may be more pronounced than statistical data suggests.
At this time, the latest Bitcoin halving will further reduce BTC's inflation rate to a new historical low of 0.782%. A lower inflation rate is generally beneficial for any asset, as it increases scarcity. However, this does not necessarily mean the asset's value will increase by 100% in the short term, but it is an important factor in resisting devaluation.
ii.Comparative Analysis of Market Performance After Four Bitcoin Halvings
Since Bitcoin's inception, each block reward halving has had a profound impact on BTC's market price. From 2012 to 2024, the four halving events exhibit relatively consistent cyclical characteristics. This paper compares market price trends before and after each halving to extract valuable patterns. History never repeats exactly, but before reaching peaks or nearing destruction, similar patterns often emerge.
Fig.3 BTC Value Changes Across Four Halving Cycles
The chart in Fig.3 summarizes BTC's trend data six months before and one year after each halving, as well as the highest point within the corresponding cycle. It shows that after each halving, Bitcoin's price experienced significant increases.
Using the closing price on the halving day as a baseline: 2012 halving: over 8,000% increase within one year 2016 halving: approximately 286% increase 2020 halving: approximately 475% increase 2024 halving: approximately 31% increase within one year (as of now), with a peak increase of 68.75% ($109,588)
1.Significant Price Increases Six Months Before Halving Reviewing the four halving events,
Bitcoin typically enters an upward trend six months prior to halving. For example:
●2012 halving: 141.03% increase compared to six months prior
●2024 halving: 118.88% increase compared to six months prior
This phase often corresponds to the market gradually pricing in the "halving expectation," serving as a strong preparatory signal.
2.Core Explosion Period 6–12 Months After Halving,
Not Necessarily the Peak Historical data shows that the 6–12 months following a halving are typically the main growth phase for Bitcoin:
●2012: 8,181.51% increase within one year
●2016: 286.29% increase
●2020: 475.64% increase
●2024: Currently, 31.18% increase, with a peak of 68.75% ($100.9k)
Especially in 2012 and 2020, the structure showed "consolidation within six months, followed by an explosion." After one year, the market entered the most significant growth phase, reaching new historical highs. As the 2024 halving has just passed one year, if history repeats, the real explosion window may open between 2025 and Q1 2026.
3.First-Year Post-Halving Trends Provide Preliminary Reference
After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin increased by 10.02% within a month but then experienced two months of fluctuation and correction, remaining in the accumulation phase. By October 2024 (six months post-halving), the price had only slightly increased by 6.30% compared to the halving day, far from entering the main growth phase. However, this is not uncommon historically, as both 2016 and 2020 saw significant price movements starting six months after the halving.
4.Bull Market Peaks Typically Occur 6–12 Months After Halving
Based on data from the first three cycles, the highest prices relative to the halving day's closing price occurred in the mid-term before the next halving:
●2012: 9,237.15% increase
●2016: 2,825.84% increase
●2020: 700.28% increase
In the current 2024 halving cycle, a peak of $109,588 has been observed, representing a 68.75% increase from the halving day, but it has not yet entered an exponential growth phase. This pattern applies only to the current cycle; if Bitcoin reaches values as high as $300,000–$500,000 or even $1 million, its valuation will be enormous. Unless there is significant devaluation of reference assets or further expansion of applications, such as interstellar exploration, it will be challenging to achieve multiple-fold growth in the next halving.
Chart Summary: Bitcoin's historical halving cycles exhibit a highly consistent three-phase rhythm: Accumulation and price increase (six months before halving) Stable fluctuation (six months after halving) Main growth explosion (6–18 months after halving) As the 2024 halving approaches its one-year mark, the market may still be accumulating energy for the later explosion phase, similar to the prelude to 2017, coinciding with the early period of Trump's presidency.
The Stock-to-Flow chart also indirectly supports the view that Bitcoin is still in a phase of accumulating strength. However, historical data and patterns are only for reference and should not be blindly followed; independent judgment and thorough research (DYOR) are essential.
Fig.4 Bitcoin Price Stock-to-Flow Chart
III. Scientific Attributes of Bitcoin's Long-Term Value
The value of an asset stems from both consensus and intrinsic worth. Long-term consensus, in particular, must be grounded in the asset’s inherent advancement, scientific underpinnings, and irreplaceable first-mover advantage. Bitcoin (BTC) is not merely a crypto asset — it is the culmination of breakthroughs in technology, economics, mathematics, cryptography, and more. Its long-term value is not sustained by market speculation alone, but rather built on a rigorous, verifiable, and manipulation-resistant system design.
