CADJPY Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
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CADJPY trade ideas
CAD_JPY BULLISH REBOUND|LONG|
✅CAD_JPY is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 103.888
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 104.400
LONG🚀
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#CADJPY:1700+ PIPS Swing Concept On The Way,Three Profit TargetsJPY initiated a bearish trend and anticipates a rapid reversal in all JPY pairs, such as CADJPY. We expect a significant swing move, potentially reaching 2000+ pips in the long term. Additionally, we have set three targets based on our analysis, which can aid in identifying potential trade opportunities. Good luck and trade safely.
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CAD_JPY SHORT SIGNAL|
✅CAD_JPY is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above around 105.800
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
So we can enter a short trade with the
TP of 104.729 and the SL of 105.921
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY Trade Recap, AUD/JPY Long, AUD/USD Short & CAD/JPY ShortAUD/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
• If tight structured 1H continuation follows, 1H risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Rally Could Fade Near Resistance – Watch for ShortsThe CAD/JPY pair is currently trading within a well-defined descending trendline. Multiple rejections are visible around the 108.300, 105.864, 105.434, and 105.044 levels, confirming strong bearish control over the medium term.
Price has recently bounced from a critical horizontal support near 101.246, forming a short-term bullish move toward the descending trendline. We are now approaching a confluence zone near the 103.800–104.000 area, where the downtrend line intersects. This zone is a potential supply area and could act as a strong resistance.
Trade Idea: Sell Setup Near Trendline (103.800–104.000)
Target: 102.532, 101.250
Invalidation: Break and close above 104.200
CADJPY RALLIED IN THE WAKE OF STEADY RATE BY BOJEarlier today, May 1st, The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its interest rates at 0.5%, with a dovish outlook, including trimmed growth and inflation forecasts.
This stance suggests a lower likelihood of near-term rate hikes, this priced in a weaker Yen and hence the Yen lagged across board.
The Canadian Dollar on the other hand being strengthened by the recent rebounds in oil prices took advantage of that, hence the surge in CADJPY.
TECHNICAL VIEW
From technical perspective, prices were supported at 104.35 after it broke out of a major psychological barrier level of 104. Price rallied to the strong supply zone of 105 and currently hovering around 105.06.
From technical lenses, the oscillators: RSI and Stochastic are over stretched hinting signs of possible pullback as they have gone above over bought levels and created bearish divergence: price is forming Higher High and both indicators are possibly forming Lower High simultaneously.
Other things being equal, analysts likely predict price to drop with potential target around 104.35 and if that is taken out, the next potential targets would be 104 and 103. On the other hand, if the bullish momentum is sustained, a break above 105.39 would usher in 106 psychological level. Breakouts of these levels are not ruled out as per analysts.
CADJPYThis is what I would consider a "B" setup for myself. Second time this year I'm going for it. Although we are near a strong support level, I would like to see if price could retest the previous support range (color box on chart). Although price has been falling with the bearish activity simmering down a bit, maybe we have bears in the market that haven't fully closed and are still testing the lows before a true move up. Looking for a small target range as listed on the chart.
CAD/JPY Short SetupTechnical Analysis: CAD/JPY has surged to a resistance level around 107.75, which previously acted as a significant barrier. The pair is exhibiting signs of overbought conditions, and a pullback towards 105.50 is plausible. 
• Fundamental Factors: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to announce a rate hike soon, with markets already pricing in two 25bps increases by the end of 2025. This anticipation strengthens the JPY, potentially leading to a decline in CAD/JPY. 
• Market Sentiment: Recent statements from the U.S. administration suggest plans to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico. This development could pressure the CAD, particularly against the JPY, as investors seek safe-haven assets. 
CAD/JPY 4-Hour Short – Fibonacci RetracementWe’re fading the recent CAD/JPY rally with a sell-limit at the 38.2% retracement (≈103.60), anticipating a continuation of the larger down-impulse.
