CHFNZD trade ideas
NZDCHF at Key Decision Zone – Daily Trend in FocusMonitoring NZDCHF for a reaction at this key zone.
We are approaching a confluence area with:
• Retest of ascending daily trendline support
• Structure support on the 1H timeframe
• Price hovering around the EMAs, potential rejection forming
🟢 Bullish Bias: If price holds above 0.4870–0.4880 and breaks 0.4913, I expect continuation towards 0.4934.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Clean break and close below 0.4870 could signal a shift in momentum with targets at 0.4831 and below.
📅 Trend still bullish on the daily, so watching for signs of exhaustion or continuation here.
Let me know your thoughts — are you team bull or team bear?
NZDCHF Swing Long – Double Bottom into Risk-On Revival🟢 LONG NZDCHF @ 0.48923 (Swing Position)
✅ Catalyst: Double bottom + RSI divergence + break above descending channel on 4H.
🛑 SL: 0.48469
🎯 TP1: 0.49565 (1:1.2 R:R)
🎯 TP2: 0.50230 (1:2.5 R:R)
🎯 TP3: 0.50800 (1:3.9 R:R)
📊 Chart: Price defended 0.4870 key structure zone. Bullish engulfing + EMA crossover signal upside continuation.
🌍 Context: CHF weakening across the board on SNB dovish tone. NZD supported by risk-on flows and commodity demand rebound.
💬 “Stacking into this swing or waiting for confirmation above 0.4950? Let’s talk setups 👇”
#Forex #NZDCHF #SwingTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney
NZDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISNZDCHF is currently trading around the 0.4880–0.4900 zone, and on the daily timeframe, the pair appears to be completing an inverse head and shoulders pattern. However, unlike the typical bullish nature of this pattern, price has failed to break above the neckline and is showing early signs of bearish continuation. The right shoulder has already failed to create a higher high, and recent bearish candlesticks with strong wicks to the upside suggest rejection and downside momentum building. My short bias is supported by this structural weakness and loss of bullish steam.
From a fundamental perspective, the Swiss Franc remains strong due to its safe-haven demand amid lingering global risk aversion and slowing global growth expectations. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand, while on hold recently, has adopted a relatively dovish tone as domestic inflation trends soften. This diverging policy stance between the SNB and RBNZ provides a macroeconomic tailwind favoring CHF strength and NZD weakness. In today’s session, CHF also gained modestly following stronger-than-expected CPI revisions and cautious risk flows in the Asian and European sessions.
Technically, we’ve seen a clean break of the recent support zone near 0.4890, and the market structure has flipped bearish on both the daily and H4 charts. I expect further downside continuation toward the 0.4680–0.4700 range, especially if the current lower highs pattern persists. The bearish flag breakdown and consistent lower closes support continuation toward my 0.46 target. This offers a solid short setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio in play.
I’ll continue monitoring for any pullback toward the 0.4920–0.4950 area for potential re-entries on weakness. Momentum and volume indicators also point lower, aligning with the price action thesis. As long as we stay below 0.4970, the bearish scenario remains active, and I’m looking to capitalize on this developing bearish cycle in NZDCHF.
NZDCHF - The Bears Are Back!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈NZDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in red, and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDCHF Trade IdeaAt 4Hr timeframe, the trend break the ascending channel and retesting it @0.4900 AOI. There is a possible valid order block @0.4920 area that the trend is heading to it. if the is any reaction with bearish candlestick pattern within the order block, then the trend will continue bearish. First target would be 0.4800.
Good Luck!
NZD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on NZD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.487 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/CHF – Macro Sell Bias This Week
For the week ahead, NZD/CHF presents a sell opportunity from a fundamental perspective. The economic calendar is light for both the New Zealand dollar and the Swiss franc, with only minor sentiment and current account data for NZD and Swiss PPI data for CHF, neither of which typically spark major market moves.
When newsflow is quiet, the market often defaults to macro themes and risk sentiment. The Swiss franc, as a traditional safe haven, tends to outperform higher-yield, risk-sensitive currencies like the New Zealand dollar in these circumstances—especially when there is any degree of uncertainty in global markets.
With no strong catalysts to push NZD higher, and CHF retaining its position as a stable, defensive currency, the environment favors continued or renewed downside for NZD/CHF this week.
**In summary:**
Expect NZD/CHF to trade with a bearish bias, as macro conditions and the absence of significant data support CHF strength over NZD weakness.
NZDCHF Bearish Continuation Setup📉 NZDCHF is setting up for a potential continuation to the downside with strong confluence across all timeframes.
Weekly Overview:
Price has been held down by the 14EMA for the past 8 weeks, showing consistent rejection and confirming bearish pressure from higher timeframe.
Daily Chart Explanation:
The pair is respecting the 50EMA as dynamic resistance. Recently, it broke the internal bullish structure, indicating a shift in control to the sellers.
4H Chart Explanation:
Very clean structure break to the downside — price broke the higher low structure, violated support levels, and is now staying below the 50EMA. A textbook transition from bullish to bearish mode.
🔄 Plan:
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Look for price to pull back to discounted area or near the 4H 50EMA, ideally forming bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or trendline retest).
Targets:
TP1: Recent swing low
TP2: Next support zone from weekly chart
Invalidation: Break and close above the 4H structure high and 50EMA
📌 High-probability trend continuation setup — only engage if the retracement provides a clear entry signal.
NZDCHF: Another Pullback Trade 🇳🇿🇨🇭
I see one more pullback opportunity on NZDCHF.
My confirmation is an ascending triangle pattern
formed on a key horizontal support.
Goal - 0.4896
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NZDCHF Bearish Setup: ABCDE Pattern CompletedNZDCHF Bearish Setup: ABCDE Pattern Completed
NZDCHF has completed an ABCDE pattern and is showing signs of a potential bearish movement.
The pair may decline further from the current market price, or it could make a brief correction before moving downward, as indicated on the chart.
The previous bullish momentum was weak, suggesting that the upcoming bearish move could unfold more quickly.
📍 Key Reversal Zones:
The price may react around these levels: 0.4945, 0.4930, and 0.4915.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.