1. Scarcity
As previously discussed, Bitcoin has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins, encoded in its protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto. Through a programmed halving mechanism, block rewards are reduced approximately every four years, with all coins expected to be mined by around the year 2140. Unlike fiat currencies which can be printed infinitely, Bitcoin’s deflationary nature supports its long-term appreciation from a supply-demand perspective.
Scarcity is the cornerstone of Bitcoin’s inflation resistance and lays the foundation for its status as "digital gold".
2. Decentralization: Neutrality Guaranteed by Consensus Mechanism
Bitcoin’s decentralized Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism relies on computational power. Any node can verify transactions and participate in ledger maintenance. This structure avoids issues found in traditional financial systems such as central points of failure, power abuse, or systemic control. Its globally distributed nature significantly reduces the likelihood of a 51% attack.
3. Deflationary Model vs. Fiat Currency Devaluation
As shown in Fig.2 (not included here), Bitcoin's built-in deflationary issuance model starkly contrasts with the inflationary nature of global fiat currencies. Since 2020, central banks around the world have launched large-scale QE programs, resulting in currency overflows. Bitcoin has increasingly demonstrated its role as a hedge against fiat depreciation and asset bubbles. It is becoming a safe haven for capital in an era of diminishing trust in fiat money.
4. Technological Attributes: Advanced Cryptography + P2P Network Design
Bitcoin integrates multiple cutting-edge technologies:
●ECDSA (Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm): Ensures account security and private key signatures.
●SHA-256 Hash Algorithm: Guarantees data immutability.
●Merkle Tree Structure: Enables efficient verification of transactions within a block.
●Peer-to-Peer Network (P2P): Facilitates global value transfers without intermediaries.
These technologies make Bitcoin a robust and unforgeable value transmission network, with infinite scalability potential — laying the groundwork for second-layer expansions like the Lightning Network and future applications. Bitcoin is not only an asset but also a masterpiece of cryptographic engineering. Future quantum-resistance updates are also worth watching.
5. A Challenger to the Global Financial Order: A Non-Sovereign Asset Amidst Dollar Transition
The world is witnessing a wave of de-dollarization, with international settlements shifting toward local currencies, gold, and decentralized assets. With its non-sovereign neutrality, global accessibility, and scarcity, Bitcoin has become a crucial channel for capital transfer and value storage, especially in emerging markets and unstable regions. It offers an alternative financial model coexisting with — yet independent from — the dollar and gold: a neutral system of consensus-based currency. In times when national creditworthiness is questioned, reliance on algorithmic credibility could become a strategic moat. Of course, this will require further regulatory oversight to prevent illegal activities.
6. A Potential Financial Infrastructure for Interplanetary Civilizations (Speculative Idea)
Bitcoin is the only current value protocol not reliant on any country, bank, or internet entity. Its ledger can exist across planetary nodes — as long as electricity and computing power are available, the network can be maintained. This structure makes it naturally suitable for future space exploration scenarios, such as on Mars or the Moon, where fast and direct usage would be advantageous. While human space exploration is still in its infancy, with no major breakthroughs in stable planetary settlement, this idea remains speculative. However, from a 30–50 year perspective, initial interplanetary applications may not be entirely implausible. Bitcoin (or credit-like tokens) could serve as the base-layer token of human digital civilization.
Summary: BTC's Scientific Foundation
●Supply Ceiling (Scarcity) + Consensus Strength (Decentralization)
●Real-World Context: Weakening trust in fiat currency and expanding debt bubbles
●In the face of future uncertainty, Bitcoin's "anchor-like properties" become increasingly prominent.
4. Summary of BTC’s Long-Term Value Trends
Through the analysis of Bitcoin's halving cycles and scientific fundamentals, the following conclusions can be drawn:
Bitcoin’s four halving cycles to date have demonstrated a consistent market rhythm: price rises in anticipation before each halving, followed by short-term consolidation, then a major rally. Post-2024 halving, Bitcoin’s annual inflation rate has dropped to 0.78% — lower than gold for the first time — reinforcing its role as a scarce asset.
Against the backdrop of persistent global fiat inflation, expanding credit, and growing fiscal deficits, Bitcoin’s deflationary model and decentralized structure are attracting increasing attention and allocation from traditional capital.
Although short-term volatility remains and black swan events cannot be ruled out, Bitcoin's long-term value logic is becoming clearer: it is not just a cryptocurrency, but a new type of asset based on cryptographic trust and decentralized consensus. In future cycles, Bitcoin's value potential, inflation-hedging ability, technical uniqueness, and expanding ecosystem will continue to empower it, building the essential value moat of a true “digital gold”.