• Entry: 103.597 (Sell Limit at 38.2% fib)
• Stop Loss: 103.982 (just above 23.6% fib) → 37.5 pips / 0.36% risk → $2.70 at 0.01 lots
• Take Profit: 102.514 (78.6% extension) → 109.3 pips / 1.05% reward → $7.58 at 0.01 lots
• Risk-Reward: ≈1:2.9
The custom RSI (with its configurable moving average) is turning lower below 60, aligning momentum with a bearish bias. Position sizing is handled by the “Sniper Lot Size Calculator” to cap risk at 1% per trade. This clean, macro-to-micro approach keeps us surgical—waiting for the pullback, then striking with precision.
Longs ContinuationLooking to Hold this Trade for a continuation move.
The Canadian dollar shows strength against the Japanese yen, supported by stable oil prices and a firm Canadian economy.
The Japanese yen's weakness, amid decreasing safe-haven demand, further supports a bullish outlook for this pair.
Update on CADJPY set up.On my last post on CADJPY i had it dropping to 100. - 90. Levels, i still believe price is Bearish overall, been holding this trade for a while, im still holding even do price is already giving me signs of a possible reversal on the 102. Level, but i need more confluences, price did hit my Tp1 at the Market Low ( 101.500 ) if price starts breaking the 104. Level then most likely ill change my bias and give my analysis for a possible next move. Right now, im just holding all the pairs I've posted.
CAD/JPY we reached bottom levels , great time to collect value!Hi guys we are going to take a look at the CAD/JPY Pair!
Technical analisys -
Currently the pair has reached a bottom level around the 101 zone whichwe can see big support from buyers, additionally the MACD is finishing a down turn momentum formulating a cross over towards an Ascending Channel , the RSI is sitting at neutral / oversold areas on 2H and 4H timeframes
Fundamentals - We are still looking into the monetary policy overlooeked from BoJ and additionally the expected economical data from Canada in the eyes of strong Retail Sales.
📌 Trade Plan
📈 Entry: 101.400
✅ Target 1 : 102.200
✅ Target 2 : 103.100
❌ SL: 100.500
R/R is 1:3
CAD/JPY at Key Decision Zone: Breakout or Rejection?🕵️♂️ Chart Overview:
Instrument: CAD/JPY
Chart Type: Candlestick
Time Frame: Appears to be intraday (possibly 1H or 4H)
EMAs Used:
50 EMA (Red): 102.814
200 EMA (Blue): 102.710
📊 Key Zones Identified:
1. Immediate Zone (103.30 - 103.50)
Marked as: “Resistance + Support”
This is a key decision zone. Price has tested this region multiple times, showing it holds dual roles — a flip zone.
Price is currently testing this zone again. A break and retest above could confirm bullish momentum.
2. Upper Resistance Zone (104.80 - 105.50)
A broader supply area where previous strong selling pressure occurred.
This is the next logical target if price breaks and holds above 103.50.
3. Lower Support (101.29)
Strong horizontal support, clearly defined from previous lows.
If the price fails to break above the current zone, a rejection could lead to a move back down toward this support.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Break above 103.50, with a successful retest confirming new support.
Momentum could carry price toward the 105.00–105.50 resistance.
Supported by 50 EMA crossing above 200 EMA (early sign of bullish crossover — Golden Cross).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Rejection from the 103.30–103.50 zone could signal continuation of range-bound or bearish pressure.
Break below 102.00, followed by momentum towards 101.29 key support.
Would invalidate short-term bullish structure.
📌 Additional Technical Notes:
The chart shows consolidation between 102.00 and 103.50 — likely accumulation or re-accumulation phase.
EMAs are tightening, indicating a potential volatility expansion move is near.
Volume is not visible but would be useful to confirm breakout strength.
📍Conclusion:
CAD/JPY is currently at a critical decision zone. The next few candles will be key. Monitor:
Breakout direction
Retest confirmations
Momentum and volume indicators (if available)
CAD/JPY: Price at Decision Point – Key Support in PlayWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CADJPY Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!