SMCI WEEKLY CALL SETUP (07/28/25)
### 🔹 SMCI WEEKLY CALL SETUP (07/28/25)
**Bullish Flow + Strong RSI = 🚀 Call Opportunity at \$62**
---
### 📊 TECHNICAL SNAPSHOT
* **RSI (Daily + Weekly):** ✅ Above 55 — clear bullish strength
* **Weekly Close:** 🔼 Broke prior highs — momentum continuation likely
* **Volume Ratio:** Slightly weak (0.9x) 📉 — watch early-week participation
* **VIX:** 14.93 💤 — low vol = smoother price action (great for weekly calls)
---
### 💥 OPTIONS FLOW HIGHLIGHTS
* **Call/Put Ratio:** 4.30 🔥 (heavy bullish skew)
* **Hot Strikes:** \$62.00 & \$63.00 = aggressive positioning
* **OI Surge:** Confirmed institutional interest → upside bets stacking up
---
### ✅ TRADE SETUP
* 🎯 **Strategy:** Long Weekly Call
* 📈 **Strike:** \$62.00
* 📅 **Expiration:** Aug 1, 2025
* 💸 **Entry Price:** \$0.86 (ask)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.43 (50% risk)
* 🎯 **Target:** \$1.20 (40% upside)
* 📈 **Confidence:** 80%
* ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market open
---
### 🚨 KEY RISKS
* ⚠️ Weak volume = lower conviction from institutions
* 📉 Watch early-week flow → exit if buyers fade
* 🎯 Above \$63 = breakout fuel
* 🧨 Below \$61 = trend in question
---
### 🧠 MODEL CONSENSUS
> All quant models bullish except **one cautioning on volume**
> Options flow + RSI = overwhelming bullish case
---
### 📦 TRADE\_DETAILS (Algo-Friendly JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "SMCI",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 62.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.80,
"profit_target": 1.20,
"stop_loss": 0.43,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.86,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-01 09:30:00 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
📈 **Watch zones:**
* 🚀 Above \$63 = breakout
* 🛑 Below \$61 = cut risk
---
**#SMCI #OptionsFlow #CallOptions #WeeklyTrade #RSI #BullishMomentum #MarketOpenSetup #QuantSignals #OptionsAlert**
SMCI trade ideas
SMCI to Previous Highs!Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has formed a well-defined accumulation base between $26 and $46 after a major downtrend and capitulation event in late 2024. Price action has since transitioned from panic selling to structured accumulation, confirmed by:
Strong support at $26–28, tested multiple times, creating a clear bottom.
Capitulation low (circled) in November 2024 followed by a swift recovery, indicating institutional absorption.
Break above prior resistance at $47, now acting as confirmed support (light blue zone).
Price is currently pressing into multi-tap resistance near $52–54 — a breakout here would confirm the next leg higher.
Fibonacci extension targets of $80 (0.618) and $100 (1.0) are marked and align with key historical zones.
Volume shows increased interest on green bars during upward pushes, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution.
Summary
SMCI is transitioning from base to breakout with confirmed support and a maturing bullish structure.
A breakout above $54 with volume confirmation could initiate a trend toward the $80–100 zone, backed by technical alignment and renewed AI infrastructure demand.
SMCI going to breakout soon, targeting $200NASDAQ:SMCI hasfound support at $28, it is currently trading around the $46 level. It is attempting to test the $50-$61 range for the third time and will likely turn this level into support with a breakout.
$200 could be a good psychological target. The relative strength against the SP:SPX is about to turn positive in favor of the stock, and I expect volume to increase in the coming days.
SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal.
Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272).
Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: market $42–43
— Target 1: $55.91
— Target 2: $63.57
When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
SMCI - Uptrend resumingNASDAQ:SMCI is looking at a return of the uptrend after breaking above its corrective downtrend line and buying pressure is seen resuming. Overall major trend is on the upside and strong.
Momentum:
Long-term MACD: histogram is positive and signal line is rising steadily
Stochastic Oscillator: Nearing overbought zone, but momentum remain healthy. As long as correction (if any) is not strong (drop cannot be more than 7% within a week).
Volume is healthy
Buy spot at 60.05 or buy upon correction at 43.27.
35.09 is the major support.
Looking at monthly chart on SCMI I see 3 white soldiers to $100Not that much to describe as the three white soldiers on the monthly candle chart are pretty self explanatory. One of the more basic readings for good times ahead. That’s aside from the fundamentals of having most of the ai data centers using its liquid cooled state of the art chassis’ designed for latest Nvidia chips.
NeoWave Structure: Flat–X–Triangle Combination - break outThis chart illustrates a possible NeoWave-style corrective combination: a Flat–X–Triangle structure, likely completed and followed by a breakout.
W Wave: A well-structured Flat correction (labeled A–B–C) with a clean internal 5-wave impulse in C. Balanced time and volume across subcomponents suggest structural completion.
X Wave: A simple, proportionally shallow X connector, in line with NeoWave time and price minimums.
Y Wave: A textbook contracting triangle (labeled a–b–c–d–e), with near-perfect Fibonacci relationships between legs:
• Wave b retraces approximately 61.8% of wave a
• Wave d retraces approximately 78.6% of wave c
• Time symmetry is preserved
• Volume compresses into the apex, a classic triangle behavior
Breakout Observed:
• Price has moved above triangle resistance
• Volume increased at breakout
• MACD shows positive crossover and rising momentum
Interpretation:
This may mark the end of a prolonged corrective structure and the beginning of a new impulsive sequence. Triangle projection targets suggest the $77–80 area as a minimum, with higher Fibonacci extensions possible (e.g., 1.618 or 2.618 of prior moves) if this evolves into a 3rd wave.