Disclaimer on Perspectives:
Some people dismiss Bitcoin due to market speculation or scam-like projects. However, equating it entirely with such phenomena is an unobjective approach. Projects that rely solely on hype — such as many memecoins — tend to lack sustainability.
Risk Warning:
This article serves only as educational research and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and make independent judgments. Never blindly follow anyone — DYOR (Do Your Own Research). BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above $98K with strong vol📋 Trade Plan
Long bias remains valid above $93.5K.
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above GETTEX:98K with strong volume targets the $102.5K level.
Pullback Buy Zone: $93.5K–$94.5K if price respects support.
Caution: Overbought oscillators combined with resistance suggest a short-term pullback risk before continuation.
🟢 Long bias intact above $93.5K
🔴 Avoid fresh longs here. Wait for either breakout above GETTEX:98K or dip to support
🎯 Target: $102.5K on breakout
🛑 Invalidation: Close below $93.5K
Bitcoin Btc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
As you can see byc is moving up and down in the green tunnel
My last target (yellow rectangle) is touched and byc couldn't break the upper side of tunnel
Now, my target is 120.000 $ ( red rectangle)
If this time , btc can break the green uptrend line as resistance line , my next target is 145.000$,
👉👉Important notice 👈👈
Here is not suitable Time for entry the long or short position because btc is in the middle of the tunnel
Will BTC finish completing the Charlie wave?The chart is self explanatory and Bitcoin should complete the ABC retracement but in case it denies following the Elliott Wave it will resume the upwards move to 106k+. Remember Bitcoin is unpredictable as driven by MMs could move either way any time. Be cautious!
BTC Range Bound | Breakout Imminent ?👀 Welcome to my Trading View Analysis and Trading Channel Here , we share the latest market analysis, trading signals, and key insights together .
Ready for smarter trades ? ⭐️
⚡️Today , we're going to analyze the BTC( BitCoin) coin together on the daily timeframe and find triggers for our positions .
📊✨ Bitcoin 4H Technical Analysis & Weekly Outlook – May 6, 2025
🔸 BTC is currently trading within a consolidation range between $97,325 and $93,780, indicating a potential accumulation zone before the next major move. 🌀
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
📈 Resistance: Break above $97,325 could trigger a long entry, suggesting bullish continuation. 🚀
📉 Support: Drop below $93,780 may activate a short setup, signaling bearish pressure. ⚠️
📐 Indicators Breakdown:
🔹 EMA 100 & 200: Positioned below price, supporting the bullish bias. 🟢
🔹 EMA 50: Currently sitting above the 4H candle, posing short-term resistance. 🔴
📉 Volume: Noticeable decline, showing market indecision – a common pre-breakout signal. 📊
📌 Key Pivot: A candle close above $94,021 would validate it as strong support. 🧱
📰 Positive Market Developments:
🏦 Morgan Stanley plans to offer spot BTC trading via E*Trade – institutional adoption accelerating. 📈
🏢 Strategy (MicroStrategy) signals further Bitcoin accumulation – corporate trust remains strong. 💼
💰 Over $1.8B flowed into U.S. BTC ETFs last week – investor appetite is growing rapidly. 🧲
📈 Analysts forecast BTC reaching $120K–$200K by end of 2025 – fueled by macro trends & halving cycle. 🌕
💡 Final Takeaway:
🔐 Bitcoin continues to prove itself as a valuable long-term asset, backed by rising institutional interest, robust on-chain fundamentals, and strong technical signals. 🌟
📊 Triggers for both long and short positions are clearly marked on the chart – stay sharp and manage risk! 🎯
I love you all so much . 👀
don't forget about capital management and risk management .
Be careful with your positions . 🥇
BTCUSDTSecond trade of the day is on BTCUSDT — and I’ve already entered the position.
I’ve set the Risk-to-Reward Ratio to 1:1 this time, as I entered with a higher lot size than usual.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 98,835.27
✔️ Take Profit: 99,320.67
✔️ Stop Loss: 98,347.72
Beware of the cunning president...!hypurrscan.io
He increased his short position. You don't play with sums like that for no reason — it's 1000% insider info.
After the news about the “good” tariffs, someone — not pointing fingers — was suppressing the growth. When the buying stopped, they stopped selling too. They're waiting for the U.S. Now a dump is coming to buy in cheaper.
Also keep in mind: the recent rally was fast and had almost no consolidation. So the whole rise is basically held up by retail investors. Be careful out there.
BTCUSDBTC strategy is following fed style,we need to see direction and swing into direction.am seeing a retest into broken supply roof 99k-100 as demand . or will price keep buying high to test 107 ?? and break could seeing more buying into 117k and 116k will be watched based on structure and character