MYMU2025 ๐ข Trade Bias: Long (MNQ โ Micro Nasdaq Futures Sep 2025)๐ฏ Entry: 44,770
โ Stop Loss: 44,642
โ Take Profit 1: 44,999
โ Take Profit 2: 45,100
E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Mar 2024) forum
๏ปฟMYMU2025 ๐ข Trade Bias: Long (MNQ โ Micro Nasdaq Futures Sep 2025)๐ฏ Entry: 44,770
โ Stop Loss: 44,642
โ Take Profit 1: 44,999
โ Take Profit 2: 45,100
YM1!Retail & Institutional Sentiment Outlook ๐
Retail Sentiment (% Bullish): 29.9% (down from 34.9% last week, below historical average of 37.5%) ๐
Institutional Sentiment (NAAIM Exposure Index): 85.66 (down from 96.25, indicating reduced bullishness) ๐
Bull-Bear Spread: -16.3 (more bears than bulls, increased from -8.3 last week) ๐ป
Fear & Greed Index ๐จ๐
Current Level: Neutral (no extreme fear or greed detected)
Indicators:
Market momentum and stock price strength show balanced sentiment.
VIX (volatility index) stable, no significant spikes indicating fear.
Safe haven demand (e.g., bonds, gold) not dominant, suggesting no extreme fear.
Fundamental Score ๐
Score: 65/100
Key Factors:
Corporate earnings: 69% of S&P 500 companies beat Q2 revenue estimates, supporting resilience.
Economic data: CPI inline at 0.2% m/m, but hotter PPI (+0.9% vs. 0.2% expected) raises inflation concerns.
Corporate profits and GDP growth remain healthy, supporting fundamentals.
Macro Score ๐
Score: 55/100
Key Factors:
Inflation pressures: Sticky services inflation and rising producer prices suggest upside risks.
Fed policy: 94% chance of a 25bps rate cut in September 2025, but hotter PPI data may cause hesitation.
Consumer sentiment: U. of Michigan Index dropped to 58.6 from 61.7, driven by inflation worries.
Overall Market Outlook ๐๐ป
Score: 60/100 (Neutral, leaning slightly bullish)
Outlook:
Bullish Case (Long): Strong corporate earnings, resilient consumer spending, and expected Fed rate cuts support upside potential.
Bearish Case (Short): Rising inflation, tariff concerns, and cooling labor market pose risks.
Summary: Markets are resilient but cautious due to inflation and policy uncertainty. Near-term consolidation likely, with dip-buying opportunities.
MYMU2025 ๐ข Trade Bias: Long ๐ฏ Entry: 45,020
โ Stop Loss: 44,905
โ Take Profit 1: 45,100
โ Take Profit 2: 45,125
MYM1! 15 Min BOS to upside. Getting Long
MYM1! If the confirmation candle close above the slope - then will be going longMYM1! - took a wrong trade - went long, opposite to my strategy. Lost money. Waiting for my set up. Mistakes: Rushed entry, went long in 1 h when 4h, D was down
So, decided to wait today for set up.
