CHFJPY trade ideas
CHF/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 164.774.
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#045 Trust The Process CHFJPY 1004SGT 05032025 2RPrice broke out of the resistance level, so, buy.
I adjusted some things. I am taking 2R TP instead of 1.5R TP.
I will be marking this new TP arrangement with the marking in the title with "2R" at the back.
I would also be opening a new account, maybe on oanda demo account to tabulate the PNL.
1010SGT 05032025
CHFJPY 2500 PIP TARGET LIVE TRADE Key Factors Influencing CHF/JPY:
Interest Rate Differentials:
The monetary policies of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) play a crucial role. If the BOJ signals a potential tightening of its monetary policy (raising interest rates), while the SNB maintains or loosens its policy, it could lead to a weakening of the CHF/JPY pair. Conversely, if the SNB tightens and the BOJ loosens, the pair will go up.
Differentials in interest rates between the two countries can significantly impact currency flows.
CHFJPY at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupOANDA:CHFJPY is at a significant demand zone that has consistently triggered bullish reversals in the past. This zone has previously acted as a strong support level and now as price tests this area again, it creates a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control.
I expect the price to move toward 168.60. On the other hand, a break below this support could signal further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
CHF/JPY Market Analysis – Potential Bearish Move Ahead? 🔹 Current Market Structure:
The CHF/JPY pair is currently trading within an indecisive area, facing key levels that will determine its next move. The price recently tested a strong resistance zone and is now showing signs of weakness.
🔹 Key Observations:
1️⃣ Indecisive Area – Price is consolidating within a small range. A breakout will provide confirmation of direction.
2️⃣ Needed Volume Zone – This area needs strong momentum to continue further downward movement. If the price fails to sustain below this level, we might see a short-term pullback.
3️⃣ Reversal Area – If price continues its descent, this zone could act as a potential support and trigger a reversal.
🔹 Trade Outlook:
📌 A candle close below the indecisive area will strengthen bearish momentum, increasing the probability of price reaching the needed volume zone and eventually the reversal area.
📌 However, a strong bullish rejection from the current level could lead to a pullback towards the previous resistance zone.
⚠️ Stay patient and wait for confirmation before entering a trade!
What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments! 💬👇
#Forex #CHFJPY #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
CHFJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CHFJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 167.74
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 166.88
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHF/JPY short.: Safety first. Agent Chaos strikes again.Hello traders.
This is my first trade since last week.
Trump is ripping through the markets like a tornado.
First, the made for TV moment of dressing down Zelensky in the White House. We all know, the meeting just prior to that behind closed doors must have been a screaming match because he did not get his way. I'm surprised he did not yell at Zelensky, "You're Fired"! :))
The UK, France and other European leaders picked up the baton in this frightening battle of egos to prevent World War 3. The Euro responded as expected but retreated from the familiar 1.05 level.
Today, new tariffs are announced-again. The stock market responded with all three major indices shedding significant value.
Tomorrow night, Trump's address to Congress. What is going to transpire in that speech is well known ahead of time: inflation, immigration, America First, tariffs, that ungrateful Zelensky blah blah blah
However, it is the unknown that he may come up with that gave me pause to reassess risk appetite. I am not opposed to the USA demanding fair trade but why bother with the pretense of trade agreements?
Folks, it is not looking great. He took crypto on a wild ride with his "reserve" announcement. Bitcoin ripped higher from $78K to 94 and back to 82 in no time.
Gold is turning up.
The VIX was up to 24 today from a sedate average of 14 since the FOMC December 2024 rate announcement when it spiked up to 29.
I was still considering trading my favorite instrument EUR/USD(be careful) until I searched for an answer as to how legal the tariffs are under the USMCA (Old NAFTA) trade agreement and found this article.
cepr.org
I encourage you to read the whole article. The take away for me is that the use of the 1977 USA International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) as a pretext(think fentanyl) to raise tariffs on Mexico and Canada, is not only diabolically devious(good job Peter Navarro), there is not much point for any organization or individual in the US to challenge it in court.
China has already filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization during February although the foregone conclusion is that even if they prevail, the US will appeal and a whole lot of nothing will happen.
There is the ongoing opinion that Trump is using all these tariffs as bargaining tools but when one considers his outburst with Zelensky, supporting Putin in public, risking WWIII and then apply that reckless mindset to trade, I am truly terrified of the global economic pain that may follow.
I have shorted the CHF/JPY since these are the safest global currencies.
The fundamentals are simple. The SNB cut rates by 50 bps in December 2024, will meet on March 19th but will probably stay put.
The BOJ is on a different path. They are raising rates. So while both currencies are at 0.50%, the JPY seems to be the clear winner, also because of the size of it's economy and no clear threats of more tariffs-yet.
