NDAQ100 trade ideas
NAS100... 4h chat pattern Your NAS100 (Nasdaq-100 index) *sell setup* looks like this:
* *Entry (Sell):* 1983
* *1st Target (TP1):* 1845
* *2nd Target (TP2):* 1800
This is a *bearish trade, targeting a roughly **138-point* drop for TP1 and *183-point* drop for TP2.
To evaluate this trade, consider the following:
### 1. *Technical Context*
* Is there a *resistance level* or *reversal pattern* around 1983?
* Are *momentum indicators* like RSI or MACD showing bearish divergence?
* What does the *volume* say โ decreasing on up moves, increasing on down moves?
### 2. *Risk Management*
* Where is your *stop loss*? (This is critical to protect against a reversal.)
* What's the *risk-to-reward ratio*? Ideally, aim for 1:2 or better.
* Are you risking a fixed % of your capital (e.g., 1โ2%)
Fear @ Greed Index In Nasdaq.The potential future decline of the Nasdaq index is attributed to concerns surrounding the Fibonacci level of 1.138, as indicated by the harmonic shark pattern .
At the 0.88 level, the fear index has surpassed the greed index, and it currently stands at 1.138. This apprehension is also affecting those who are typically driven by greed.
NAS100USD: Institutional Selling Initiated at Premium LevelsGreetings Traders,
Today on NAS100USD, the market is currently operating within a clear bearish institutional order flow. In alignment with this directional bias, we are seeking selling opportunities supported by several key confluences.
Key Observations:
1. Liquidity Sweep at Premium Pricing:
Price has retraced deeply into a premium zone, sweeping the buy stops above a recent swing high. This suggests smart money is executing sell-side order pairing at extreme premium levels, utilizing retail liquidity for institutional distribution. When this occurs, price typically seeks rebalancing at fair value zones and continues toward discount levels.
2. Resistance at Fair Value Gap:
Following the liquidity sweep, price encountered resistance at a previously identified fair value gap (FVG). This FVG has held effectively, reinforcing the bearish outlook and acting as a high-probability rejection zone.
3. Market Structure Shift (MSS):
The market has now confirmed a bearish market structure shift, further validating the downside bias. This shift positions us to anticipate a continuation move.
4. Mitigation Block as Entry Zone:
We are currently watching a mitigation block for potential re-entries. These blocks represent zones where smart money mitigates previous long positions and introduces new short positions in alignment with the prevailing trend. If confirmed, they offer a strategic point to enter short trades.
Trading Plan:
Monitor the mitigation block for confirmation and look to enter with the broader institutional trend. Targets will include fair value regions and deeper liquidity pools at discount prices.
Remain patient and disciplined, and always ensure your analysis aligns with your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASdaq_ Bullish trendline check and breakoutToday the Nasdaq made a Bullish trendline check and breakout to the up-side. Looks to be a sustainable rally. Also the Ichimoku is breaking out on the daily.
If you have hedge positions this the potential BULL rally you might need to manage those position through.
Seems we are lining up for good news, Bullish narrative: Ukraine mineral deal, May 06-07 interest rate cut, trade deals with India, Japan, Italy Australia, Mexico, Russian Ukraine peace deal. after that who knows
NASDAQ, USTECH, DEAD CAT BOUNCEContinues bearish divergence
Multiple rejections from resistance area
Dead cat bounce appeared
failure to break resistance can lead towards 18500 area
Gap needs to be filled in that area
Negative GDP data will be the actalyst in bearish move
job market data is also negative
slowdown of economic growth
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Bearish StructureThe NASDAQ price action shows a clear bearish Elliott Wave structure, currently unfolding a 1-2-3-4-5 pattern. Price is in the corrective wave 4, potentially reversing around the 19,371.9 area, which overlaps with a previous supply zone.
From the local high at 19,508.1, bearish momentum has increased, and we expect one final leg down toward wave 5, targeting the 19,053.1 level or even the extended 18,920 (200% Fibonacci) zone.
Key levels:
Resistance: 19,371.9
Support: 19,053.1 and 18,920
Potential strategy:
Watch for a clear rejection around 19,370โ19,400 to enter short positions targeting 19,050 or 18,920. Confirm with price action.
NAS100USD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed SupportGreetings Traders,
In todayโs analysis on NAS100USD, we identify ongoing bullish institutional order flow, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this upward bias.
Key Observations:
1. Retracement and Institutional Support:
Recent price action shows a healthy retracement, with price finding institutional support at the rejection block. This was followed by strong displacement to the upside, resulting in a bullish market structure shift. This suggests the retracement may be complete, with further bullish continuation likely.
2. Reclaimed Order Block as Key Support Zone:
Currently, price is approaching a reclaimed order blockโa zone where institutions previously initiated buying before price traded higher. When price returns to this area, institutions often reclaim the zone to initiate new long positions. This reclaimed block is further strengthened by the alignment with a fair value gap (FVG), enhancing the zoneโs validity as institutional support.
Trading Plan:
We will monitor this reclaimed FVG zone for confirmation of bullish intent. Upon confirmation, we will look to enter long positions targeting liquidity pools in premium pricing zones, where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside.
Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and ensure the idea aligns with your broader strategy.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRX2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Trendline break out NAS100## Entry
- Enter on 4H confirmed trendline breakout
- Look for retest of broken trendline as support
- Ensure price remains above key MAs on 4H
- Verify with increased volume on breakout
## Risk
- Stop below recent swing low/structure
- Risk 1-2% capital
- Size position accordingly
## Targets
1. 20000- 20200 as psychological level
2. 200 MA on daily timeframe
3. 1.5x risk-reward ratio
## Management
- Wait for clean 4H breakout confirmation
- Move stop to breakeven after momentum continues
- Trail stop as price advances toward targets
- Scale out at major resistance levels
US100 Triangle Squeeze โ Breakout or Fakeout?Hey Traders,
Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, squeezing between rising support and descending resistance.
Two potential bullish scenarios on watch:
๐น Scenario 1:
Breakout above triangle resistance with confirmation โ Potential rally toward the 19,200โ19,600 zone.
๐น Scenario 2:
Short-term rejection at resistance โ Pullback to triangle support or the 18,370 level โ Then bounce for continuation to the upside.
If the triangle breaks to the downside, Iโll be watching the 18,000 and 17,600 demand zones for a potential reaction.
๐ Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,800 / 19,200 / 19,600
Support: 18,370 / 18,000 / 17,600
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice โ just sharing market insights.
โ Mr. Wolf ๐บ
#US100 #NAS100 #DowJones #Indices #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView
NAS100 | 4H Bullish Breakout from Channel โ Eyes on 19,970 ZoneNAS100 4H Chart Analysis
Price broke out of a well-respected descending channel with a strong bullish push. Currently approaching a supply zone around 19,970, where we may see a reaction.
Key Levels:
โข Resistance/Supply: 19,970
โข Support: 19,450 / 18,823
Technical Notes:
โข Breakout confirmation above descending trendline
โข Clean retest zone formed at previous structure (around 18,800)
โข Watching for either a rejection at supply or continuation into 21,000+
Next Steps:
โข Waiting for confirmation: reaction or break of the 19,970 zone
โข Will look for 15mโ1H entry if we get a pullback to structure
US100 BREAKS DOUBLE BUTTOM NECKLINE! US100 successfully breaks a neckline of a double buttom like structure! We may continue to see a continuous movement in price to the upside. Next resistance level could be the area of 20,267 (pullback resistance)
A buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price
Navigating the Next Trend MoveOverall Trend:
The price shows a clear uptrend, as indicated by the ascending channel (sloping yellow lines). The price has been respecting this channel, with higher lows and higher highs.
Support and Resistance:
Support: The 19,734.2 level (marked on the chart) has acted as a key support. The price bounced from this level after a correction.
Resistance: The 19,849.6 level (also marked) appears to be a resistance zone, as the price has shown difficulty breaking above it on a sustained basis.
Projection: The price is approaching potential resistance at 20,072.9, which could be a target if the uptrend continues.
Indicators:
200-period EMA (blue line): The price is above the 200-period EMA, confirming the uptrend on this timeframe. The EMA is around 19,889.4, acting as dynamic support.
Patterns and Structure:
The price has broken out after consolidating near the 200 EMA and the support at 19,734.2, suggesting that buyers are in control.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks the resistance at 19,849.6 with increasing volume, it could head toward the target at 20,072.9. This would confirm the continuation of the uptrend within the channel.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above the resistance at 19,849.6 and confirms the pin bar with a downward movement, it could correct toward the support at 19,734.2 or even the 200 EMA at 19,889.4.
Trader Recommendation:
Long Entry (Buy): Wait for a breakout and close above 19,849.6 with confirmation (e.g., a strong bullish candle or increased volume). The target would be 20,072.9, with a stop loss below 19,734.2.
Short Entry (Sell): If a rejection at 19,849.6 is confirmed (e.g., with a bearish candle following the Pin Bar), consider a sell entry with a target at 19,734.2 or the 200 EMA, placing a stop loss above 19,849.6.
Conclusion:
The US 100 is in an uptrend, but the resistance at 19,849.6 and the Pin Bar suggest caution. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering positions, either to take advantage of the bullish continuation or a possible correction. Managing risk is key, especially on a 15-minute time frame, where volatility can be high.
USNAS100 30M CHART PATTERN echnical Analysis Summary
Chart Pattern Observed:
The chart shows a clear ascending triangle pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern. This is formed by a horizontal resistance level (around 19,550) and a rising trendline (higher lows), suggesting buying pressure is building up.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 19,550
Support Trendline: Rising from ~19,050 to current level
Current Price: ~19,580
Breakout Target: 19,800.00 (as marked)
Interpretation:
Price has tested the 19,550 resistance multiple times without breaking lower significantly, indicating strength.
A breakout above this resistance would confirm the bullish triangle pattern.
The projected target, calculated using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level, is around 19,800.
Volume confirmation would further strengthen the breakout's validity (not shown here).
Potential Strategy:
Buy on breakout above 19,550, ideally with volume confirmation.
Take Profit: Around 19,800, per the measured move projection
NASDAQ ahead of the most critical Resistance test.Nasdaq (NDX) not only broke above the Lower Highs trend-line of its All Time High (ATH) last week but managed to break and turn the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) into Support.
It is now aiming for the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), which is the most crucial Resistance level of this recovery attempt and is what technically turns bearish trends into bullish if it turns into Support.
We expect a short-term rejection there, which should give a buy opportunity near the 4H MA200. Our Target for this is 20350 (Resistance 1).
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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