DOW JONES 1H ANALYSIS – JULY 17, 2025📉 DOW JONES 1H ANALYSIS – JULY 17, 2025
🔎 Tracking structure | key levels | trade ideas
🔹 Current Price: 44,248
📆 Timeframe: 1H
📈 Bias: Neutral → Short-term bullish ✅
📌 MARKET STRUCTURE UPDATE:
Price held strong at 43,929 – key support from earlier July lows 🔁
After a deep pullback from 44,800s, we’re seeing a bounce with price reclaiming the 21 & 50 EMA 🧠
This signals short-term buyer momentum stepping in – but caution: we’re still trading below key resistance 👀
🔹 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Support:
🟢 43,929 → major bounce zone (held)
🟢 44,182 → short-term EMA support
Resistance:
🔴 44,523 → former support, now flipped resistance
🔴 44,555 → breakdown origin
🔴 44,857 → major supply zone top
💡 TRADE SCENARIOS:
🔼 Bullish Case:
If price holds above 44,200 and pushes through 44,523–44,555, we likely see 44,700+ retest 🔥
A breakout + hold above 44,555 = trend shift confirmed 📈
🔽 Bearish Case:
If rejection at 44,523/555 holds, watch for rotation back to 44,000 → 43,929
Below 43,929 = possible slide to 43,700–43,600 demand 🚨
US30 trade ideas
Dow Jones H1 | Approaching a pullback resistanceThe Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 44,308.44 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 44,450.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 44,074.17 which is a swing-low support.
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US30 Update – 07/16/2025📍 US30 Update – 07/16/2025
The bearish momentum continues — and it's clean.
After rejecting 44,555–44,600 supply last week, US30 has been in a clear downtrend, and now we’ve broken below 44,000, tapping into the 43,900 zone. Sellers are dominating, and buyers haven’t shown strength on any retrace yet. ⚠️
📊 Market Structure:
✅ Lower highs, lower lows locked in
🧭 Rejected 44.6k supply on lower volume = bearish intent
📉 Price now below EMAs (20 & 50), which are sloping down hard
📉 Current price printing near multi-week support
🔑 Key Levels:
🔽 Support: 43,800 → 43,600 → 43,300
🔼 Resistance: 44,100 → 44,220 → 44,555
💣 Break of 43,800 = high probability for further downside flush
💡 Trade Ideas:
🔻 Short Setup – Trend Continuation:
Entry: Pullback into 44,100–44,200
Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle
TP1: 43,800
TP2: 43,600
SL: Above 44,300
⚠️ No long bias unless bulls reclaim 44,400 with conviction.
DowJones bullish continuation breakout supported at 43990Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45440
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 43990
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43420
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Dow Jones H4 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 44,845.48 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 45,240.47 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 44,124.85 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DOW (DJI) -- Preparing For The Next Big Move?Hello Traders!
The chart of the DOW is really quite incredible... Recently price formed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which led to a nice nearly to the all time high. Furthermore price looks to be consolidating in a Bullish Pennant just below the all time high resistance level.
The reason the Pennant below resistance is so significant is because this signals that investors are likely preparing to drive price higher to new highs. Think about it like a fighter resting before the next big fight.
Triple Top: In addition to the pennant price has now hit this resistance level for the 3rd time. The more times price hits a level typically the weaker it gets. After the 3rd hit the chance of a breakout increases dramatically.
In Summary: The "Triple Top" in conjunction with the "Bullish Pennant" means that there is undoubtedly a very high probability that price will breakout and make new all time highs.
This post is primarily meant to be educational vs a trade idea. Its charts like this that invigorate my technical analysis side and I hope it does for you as well.
Best of luck on your trading journey!
Bullish bounce off pullback resistance?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 44,312.73
1st Support: 44,212.79
1st Resistance: 44,554.09
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dow Jones Technical Outlook – July 2025The Dow Jones is currently trading in a tight consolidation range just below its major resistance zone near 45,200.
After a strong bullish rally, the index is showing signs of exhaustion with lower volatility and sideways price action — forming a potential rectangle pattern. This type of structure typically signals a continuation or reversal, depending on the breakout direction.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 45,200 – A breakout above this level may trigger a strong upside rally toward
Support: 44,050 – A breakdown below this can open the door for a retest of 43,200 or even 42,000.
Price is coiling — the market is waiting. The next breakout could set the tone for weeks to come.
US30 Bearish Below 44490 – Watching 44180 US30 Analysis
US30 remains bearish below 44490, with downside targets at 44180 and 43960.
A 1H close below 44180 would confirm continuation toward 43630.
To turn bullish, price must break above 44490.
Pivot: 44430
Resistance: 44460, 44550, 44760
Support: 44180, 43960, 43630
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Classic Gap Trade
I see a gap down opening on US30 index.
As always, there is a high chance that this gap is going to be filled.
A bullish imbalance candle and a local change of character CHoCH
indicate a highly probable rise to a gap opening level.
Target - 44300
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