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Canadian Dollar / Japanese Yen

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CADJPY trade ideas

CADJPY Sellers Defend Resistance, Bears Eye Deeper CorrectionCADJPY is stalling once again at the 107.10–107.50 resistance zone, where sellers have stepped in multiple times over the past sessions. Price is forming a clear rejection pattern after retesting supply, suggesting that momentum is shifting in favor of the bears. With crude oil volatility weighing on CAD and safe-haven demand supporting JPY, this setup looks poised for a potential downside leg. Current Bias Bearish — short-term rejections at resistance open the door for a move lower toward 106.30 and 105.20. Key Fundamental Drivers Crude oil dynamics: CAD’s correlation with oil remains strong; lower oil prices weaken CAD and reinforce downside risk in CADJPY. BoJ normalization risks: Any hint of a shift in Japanese monetary policy or discussions around yield control tends to boost JPY. Risk sentiment: Risk-off flows typically drive JPY higher, while CAD suffers under global growth concerns. Macro Context Interest rate expectations: BoC is seen as close to its peak rate, with limited room for further hikes, while the BoJ is slowly signaling normalization steps. Economic growth: Canada’s growth is vulnerable to commodity fluctuations, while Japan’s economy, though modest, is gaining traction from external demand and JPY’s relative undervaluation. Commodity flows: Oil weakness puts pressure on CAD, while defensive flows boost JPY. Geopolitical themes: Tariffs, trade disruptions, or Middle East tensions could amplify demand for JPY as a safe haven. Primary Risk to the Trend A strong rebound in crude oil or dovish BoJ messaging could support CADJPY and push the pair back above 107.50 resistance, invalidating the bearish setup. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Canada CPI / Retail Sales (key for BoC policy outlook) BoJ statements on monetary policy or FX stability Leader/Lagger Dynamics CADJPY often trades as a lagger, following oil and USDJPY trends. It tends to be influenced by WTI crude prices and USDJPY moves, which dictate directional bias. Key Levels Support Levels: 106.35, 105.95, 105.20 Resistance Levels: 107.10, 107.50 Stop Loss (SL): 107.55 Take Profit (TP): 106.35 (first target), 105.20 (extended target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints CADJPY is showing rejection at a major resistance zone, with sellers stepping in to cap upside momentum. The bearish bias remains valid as long as the pair stays below 107.50, with downside targets set at 106.35 and 105.20. A stop loss above 107.55 protects against a breakout reversal, while oil price fluctuations and BoJ rhetoric remain the most important watchpoints. Unless crude oil rallies sharply or Japan signals dovish backpedaling, the path of least resistance appears to favor the bears.
Short
by ultreosforex
CADJPY continues to unfold a bearish patternCADJPY continues to unfold a bearish pattern CADJPY had already broken down from a major bullish trend that began on May 25, peaking at 108.95 on August 1. One week ago, the pair confirmed a clear bearish breakout, dropping nearly 80 pips. According to our previous analysis, CADJPY increased to 107.20 and resumed its bearish movement. We should not forget that the downward movement is very much related to the Bank of Japan. They need to intervene in the Forex so that the JPY strengthens again. It is not that simple in general, but the situation indicates a larger decline. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
7
Trade idea: CAD JPY short Entry 106.75 I'm classing this as a 'relative fundamental trade' rather than a 'risk off trade'. Based on slightly soft CAD CPI keeps a September BOC cut on the table, against renewed speculation of a BOJ hike. The subdued trading environment adds weight to the idea. The risk to the trade is 'positive sentiment' or the fact the stop loss is only behind two 5min swings. It's a 15pip stop loss, with 23 pip profit target. There is 'plenty of room' down to 4hr support.
Short
by johnelfedforexblog
Bearish reversal?CAD/JPY has rejected the pivot, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop to the qst support, which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 107.14 1st Support: 105.86 1st Resistance: 107.73 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
CAD/JPY in focus ahead of Canadian inflation data Canada publishes its July inflation numbers shortly. The market’s looking for 0.3% MoM on the headline CPI. Median measure of CPI is expected to hold around 3.1% y/y with trimmed CPI seen steady at 3.0%. Numbers lower than those would likely support the idea that the Bank of Canada will resume cutting before long, especially because growth risks are piling up. Only 15bp of easing is priced for October, with a full cut not seen until January. Weakening activity and labour markets at home, coupled with Fed potentially easing in September, could well force the BoC’s hand. A move in October would become more likely if data rolls over. The CAD/JPY is an interesting CAD pair to watch given that it has recently broken a bullish trend line. Key resistance that now needs to hold is between 107.20 to 107.50 (shaded on the chart). However, it would be a bullish scenario if rates were to climb above this zone and reclaim the broken trend line. By Fawad Razaqzadam market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
CAD/JPY Entry Uncapped – Loonie Robbery in Motion🔐CAD/JPY Heist Activated: Thief Breaks Into the Bullish Vault📈💰💥 📌 Asset: CAD/JPY "Loonie-Yen" Forex Bank 📌 Plan: Bullish 📌 Entry: Any price level 📌 Stop Loss: 106.600 📌 Target: 109.200 📌 Method: Multi-limit orders using Layering / DCA Strategy 👋🏼 Hello Money Movers & Market Robbers! Welcome back to the battlefield — this time we’re breaching the vault of the CAD/JPY Loonie-Yen Forex Bank with a bullish masterplan. This isn't just a trade, it’s a planned heist using Thief Trader Strategy. Precision entries, layered orders, and sharp exits — that’s how we roll! 🏦💣 🔓 ENTRY — The Vault Is Open! 💸 Swipe the loot at any price — but the real pros place Buy Limits near recent swing lows (15min/30min TF) to catch price pullbacks. ⚠️ Only Long — Short is off-limits unless you’re surrendering your loot. 🛑 STOP LOSS — Lock Before They Catch You! 📍 Place SL at 106.600, or below your last entry layer if you stack orders. Let your lot size, risk %, and DCA levels guide the SL placement. Safety first, profit always. 🎯 TARGET — The Exit Door: 109.200 📈 That’s where the loot gets stashed! Trail it smart if the price gets hot. Escape early if market mood shifts. 🧠 STRATEGY BREAKDOWN: ☑️ Style: Layered Grid / DCA Method ☑️ Trade Type: Scalping 🔹 Day Trade 🔹 Swing ☑️ Market Condition: Bullish momentum pushing through resistance — fundamental & sentiment align. 📚 MARKET INTEL: 📰 Stay ahead — read the COT reports, scan the macros, dive into quant flows & sentiment indexes. Want the full picture? Click the 🔗 in proo file for the research vault. ⚠️ Avoid entries during high-volatility news. Set trailing SLs to protect your robbery bag. 🎒 🚨 THIEF TIPS: 🔹 Don’t panic — layer in, scale smart. 🔹 Use M15/H1 TF to plan sniper entries. 🔹 Let profits run, but never let them bleed. 💥 BOOST THIS IDEA if you support the Thief’s mission 💥 Every like powers up the next robbery! Your support lets me share more free trade ideas with real planning & real money in mind. 🔐 Catch you on the next break-in… Stay funded, stay dangerous. 🤑🚁💼
Long
by The-Thief