EURCAD - Overextended and Ready to Reverse?The EURCAD pair is showing clear signs of exhaustion in its bullish trend on the monthly chart, with an overextended price that has already liquidated a significant high. Futures market analysis confirms the accumulation of short positions, suggesting a potential bearish movement driven by institutional players. On the daily chart, the price has shifted to a clear downtrend.
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Monthly Chart:
The price has reached overextended levels, signaling a possible reversal.
A key high has been liquidated, indicating potential demand exhaustion.
🔹 Futures Market Data:
Short positions are accumulating, showing that major market participants are positioning for a bearish move.
Commercial market conditions reflect a weakening bullish sentiment.
🔹 Daily Chart:
Structural change confirms a bearish trend.
Possible selling opportunities on pullbacks to recent resistance levels.
CADEUR trade ideas
EURCAD Sell- Go for short term sell then manage your trade
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
- potentially go lower
- in any case it has to at least go down to 1.5500 level or lower
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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EURCAD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.5718
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.5674
My Stop Loss - 1.5743
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/CAD Long Bias🚀 EUR/CAD – Strong Long Opportunity Based on Multi-Factor Confluence
Over the past week, I conducted a comprehensive macro and sentiment-driven analysis across G10 FX pairs. Among several potential setups, EUR/CAD emerged as the most fundamentally and technically aligned long opportunity, supported by a confluence of high-probability signals across positioning, macro divergence, and capital flow sentiment.
🔍 Key Drivers Behind the EUR/CAD Long Bias:
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Divergence (ENDO View)
🇪🇺 Eurozone has shown relative stability in core macro indicators:
Inflation continues to cool, providing flexibility for ECB rate guidance.
GDP growth remains structurally flat but not contracting — suggesting resilience.
🇨🇦 Canada, on the other hand:
Shows a deteriorating inflation-growth mix.
Retail Sales and Industrial Production trends are softening.
ENDO analysis flags CAD as one of the weakest among G10 currencies.
2️⃣ Positioning – COT Report & Z-Scores
Speculative traders are increasing their long exposure to EUR (COT net longs rising +13,887 last week).
Z-Score on EUR long positions: +1.33 → statistically elevated interest in long EUR exposure.
CAD positioning is flat-to-negative, with no bullish buildup in speculative flows.
This gives EUR a clear relative edge in terms of speculative conviction.
3️⃣ Score & EXO Sentiment Framework
EUR/CAD is one of few pairs showing clear directional consensus across:
✅ EXO Score Sheet: Long Bias confirmed.
✅ RR_w Sheet: Strong risk/reward rating supports further upside.
✅ IR Forecast Sheet: ECB-CAD policy spread favors EUR strength in medium term.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment – Risk Regime
We are currently in a “Risk-On” sentiment regime, which generally favors currencies like EUR over defensive, commodity-linked currencies like CAD.
CAD tends to underperform in reflationary sentiment waves — especially when Oil fails to support the currency.
5️⃣ Cluster & Trend Confirmation
While not a primary factor, cluster analysis shows that EUR/CAD is not in a weak trend regime.
Trend alignment over 30 and 14 days remains favorable.
🔚 Conclusion:
EUR/CAD is one of the few pairs this week that aligns across all analytical fronts: macro, positioning, sentiment, and structure. In a crowded FX environment, such confluence is rare and valuable.
EUR/CAD Weekly Short Setup – Bearish Reversal Play
Initiated a short position on EUR/CAD from a key resistance zone after a significant upward move showing signs of exhaustion.
🔻 Entry: ~1.5689
🔻 Stop Loss: 1.6100 (Approx. 3.10%)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.3390 (Approx. 14.67%)
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.73
Price is reacting to a weekly supply zone with multiple confluences, including weakening bullish momentum on the VMC Cipher B indicator. The divergence signals a potential top, supporting a bearish outlook.
Looking for a move back to the lower range of the broader consolidation. Patience is key on this swing setup.
#EURCAD #ForexShort #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskReward #TradingView
EUR-CAD An Interesting Setup! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support which now
Confluences with the falling
Support line as well so as the
Pair was making a bearish
Correction we will be expecting
A bullish rebound from the
Confluence area and a further
Bullish move up
Sell!
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EUR/CAD Best Place To Sell Very Clear , Ready For 250 Pips ?Here is my opinion on EUR/CAD , I See that the price will touch 1.59500 and then go down very hard cuz it`s a very good res area and forced the prices to go down very hard last time and prove that it`s a good res , so i will sell this pair when the price touch this area and give us a good bearish price action for confirmation .
EUR_CAD LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_CAD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 1.5760
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 1.5660
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURCAD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.5657 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.5622
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Buying Opportunity, EURCAD H1The European Central Bank has embarked on a monetary easing cycle, recently cutting interest rates. However, analysts at Berenberg believe that this cycle is coming to an end.
The Bank of Canada kept interest rates at 2.75% on June 4, 2025, but signaled the possibility of a future cut.
Fundamentals support a possible appreciation of the EUR against the CAD, especially if the BoC cuts rates before the ECB.
EURCAD 4H Long 📘 Educational Trade Breakdown
🟩 EURCAD 4H Long Setup (Smart Money Strategy)
I've taken a long on EURCAD from 1.56166, after price tapped into a bullish order block and showed signs of accumulation around a structural BOS and trendline confluence.
📈 Entry: 1.56166
🎯 Take Profit: 1.59601
🛡️ Stop Loss: 1.55205
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3.7 — strong asymmetric return
🔍 Confluences:
Order Block (O-B) respected
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) indicate bullish continuation
Liquidity sweep prior to entry shows potential smart money involvement
This setup aligns with institutional order flow theory and provides a clean bullish narrative on the 4H timeframe.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Risk wisely and always backtest your edge.
EUR/CAD Will NFP Ignite Wave 3?EUR/CAD has carved out a clear 5-wave impulsive structure with a completed Wave 1 and Wave 3. Wave 2 was a sharp correction, while Wave 4 has been more sideways—just as the Elliott Wave guideline of alternation would suggest.
Now, Wave 4 found support right at the 38.2% retracement of Wave 3 (a common termination zone), and the next impulsive leg may already be in motion.
Why do I say that?
Because price has carved out a textbook leading diagonal for what may be the first wave of Wave 5, followed by a complex W–X–Y correction. And if that wasn’t enough—the Y wave looks to have formed a triangle.
Breakouts from triangles are rarely small moves.