Technical Approach:
This analysis follows NeoWave principles (Glenn Neely), emphasizing structural clarity, wave proportion, time-price balance, and breakout behavior.
SMCI is at 60$ USD WE have made it. TXSGanG- 📈 The current price is around $60.11, so it’s very close to the trigger.
- 🧭 Technical indicators (based on TradingView): Moving averages and oscillators are neutral to slightly bullish.
🎯 Sell Zone: $65 to $73 USD
- 🟡 $65: A middle-ground target for those looking to optimize without too much risk.
- 🔴 $73: Ambitious target, marked on your chart with a green arrow. Ideal for more patient investors or those confident in the trend.
🔍 Fundamental Context
- 📉 The stock has seen a sharp correction in recent months, but the current rebound could mark a reversal if confirmed by volume.
🧠 Suggested Strategy
| Price Level | Recommended Action | Emoji |
| $50–60 | Gradual buying / Swing trade | 🛒 |
| $60–65 | Partial profit-taking | 💰 |
| $65–73 | Full exit or trailing stop | 🚀🔚 |
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
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SMCI – Reloading the AI BeastSMCI continues to show strength as a key player in the AI infrastructure space. In this update, I present a new strategy with staggered entry zones at $49, $45, and $38 — designed to capture value during healthy pullbacks within a larger bullish trend.
Entry Plan:
1) $49
2) $45
3) $38
Target:
1) $56
2) $61
3) $66
📉 If price dips back to $45 or $38, I will reload heavier. No FOMO. Let the market come to us.
Drop a 👍 if you're still riding SMCI or waiting for the next entry.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
History tends to repeat itselfHistory typically tends to repeat itself. What has happened before can happen again. Take a look at the left side of the chart and you’ll see a picture-perfect breakout pattern: price consolidates, forms higher lows and relatively equal highs, all on high volume, before breaking out. Now, we are witnessing the same setup again on a larger scale. Above is a monthly chart of SMCI, allowing you to compare the similarities between the two breakout formations. What has gone parabolic before can go parabolic again. Earnings will be reported on August 12, which is roughly one month away. If SMCI continues to push higher here, we may see a move toward the all-time high of $122.90. Always do your own due diligence and keep risk management in mind.
Not financial advice.
SMCI - Bull Flag Breakout SetupSMCI formed a strong bullish impulse followed by a bull flag pattern.
A breakout above the flag structure may signal continuation if confirmed with strong price action.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: On breakout or retest
• Stop Loss: Below flag support
• TP1: Recent high
• TP2: Measured flagpole extension
This setup is worth monitoring for potential bullish continuation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
SMCI buy cycle in progress into yr endStrong buy rates on order flow indicating buy-side targets as follows
tp1 = 88
tp2 = 96
tp3 = 105
...by end of 2025
Still expecting strong sell wave sometime by mid-2026 all the way back to 20's as the semiconductor space continues dealing with growing bearish forces. Recent weakness should be seen as "shots across the bow" or warning shots. Next set of highs will be opportunities to EXIT and go short imo.
SMCI soon above 50 USD! Big bullish move! Youppi!📍 Bullish Trigger Zone: $50 USD
- 🔑 The $50 level acts as a psychological and technical threshold. A breakout above this resistance could signal a bullish reversal.
- 📈 The current price is around $49.11, so it’s very close to the trigger. A daily close above $50 with strong volume would strengthen the buy signal.
- 🧭 Technical indicators (based on TradingView): Moving averages and oscillators are neutral to slightly bullish.
🎯 Sell Zone: $60 to $73 USD
- 🟢 $60: First realistic target for cautious traders. It’s an intermediate resistance zone.
- 🟡 $65: A middle-ground target for those looking to optimize without too much risk.
- 🔴 $73: Ambitious target, marked on your chart with a green arrow. Ideal for more patient investors or those confident in the trend.
🔍 Fundamental Context
- 💬 Analysts are mixed: some maintain targets around $50–60, while others are more conservative.
- 📉 The stock has seen a sharp correction in recent months, but the current rebound could mark a reversal if confirmed by volume.
🧠 Suggested Strategy
| Price Level | Recommended Action | Emoji |
| < $50 | Watch / Wait for confirmation | 👀 |
| $50–60 | Gradual buying / Swing trade | 🛒 |
| $60–65 | Partial profit-taking | 💰 |
| $65–73 | Full exit or trailing stop | 🚀🔚 |
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Thank you!
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SMCI bullish setup longSMCI seems well positioned for one of those "face melting' rips in the coming weeks as it normally does. All TA in daily, weekly and monthly timeframes tell thesame tale- Bullish move imminent.
Catalyst- riding on NVDA new Blackwell chip and Tariff news coming in next week, high short interest, VPA show market makers already took a position- all signs pointing north, which looks promising for JULY and early August.
SMCI Long Swing Setup – Positioned for AI-Driven Infrastructure Super Micro Computer, Inc. NASDAQ:SMCI is a critical player in the AI infrastructure boom, supplying high-performance servers to NVIDIA, AMD, and major data centers. With accelerating demand for compute power, SMCI is well-positioned for continued upside.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: Current market price or $40 – $43 support zone
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $70
o 🥈 $100
o 🥉 $120
• Stop Loss: Weekly close below $30