The pair is below the 100 W MA and has a long way to trend down. This could be a great set and forget trade.
This is risk off environment and I wish everyone the best.
CHF/JPY "Swissy vs Japanese" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (168.100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 2H timeframe (166.000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 170.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 172.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🟢Fundamental Analysis
Swiss Economic Growth: Switzerland's economic growth has remained steady at 1.5% in the last quarter, driven by the country's strong financial sector.
Japanese Economic Growth: Japan's economic growth has slowed down to 0.3% in the last quarter, due to the ongoing trade tensions and weak domestic demand.
Interest Rate Differential: The interest rate differential between Switzerland and Japan has widened, with Switzerland's interest rate at -0.75% and Japan's interest rate at -0.1%.
⚪Macro Economics
Inflation Rate: Switzerland's inflation rate has remained steady at 0.5% in the last month, while Japan's inflation rate has decreased to 0.3%.
Unemployment Rate: Switzerland's unemployment rate has remained steady at 2.3%, while Japan's unemployment rate has decreased to 2.2%.
Global Trade: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China are expected to have a minimal impact on the CHF/JPY market.
🟡Global Market Analysis
Forex Market: The global forex market has experienced a moderate decrease in volatility, with the CHF/JPY pair experiencing a 0.8% increase in the last 24 hours.
Commodity Market: The global commodity market has experienced a moderate decrease, with oil prices decreasing by 1.0% in the last 24 hours.
Stock Market: The global stock market has experienced a moderate increase, with the Nikkei 225 index increasing by 0.8% in the last 24 hours.
🟠COT Data
Speculators (Non-Commercials): 60,000 long positions and 40,000 short positions.
Hedgers (Commercials): 40,000 long positions and 60,000 short positions.
🔴Intermarket Analysis
Correlation with USD: CHF/JPY has a negative correlation with USD/JPY, indicating that a weak dollar could boost CHF/JPY prices.
Correlation with Stocks: CHF/JPY has a low correlation with stocks, indicating that CHF/JPY could be a good hedge against stock market volatility.
🟣Quantitative Analysis
Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is at 164.500, and the 200-day moving average is at 162.000.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 55, indicating a neutral market sentiment.
🔵Market Sentiment Analysis
The overall sentiment for CHF/JPY is neutral, with a mix of positive and negative predictions.
52% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Positioning
The long/short ratio for CHF/JPY is currently 1.2.
The open interest for CHF/JPY is approximately 150,000 contracts.
🟤Next Trend Move
Bullish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bullish move, targeting 170.000 and 172.500, due to the interest rate differential and the weak yen.
Bearish Prediction: Others predict a potential bearish move, targeting 163.000 and 160.000, due to the ongoing trade tensions and the strong franc.
⚫Overall Summary Outlook
The overall outlook for CHF/JPY is neutral, with a mix of positive and negative predictions.
The market is expected to experience a moderate fluctuation, with some analysts predicting a potential bullish move targeting 170.000 and 172.500.
🔴Real-Time Market Feed
As of the current time, CHF/JPY is trading at 167.100, with a 0.8% increase in the last 24 hours.
🟢Future Prediction
Short-Term: Bullish: 168.000-170.000, Bearish: 165.000-163.000
Medium-Term: Bullish: 172.500-175.000, Bearish: 160.000-155.000
Long-Term: Bullish: 180.000-185.000, Bearish: 150.000-145.000
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
CHFJPY from an Elliott Wave perspectiveA very strong move to the upside is inbound after completion of Wave B of the zigzag. This would be at exactly the 100% Fib. Retracement meaning it would be the end of the correction and resumption of Red Wave B also Green Wave C. This Wave must be a clear 3 Wave move to the upside.
CHFJPY BuyWhy the Swiss Franc (CHF) is a Strong Buy Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Global instability is driving investors toward safe-haven assets, and the Swiss Franc (CHF) stands out as a top choice. Here’s why:
🔹 European Security Concerns – Ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions are unsettling European markets, increasing demand for CHF.
🔹 Middle East Instability – Conflicts like the Israel-Hamas war are disrupting global supply chains, pushing investors toward safer assets.
🔹 Rising Global Conflicts – The escalation of wars and potential new conflicts add to economic uncertainty, making CHF more attractive.
🔹 Economic Implications – Inflationary pressures and trade disruptions are reinforcing deglobalization, making investors seek stability.
🔹 Swiss Franc’s Safe-Haven Status – Switzerland’s economic stability and neutral stance make CHF a hedge against global risks.
💡 Conclusion: With rising geopolitical uncertainty, CHF remains a strong buy for investors looking to protect capital.
#Forex #SafeHaven #CHF #Geopolitics #Trading
CHF/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 165.981 area.
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